La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Kayserispor v Eyüpspor
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Kayserispor (Local)
Predicción 55.89%1.79momio equitativo
EV -2.19%
Ventaja -1.25%
Kelly -2.92%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
53.68%55.96%55.82%57.72%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.551.671.671.7564.52%59.75%59.88%57.14%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Eyüpspor (Visitante)
Predicción 18.84%5.31momio equitativo
EV +8.68%
Ventaja +1.50%
Kelly +1.82%
Crecimiento +0.158%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.77
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
16.72%18.68%18.92%21.13%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.304.824.755.7723.26%20.73%21.05%17.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 25.27%3.96momio equitativo
EV +1.60%
Ventaja +0.399%
Kelly +0.531%
Crecimiento +0.009%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.02
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.14%25.36%25.26%27.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.253.643.654.0230.77%27.50%27.40%24.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.07%EV -5.55%E -3.28%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 5.77I 17.33%NM 16.72%EV +8.68%E +1.50%K +1.82%G +0.158% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 26.21%EV -6.99%E -1.90%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-03 16:45 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.58%EV -6.66%E -3.99%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.18%EV +3.59%E +0.653%K +0.799%G +0.029% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -9.01%E -2.50%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-03 16:35 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.58%EV -6.66%E -3.99%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.18%EV +3.59%E +0.653%K +0.799%G +0.029% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -9.01%E -2.50%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-03 16:35 |
| Everygame | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.87%EV -7.78%E -4.72%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.06%EV +3.59%E +0.653%K +0.799%G +0.029% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -9.01%E -2.50%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-03 16:45 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.72%EV -9.46%E -5.84%K -15.26%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.00%EV +3.59%E +0.653%K +0.799%G +0.029% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -6.48%E -1.75%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-03 16:40 |
| SportsBet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.45%EV -7.78%E -4.72%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV +3.59%E +0.653%K +0.799%G +0.029% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -11.54%E -3.30%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-03 16:45 |
| FanDuel | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.32%EV -9.46%E -5.84%K -15.26%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV +3.59%E +0.653%K +0.799%G +0.029% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -9.01%E -2.50%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-03 16:45 |
| Bovada | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.81%EV -9.46%E -5.84%K -15.26%G +0.000% | 5.45I 18.35%NM 16.89%EV +2.65%E +0.487%K +0.596%G +0.016% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.30%EV -11.54%E -3.30%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-03 16:53 |
| BetUS | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.81%EV -9.46%E -5.84%K -15.26%G +0.000% | 5.45I 18.35%NM 16.89%EV +2.65%E +0.487%K +0.596%G +0.016% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.30%EV -11.54%E -3.30%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-03 16:55 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.15%EV -7.22%E -4.35%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.10%EV -3.00%E -0.582%K -0.723%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 25.75%EV -8.51%E -2.35%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-03 16:55 |
| NordicBet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.39%EV -6.10%E -3.63%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.25%EV -3.94%E -0.773%K -0.961%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 26.36%EV -10.78%E -3.05%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-03 16:45 |
| Betsson | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.39%EV -6.10%E -3.63%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.25%EV -3.94%E -0.773%K -0.961%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 26.36%EV -10.78%E -3.05%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-03 16:45 |
| GTbets | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.08%EV -3.87%E -2.25%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 5.09I 19.65%NM 18.61%EV -4.13%E -0.811%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.31%EV -9.01%E -2.50%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-03 16:35 |
| Coolbet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.13%EV -4.99%E -2.93%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.08%EV -5.82%E -1.16%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.78%EV -2.69%E -0.699%K -0.944%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-03 16:50 |
| Coral | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.95%EV -4.99%E -2.93%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.02%EV -5.82%E -1.16%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.03%EV -3.96%E -1.04%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-03 16:35 |
| Fanatics | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.09%EV -5.55%E -3.28%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.82%E -1.16%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.95%EV -3.96%E -1.04%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-03 16:45 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.72%EV -5.55%E -3.28%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -5.82%E -1.16%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.45%EV -6.48%E -1.75%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-03 16:45 |
| Paddy Power | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.54%EV -9.46%E -5.84%K -15.26%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -5.82%E -1.16%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -14.07%E -4.14%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-03 16:25 |
| Sky Bet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.10%EV -9.46%E -5.84%K -15.26%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.85%EV -5.82%E -1.16%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.05%EV -16.59%E -5.03%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-03 16:45 |
| 1xBet | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.09%EV -3.31%E -1.91%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 4.91I 20.37%NM 19.76%EV -7.52%E -1.53%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 4.02I 24.88%NM 24.14%EV +1.60%E +0.399%K +0.531%G +0.009% | 3.0% | 2026-05-03 16:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.33%EV -4.99%E -2.93%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV -9.59%E -2.00%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -5.22%E -1.39%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-03 16:35 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.95%EV -6.66%E -3.99%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.47%EV -9.59%E -2.00%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -3.96%E -1.04%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-03 16:51 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 55.71%EV -8.90%E -5.46%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.92%EV -9.59%E -2.00%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 25.37%EV -9.52%E -2.66%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-03 16:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -4.99%E -2.93%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.69%EV -10.53%E -2.22%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -6.48%E -1.75%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-03 16:35 |
| Neds | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -4.99%E -2.93%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.69%EV -10.53%E -2.22%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -6.48%E -1.75%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-03 16:35 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.65%EV -6.66%E -3.99%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.57%EV -10.53%E -2.22%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -5.22%E -1.39%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-03 16:51 |
| 888sport | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.76%EV -7.78%E -4.72%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -10.53%E -2.22%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -6.48%E -1.75%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-03 16:50 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.76%EV -7.78%E -4.72%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -10.53%E -2.22%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -6.48%E -1.75%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-03 16:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.76%EV -7.78%E -4.72%K -11.97%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -10.53%E -2.22%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -6.48%E -1.75%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-03 16:51 |
| Bet Right | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.42%EV -7.22%E -4.35%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -10.53%E -2.22%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.21%EV -7.75%E -2.12%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-03 16:50 |
| Betway | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.08%EV -6.66%E -3.99%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -10.53%E -2.22%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -9.01%E -2.50%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-03 16:25 |
| BoyleSports | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.83%EV -9.46%E -5.84%K -15.26%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -10.53%E -2.22%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -9.01%E -2.50%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-03 16:29 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.99%EV -10.02%E -6.22%K -16.42%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.98%EV -10.53%E -2.22%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.04%EV -9.01%E -2.50%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-03 16:45 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 56.21%EV -13.37%E -8.63%K -24.31%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.54%EV -11.47%E -2.44%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.25%EV -12.80%E -3.71%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-05-03 16:41 |
| betfred_uk | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.74%EV -6.66%E -3.99%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -13.36%E -2.90%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -9.01%E -2.50%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-03 16:50 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.56%EV -8.34%E -5.09%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.81%EV -13.36%E -2.90%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.63%EV -6.48%E -1.75%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-03 16:45 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.71%EV -2.19%E -1.25%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV -15.24%E -3.39%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -6.48%E -1.75%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-03 16:35 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.71%EV -2.19%E -1.25%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV -15.24%E -3.39%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -6.48%E -1.75%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-03 16:35 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.25%EV -9.46%E -5.84%K -15.26%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89%EV -15.24%E -3.39%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.86%EV -9.01%E -2.50%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-03 16:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 54.59%EV -12.25%E -7.80%K -21.50%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.04%EV -15.24%E -3.39%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.37%EV -17.86%E -5.49%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-05-03 16:45 |
| Unibet | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.74%EV -3.31%E -1.91%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -17.13%E -3.89%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -6.48%E -1.75%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-03 16:35 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.74%EV -3.31%E -1.91%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -17.13%E -3.89%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -6.48%E -1.75%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-03 16:35 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.74%EV -3.31%E -1.91%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -17.13%E -3.89%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -6.48%E -1.75%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-03 16:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.74%EV -3.31%E -1.91%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -17.13%E -3.89%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -6.48%E -1.75%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-03 16:35 |
| TABtouch | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.74%EV -3.31%E -1.91%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -17.13%E -3.89%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -6.48%E -1.75%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-03 16:35 |
| Grosvenor | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.74%EV -3.31%E -1.91%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -17.13%E -3.89%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -6.48%E -1.75%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-03 16:35 |
| Casumo | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.74%EV -3.31%E -1.91%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -17.13%E -3.89%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -6.48%E -1.75%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-03 16:35 |
| betPARX | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.74%EV -3.31%E -1.91%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -17.13%E -3.89%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -6.48%E -1.75%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-03 16:35 |
| BetRivers | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.70%EV -3.87%E -2.25%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.99%EV -17.13%E -3.89%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.31%EV -7.75%E -2.12%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-03 16:35 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.68%EV -4.99%E -2.93%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.98%EV -18.07%E -4.15%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -9.01%E -2.50%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-03 16:35 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.80%EV -6.66%E -3.99%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.89%EV -19.01%E -4.42%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.31%EV -10.27%E -2.89%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-03 16:35 |
| LeoVegas | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.80%EV -6.66%E -3.99%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.89%EV -19.01%E -4.42%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.31%EV -10.27%E -2.89%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-03 16:35 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.80%EV -6.66%E -3.99%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.89%EV -19.01%E -4.42%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.31%EV -10.27%E -2.89%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-03 16:35 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.32% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 16.09% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.60% | 0.3% | 2026-05-03 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.32% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 16.09% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.60% | 0.3% | 2026-05-03 16:56 |
| Matchbook | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.32% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 16.09% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.60% | 0.3% | 2026-05-03 16:55 |
| Kalshi | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.52% | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.79% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.69% | 1.1% | 2026-05-03 16:51 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.15% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.48% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.37% | 1.1% | 2026-05-03 16:51 |
| Smarkets | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.61% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.08% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.31% | 2.7% | 2026-05-03 16:55 |