A Escola das Odds

Goztepe v Alanyaspor

Início: 2026-03-14 17:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

53 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Goztepe (Local)

Previsão 43.09%2.32odd justa
EV -3.04%
Vantagem -1.35%
Kelly -2.43%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.25

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
41.51%43.15%43.23%44.95%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.952.132.102.2551.28%47.04%47.62%44.44%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Alanyaspor (Visitante)

Previsão 26.43%3.78odd justa
EV +1.77%
Vantagem +0.460%
Kelly +0.621%
Crescimento +0.011%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.85

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.02%26.34%26.34%27.88%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.103.513.533.8532.26%28.50%28.33%25.97%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 30.47%3.28odd justa
EV +0.559%
Vantagem +0.169%
Kelly +0.243%
Crescimento +0.001%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.30

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
28.98%30.51%30.43%31.92%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.653.053.053.3037.74%32.75%32.79%30.30%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (53 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle2.21I 45.25%NM 43.81%EV -4.76%E -2.15%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.15%EV +1.77%E +0.460%K +0.621%G +0.011%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.04%EV -4.93%E -1.58%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-14 16:50
LowVig.ag2.20I 45.45%NM 43.25%EV -5.19%E -2.36%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.04%EV +0.448%E +0.118%K +0.160%G +0.001%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.71%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-14 16:40
BetOnline.ag2.20I 45.45%NM 43.25%EV -5.19%E -2.36%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.04%EV +0.448%E +0.118%K +0.160%G +0.001%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.71%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-14 16:40
Tipico (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -9.50%E -4.53%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -2.19%E -0.593%K -0.813%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -5.54%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-14 16:44
FanDuel2.15I 46.51%NM 43.29%EV -7.35%E -3.42%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -2.19%E -0.593%K -0.813%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -10.11%E -3.43%K -5.18%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-14 16:54
SportsBet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.06%EV -7.35%E -3.42%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.02%EV -2.19%E -0.593%K -0.813%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -11.63%E -4.01%K -6.12%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-14 16:55
Marathon Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.37%EV -7.35%E -3.42%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.55%EV -3.52%E -0.963%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-14 16:50
Everygame2.15I 46.51%NM 43.14%EV -7.35%E -3.42%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.41%EV -3.52%E -0.963%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.44%EV -10.11%E -3.43%K -5.18%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-14 16:40
Bovada2.12I 47.17%NM 43.49%EV -8.64%E -4.08%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -3.52%E -0.963%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.25%EV -10.11%E -3.43%K -5.18%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-14 16:44
BetUS2.12I 47.17%NM 43.49%EV -8.64%E -4.08%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -3.52%E -0.963%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.25%EV -10.11%E -3.43%K -5.18%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-14 16:45
1xBet2.22I 45.05%NM 43.71%EV -4.33%E -1.95%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.88%EV -4.57%E -1.27%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.41%EV +0.559%E +0.169%K +0.243%G +0.001%3.0%2026-03-14 16:55
Fanatics2.20I 45.45%NM 43.09%EV -5.19%E -2.36%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -4.84%E -1.34%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.58%EV -5.54%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-14 16:19
Svenska Spel2.10I 47.62%NM 44.85%EV -9.50%E -4.53%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -4.84%E -1.34%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.98%EV -0.965%E -0.297%K -0.429%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-14 16:30
ATG (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.85%EV -9.50%E -4.53%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -4.84%E -1.34%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.98%EV -0.965%E -0.297%K -0.429%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-14 16:30
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -9.50%E -4.53%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.23%EV -4.84%E -1.34%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.53%EV -12.24%E -4.25%K -6.51%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-14 16:55
GTbets2.25I 44.44%NM 42.88%EV -3.04%E -1.35%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.87%EV -5.10%E -1.42%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 30.24%EV -2.79%E -0.876%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-14 16:25
Unibet2.08I 48.08%NM 44.72%EV -10.36%E -4.98%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -6.16%E -1.74%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -2.49%E -0.778%K -1.13%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-14 16:25
TABtouch2.08I 48.08%NM 44.72%EV -10.36%E -4.98%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -6.16%E -1.74%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -2.49%E -0.778%K -1.13%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-14 16:20
Unibet (NL)2.08I 48.08%NM 44.72%EV -10.36%E -4.98%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -6.16%E -1.74%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -2.49%E -0.778%K -1.13%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-14 16:20
Grosvenor2.08I 48.08%NM 44.72%EV -10.36%E -4.98%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -6.16%E -1.74%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -2.49%E -0.778%K -1.13%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-14 16:20
Casumo2.08I 48.08%NM 44.72%EV -10.36%E -4.98%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -6.16%E -1.74%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -2.49%E -0.778%K -1.13%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-14 16:20
Unibet (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 44.72%EV -10.36%E -4.98%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -6.16%E -1.74%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -2.49%E -0.778%K -1.13%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-14 16:20
LeoVegas (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 44.72%EV -10.36%E -4.98%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -6.16%E -1.74%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -2.49%E -0.778%K -1.13%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-14 16:20
betPARX2.08I 48.08%NM 44.72%EV -10.36%E -4.98%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -6.16%E -1.74%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -2.49%E -0.778%K -1.13%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-14 16:20
BetRivers2.07I 48.31%NM 44.84%EV -10.80%E -5.22%K -10.09%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.15%EV -6.16%E -1.74%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.01%EV -2.49%E -0.778%K -1.13%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-14 16:30
NordicBet2.14I 46.73%NM 43.42%EV -7.78%E -3.64%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 26.32%EV -6.69%E -1.89%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 30.26%EV -6.45%E -2.10%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-14 16:45
Betsson2.14I 46.73%NM 43.42%EV -7.78%E -3.64%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 26.32%EV -6.69%E -1.89%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 30.26%EV -6.45%E -2.10%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-14 16:45
Coral2.25I 44.44%NM 42.22%EV -3.04%E -1.35%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -7.48%E -2.14%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.64%EV -5.54%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-14 16:20
Coolbet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.18%EV -5.19%E -2.36%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -7.48%E -2.14%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%EV -2.49%E -0.778%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-14 16:50
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -9.50%E -4.53%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -7.48%E -2.14%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-14 16:55
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -9.50%E -4.53%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -7.48%E -2.14%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-14 16:55
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -9.50%E -4.53%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -7.48%E -2.14%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-14 16:55
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -7.35%E -3.42%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -7.48%E -2.14%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -11.63%E -4.01%K -6.12%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-14 16:20
Sky Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -9.50%E -4.53%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -7.48%E -2.14%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -14.68%E -5.24%K -8.15%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-14 16:54
Codere (IT)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.27%EV -3.90%E -1.75%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.32%EV -8.80%E -2.55%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.41%EV -5.54%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-14 16:40
Unibet (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.39%EV -5.19%E -2.36%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -8.80%E -2.55%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%EV -7.06%E -2.31%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-14 16:50
LiveScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 44.95%EV -13.81%E -6.91%K -13.81%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.06%EV -8.80%E -2.55%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.00%EV -5.54%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-14 16:30
LeoVegas2.00I 50.00%NM 44.95%EV -13.81%E -6.91%K -13.81%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.06%EV -8.80%E -2.55%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.00%EV -5.54%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-14 16:30
Virgin Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 44.95%EV -13.81%E -6.91%K -13.81%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.06%EV -8.80%E -2.55%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.00%EV -5.54%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-14 16:30
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -3.04%E -1.35%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -10.13%E -2.98%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -5.54%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-14 16:20
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -5.19%E -2.36%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -10.13%E -2.98%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -5.54%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 16:45
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -7.35%E -3.42%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.13%E -2.98%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-14 16:40
Ladbrokes (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.51%EV -3.04%E -1.35%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -11.45%E -3.42%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -7.06%E -2.31%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 16:20
Neds2.25I 44.44%NM 41.51%EV -3.04%E -1.35%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -11.45%E -3.42%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -7.06%E -2.31%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 16:20
Bet Right2.15I 46.51%NM 42.61%EV -7.35%E -3.42%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.35%EV -11.45%E -3.42%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.04%EV -7.06%E -2.31%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-14 16:45
Fliff2.05I 48.78%NM 43.57%EV -11.66%E -5.69%K -11.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.66%EV -11.45%E -3.42%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.77%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-14 16:50
Winamax (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -7.35%E -3.42%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -12.77%E -3.87%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-14 16:40
Betclic (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.59%EV -9.50%E -4.53%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.10%EV -12.77%E -3.87%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.31%EV -10.11%E -3.43%K -5.18%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-14 16:45
Parions Sport (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.59%EV -9.50%E -4.53%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.10%EV -12.77%E -3.87%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.31%EV -10.11%E -3.43%K -5.18%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-14 16:40
NetBet (FR)2.02I 49.50%NM 43.40%EV -12.95%E -6.41%K -12.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.57%EV -12.77%E -3.87%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 30.03%EV -11.02%E -3.77%K -5.74%G +0.000%14.1%2026-03-14 16:50
PMU (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 42.98%EV -15.97%E -8.19%K -16.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.40%EV -12.77%E -3.87%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 31.63%EV -19.25%E -7.26%K -11.67%G +0.000%19.3%2026-03-14 16:55
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.41%EV -9.50%E -4.53%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.40%EV -14.09%E -4.34%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.19%EV -10.11%E -3.43%K -5.18%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-14 16:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 42.38%EV -13.81%E -6.91%K -13.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.34%EV -18.06%E -5.82%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.27%EV -14.68%E -5.24%K -8.15%G +0.000%18.0%2026-03-14 16:55
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.46%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.09%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.46%0.9%2026-03-14 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.46%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.09%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.46%0.9%2026-03-14 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.46%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.09%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.46%0.9%2026-03-14 16:55
Matchbook2.28I 43.86%NM 43.46%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.09%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.46%0.9%2026-03-14 16:55
Kalshi2.22I 45.05%NM 44.17%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.47%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.36%2.0%2026-03-14 16:45
Smarkets2.26I 44.25%NM 43.32%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.10%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.58%2.1%2026-03-14 16:55