Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.75
assuming max odds 5.77
assuming max odds 4.02
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Kayserispor (Local): 55.89%; Eyüpspor (Visit): 18.84%; Draw: 25.27%. For Eyüpspor (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.31. 9 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.77, corresponding to a positive expected value of +8.68%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.07%EV -5.55%E -3.28%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 5.77I 17.33%NM 16.72%EV +8.68%E +1.50%K +1.82%G +0.158% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 26.21%EV -6.99%E -1.90%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-03 16:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.58%EV -6.66%E -3.99%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.18%EV +3.59%E +0.653%K +0.799%G +0.029% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -9.01%E -2.50%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-03 16:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.58%EV -6.66%E -3.99%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.18%EV +3.59%E +0.653%K +0.799%G +0.029% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -9.01%E -2.50%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-03 16:35 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.87%EV -7.78%E -4.72%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.06%EV +3.59%E +0.653%K +0.799%G +0.029% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -9.01%E -2.50%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-03 16:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.72%EV -9.46%E -5.84%K -15.26%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.00%EV +3.59%E +0.653%K +0.799%G +0.029% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -6.48%E -1.75%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-03 16:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.45%EV -7.78%E -4.72%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV +3.59%E +0.653%K +0.799%G +0.029% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -11.54%E -3.30%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-03 16:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.32%EV -9.46%E -5.84%K -15.26%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV +3.59%E +0.653%K +0.799%G +0.029% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -9.01%E -2.50%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-03 16:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.81%EV -9.46%E -5.84%K -15.26%G +0.000% | 5.45I 18.35%NM 16.89%EV +2.65%E +0.487%K +0.596%G +0.016% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.30%EV -11.54%E -3.30%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-03 16:53 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.81%EV -9.46%E -5.84%K -15.26%G +0.000% | 5.45I 18.35%NM 16.89%EV +2.65%E +0.487%K +0.596%G +0.016% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.30%EV -11.54%E -3.30%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-03 16:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.15%EV -7.22%E -4.35%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.10%EV -3.00%E -0.582%K -0.723%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 25.75%EV -8.51%E -2.35%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-03 16:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.39%EV -6.10%E -3.63%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.25%EV -3.94%E -0.773%K -0.961%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 26.36%EV -10.78%E -3.05%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-03 16:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.39%EV -6.10%E -3.63%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.25%EV -3.94%E -0.773%K -0.961%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 26.36%EV -10.78%E -3.05%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-03 16:45 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.08%EV -3.87%E -2.25%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 5.09I 19.65%NM 18.61%EV -4.13%E -0.811%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.31%EV -9.01%E -2.50%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-03 16:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.13%EV -4.99%E -2.93%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.08%EV -5.82%E -1.16%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.78%EV -2.69%E -0.699%K -0.944%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-03 16:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.95%EV -4.99%E -2.93%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.02%EV -5.82%E -1.16%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.03%EV -3.96%E -1.04%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-03 16:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.09%EV -5.55%E -3.28%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.82%E -1.16%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.95%EV -3.96%E -1.04%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-03 16:45 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.72%EV -5.55%E -3.28%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -5.82%E -1.16%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.45%EV -6.48%E -1.75%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-03 16:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.54%EV -9.46%E -5.84%K -15.26%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -5.82%E -1.16%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -14.07%E -4.14%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-03 16:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.10%EV -9.46%E -5.84%K -15.26%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.85%EV -5.82%E -1.16%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.05%EV -16.59%E -5.03%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-03 16:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.09%EV -3.31%E -1.91%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 4.91I 20.37%NM 19.76%EV -7.52%E -1.53%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 4.02I 24.88%NM 24.14%EV +1.60%E +0.399%K +0.531%G +0.009% | 3.0% | 2026-05-03 16:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.33%EV -4.99%E -2.93%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV -9.59%E -2.00%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -5.22%E -1.39%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-03 16:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.95%EV -6.66%E -3.99%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.47%EV -9.59%E -2.00%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -3.96%E -1.04%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-03 16:51 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 55.71%EV -8.90%E -5.46%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.92%EV -9.59%E -2.00%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 25.37%EV -9.52%E -2.66%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-03 16:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -4.99%E -2.93%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.69%EV -10.53%E -2.22%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -6.48%E -1.75%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-03 16:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -4.99%E -2.93%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.69%EV -10.53%E -2.22%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -6.48%E -1.75%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-03 16:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.65%EV -6.66%E -3.99%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.57%EV -10.53%E -2.22%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -5.22%E -1.39%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-03 16:51 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.76%EV -7.78%E -4.72%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -10.53%E -2.22%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -6.48%E -1.75%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-03 16:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.76%EV -7.78%E -4.72%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -10.53%E -2.22%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -6.48%E -1.75%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-03 16:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.76%EV -7.78%E -4.72%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -10.53%E -2.22%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -6.48%E -1.75%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-03 16:51 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.42%EV -7.22%E -4.35%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -10.53%E -2.22%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.21%EV -7.75%E -2.12%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-03 16:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.08%EV -6.66%E -3.99%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -10.53%E -2.22%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -9.01%E -2.50%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-03 16:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.83%EV -9.46%E -5.84%K -15.26%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -10.53%E -2.22%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -9.01%E -2.50%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-03 16:29 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.99%EV -10.02%E -6.22%K -16.42%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.98%EV -10.53%E -2.22%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.04%EV -9.01%E -2.50%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-03 16:45 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 56.21%EV -13.37%E -8.63%K -24.31%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.54%EV -11.47%E -2.44%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.25%EV -12.80%E -3.71%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-05-03 16:41 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.74%EV -6.66%E -3.99%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -13.36%E -2.90%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -9.01%E -2.50%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-03 16:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.56%EV -8.34%E -5.09%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.81%EV -13.36%E -2.90%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.63%EV -6.48%E -1.75%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-03 16:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.71%EV -2.19%E -1.25%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV -15.24%E -3.39%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -6.48%E -1.75%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-03 16:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.71%EV -2.19%E -1.25%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV -15.24%E -3.39%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -6.48%E -1.75%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-03 16:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.25%EV -9.46%E -5.84%K -15.26%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89%EV -15.24%E -3.39%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.86%EV -9.01%E -2.50%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-03 16:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 54.59%EV -12.25%E -7.80%K -21.50%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.04%EV -15.24%E -3.39%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.37%EV -17.86%E -5.49%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-05-03 16:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.74%EV -3.31%E -1.91%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -17.13%E -3.89%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -6.48%E -1.75%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-03 16:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.74%EV -3.31%E -1.91%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -17.13%E -3.89%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -6.48%E -1.75%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-03 16:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.74%EV -3.31%E -1.91%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -17.13%E -3.89%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -6.48%E -1.75%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-03 16:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.74%EV -3.31%E -1.91%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -17.13%E -3.89%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -6.48%E -1.75%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-03 16:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.74%EV -3.31%E -1.91%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -17.13%E -3.89%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -6.48%E -1.75%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-03 16:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.74%EV -3.31%E -1.91%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -17.13%E -3.89%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -6.48%E -1.75%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-03 16:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.74%EV -3.31%E -1.91%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -17.13%E -3.89%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -6.48%E -1.75%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-03 16:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.74%EV -3.31%E -1.91%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -17.13%E -3.89%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -6.48%E -1.75%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-03 16:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.70%EV -3.87%E -2.25%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.99%EV -17.13%E -3.89%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.31%EV -7.75%E -2.12%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-03 16:35 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.68%EV -4.99%E -2.93%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.98%EV -18.07%E -4.15%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -9.01%E -2.50%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-03 16:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.80%EV -6.66%E -3.99%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.89%EV -19.01%E -4.42%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.31%EV -10.27%E -2.89%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-03 16:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.80%EV -6.66%E -3.99%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.89%EV -19.01%E -4.42%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.31%EV -10.27%E -2.89%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-03 16:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.80%EV -6.66%E -3.99%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.89%EV -19.01%E -4.42%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.31%EV -10.27%E -2.89%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-03 16:35 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.32% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 16.09% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.60% | 0.3% | 2026-05-03 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.32% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 16.09% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.60% | 0.3% | 2026-05-03 16:56 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.32% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 16.09% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.60% | 0.3% | 2026-05-03 16:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.52% | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.79% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.69% | 1.1% | 2026-05-03 16:51 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.15% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.48% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.37% | 1.1% | 2026-05-03 16:51 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.61% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.08% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.31% | 2.7% | 2026-05-03 16:55 |