Language:English
Kayserispor v Fatih Karagümrük
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Kayserispor (Local)
Prediction 44.67%2.24fair odd
EV -1.74%
Edge -0.789%
Kelly -1.45%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.42%44.80%44.61%47.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.802.032.052.2055.56%49.22%48.78%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Fatih Karagümrük (Visit)
Prediction 27.43%3.65fair odd
EV +1.51%
Edge +0.407%
Kelly +0.558%
Growth +0.008%
assuming max odds 3.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.32%27.28%27.62%28.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.153.463.503.7031.75%28.94%28.57%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.90%3.58fair odd
EV -2.35%
Edge -0.671%
Kelly -0.939%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.57%27.92%27.77%29.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.333.333.5034.72%30.02%29.99%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Kayserispor (Local): 44.67%; Fatih Karagümrük (Visit): 27.43%; Draw: 27.90%. For Fatih Karagümrük (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.65. 11 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.70, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.51%.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.85%EV -12.46%E -6.36%K -12.98%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.35%EV +1.51%E +0.407%K +0.558%G +0.008% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -2.35%E -0.671%K -0.939%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-19 12:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.85%EV -12.46%E -6.36%K -12.98%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.35%EV +1.51%E +0.407%K +0.558%G +0.008% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -2.35%E -0.671%K -0.939%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-19 12:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.94%EV -13.35%E -6.88%K -14.20%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV +0.135%E +0.037%K +0.051%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV -2.35%E -0.671%K -0.939%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-19 12:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.94%EV -13.35%E -6.88%K -14.20%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV +0.135%E +0.037%K +0.051%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV -2.35%E -0.671%K -0.939%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-19 12:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.94%EV -13.35%E -6.88%K -14.20%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV +0.135%E +0.037%K +0.051%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV -2.35%E -0.671%K -0.939%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-19 12:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.94%EV -13.35%E -6.88%K -14.20%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV +0.135%E +0.037%K +0.051%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV -2.35%E -0.671%K -0.939%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-19 12:29 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.94%EV -13.35%E -6.88%K -14.20%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV +0.135%E +0.037%K +0.051%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV -2.35%E -0.671%K -0.939%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-19 12:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.94%EV -13.35%E -6.88%K -14.20%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV +0.135%E +0.037%K +0.051%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV -2.35%E -0.671%K -0.939%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-19 12:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.94%EV -13.35%E -6.88%K -14.20%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV +0.135%E +0.037%K +0.051%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV -2.35%E -0.671%K -0.939%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-19 12:29 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.94%EV -13.35%E -6.88%K -14.20%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV +0.135%E +0.037%K +0.051%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV -2.35%E -0.671%K -0.939%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-19 12:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.89%EV -13.80%E -7.15%K -14.83%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.32%EV +0.135%E +0.037%K +0.051%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -3.74%E -1.08%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-19 12:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.81%EV -3.52%E -1.63%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 3.61I 27.70%NM 26.81%EV -0.962%E -0.267%K -0.369%G +0.000% | 3.41I 29.33%NM 28.38%EV -4.86%E -1.42%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-19 12:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.98%EV -1.74%E -0.789%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.88%EV -1.24%E -0.344%K -0.476%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 29.14%EV -7.37%E -2.22%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-19 12:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.98%EV -1.74%E -0.789%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.88%EV -1.24%E -0.344%K -0.476%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 29.14%EV -7.37%E -2.22%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-19 12:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -8.44%E -4.12%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -1.24%E -0.344%K -0.476%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -5.14%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-19 11:59 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.85%EV -6.20%E -2.95%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -1.24%E -0.344%K -0.476%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.98%EV -9.32%E -2.87%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-19 12:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -10.67%E -5.33%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -1.24%E -0.344%K -0.476%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.93%E -2.40%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-19 12:29 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.85%EV -3.52%E -1.63%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 27.06%EV -1.79%E -0.499%K -0.692%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.08%EV -3.74%E -1.08%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-19 12:29 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 47.70%EV -15.58%E -8.24%K -17.51%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.39%EV -2.61%E -0.735%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.91%EV -6.53%E -1.95%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-03-19 12:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 47.70%EV -15.58%E -8.24%K -17.51%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.39%EV -2.61%E -0.735%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.91%EV -6.53%E -1.95%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-03-19 12:29 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.83%EV -16.03%E -8.53%K -18.22%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.33%EV -2.61%E -0.735%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.84%EV -6.53%E -1.95%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-19 12:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 46.32%EV -10.22%E -5.09%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.30%EV -2.88%E -0.814%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -5.14%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-19 12:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.47%EV -3.52%E -1.63%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.29%EV -3.43%E -0.975%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.25%EV -5.14%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-19 12:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.26%EV -7.99%E -3.88%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 26.49%EV -3.43%E -0.975%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.25%EV -7.93%E -2.40%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-19 12:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 44.47%EV -6.65%E -3.18%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 3.51I 28.49%NM 26.48%EV -3.71%E -1.06%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -10.72%E -3.35%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-19 12:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -8.44%E -4.12%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -3.98%E -1.14%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -5.14%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-19 12:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.36%EV -12.90%E -6.62%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -3.98%E -1.14%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -9.32%E -2.87%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-19 12:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.39%EV -7.10%E -3.41%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -5.35%E -1.55%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.85%EV -10.72%E -3.35%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-19 12:27 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.39%EV -7.10%E -3.41%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -5.35%E -1.55%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.85%EV -10.72%E -3.35%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-19 12:29 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.97%E -1.85%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -6.72%E -1.98%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -5.14%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 12:29 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -5.31%E -2.50%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -6.72%E -1.98%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -5.14%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-19 12:29 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.20%E -2.95%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.72%E -1.98%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.14%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-19 12:30 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.40%EV -12.90%E -6.62%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -6.72%E -1.98%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.56%EV -13.51%E -4.36%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-03-19 12:29 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -3.97%E -1.85%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -9.47%E -2.87%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.14%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-19 12:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -3.97%E -1.85%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -9.47%E -2.87%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -7.93%E -2.40%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-19 12:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -3.97%E -1.85%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -9.47%E -2.87%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -7.93%E -2.40%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-19 12:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -3.97%E -1.85%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -9.47%E -2.87%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -7.93%E -2.40%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-19 12:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -6.20%E -2.95%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -9.47%E -2.87%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -5.14%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-19 12:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -6.20%E -2.95%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -9.47%E -2.87%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -10.72%E -3.35%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-19 12:29 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -6.20%E -2.95%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -9.47%E -2.87%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -10.72%E -3.35%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-19 12:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -6.20%E -2.95%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -9.47%E -2.87%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -10.72%E -3.35%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-19 12:30 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.44%E -4.12%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -9.47%E -2.87%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -7.93%E -2.40%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-19 12:30 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.02%EV -10.67%E -5.33%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.28%EV -9.47%E -2.87%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -9.32%E -2.87%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-19 12:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 44.76%EV -9.33%E -4.60%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 27.70%EV -10.02%E -3.05%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.54%EV -7.93%E -2.40%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-19 12:29 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -6.20%E -2.95%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -10.84%E -3.34%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -9.32%E -2.87%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-19 12:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.22%EV -8.44%E -4.12%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -10.84%E -3.34%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -9.32%E -2.87%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-19 12:28 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.83%EV -10.67%E -5.33%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.59%EV -10.84%E -3.34%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.59%EV -9.32%E -2.87%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-03-19 12:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -8.44%E -4.12%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -12.21%E -3.82%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -5.14%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-19 12:30 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 44.87%EV -12.90%E -6.62%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.35%EV -12.21%E -3.82%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.78%EV -12.11%E -3.85%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-03-19 12:29 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 44.25%EV -14.69%E -7.69%K -16.14%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.41%EV -12.21%E -3.82%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.34%EV -19.65%E -6.82%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 18.3% | 2026-03-19 12:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 46.24%EV -19.60%E -10.89%K -24.50%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.01%EV -12.21%E -3.82%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 27.75%EV -16.30%E -5.43%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 20.1% | 2026-03-19 12:29 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.62%EV -10.67%E -5.33%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.33%EV -13.58%E -4.31%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -7.93%E -2.40%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-19 12:29 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.86% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.97% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.16% | 0.0% | 2026-03-19 12:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.09% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.86% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.05% | 0.4% | 2026-03-19 12:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.09% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.86% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.05% | 0.4% | 2026-03-19 12:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.55% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.48% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.97% | 0.7% | 2026-03-19 12:30 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.71% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.69% | 1.0% | 2026-03-19 12:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.75% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.01% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.24% | 1.2% | 2026-03-19 12:30 |