Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Kasimpasa SK v Trabzonspor

Início: 2026-08-15 16:00 UTC

Final: Kasimpasa SK 1–1 Trabzonspor

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

51 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Kasimpasa SK (Local)

Previsão 24.48%4.08odd justa
EV +0.619%
Vantagem +0.151%
Kelly +0.199%
Crescimento +0.001%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.11

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
23.36%24.49%24.55%25.70%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.503.803.784.1128.57%26.32%26.46%24.33%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Trabzonspor (Visitante)

Previsão 48.46%2.06odd justa
EV -3.07%
Vantagem -1.54%
Kelly -3.07%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
47.01%48.48%48.48%50.30%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.771.891.902.0056.50%52.90%52.63%50.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 27.06%3.70odd justa
EV +0.105%
Vantagem +0.028%
Kelly +0.039%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.70

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.42%27.04%26.97%28.73%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.153.483.503.7031.75%28.77%28.57%27.03%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Kasimpasa SK (Local): 24.48%; Trabzonspor (Visitante): 48.46%; Empate: 27.06%. Para Kasimpasa SK (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 4.08. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 4.11, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.619%.

Odds das casas de apostas (51 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯4.11I 24.33%NM 23.41%EV +0.619%E +0.151%K +0.199%G +0.001%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.12%EV -3.07%E -1.54%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.47%EV -8.55%E -2.53%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-15 15:45
1xBet🎯4.04I 24.75%NM 24.02%EV -1.09%E -0.271%K -0.360%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.25%EV -4.53%E -2.30%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.73%EV -1.79%E -0.493%K -0.680%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-15 15:50
Coolbet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.90%EV -2.07%E -0.518%K -0.691%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.54%EV -6.47%E -3.35%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.56%EV -2.60%E -0.722%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-15 15:49
Tipico (DE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -2.07%E -0.518%K -0.691%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.17%EV -7.92%E -4.17%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.48%EV -8.01%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 15:25
BetOnline.ag🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 24.11%EV -3.30%E -0.835%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -7.44%E -3.89%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.02%EV -0.977%E -0.267%K -0.367%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 08:00
LowVig.ag🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 24.11%EV -3.30%E -0.835%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -7.44%E -3.89%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.02%EV -0.977%E -0.267%K -0.367%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 07:59
BetUS🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 24.11%EV -3.30%E -0.835%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -7.44%E -3.89%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.02%EV -0.977%E -0.267%K -0.367%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 07:59
FanDuel🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -4.52%E -1.16%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.23%EV -5.50%E -2.82%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -8.01%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-15 15:52
SportsBet🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.01%EV -4.52%E -1.16%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.03%EV -5.50%E -2.82%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -9.36%E -2.80%K -3.98%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-15 15:55
betPARX🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -4.52%E -1.16%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.30%EV -10.34%E -5.59%K -12.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -2.60%E -0.722%K -1.00%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-15 15:55
Grosvenor🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -4.52%E -1.16%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.30%EV -10.34%E -5.59%K -12.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -2.60%E -0.722%K -1.00%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-15 15:54
Unibet (SE)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -4.52%E -1.16%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.30%EV -10.34%E -5.59%K -12.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -2.60%E -0.722%K -1.00%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-15 15:55
Casumo🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -4.52%E -1.16%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.30%EV -10.34%E -5.59%K -12.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -2.60%E -0.722%K -1.00%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-15 15:54
Unibet (NL)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -4.52%E -1.16%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.30%EV -10.34%E -5.59%K -12.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -2.60%E -0.722%K -1.00%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-15 15:54
Unibet🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -4.52%E -1.16%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.30%EV -10.34%E -5.59%K -12.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -2.60%E -0.722%K -1.00%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-15 15:54
Svenska Spel🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -4.52%E -1.16%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.30%EV -10.34%E -5.59%K -12.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -2.60%E -0.722%K -1.00%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-15 15:54
ATG (SE)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -4.52%E -1.16%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.30%EV -10.34%E -5.59%K -12.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -2.60%E -0.722%K -1.00%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-15 15:55
TABtouch🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -4.52%E -1.16%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.30%EV -10.34%E -5.59%K -12.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -2.60%E -0.722%K -1.00%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-15 15:55
GTbets🎯3.89I 25.71%NM 24.26%EV -4.77%E -1.23%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.15%EV -6.95%E -3.62%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.58%EV -3.95%E -1.11%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-15 13:44
Bovada🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 23.88%EV -5.75%E -1.49%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.39%EV -5.98%E -3.08%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -13.42%E -4.19%K -6.10%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-15 15:55
Coral🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97%EV -6.97%E -1.83%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.67%EV -5.50%E -2.82%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.36%EV -2.60%E -0.722%K -1.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 11:09
Fanatics🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -6.97%E -1.83%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -5.50%E -2.82%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -8.01%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 15:54
Betway🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -6.97%E -1.83%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.53%EV -5.50%E -2.82%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -10.72%E -3.25%K -4.66%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-15 15:34
PMU (FR)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.89%EV -6.97%E -1.83%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 50.16%EV -12.28%E -6.79%K -15.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -5.31%E -1.52%K -2.12%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-15 15:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.89%EV -6.97%E -1.83%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 50.16%EV -12.28%E -6.79%K -15.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -5.31%E -1.52%K -2.12%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-15 15:55
Marathon Bet🎯3.78I 26.46%NM 24.66%EV -7.46%E -1.97%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.09%EV -4.04%E -2.04%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.25%EV -10.72%E -3.25%K -4.66%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-15 15:55
Codere (IT)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -8.19%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.50%EV -5.50%E -2.82%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -2.60%E -0.722%K -1.00%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-15 11:14
Unibet (UK)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -8.19%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.50%EV -7.92%E -4.17%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.42%EV +0.105%E +0.028%K +0.039%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-15 11:34
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -8.19%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.02%EV -7.44%E -3.89%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -2.60%E -0.722%K -1.00%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-15 15:54
Neds🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -8.19%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.02%EV -7.44%E -3.89%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -2.60%E -0.722%K -1.00%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-15 15:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -8.19%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.02%EV -7.44%E -3.89%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -2.60%E -0.722%K -1.00%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-15 15:54
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -8.19%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.79%EV -7.92%E -4.17%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -5.31%E -1.52%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-15 15:50
NordicBet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -8.19%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.51%EV -7.44%E -3.89%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 26.78%EV -6.39%E -1.85%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-15 15:45
Betsson🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -8.19%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.51%EV -7.44%E -3.89%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 26.78%EV -6.39%E -1.85%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-15 15:48
betfred_uk🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -8.19%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.73%EV -11.31%E -6.18%K -13.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -5.31%E -1.52%K -2.12%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-15 15:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.23%EV -8.19%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.82%EV -7.92%E -4.17%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -12.07%E -3.71%K -5.36%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-15 15:55
Paddy Power🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.23%EV -8.19%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.82%EV -7.92%E -4.17%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -12.07%E -3.71%K -5.36%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-15 15:55
Betclic (FR)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -8.19%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.26%EV -6.95%E -3.62%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 28.54%EV -13.96%E -4.39%K -6.41%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-15 15:48
BetRivers🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 23.98%EV -8.19%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.96%EV -12.77%E -7.09%K -15.96%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.06%EV -6.66%E -1.93%K -2.72%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-15 15:54
888sport🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -9.42%E -2.55%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -7.44%E -3.89%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -8.01%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-15 13:14
888sport (SE)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -9.42%E -2.55%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -7.44%E -3.89%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -8.01%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-15 13:14
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -9.42%E -2.55%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -7.44%E -3.89%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -8.01%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-15 13:15
Bet Right🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.75%EV -9.42%E -2.55%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.71%EV -8.89%E -4.73%K -10.10%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.54%EV -6.66%E -1.93%K -2.72%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-15 15:50
Virgin Bet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 23.93%EV -9.42%E -2.55%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 50.03%EV -14.22%E -8.03%K -18.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -8.01%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-15 15:55
LiveScore Bet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 23.93%EV -9.42%E -2.55%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 50.03%EV -14.22%E -8.03%K -18.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -8.01%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-15 15:55
NetBet (FR)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 24.20%EV -10.64%E -2.92%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 47.75%EV -10.34%E -5.59%K -12.17%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.04%EV -14.78%E -4.69%K -6.87%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-15 15:54
Unibet (FR)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -11.87%E -3.30%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 48.91%EV -10.83%E -5.88%K -12.89%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.09%EV -6.66%E -1.93%K -2.72%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-15 15:35
Sky Bet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -11.87%E -3.30%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.01%EV -7.44%E -3.89%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -13.42%E -4.19%K -6.10%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-15 15:55
Winamax (DE)🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.66%EV -13.09%E -3.69%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.94%EV -7.92%E -4.17%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.40%EV -6.66%E -1.93%K -2.72%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-15 15:55
Winamax (FR)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -14.31%E -4.09%K -5.73%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 47.84%EV -8.89%E -4.73%K -10.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -8.01%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-15 15:54
BoyleSports🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -14.31%E -4.09%K -5.73%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.88%EV -11.31%E -6.18%K -13.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -5.31%E -1.52%K -2.12%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-15 12:05
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.20I 23.81%NM 23.69%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.29%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.02%0.5%2026-08-15 15:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.20I 23.81%NM 23.69%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.29%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.02%0.5%2026-08-15 15:55
Matchbook4.20I 23.81%NM 23.69%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.29%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.02%0.5%2026-08-15 15:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.10I 24.39%NM 24.24%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.77%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%0.6%2026-08-15 15:55
Kalshi4.17I 23.98%NM 23.74%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.53%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.73%1.0%2026-08-15 15:55
Smarkets4.10I 24.39%NM 24.12%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.01%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.86%1.1%2026-08-15 15:55