La scuola delle quoteItaliano
Kayserispor v Fatih Karagümrük
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Kayserispor (Casa)
Previsione 44.67%2.24quota equa
EV -1.74%
Vantaggio -0.789%
Kelly -1.45%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.20
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
43.42%44.80%44.61%47.94%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.802.032.052.2055.56%49.22%48.78%45.45%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Fatih Karagümrük (Trasferta)
Previsione 27.43%3.65quota equa
EV +1.51%
Vantaggio +0.407%
Kelly +0.558%
Crescita +0.008%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.70
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
25.32%27.28%27.62%28.55%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.153.463.503.7031.75%28.94%28.57%27.03%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Pareggio
Previsione 27.90%3.58quota equa
EV -2.35%
Vantaggio -0.671%
Kelly -0.939%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.50
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.57%27.92%27.77%29.34%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.883.333.333.5034.72%30.02%29.99%28.57%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (52 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Pareggio | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.85%EV -12.46%E -6.36%K -12.98%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.35%EV +1.51%E +0.407%K +0.558%G +0.008% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -2.35%E -0.671%K -0.939%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-19 12:30 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.85%EV -12.46%E -6.36%K -12.98%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.35%EV +1.51%E +0.407%K +0.558%G +0.008% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -2.35%E -0.671%K -0.939%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-19 12:30 |
| Unibet | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.94%EV -13.35%E -6.88%K -14.20%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV +0.135%E +0.037%K +0.051%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV -2.35%E -0.671%K -0.939%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-19 12:30 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.94%EV -13.35%E -6.88%K -14.20%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV +0.135%E +0.037%K +0.051%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV -2.35%E -0.671%K -0.939%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-19 12:30 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.94%EV -13.35%E -6.88%K -14.20%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV +0.135%E +0.037%K +0.051%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV -2.35%E -0.671%K -0.939%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-19 12:30 |
| Casumo | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.94%EV -13.35%E -6.88%K -14.20%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV +0.135%E +0.037%K +0.051%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV -2.35%E -0.671%K -0.939%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-19 12:29 |
| TABtouch | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.94%EV -13.35%E -6.88%K -14.20%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV +0.135%E +0.037%K +0.051%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV -2.35%E -0.671%K -0.939%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-19 12:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.94%EV -13.35%E -6.88%K -14.20%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV +0.135%E +0.037%K +0.051%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV -2.35%E -0.671%K -0.939%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-19 12:30 |
| Grosvenor | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.94%EV -13.35%E -6.88%K -14.20%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV +0.135%E +0.037%K +0.051%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV -2.35%E -0.671%K -0.939%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-19 12:29 |
| betPARX | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.94%EV -13.35%E -6.88%K -14.20%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV +0.135%E +0.037%K +0.051%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV -2.35%E -0.671%K -0.939%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-19 12:30 |
| BetRivers | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.89%EV -13.80%E -7.15%K -14.83%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.32%EV +0.135%E +0.037%K +0.051%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -3.74%E -1.08%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-19 12:30 |
| Pinnacle | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.81%EV -3.52%E -1.63%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 3.61I 27.70%NM 26.81%EV -0.962%E -0.267%K -0.369%G +0.000% | 3.41I 29.33%NM 28.38%EV -4.86%E -1.42%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-19 12:30 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.98%EV -1.74%E -0.789%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.88%EV -1.24%E -0.344%K -0.476%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 29.14%EV -7.37%E -2.22%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-19 12:30 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.98%EV -1.74%E -0.789%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.88%EV -1.24%E -0.344%K -0.476%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 29.14%EV -7.37%E -2.22%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-19 12:30 |
| FanDuel | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -8.44%E -4.12%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -1.24%E -0.344%K -0.476%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -5.14%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-19 11:59 |
| Everygame | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.85%EV -6.20%E -2.95%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -1.24%E -0.344%K -0.476%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.98%EV -9.32%E -2.87%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-19 12:30 |
| SportsBet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -10.67%E -5.33%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -1.24%E -0.344%K -0.476%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.93%E -2.40%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-19 12:29 |
| 1xBet | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.85%EV -3.52%E -1.63%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 27.06%EV -1.79%E -0.499%K -0.692%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.08%EV -3.74%E -1.08%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-19 12:29 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.89I 52.91%NM 47.70%EV -15.58%E -8.24%K -17.51%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.39%EV -2.61%E -0.735%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.91%EV -6.53%E -1.95%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-03-19 12:30 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.89I 52.91%NM 47.70%EV -15.58%E -8.24%K -17.51%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.39%EV -2.61%E -0.735%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.91%EV -6.53%E -1.95%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-03-19 12:29 |
| LeoVegas | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.83%EV -16.03%E -8.53%K -18.22%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.33%EV -2.61%E -0.735%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.84%EV -6.53%E -1.95%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-19 12:30 |
| NordicBet | 2.01I 49.75%NM 46.32%EV -10.22%E -5.09%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.30%EV -2.88%E -0.814%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -5.14%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-19 12:00 |
| GTbets | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.47%EV -3.52%E -1.63%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.29%EV -3.43%E -0.975%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.25%EV -5.14%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-19 12:30 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.26%EV -7.99%E -3.88%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 26.49%EV -3.43%E -0.975%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.25%EV -7.93%E -2.40%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-19 12:30 |
| Betsson | 2.09I 47.85%NM 44.47%EV -6.65%E -3.18%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 3.51I 28.49%NM 26.48%EV -3.71%E -1.06%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -10.72%E -3.35%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-19 12:30 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -8.44%E -4.12%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -3.98%E -1.14%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -5.14%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-19 12:29 |
| Paddy Power | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.36%EV -12.90%E -6.62%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -3.98%E -1.14%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -9.32%E -2.87%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-19 12:30 |
| Bovada | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.39%EV -7.10%E -3.41%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -5.35%E -1.55%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.85%EV -10.72%E -3.35%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-19 12:27 |
| BetUS | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.39%EV -7.10%E -3.41%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -5.35%E -1.55%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.85%EV -10.72%E -3.35%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-19 12:29 |
| Coolbet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.97%E -1.85%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -6.72%E -1.98%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -5.14%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-19 12:29 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -5.31%E -2.50%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -6.72%E -1.98%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -5.14%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-19 12:29 |
| Fanatics | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.20%E -2.95%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.72%E -1.98%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.14%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-19 12:30 |
| Sky Bet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.40%EV -12.90%E -6.62%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -6.72%E -1.98%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.56%EV -13.51%E -4.36%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-03-19 12:29 |
| Coral | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -3.97%E -1.85%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -9.47%E -2.87%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.14%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-19 12:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -3.97%E -1.85%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -9.47%E -2.87%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -7.93%E -2.40%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-19 12:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -3.97%E -1.85%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -9.47%E -2.87%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -7.93%E -2.40%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-19 12:30 |
| Neds | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -3.97%E -1.85%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -9.47%E -2.87%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -7.93%E -2.40%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-19 12:30 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -6.20%E -2.95%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -9.47%E -2.87%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -5.14%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-19 12:30 |
| 888sport | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -6.20%E -2.95%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -9.47%E -2.87%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -10.72%E -3.35%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-19 12:29 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -6.20%E -2.95%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -9.47%E -2.87%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -10.72%E -3.35%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-19 12:30 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -6.20%E -2.95%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -9.47%E -2.87%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -10.72%E -3.35%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-19 12:30 |
| Bet Right | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.44%E -4.12%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -9.47%E -2.87%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -7.93%E -2.40%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-19 12:30 |
| Fliff | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.02%EV -10.67%E -5.33%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.28%EV -9.47%E -2.87%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -9.32%E -2.87%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-19 12:30 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.03I 49.26%NM 44.76%EV -9.33%E -4.60%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 27.70%EV -10.02%E -3.05%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.54%EV -7.93%E -2.40%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-19 12:29 |
| Betway | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -6.20%E -2.95%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -10.84%E -3.34%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -9.32%E -2.87%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-19 12:30 |
| BoyleSports | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.22%EV -8.44%E -4.12%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -10.84%E -3.34%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -9.32%E -2.87%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-19 12:28 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.83%EV -10.67%E -5.33%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.59%EV -10.84%E -3.34%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.59%EV -9.32%E -2.87%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-03-19 12:30 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -8.44%E -4.12%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -12.21%E -3.82%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -5.14%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-19 12:30 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 44.87%EV -12.90%E -6.62%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.35%EV -12.21%E -3.82%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.78%EV -12.11%E -3.85%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-03-19 12:29 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 44.25%EV -14.69%E -7.69%K -16.14%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.41%EV -12.21%E -3.82%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.34%EV -19.65%E -6.82%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 18.3% | 2026-03-19 12:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 46.24%EV -19.60%E -10.89%K -24.50%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.01%EV -12.21%E -3.82%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 27.75%EV -16.30%E -5.43%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 20.1% | 2026-03-19 12:29 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.62%EV -10.67%E -5.33%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.33%EV -13.58%E -4.31%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -7.93%E -2.40%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-19 12:29 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (6)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.86% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.97% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.16% | 0.0% | 2026-03-19 12:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.09% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.86% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.05% | 0.4% | 2026-03-19 12:30 |
| Matchbook | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.09% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.86% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.05% | 0.4% | 2026-03-19 12:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.55% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.48% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.97% | 0.7% | 2026-03-19 12:30 |
| Kalshi | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.71% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.69% | 1.0% | 2026-03-19 12:00 |
| Smarkets | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.75% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.01% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.24% | 1.2% | 2026-03-19 12:30 |