مدرسة الاحتمالات

Kayserispor v Fatih Karagümrük

البداية: 2026-03-19 13:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

52 شركة مراهنات (17 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Kayserispor (المضيف)

التنبؤ 44.67%2.24السعر العادل
EV -1.74%
الأفضلية -0.789%
Kelly -1.45%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.20

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
43.42%44.80%44.61%47.94%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.802.032.052.2055.56%49.22%48.78%45.45%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Fatih Karagümrük (الضيف)

التنبؤ 27.43%3.65السعر العادل
EV +1.51%
الأفضلية +0.407%
Kelly +0.558%
النمو +0.008%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.70

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
25.32%27.28%27.62%28.55%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.153.463.503.7031.75%28.94%28.57%27.03%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 27.90%3.58السعر العادل
EV -2.35%
الأفضلية -0.671%
Kelly -0.939%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.50

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
26.57%27.92%27.77%29.34%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.883.333.333.5034.72%30.02%29.99%28.57%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (52 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
ATG (SE)1.96I 51.02%NM 47.85%EV -12.46%E -6.36%K -12.98%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.35%EV +1.51%E +0.407%K +0.558%G +0.008%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -2.35%E -0.671%K -0.939%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-19 12:30
Svenska Spel1.96I 51.02%NM 47.85%EV -12.46%E -6.36%K -12.98%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.35%EV +1.51%E +0.407%K +0.558%G +0.008%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -2.35%E -0.671%K -0.939%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-19 12:30
Unibet1.94I 51.55%NM 47.94%EV -13.35%E -6.88%K -14.20%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV +0.135%E +0.037%K +0.051%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV -2.35%E -0.671%K -0.939%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-19 12:30
Unibet (NL)1.94I 51.55%NM 47.94%EV -13.35%E -6.88%K -14.20%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV +0.135%E +0.037%K +0.051%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV -2.35%E -0.671%K -0.939%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-19 12:30
Unibet (SE)1.94I 51.55%NM 47.94%EV -13.35%E -6.88%K -14.20%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV +0.135%E +0.037%K +0.051%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV -2.35%E -0.671%K -0.939%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-19 12:30
Casumo1.94I 51.55%NM 47.94%EV -13.35%E -6.88%K -14.20%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV +0.135%E +0.037%K +0.051%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV -2.35%E -0.671%K -0.939%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-19 12:29
TABtouch1.94I 51.55%NM 47.94%EV -13.35%E -6.88%K -14.20%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV +0.135%E +0.037%K +0.051%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV -2.35%E -0.671%K -0.939%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-19 12:29
LeoVegas (SE)1.94I 51.55%NM 47.94%EV -13.35%E -6.88%K -14.20%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV +0.135%E +0.037%K +0.051%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV -2.35%E -0.671%K -0.939%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-19 12:30
Grosvenor1.94I 51.55%NM 47.94%EV -13.35%E -6.88%K -14.20%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV +0.135%E +0.037%K +0.051%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV -2.35%E -0.671%K -0.939%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-19 12:29
betPARX1.94I 51.55%NM 47.94%EV -13.35%E -6.88%K -14.20%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV +0.135%E +0.037%K +0.051%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV -2.35%E -0.671%K -0.939%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-19 12:30
BetRivers1.93I 51.81%NM 47.89%EV -13.80%E -7.15%K -14.83%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.32%EV +0.135%E +0.037%K +0.051%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -3.74%E -1.08%K -1.53%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-19 12:30
Pinnacle2.16I 46.30%NM 44.81%EV -3.52%E -1.63%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.81%EV -0.962%E -0.267%K -0.369%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 28.38%EV -4.86%E -1.42%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-19 12:30
LowVig.ag2.20I 45.45%NM 43.98%EV -1.74%E -0.789%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.88%EV -1.24%E -0.344%K -0.476%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 29.14%EV -7.37%E -2.22%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-19 12:30
BetOnline.ag2.20I 45.45%NM 43.98%EV -1.74%E -0.789%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.88%EV -1.24%E -0.344%K -0.476%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 29.14%EV -7.37%E -2.22%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-19 12:30
FanDuel2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -8.44%E -4.12%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -1.24%E -0.344%K -0.476%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -5.14%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-19 11:59
Everygame2.10I 47.62%NM 44.85%EV -6.20%E -2.95%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -1.24%E -0.344%K -0.476%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.98%EV -9.32%E -2.87%K -4.14%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-19 12:30
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -10.67%E -5.33%K -10.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -1.24%E -0.344%K -0.476%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.93%E -2.40%K -3.45%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-19 12:29
1xBet2.16I 46.30%NM 44.85%EV -3.52%E -1.63%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 27.06%EV -1.79%E -0.499%K -0.692%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.08%EV -3.74%E -1.08%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-19 12:29
Virgin Bet1.89I 52.91%NM 47.70%EV -15.58%E -8.24%K -17.51%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.39%EV -2.61%E -0.735%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.91%EV -6.53%E -1.95%K -2.78%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-19 12:30
LiveScore Bet1.89I 52.91%NM 47.70%EV -15.58%E -8.24%K -17.51%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.39%EV -2.61%E -0.735%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.91%EV -6.53%E -1.95%K -2.78%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-19 12:29
LeoVegas1.88I 53.19%NM 47.83%EV -16.03%E -8.53%K -18.22%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.33%EV -2.61%E -0.735%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.84%EV -6.53%E -1.95%K -2.78%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-19 12:30
NordicBet2.01I 49.75%NM 46.32%EV -10.22%E -5.09%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.30%EV -2.88%E -0.814%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -5.14%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-19 12:00
GTbets2.16I 46.30%NM 44.47%EV -3.52%E -1.63%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.29%EV -3.43%E -0.975%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.25%EV -5.14%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-19 12:30
Marathon Bet2.06I 48.54%NM 45.26%EV -7.99%E -3.88%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.49%EV -3.43%E -0.975%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.25%EV -7.93%E -2.40%K -3.45%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-19 12:30
Betsson2.09I 47.85%NM 44.47%EV -6.65%E -3.18%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 26.48%EV -3.71%E -1.06%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -10.72%E -3.35%K -4.87%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-19 12:30
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -8.44%E -4.12%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -3.98%E -1.14%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -5.14%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-19 12:29
Paddy Power1.95I 51.28%NM 46.36%EV -12.90%E -6.62%K -13.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -3.98%E -1.14%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -9.32%E -2.87%K -4.14%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-19 12:30
Bovada2.08I 48.08%NM 44.39%EV -7.10%E -3.41%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -5.35%E -1.55%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.85%EV -10.72%E -3.35%K -4.87%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-19 12:27
BetUS2.08I 48.08%NM 44.39%EV -7.10%E -3.41%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -5.35%E -1.55%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.85%EV -10.72%E -3.35%K -4.87%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-19 12:29
Coolbet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.97%E -1.85%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -6.72%E -1.98%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -5.14%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 12:29
Codere (IT)2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -5.31%E -2.50%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -6.72%E -1.98%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -5.14%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-19 12:29
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.20%E -2.95%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.72%E -1.98%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.14%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-19 12:30
Sky Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 45.40%EV -12.90%E -6.62%K -13.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -6.72%E -1.98%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.56%EV -13.51%E -4.36%K -6.43%G +0.000%13.0%2026-03-19 12:29
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -3.97%E -1.85%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -9.47%E -2.87%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.14%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-19 12:30
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -3.97%E -1.85%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -9.47%E -2.87%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -7.93%E -2.40%K -3.45%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-19 12:29
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -3.97%E -1.85%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -9.47%E -2.87%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -7.93%E -2.40%K -3.45%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-19 12:30
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -3.97%E -1.85%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -9.47%E -2.87%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -7.93%E -2.40%K -3.45%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-19 12:30
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -6.20%E -2.95%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -9.47%E -2.87%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -5.14%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-19 12:30
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -6.20%E -2.95%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -9.47%E -2.87%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -10.72%E -3.35%K -4.87%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-19 12:29
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -6.20%E -2.95%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -9.47%E -2.87%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -10.72%E -3.35%K -4.87%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-19 12:30
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -6.20%E -2.95%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -9.47%E -2.87%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -10.72%E -3.35%K -4.87%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-19 12:30
Bet Right2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.44%E -4.12%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -9.47%E -2.87%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -7.93%E -2.40%K -3.45%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-19 12:30
Fliff2.00I 50.00%NM 45.02%EV -10.67%E -5.33%K -10.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.28%EV -9.47%E -2.87%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -9.32%E -2.87%K -4.14%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-19 12:30
Betclic (FR)2.03I 49.26%NM 44.76%EV -9.33%E -4.60%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 27.70%EV -10.02%E -3.05%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.54%EV -7.93%E -2.40%K -3.45%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-19 12:29
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -6.20%E -2.95%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -10.84%E -3.34%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -9.32%E -2.87%K -4.14%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-19 12:30
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 44.22%EV -8.44%E -4.12%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -10.84%E -3.34%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -9.32%E -2.87%K -4.14%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-19 12:28
Parions Sport (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.83%EV -10.67%E -5.33%K -10.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.59%EV -10.84%E -3.34%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.59%EV -9.32%E -2.87%K -4.14%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-19 12:30
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -8.44%E -4.12%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -12.21%E -3.82%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -5.14%E -1.51%K -2.14%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-19 12:30
NetBet (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 44.87%EV -12.90%E -6.62%K -13.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.35%EV -12.21%E -3.82%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.78%EV -12.11%E -3.85%K -5.63%G +0.000%14.3%2026-03-19 12:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 44.25%EV -14.69%E -7.69%K -16.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.41%EV -12.21%E -3.82%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.34%EV -19.65%E -6.82%K -10.45%G +0.000%18.3%2026-03-19 12:00
PMU (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 46.24%EV -19.60%E -10.89%K -24.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.01%EV -12.21%E -3.82%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.75%EV -16.30%E -5.43%K -8.15%G +0.000%20.1%2026-03-19 12:29
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.62%EV -10.67%E -5.33%K -10.67%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.33%EV -13.58%E -4.31%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -7.93%E -2.40%K -3.45%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-19 12:29
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.86%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.97%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.16%0.0%2026-03-19 12:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.16I 46.30%NM 46.09%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.86%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.05%0.4%2026-03-19 12:30
Matchbook2.16I 46.30%NM 46.09%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.86%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.05%0.4%2026-03-19 12:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.55%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.48%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.97%0.7%2026-03-19 12:30
Kalshi2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.71%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.69%1.0%2026-03-19 12:00
Smarkets2.16I 46.30%NM 45.75%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.01%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.24%1.2%2026-03-19 12:30