Szkoła Kursów

Kayserispor v Fenerbahce

Początek: 2026-04-11 17:02 UTC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

52 bukmacherów (18 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Kayserispor (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 15.51%6.45kurs godziwy
EV +0.795%
Przewaga +0.122%
Kelly +0.145%
Wzrost +0.001%

przy maksymalnym kursie 6.50

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
14.21%15.54%15.64%17.34%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
5.106.056.056.5019.61%16.52%16.52%15.38%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Fenerbahce (Goście)

Prognoza 63.38%1.58kurs godziwy
EV -3.02%
Przewaga -1.97%
Kelly -5.70%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.53

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
60.56%63.31%63.21%65.01%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.381.451.441.5372.46%69.18%69.44%65.36%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Remis

Prognoza 21.11%4.74kurs godziwy
EV +0.265%
Przewaga +0.056%
Kelly +0.071%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 4.75

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
19.65%21.15%21.16%23.24%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.754.364.404.7526.67%22.91%22.73%21.05%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (52 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarze ▼GościeRemisMarżaAktualizacja
Tipico (DE)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.50%EV +0.795%E +0.122%K +0.145%G +0.001%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.01%EV -8.09%E -5.58%K -17.98%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.49%EV -2.90%E -0.631%K -0.806%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-11 17:00
Svenska Spel6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV +0.795%E +0.122%K +0.145%G +0.001%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.71%EV -8.09%E -5.58%K -17.98%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -5.01%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-11 17:01
ATG (SE)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV +0.795%E +0.122%K +0.145%G +0.001%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.71%EV -8.09%E -5.58%K -17.98%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -5.01%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-11 17:01
Unibet (UK)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV +0.795%E +0.122%K +0.145%G +0.001%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.41%EV -8.09%E -5.58%K -17.98%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.23%EV -7.12%E -1.62%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-11 17:01
SportsBet6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV +0.795%E +0.122%K +0.145%G +0.001%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.35%EV -8.73%E -6.06%K -19.83%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -8.60%E -1.99%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-11 17:01
Unibet6.50I 15.38%NM 14.24%EV +0.795%E +0.122%K +0.145%G +0.001%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.72%EV -9.36%E -6.55%K -21.77%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.04%EV -7.12%E -1.62%K -2.10%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-11 17:00
TABtouch6.50I 15.38%NM 14.24%EV +0.795%E +0.122%K +0.145%G +0.001%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.72%EV -9.36%E -6.55%K -21.77%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.04%EV -7.12%E -1.62%K -2.10%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-11 17:01
Grosvenor6.50I 15.38%NM 14.24%EV +0.795%E +0.122%K +0.145%G +0.001%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.72%EV -9.36%E -6.55%K -21.77%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.04%EV -7.12%E -1.62%K -2.10%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-11 17:01
FanDuel6.50I 15.38%NM 14.24%EV +0.795%E +0.122%K +0.145%G +0.001%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.72%EV -9.36%E -6.55%K -21.77%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.04%EV -7.12%E -1.62%K -2.10%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-11 17:00
betPARX6.50I 15.38%NM 14.24%EV +0.795%E +0.122%K +0.145%G +0.001%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.72%EV -9.36%E -6.55%K -21.77%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.04%EV -7.12%E -1.62%K -2.10%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-11 17:00
BetRivers6.50I 15.38%NM 14.21%EV +0.795%E +0.122%K +0.145%G +0.001%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.57%EV -9.36%E -6.55%K -21.77%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.23%EV -8.18%E -1.88%K -2.44%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-11 16:50
Pinnacle6.42I 15.58%NM 15.04%EV -0.445%E -0.069%K -0.082%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.96%EV -4.29%E -2.84%K -8.41%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.00%EV -2.90%E -0.631%K -0.806%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-11 16:59
Betsson6.42I 15.58%NM 14.48%EV -0.445%E -0.069%K -0.082%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.57%EV -8.73%E -6.06%K -19.83%G +0.000%4.44I 22.52%NM 20.94%EV -6.28%E -1.41%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-11 17:00
NordicBet6.42I 15.58%NM 14.48%EV -0.445%E -0.069%K -0.082%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.57%EV -8.73%E -6.06%K -19.83%G +0.000%4.44I 22.52%NM 20.94%EV -6.28%E -1.41%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-11 17:00
Unibet (NL)6.40I 15.63%NM 14.50%EV -0.755%E -0.118%K -0.140%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.88%EV -9.36%E -6.55%K -21.77%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.62%EV -5.01%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-11 17:00
Unibet (SE)6.40I 15.63%NM 14.50%EV -0.755%E -0.118%K -0.140%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.88%EV -9.36%E -6.55%K -21.77%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.62%EV -5.01%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-11 17:00
Casumo6.40I 15.63%NM 14.50%EV -0.755%E -0.118%K -0.140%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.88%EV -9.36%E -6.55%K -21.77%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.62%EV -5.01%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-11 17:00
LeoVegas (SE)6.40I 15.63%NM 14.50%EV -0.755%E -0.118%K -0.140%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.88%EV -9.36%E -6.55%K -21.77%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.62%EV -5.01%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-11 17:00
1xBet6.29I 15.90%NM 15.43%EV -2.46%E -0.391%K -0.465%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.84%EV -3.66%E -2.40%K -7.03%G +0.000%4.68I 21.37%NM 20.73%EV -1.21%E -0.259%K -0.330%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-11 16:59
Everygame6.25I 16.00%NM 14.93%EV -3.08%E -0.493%K -0.587%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.34%EV -8.09%E -5.58%K -17.98%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -5.01%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 16:58
PointsBet (AU)6.25I 16.00%NM 14.88%EV -3.08%E -0.493%K -0.587%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.25%EV -6.82%E -4.64%K -14.52%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.88%EV -10.29%E -2.42%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-11 16:59
PMU (FR)6.25I 16.00%NM 14.56%EV -3.08%E -0.493%K -0.587%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 64.53%EV -10.63%E -7.54%K -25.92%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.92%EV -8.18%E -1.88%K -2.44%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-11 17:00
LiveScore Bet6.25I 16.00%NM 14.49%EV -3.08%E -0.493%K -0.587%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 64.69%EV -11.26%E -8.04%K -28.15%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.82%EV -8.18%E -1.88%K -2.44%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-11 17:00
Virgin Bet6.25I 16.00%NM 14.49%EV -3.08%E -0.493%K -0.587%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 64.69%EV -11.26%E -8.04%K -28.15%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.82%EV -8.18%E -1.88%K -2.44%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-11 17:00
LeoVegas6.25I 16.00%NM 14.46%EV -3.08%E -0.493%K -0.587%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 64.53%EV -11.26%E -8.04%K -28.15%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.01%EV -9.23%E -2.15%K -2.80%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-11 17:01
GTbets6.06I 16.50%NM 15.39%EV -6.03%E -0.995%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 63.88%EV -7.46%E -5.11%K -16.21%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -5.01%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 16:59
Marathon Bet6.05I 16.53%NM 15.41%EV -6.18%E -1.02%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 63.87%EV -7.46%E -5.11%K -16.21%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.72%EV -5.01%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 16:59
Coolbet6.00I 16.67%NM 15.99%EV -6.96%E -1.16%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.70%EV -3.02%E -1.97%K -5.70%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.32%EV -5.01%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-11 17:01
Fanatics6.00I 16.67%NM 15.55%EV -6.96%E -1.16%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.80%EV -8.73%E -6.06%K -19.83%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.65%EV +0.265%E +0.056%K +0.071%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 17:01
BetUS6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -6.96%E -1.16%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.12%EV -9.36%E -6.55%K -21.77%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.60%EV -6.07%E -1.36%K -1.76%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-11 16:59
Bet Right6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -6.96%E -1.16%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.18%EV -8.09%E -5.58%K -17.98%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.55%EV -10.29%E -2.42%K -3.17%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-11 16:59
Paddy Power6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -6.96%E -1.16%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 63.83%EV -11.26%E -8.04%K -28.15%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -11.34%E -2.70%K -3.55%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-11 17:00
Sky Bet6.00I 16.67%NM 14.74%EV -6.96%E -1.16%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 63.16%EV -11.26%E -8.04%K -28.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.11%EV -15.57%E -3.89%K -5.19%G +0.000%13.1%2026-04-11 17:01
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)6.00I 16.67%NM 14.52%EV -6.96%E -1.16%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 62.24%EV -11.26%E -8.04%K -28.15%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.24%EV -20.84%E -5.56%K -7.58%G +0.000%14.8%2026-04-11 17:01
Codere (IT)5.80I 17.24%NM 16.18%EV -10.06%E -1.73%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.97%EV -5.56%E -3.73%K -11.34%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -5.01%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-11 17:00
LowVig.ag5.80I 17.24%NM 15.67%EV -10.06%E -1.73%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 62.69%EV -8.09%E -5.58%K -17.98%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -11.34%E -2.70%K -3.55%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-11 16:59
BetOnline.ag5.80I 17.24%NM 15.67%EV -10.06%E -1.73%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 62.69%EV -8.09%E -5.58%K -17.98%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -11.34%E -2.70%K -3.55%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-11 16:59
Ladbrokes (UK)5.75I 17.39%NM 16.44%EV -10.83%E -1.88%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.01%EV -4.92%E -3.28%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -2.90%E -0.631%K -0.806%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-11 17:01
Coral5.75I 17.39%NM 16.44%EV -10.83%E -1.88%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.01%EV -4.92%E -3.28%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -2.90%E -0.631%K -0.806%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-11 17:00
888sport5.75I 17.39%NM 15.72%EV -10.83%E -1.88%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.76%EV -8.73%E -6.06%K -19.83%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -11.34%E -2.70%K -3.55%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-11 16:59
Mr Green (SE)5.75I 17.39%NM 15.72%EV -10.83%E -1.88%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.76%EV -8.73%E -6.06%K -19.83%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -11.34%E -2.70%K -3.55%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-11 16:59
888sport (SE)5.75I 17.39%NM 15.72%EV -10.83%E -1.88%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.76%EV -8.73%E -6.06%K -19.83%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -11.34%E -2.70%K -3.55%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-11 16:59
Neds5.60I 17.86%NM 16.73%EV -13.16%E -2.35%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.45%EV -4.92%E -3.28%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -5.01%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-11 16:59
Ladbrokes (AU)5.60I 17.86%NM 16.73%EV -13.16%E -2.35%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.45%EV -4.92%E -3.28%K -9.85%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -5.01%E -1.11%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-11 16:59
Unibet (FR)5.60I 17.86%NM 16.12%EV -13.16%E -2.35%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 63.13%EV -9.36%E -6.55%K -21.77%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.75%EV -8.18%E -1.88%K -2.44%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-11 17:00
Betway5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -14.71%E -2.67%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.08%EV -6.19%E -4.18%K -12.90%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -8.60%E -1.99%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-11 17:00
BoyleSports5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -14.71%E -2.67%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.72%EV -8.73%E -6.06%K -19.83%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.86%EV -8.60%E -1.99%K -2.58%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-11 17:01
Fliff5.45I 18.35%NM 15.93%EV -15.49%E -2.84%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 62.90%EV -12.53%E -9.08%K -32.97%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.17%EV -13.46%E -3.28%K -4.34%G +0.000%15.2%2026-04-11 17:01
Winamax (DE)5.40I 18.52%NM 16.76%EV -16.26%E -3.01%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 61.16%EV -6.19%E -4.18%K -12.90%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.08%EV -13.46%E -3.28%K -4.34%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-11 17:01
NetBet (FR)5.40I 18.52%NM 16.21%EV -16.26%E -3.01%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 62.96%EV -11.90%E -8.56%K -30.50%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.84%EV -11.34%E -2.70%K -3.55%G +0.000%14.3%2026-04-11 16:59
Betclic (FR)5.25I 19.05%NM 16.85%EV -18.59%E -3.54%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 61.02%EV -8.09%E -5.58%K -17.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.12%EV -15.57%E -3.89%K -5.19%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-11 17:01
Winamax (FR)5.10I 19.61%NM 17.34%EV -20.91%E -4.10%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 60.56%EV -7.46%E -5.11%K -16.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.10%EV -15.57%E -3.89%K -5.19%G +0.000%13.1%2026-04-11 17:01
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (6)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemisMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (UK)7.40I 13.51%NM 13.44%1.52I 65.79%NM 65.41%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.15%0.6%2026-04-11 17:01
Betfair Exchange (AU)7.40I 13.51%NM 13.44%1.52I 65.79%NM 65.41%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.15%0.6%2026-04-11 17:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)7.20I 13.89%NM 13.76%1.52I 65.79%NM 65.17%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.08%1.0%2026-04-11 17:01
Smarkets7.00I 14.29%NM 13.97%1.51I 66.23%NM 64.77%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.26%2.3%2026-04-11 17:00
Matchbook7.20I 13.89%NM 13.58%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.62%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.80%2.3%2026-04-11 17:00
Kalshi7.14I 14.01%NM 13.59%1.47I 68.03%NM 66.02%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.39%3.0%2026-04-11 17:00