Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Kasimpasa SK v Trabzonspor

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-15 16:00 UTC

Score final : Kasimpasa SK 1–1 Trabzonspor

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

51 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Kasimpasa SK (Local)

Prévision 24.48%4.08cote équitable
EV +0.619%
Avantage +0.151%
Kelly +0.199%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 4.11

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.36%24.49%24.55%25.70%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.503.803.784.1128.57%26.32%26.46%24.33%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Trabzonspor (Visiteur)

Prévision 48.46%2.06cote équitable
EV -3.07%
Avantage -1.54%
Kelly -3.07%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
47.01%48.48%48.48%50.30%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.771.891.902.0056.50%52.90%52.63%50.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 27.06%3.70cote équitable
EV +0.105%
Avantage +0.028%
Kelly +0.039%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.42%27.04%26.97%28.73%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.153.483.503.7031.75%28.77%28.57%27.03%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Kasimpasa SK (Local) : 24.48% ; Trabzonspor (Visiteur) : 48.46% ; Match nul : 27.06%. Pour Kasimpasa SK (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.08. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.11, soit une espérance positive de +0.619%.

Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle🎯4.11I 24.33%NM 23.41%EV +0.619%E +0.151%K +0.199%G +0.001%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.12%EV -3.07%E -1.54%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.47%EV -8.55%E -2.53%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-15 15:45
1xBet🎯4.04I 24.75%NM 24.02%EV -1.09%E -0.271%K -0.360%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.25%EV -4.53%E -2.30%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.73%EV -1.79%E -0.493%K -0.680%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-15 15:50
Coolbet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.90%EV -2.07%E -0.518%K -0.691%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.54%EV -6.47%E -3.35%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.56%EV -2.60%E -0.722%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-15 15:49
Tipico (DE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -2.07%E -0.518%K -0.691%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.17%EV -7.92%E -4.17%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.48%EV -8.01%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 15:25
BetOnline.ag🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 24.11%EV -3.30%E -0.835%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -7.44%E -3.89%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.02%EV -0.977%E -0.267%K -0.367%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 08:00
LowVig.ag🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 24.11%EV -3.30%E -0.835%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -7.44%E -3.89%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.02%EV -0.977%E -0.267%K -0.367%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 07:59
BetUS🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 24.11%EV -3.30%E -0.835%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -7.44%E -3.89%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.02%EV -0.977%E -0.267%K -0.367%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 07:59
FanDuel🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -4.52%E -1.16%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.23%EV -5.50%E -2.82%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -8.01%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-15 15:52
SportsBet🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.01%EV -4.52%E -1.16%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.03%EV -5.50%E -2.82%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -9.36%E -2.80%K -3.98%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-15 15:55
betPARX🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -4.52%E -1.16%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.30%EV -10.34%E -5.59%K -12.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -2.60%E -0.722%K -1.00%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-15 15:55
Grosvenor🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -4.52%E -1.16%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.30%EV -10.34%E -5.59%K -12.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -2.60%E -0.722%K -1.00%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-15 15:54
Unibet (SE)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -4.52%E -1.16%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.30%EV -10.34%E -5.59%K -12.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -2.60%E -0.722%K -1.00%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-15 15:55
Casumo🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -4.52%E -1.16%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.30%EV -10.34%E -5.59%K -12.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -2.60%E -0.722%K -1.00%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-15 15:54
Unibet (NL)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -4.52%E -1.16%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.30%EV -10.34%E -5.59%K -12.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -2.60%E -0.722%K -1.00%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-15 15:54
Unibet🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -4.52%E -1.16%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.30%EV -10.34%E -5.59%K -12.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -2.60%E -0.722%K -1.00%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-15 15:54
Svenska Spel🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -4.52%E -1.16%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.30%EV -10.34%E -5.59%K -12.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -2.60%E -0.722%K -1.00%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-15 15:54
ATG (SE)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -4.52%E -1.16%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.30%EV -10.34%E -5.59%K -12.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -2.60%E -0.722%K -1.00%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-15 15:55
TABtouch🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -4.52%E -1.16%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.30%EV -10.34%E -5.59%K -12.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -2.60%E -0.722%K -1.00%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-15 15:55
GTbets🎯3.89I 25.71%NM 24.26%EV -4.77%E -1.23%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.15%EV -6.95%E -3.62%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.58%EV -3.95%E -1.11%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-15 13:44
Bovada🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 23.88%EV -5.75%E -1.49%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.39%EV -5.98%E -3.08%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -13.42%E -4.19%K -6.10%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-15 15:55
Coral🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97%EV -6.97%E -1.83%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.67%EV -5.50%E -2.82%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.36%EV -2.60%E -0.722%K -1.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 11:09
Fanatics🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -6.97%E -1.83%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -5.50%E -2.82%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -8.01%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 15:54
Betway🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -6.97%E -1.83%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.53%EV -5.50%E -2.82%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -10.72%E -3.25%K -4.66%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-15 15:34
PMU (FR)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.89%EV -6.97%E -1.83%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 50.16%EV -12.28%E -6.79%K -15.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -5.31%E -1.52%K -2.12%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-15 15:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.89%EV -6.97%E -1.83%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 50.16%EV -12.28%E -6.79%K -15.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -5.31%E -1.52%K -2.12%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-15 15:55
Marathon Bet🎯3.78I 26.46%NM 24.66%EV -7.46%E -1.97%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.09%EV -4.04%E -2.04%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.25%EV -10.72%E -3.25%K -4.66%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-15 15:55
Codere (IT)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -8.19%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.50%EV -5.50%E -2.82%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -2.60%E -0.722%K -1.00%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-15 11:14
Unibet (UK)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -8.19%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.50%EV -7.92%E -4.17%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.42%EV +0.105%E +0.028%K +0.039%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-15 11:34
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -8.19%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.02%EV -7.44%E -3.89%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -2.60%E -0.722%K -1.00%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-15 15:54
Neds🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -8.19%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.02%EV -7.44%E -3.89%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -2.60%E -0.722%K -1.00%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-15 15:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -8.19%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.02%EV -7.44%E -3.89%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -2.60%E -0.722%K -1.00%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-15 15:54
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -8.19%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.79%EV -7.92%E -4.17%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -5.31%E -1.52%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-15 15:50
NordicBet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -8.19%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.51%EV -7.44%E -3.89%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 26.78%EV -6.39%E -1.85%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-15 15:45
Betsson🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -8.19%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.51%EV -7.44%E -3.89%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 26.78%EV -6.39%E -1.85%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-15 15:48
betfred_uk🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -8.19%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.73%EV -11.31%E -6.18%K -13.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -5.31%E -1.52%K -2.12%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-15 15:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.23%EV -8.19%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.82%EV -7.92%E -4.17%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -12.07%E -3.71%K -5.36%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-15 15:55
Paddy Power🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.23%EV -8.19%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.82%EV -7.92%E -4.17%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -12.07%E -3.71%K -5.36%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-15 15:55
Betclic (FR)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -8.19%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.26%EV -6.95%E -3.62%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 28.54%EV -13.96%E -4.39%K -6.41%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-15 15:48
BetRivers🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 23.98%EV -8.19%E -2.19%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.96%EV -12.77%E -7.09%K -15.96%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.06%EV -6.66%E -1.93%K -2.72%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-15 15:54
888sport🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -9.42%E -2.55%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -7.44%E -3.89%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -8.01%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-15 13:14
888sport (SE)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -9.42%E -2.55%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -7.44%E -3.89%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -8.01%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-15 13:14
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -9.42%E -2.55%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -7.44%E -3.89%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -8.01%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-15 13:15
Bet Right🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.75%EV -9.42%E -2.55%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.71%EV -8.89%E -4.73%K -10.10%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.54%EV -6.66%E -1.93%K -2.72%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-15 15:50
Virgin Bet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 23.93%EV -9.42%E -2.55%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 50.03%EV -14.22%E -8.03%K -18.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -8.01%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-15 15:55
LiveScore Bet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 23.93%EV -9.42%E -2.55%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 50.03%EV -14.22%E -8.03%K -18.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -8.01%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-15 15:55
NetBet (FR)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 24.20%EV -10.64%E -2.92%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 47.75%EV -10.34%E -5.59%K -12.17%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.04%EV -14.78%E -4.69%K -6.87%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-15 15:54
Unibet (FR)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -11.87%E -3.30%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 48.91%EV -10.83%E -5.88%K -12.89%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.09%EV -6.66%E -1.93%K -2.72%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-15 15:35
Sky Bet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -11.87%E -3.30%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.01%EV -7.44%E -3.89%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -13.42%E -4.19%K -6.10%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-15 15:55
Winamax (DE)🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.66%EV -13.09%E -3.69%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.94%EV -7.92%E -4.17%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.40%EV -6.66%E -1.93%K -2.72%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-15 15:55
Winamax (FR)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.70%EV -14.31%E -4.09%K -5.73%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 47.84%EV -8.89%E -4.73%K -10.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -8.01%E -2.36%K -3.34%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-15 15:54
BoyleSports🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -14.31%E -4.09%K -5.73%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.88%EV -11.31%E -6.18%K -13.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -5.31%E -1.52%K -2.12%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-15 12:05
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.20I 23.81%NM 23.69%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.29%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.02%0.5%2026-08-15 15:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.20I 23.81%NM 23.69%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.29%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.02%0.5%2026-08-15 15:55
Matchbook4.20I 23.81%NM 23.69%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.29%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.02%0.5%2026-08-15 15:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.10I 24.39%NM 24.24%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.77%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%0.6%2026-08-15 15:55
Kalshi4.17I 23.98%NM 23.74%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.53%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.73%1.0%2026-08-15 15:55
Smarkets4.10I 24.39%NM 24.12%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.01%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.86%1.1%2026-08-15 15:55