The School of Odds

Kasimpasa SK v Trabzonspor

2026-08-15 16:00 UTC — Turkey Super League

Head to Head

15 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Kasimpasa SK (Local)

Prediction 28.01%3.57fair odd
EV -3.35%
Edge -0.971%
Kelly -1.37%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.50%28.05%28.05%28.97%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.903.233.303.4534.48%30.93%30.30%28.99%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Trabzonspor (Visit)

Prediction 45.64%2.19fair odd
EV -1.41%
Edge -0.653%
Kelly -1.22%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.16

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.26%46.04%45.45%48.67%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.881.992.002.1653.19%50.15%50.00%46.30%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 26.34%3.80fair odd
EV +2.74%
Edge +0.701%
Kelly +0.943%
Growth +0.026%

assuming max odds 3.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.83%25.90%26.49%27.06%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.153.463.453.9031.75%28.89%28.99%25.64%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (15 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
NordicBet3.38I 29.59%NM 27.50%EV -5.31%E -1.57%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.67%EV -12.82%E -6.71%K -14.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV +2.74%E +0.701%K +0.943%G +0.026%7.6%2026-07-26 15:50
Betsson3.38I 29.59%NM 27.50%EV -5.31%E -1.57%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.67%EV -12.82%E -6.71%K -14.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV +2.74%E +0.701%K +0.943%G +0.026%7.6%2026-07-26 15:50
Coolbet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.97%EV -7.55%E -2.29%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.53%EV -4.15%E -1.98%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.50%EV -1.22%E -0.324%K -0.442%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-26 16:00
1xBet3.45I 28.99%NM 28.08%EV -3.35%E -0.971%K -1.37%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.85%EV -1.41%E -0.653%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 27.06%EV -5.69%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-26 19:20
SportsBet3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -6.15%E -1.84%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.14%EV -5.06%E -2.43%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -7.80%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-26 15:50
Tipico (DE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -4.75%E -1.40%K -1.98%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -6.43%E -3.14%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -7.80%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-26 15:50
FanDuel3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -7.55%E -2.29%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -6.43%E -3.14%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -7.80%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-26 17:34
Codere (IT)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -7.55%E -2.29%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.02%EV -5.97%E -2.90%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.88%EV -9.12%E -2.64%K -3.72%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-26 15:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -8.95%E -2.75%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -8.71%E -4.36%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -10.44%E -3.07%K -4.35%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-26 18:45
Paddy Power3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -8.95%E -2.75%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -8.71%E -4.36%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -10.44%E -3.07%K -4.35%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-26 19:10
Winamax (DE)3.05I 32.79%NM 28.60%EV -14.56%E -4.77%K -7.10%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 44.97%EV -11.45%E -5.90%K -12.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.43%EV -13.07%E -3.96%K -5.68%G +0.000%14.6%2026-07-26 15:50
Unibet (FR)3.10I 32.26%NM 27.84%EV -13.16%E -4.24%K -6.26%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 45.19%EV -12.82%E -6.71%K -14.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.97%EV -15.70%E -4.91%K -7.14%G +0.000%15.9%2026-07-26 15:50
Sky Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 28.77%EV -15.96%E -5.32%K -7.98%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 44.26%EV -11.00%E -5.64%K -11.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.97%EV -15.70%E -4.91%K -7.14%G +0.000%15.9%2026-07-26 15:49
Betclic (FR)3.08I 32.47%NM 27.97%EV -13.72%E -4.45%K -6.59%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 45.11%EV -12.82%E -6.71%K -14.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.92%EV -15.70%E -4.91%K -7.14%G +0.000%16.1%2026-07-26 15:49
Winamax (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 28.88%EV -18.76%E -6.47%K -9.87%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 44.54%EV -14.19%E -7.55%K -16.13%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 26.58%EV -17.02%E -5.40%K -7.92%G +0.000%19.4%2026-07-26 15:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.01I 99.01%NM 33.33%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.33%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.33%197.0%2026-07-26 19:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.01I 99.01%NM 33.33%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.33%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.33%197.0%2026-07-26 19:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.01I 99.01%NM 33.33%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.33%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.33%197.0%2026-07-26 19:25