Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 4.11
assuming max odds 2.00
assuming max odds 3.70
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Kasimpasa SK (Local): 24.48%; Trabzonspor (Visit): 48.46%; Draw: 27.06%. For Kasimpasa SK (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.08. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.11, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.619%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.11I 24.33%NM 23.41%EV +0.619%E +0.151%K +0.199%G +0.001% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.12%EV -3.07%E -1.54%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 28.47%EV -8.55%E -2.53%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-15 15:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.04I 24.75%NM 24.02%EV -1.09%E -0.271%K -0.360%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.25%EV -4.53%E -2.30%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.73%EV -1.79%E -0.493%K -0.680%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-15 15:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.90%EV -2.07%E -0.518%K -0.691%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.54%EV -6.47%E -3.35%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.56%EV -2.60%E -0.722%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-15 15:49 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -2.07%E -0.518%K -0.691%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.17%EV -7.92%E -4.17%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.48%EV -8.01%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-15 15:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.11%EV -3.30%E -0.835%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -7.44%E -3.89%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 3.66I 27.32%NM 26.02%EV -0.977%E -0.267%K -0.367%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-15 08:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.11%EV -3.30%E -0.835%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -7.44%E -3.89%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 3.66I 27.32%NM 26.02%EV -0.977%E -0.267%K -0.367%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-15 07:59 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.11%EV -3.30%E -0.835%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -7.44%E -3.89%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 3.66I 27.32%NM 26.02%EV -0.977%E -0.267%K -0.367%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-15 07:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -4.52%E -1.16%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.23%EV -5.50%E -2.82%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -8.01%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-15 15:52 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.01%EV -4.52%E -1.16%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.03%EV -5.50%E -2.82%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -9.36%E -2.80%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-15 15:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -4.52%E -1.16%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.30%EV -10.34%E -5.59%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -2.60%E -0.722%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-15 15:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -4.52%E -1.16%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.30%EV -10.34%E -5.59%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -2.60%E -0.722%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-15 15:54 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -4.52%E -1.16%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.30%EV -10.34%E -5.59%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -2.60%E -0.722%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-15 15:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -4.52%E -1.16%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.30%EV -10.34%E -5.59%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -2.60%E -0.722%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-15 15:54 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -4.52%E -1.16%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.30%EV -10.34%E -5.59%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -2.60%E -0.722%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-15 15:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -4.52%E -1.16%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.30%EV -10.34%E -5.59%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -2.60%E -0.722%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-15 15:54 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -4.52%E -1.16%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.30%EV -10.34%E -5.59%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -2.60%E -0.722%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-15 15:54 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -4.52%E -1.16%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.30%EV -10.34%E -5.59%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -2.60%E -0.722%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-15 15:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -4.52%E -1.16%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.30%EV -10.34%E -5.59%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -2.60%E -0.722%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-15 15:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.89I 25.71%NM 24.26%EV -4.77%E -1.23%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.15%EV -6.95%E -3.62%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.58%EV -3.95%E -1.11%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-15 13:44 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.88%EV -5.75%E -1.49%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.39%EV -5.98%E -3.08%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -13.42%E -4.19%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-15 15:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97%EV -6.97%E -1.83%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.67%EV -5.50%E -2.82%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.36%EV -2.60%E -0.722%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 11:09 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -6.97%E -1.83%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -5.50%E -2.82%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -8.01%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-15 15:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -6.97%E -1.83%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.53%EV -5.50%E -2.82%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -10.72%E -3.25%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-15 15:34 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.89%EV -6.97%E -1.83%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.16%EV -12.28%E -6.79%K -15.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -5.31%E -1.52%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-15 15:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.89%EV -6.97%E -1.83%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.16%EV -12.28%E -6.79%K -15.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -5.31%E -1.52%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-15 15:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.78I 26.46%NM 24.66%EV -7.46%E -1.97%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.09%EV -4.04%E -2.04%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.25%EV -10.72%E -3.25%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-15 15:55 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -8.19%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.50%EV -5.50%E -2.82%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -2.60%E -0.722%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-15 11:14 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -8.19%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.50%EV -7.92%E -4.17%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.42%EV +0.105%E +0.028%K +0.039%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-15 11:34 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -8.19%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.02%EV -7.44%E -3.89%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -2.60%E -0.722%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-15 15:54 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -8.19%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.02%EV -7.44%E -3.89%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -2.60%E -0.722%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-15 15:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -8.19%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.02%EV -7.44%E -3.89%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -2.60%E -0.722%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-15 15:54 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -8.19%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.79%EV -7.92%E -4.17%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -5.31%E -1.52%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-15 15:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -8.19%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.51%EV -7.44%E -3.89%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 26.78%EV -6.39%E -1.85%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-15 15:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -8.19%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.51%EV -7.44%E -3.89%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 26.78%EV -6.39%E -1.85%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-15 15:48 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -8.19%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.73%EV -11.31%E -6.18%K -13.63%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -5.31%E -1.52%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-15 15:49 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.23%EV -8.19%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.82%EV -7.92%E -4.17%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -12.07%E -3.71%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-15 15:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.23%EV -8.19%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.82%EV -7.92%E -4.17%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -12.07%E -3.71%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-15 15:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -8.19%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.26%EV -6.95%E -3.62%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 28.54%EV -13.96%E -4.39%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-15 15:48 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.98%EV -8.19%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.96%EV -12.77%E -7.09%K -15.96%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.06%EV -6.66%E -1.93%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-15 15:54 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -9.42%E -2.55%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -7.44%E -3.89%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -8.01%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-15 13:14 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -9.42%E -2.55%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -7.44%E -3.89%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -8.01%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-15 13:14 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -9.42%E -2.55%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -7.44%E -3.89%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -8.01%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-15 13:15 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.75%EV -9.42%E -2.55%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.71%EV -8.89%E -4.73%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.54%EV -6.66%E -1.93%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-15 15:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.93%EV -9.42%E -2.55%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 50.03%EV -14.22%E -8.03%K -18.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -8.01%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-15 15:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.93%EV -9.42%E -2.55%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 50.03%EV -14.22%E -8.03%K -18.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -8.01%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-15 15:55 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.20%EV -10.64%E -2.92%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.75%EV -10.34%E -5.59%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.04%EV -14.78%E -4.69%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-08-15 15:54 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -11.87%E -3.30%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 48.91%EV -10.83%E -5.88%K -12.89%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.09%EV -6.66%E -1.93%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-15 15:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -11.87%E -3.30%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.01%EV -7.44%E -3.89%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -13.42%E -4.19%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-15 15:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.66%EV -13.09%E -3.69%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.94%EV -7.92%E -4.17%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.40%EV -6.66%E -1.93%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-15 15:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -14.31%E -4.09%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.84%EV -8.89%E -4.73%K -10.10%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -8.01%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-15 15:54 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -14.31%E -4.09%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.88%EV -11.31%E -6.18%K -13.63%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -5.31%E -1.52%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-15 12:05 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.69% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.29% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.02% | 0.5% | 2026-08-15 15:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.69% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.29% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.02% | 0.5% | 2026-08-15 15:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.69% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.29% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.02% | 0.5% | 2026-08-15 15:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.24% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.77% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99% | 0.6% | 2026-08-15 15:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.74% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.53% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.73% | 1.0% | 2026-08-15 15:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.12% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.01% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.86% | 1.1% | 2026-08-15 15:55 |
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