L’École des cotes

Kayserispor v Eyüpspor

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-03 17:00 UTC

Score final : Kayserispor 1–1 Eyüpspor

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

53 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Kayserispor (Local)

Prévision 55.89%1.79cote équitable
EV -2.19%
Avantage -1.25%
Kelly -2.92%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
53.68%55.96%55.82%57.72%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.551.671.671.7564.52%59.75%59.88%57.14%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Eyüpspor (Visiteur)

Prévision 18.84%5.31cote équitable
EV +8.68%
Avantage +1.50%
Kelly +1.82%
Croissance +0.158%

avec la cote maximale 5.77

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.72%18.68%18.92%21.13%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.304.824.755.7723.26%20.73%21.05%17.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 25.27%3.96cote équitable
EV +1.60%
Avantage +0.399%
Kelly +0.531%
Croissance +0.009%

avec la cote maximale 4.02

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.14%25.36%25.26%27.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.253.643.654.0230.77%27.50%27.40%24.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.69I 59.17%NM 57.07%EV -5.55%E -3.28%K -8.04%G +0.000%5.77I 17.33%NM 16.72%EV +8.68%E +1.50%K +1.82%G +0.158%3.68I 27.17%NM 26.21%EV -6.99%E -1.90%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-03 16:45
BetOnline.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 56.58%EV -6.66%E -3.99%K -9.95%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.18%EV +3.59%E +0.653%K +0.799%G +0.029%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -9.01%E -2.50%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-03 16:35
LowVig.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 56.58%EV -6.66%E -3.99%K -9.95%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.18%EV +3.59%E +0.653%K +0.799%G +0.029%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -9.01%E -2.50%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-03 16:35
Everygame1.65I 60.61%NM 56.87%EV -7.78%E -4.72%K -11.97%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.06%EV +3.59%E +0.653%K +0.799%G +0.029%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -9.01%E -2.50%K -3.47%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-03 16:45
Tipico (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.72%EV -9.46%E -5.84%K -15.26%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.00%EV +3.59%E +0.653%K +0.799%G +0.029%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -6.48%E -1.75%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-03 16:40
SportsBet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.45%EV -7.78%E -4.72%K -11.97%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV +3.59%E +0.653%K +0.799%G +0.029%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -11.54%E -3.30%K -4.62%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-03 16:45
FanDuel1.62I 61.73%NM 57.32%EV -9.46%E -5.84%K -15.26%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV +3.59%E +0.653%K +0.799%G +0.029%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -9.01%E -2.50%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-03 16:45
Bovada1.62I 61.73%NM 56.81%EV -9.46%E -5.84%K -15.26%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 16.89%EV +2.65%E +0.487%K +0.596%G +0.016%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.30%EV -11.54%E -3.30%K -4.62%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-03 16:53
BetUS1.62I 61.73%NM 56.81%EV -9.46%E -5.84%K -15.26%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 16.89%EV +2.65%E +0.487%K +0.596%G +0.016%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.30%EV -11.54%E -3.30%K -4.62%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-03 16:55
Marathon Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 56.15%EV -7.22%E -4.35%K -10.94%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.10%EV -3.00%E -0.582%K -0.723%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.75%EV -8.51%E -2.35%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-03 16:55
NordicBet1.68I 59.52%NM 55.39%EV -6.10%E -3.63%K -8.98%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.25%EV -3.94%E -0.773%K -0.961%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 26.36%EV -10.78%E -3.05%K -4.26%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-03 16:45
Betsson1.68I 59.52%NM 55.39%EV -6.10%E -3.63%K -8.98%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.25%EV -3.94%E -0.773%K -0.961%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 26.36%EV -10.78%E -3.05%K -4.26%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-03 16:45
GTbets1.72I 58.14%NM 55.08%EV -3.87%E -2.25%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.09I 19.65%NM 18.61%EV -4.13%E -0.811%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.31%EV -9.01%E -2.50%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-03 16:35
Coolbet1.70I 58.82%NM 56.13%EV -4.99%E -2.93%K -7.12%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.08%EV -5.82%E -1.16%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.78%EV -2.69%E -0.699%K -0.944%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-03 16:50
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 55.95%EV -4.99%E -2.93%K -7.12%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.02%EV -5.82%E -1.16%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.03%EV -3.96%E -1.04%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-03 16:35
Fanatics1.69I 59.17%NM 56.09%EV -5.55%E -3.28%K -8.04%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -5.82%E -1.16%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.95%EV -3.96%E -1.04%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-03 16:45
Codere (IT)1.69I 59.17%NM 55.72%EV -5.55%E -3.28%K -8.04%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -5.82%E -1.16%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.45%EV -6.48%E -1.75%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-03 16:45
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 55.54%EV -9.46%E -5.84%K -15.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -5.82%E -1.16%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -14.07%E -4.14%K -5.86%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-03 16:25
Sky Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 55.10%EV -9.46%E -5.84%K -15.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.85%EV -5.82%E -1.16%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.05%EV -16.59%E -5.03%K -7.21%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-03 16:45
1xBet1.73I 57.80%NM 56.09%EV -3.31%E -1.91%K -4.53%G +0.000%4.91I 20.37%NM 19.76%EV -7.52%E -1.53%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.02I 24.88%NM 24.14%EV +1.60%E +0.399%K +0.531%G +0.009%3.0%2026-05-03 16:54
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.33%EV -4.99%E -2.93%K -7.12%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV -9.59%E -2.00%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -5.22%E -1.39%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-03 16:35
Unibet (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.95%EV -6.66%E -3.99%K -9.95%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.47%EV -9.59%E -2.00%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -3.96%E -1.04%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-03 16:51
Betclic (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 55.71%EV -8.90%E -5.46%K -14.13%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.92%EV -9.59%E -2.00%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 25.37%EV -9.52%E -2.66%K -3.69%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-03 16:45
Ladbrokes (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -4.99%E -2.93%K -7.12%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.69%EV -10.53%E -2.22%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -6.48%E -1.75%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-03 16:35
Neds1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -4.99%E -2.93%K -7.12%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.69%EV -10.53%E -2.22%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -6.48%E -1.75%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-03 16:35
PointsBet (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.65%EV -6.66%E -3.99%K -9.95%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.57%EV -10.53%E -2.22%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -5.22%E -1.39%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-03 16:51
888sport1.65I 60.61%NM 55.76%EV -7.78%E -4.72%K -11.97%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -10.53%E -2.22%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -6.48%E -1.75%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-03 16:50
888sport (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.76%EV -7.78%E -4.72%K -11.97%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -10.53%E -2.22%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -6.48%E -1.75%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-03 16:55
Mr Green (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.76%EV -7.78%E -4.72%K -11.97%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -10.53%E -2.22%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -6.48%E -1.75%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-03 16:51
Bet Right1.66I 60.24%NM 55.42%EV -7.22%E -4.35%K -10.94%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -10.53%E -2.22%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.21%EV -7.75%E -2.12%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-03 16:50
Betway1.67I 59.88%NM 55.08%EV -6.66%E -3.99%K -9.95%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -10.53%E -2.22%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -9.01%E -2.50%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-03 16:25
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 55.83%EV -9.46%E -5.84%K -15.26%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -10.53%E -2.22%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -9.01%E -2.50%K -3.47%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-03 16:29
Unibet (FR)1.61I 62.11%NM 55.99%EV -10.02%E -6.22%K -16.42%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.98%EV -10.53%E -2.22%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.04%EV -9.01%E -2.50%K -3.47%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-03 16:45
NetBet (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 56.21%EV -13.37%E -8.63%K -24.31%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.54%EV -11.47%E -2.44%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.25%EV -12.80%E -3.71%K -5.23%G +0.000%14.8%2026-05-03 16:41
betfred_uk1.67I 59.88%NM 54.74%EV -6.66%E -3.99%K -9.95%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -13.36%E -2.90%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -9.01%E -2.50%K -3.47%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-03 16:50
Winamax (DE)1.64I 60.98%NM 55.56%EV -8.34%E -5.09%K -13.03%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.81%EV -13.36%E -2.90%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.63%EV -6.48%E -1.75%K -2.40%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-03 16:45
ATG (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.71%EV -2.19%E -1.25%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV -15.24%E -3.39%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -6.48%E -1.75%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-03 16:35
Svenska Spel1.75I 57.14%NM 53.71%EV -2.19%E -1.25%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV -15.24%E -3.39%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -6.48%E -1.75%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-03 16:35
Winamax (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 55.25%EV -9.46%E -5.84%K -15.26%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89%EV -15.24%E -3.39%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.86%EV -9.01%E -2.50%K -3.47%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-03 16:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 54.59%EV -12.25%E -7.80%K -21.50%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.04%EV -15.24%E -3.39%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.37%EV -17.86%E -5.49%K -7.94%G +0.000%16.7%2026-05-03 16:45
Unibet1.73I 57.80%NM 53.74%EV -3.31%E -1.91%K -4.53%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -17.13%E -3.89%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -6.48%E -1.75%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-03 16:35
Unibet (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.74%EV -3.31%E -1.91%K -4.53%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -17.13%E -3.89%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -6.48%E -1.75%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-03 16:35
Unibet (NL)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.74%EV -3.31%E -1.91%K -4.53%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -17.13%E -3.89%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -6.48%E -1.75%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-03 16:35
LeoVegas (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.74%EV -3.31%E -1.91%K -4.53%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -17.13%E -3.89%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -6.48%E -1.75%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-03 16:35
TABtouch1.73I 57.80%NM 53.74%EV -3.31%E -1.91%K -4.53%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -17.13%E -3.89%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -6.48%E -1.75%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-03 16:35
Grosvenor1.73I 57.80%NM 53.74%EV -3.31%E -1.91%K -4.53%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -17.13%E -3.89%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -6.48%E -1.75%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-03 16:35
Casumo1.73I 57.80%NM 53.74%EV -3.31%E -1.91%K -4.53%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -17.13%E -3.89%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -6.48%E -1.75%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-03 16:35
betPARX1.73I 57.80%NM 53.74%EV -3.31%E -1.91%K -4.53%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -17.13%E -3.89%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -6.48%E -1.75%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-03 16:35
BetRivers1.72I 58.14%NM 53.70%EV -3.87%E -2.25%K -5.37%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.99%EV -17.13%E -3.89%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.31%EV -7.75%E -2.12%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-03 16:35
PMU (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.68%EV -4.99%E -2.93%K -7.12%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.98%EV -18.07%E -4.15%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -9.01%E -2.50%K -3.47%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-03 16:35
LiveScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 53.80%EV -6.66%E -3.99%K -9.95%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.89%EV -19.01%E -4.42%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.31%EV -10.27%E -2.89%K -4.03%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-03 16:35
LeoVegas1.67I 59.88%NM 53.80%EV -6.66%E -3.99%K -9.95%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.89%EV -19.01%E -4.42%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.31%EV -10.27%E -2.89%K -4.03%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-03 16:35
Virgin Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 53.80%EV -6.66%E -3.99%K -9.95%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.89%EV -19.01%E -4.42%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.31%EV -10.27%E -2.89%K -4.03%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-03 16:35
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 57.32%6.20I 16.13%NM 16.09%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.60%0.3%2026-05-03 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.74I 57.47%NM 57.32%6.20I 16.13%NM 16.09%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.60%0.3%2026-05-03 16:56
Matchbook1.74I 57.47%NM 57.32%6.20I 16.13%NM 16.09%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.60%0.3%2026-05-03 16:55
Kalshi1.75I 57.14%NM 56.52%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.79%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.69%1.1%2026-05-03 16:51
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.15%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.48%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.37%1.1%2026-05-03 16:51
Smarkets1.72I 58.14%NM 56.61%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.08%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.31%2.7%2026-05-03 16:55