L’École des cotes

Goztepe v Alanyaspor

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-14 17:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

53 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Goztepe (Local)

Prévision 43.09%2.32cote équitable
EV -3.04%
Avantage -1.35%
Kelly -2.43%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.51%43.15%43.23%44.95%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.952.132.102.2551.28%47.04%47.62%44.44%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Alanyaspor (Visiteur)

Prévision 26.43%3.78cote équitable
EV +1.77%
Avantage +0.460%
Kelly +0.621%
Croissance +0.011%

avec la cote maximale 3.85

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.02%26.34%26.34%27.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.513.533.8532.26%28.50%28.33%25.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 30.47%3.28cote équitable
EV +0.559%
Avantage +0.169%
Kelly +0.243%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 3.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.98%30.51%30.43%31.92%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.653.053.053.3037.74%32.75%32.79%30.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle2.21I 45.25%NM 43.81%EV -4.76%E -2.15%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.15%EV +1.77%E +0.460%K +0.621%G +0.011%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.04%EV -4.93%E -1.58%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-14 16:50
LowVig.ag2.20I 45.45%NM 43.25%EV -5.19%E -2.36%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.04%EV +0.448%E +0.118%K +0.160%G +0.001%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.71%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-14 16:40
BetOnline.ag2.20I 45.45%NM 43.25%EV -5.19%E -2.36%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.04%EV +0.448%E +0.118%K +0.160%G +0.001%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.71%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-14 16:40
Tipico (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -9.50%E -4.53%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -2.19%E -0.593%K -0.813%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -5.54%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-14 16:44
FanDuel2.15I 46.51%NM 43.29%EV -7.35%E -3.42%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -2.19%E -0.593%K -0.813%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -10.11%E -3.43%K -5.18%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-14 16:54
SportsBet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.06%EV -7.35%E -3.42%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.02%EV -2.19%E -0.593%K -0.813%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -11.63%E -4.01%K -6.12%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-14 16:55
Marathon Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.37%EV -7.35%E -3.42%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.55%EV -3.52%E -0.963%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-14 16:50
Everygame2.15I 46.51%NM 43.14%EV -7.35%E -3.42%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.41%EV -3.52%E -0.963%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.44%EV -10.11%E -3.43%K -5.18%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-14 16:40
Bovada2.12I 47.17%NM 43.49%EV -8.64%E -4.08%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -3.52%E -0.963%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.25%EV -10.11%E -3.43%K -5.18%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-14 16:44
BetUS2.12I 47.17%NM 43.49%EV -8.64%E -4.08%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -3.52%E -0.963%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.25%EV -10.11%E -3.43%K -5.18%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-14 16:45
1xBet2.22I 45.05%NM 43.71%EV -4.33%E -1.95%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.88%EV -4.57%E -1.27%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.41%EV +0.559%E +0.169%K +0.243%G +0.001%3.0%2026-03-14 16:55
Fanatics2.20I 45.45%NM 43.09%EV -5.19%E -2.36%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -4.84%E -1.34%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.58%EV -5.54%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-14 16:19
Svenska Spel2.10I 47.62%NM 44.85%EV -9.50%E -4.53%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -4.84%E -1.34%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.98%EV -0.965%E -0.297%K -0.429%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-14 16:30
ATG (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.85%EV -9.50%E -4.53%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -4.84%E -1.34%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.98%EV -0.965%E -0.297%K -0.429%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-14 16:30
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -9.50%E -4.53%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.23%EV -4.84%E -1.34%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.53%EV -12.24%E -4.25%K -6.51%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-14 16:55
GTbets2.25I 44.44%NM 42.88%EV -3.04%E -1.35%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.87%EV -5.10%E -1.42%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 30.24%EV -2.79%E -0.876%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-14 16:25
Unibet2.08I 48.08%NM 44.72%EV -10.36%E -4.98%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -6.16%E -1.74%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -2.49%E -0.778%K -1.13%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-14 16:25
TABtouch2.08I 48.08%NM 44.72%EV -10.36%E -4.98%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -6.16%E -1.74%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -2.49%E -0.778%K -1.13%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-14 16:20
Unibet (NL)2.08I 48.08%NM 44.72%EV -10.36%E -4.98%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -6.16%E -1.74%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -2.49%E -0.778%K -1.13%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-14 16:20
Grosvenor2.08I 48.08%NM 44.72%EV -10.36%E -4.98%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -6.16%E -1.74%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -2.49%E -0.778%K -1.13%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-14 16:20
Casumo2.08I 48.08%NM 44.72%EV -10.36%E -4.98%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -6.16%E -1.74%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -2.49%E -0.778%K -1.13%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-14 16:20
Unibet (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 44.72%EV -10.36%E -4.98%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -6.16%E -1.74%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -2.49%E -0.778%K -1.13%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-14 16:20
LeoVegas (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 44.72%EV -10.36%E -4.98%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -6.16%E -1.74%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -2.49%E -0.778%K -1.13%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-14 16:20
betPARX2.08I 48.08%NM 44.72%EV -10.36%E -4.98%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -6.16%E -1.74%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -2.49%E -0.778%K -1.13%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-14 16:20
BetRivers2.07I 48.31%NM 44.84%EV -10.80%E -5.22%K -10.09%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.15%EV -6.16%E -1.74%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.01%EV -2.49%E -0.778%K -1.13%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-14 16:30
NordicBet2.14I 46.73%NM 43.42%EV -7.78%E -3.64%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 26.32%EV -6.69%E -1.89%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 30.26%EV -6.45%E -2.10%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-14 16:45
Betsson2.14I 46.73%NM 43.42%EV -7.78%E -3.64%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 26.32%EV -6.69%E -1.89%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 30.26%EV -6.45%E -2.10%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-14 16:45
Coral2.25I 44.44%NM 42.22%EV -3.04%E -1.35%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -7.48%E -2.14%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.64%EV -5.54%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-14 16:20
Coolbet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.18%EV -5.19%E -2.36%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -7.48%E -2.14%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%EV -2.49%E -0.778%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-14 16:50
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -9.50%E -4.53%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -7.48%E -2.14%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-14 16:55
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -9.50%E -4.53%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -7.48%E -2.14%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-14 16:55
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -9.50%E -4.53%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -7.48%E -2.14%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-14 16:55
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -7.35%E -3.42%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -7.48%E -2.14%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -11.63%E -4.01%K -6.12%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-14 16:20
Sky Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -9.50%E -4.53%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -7.48%E -2.14%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -14.68%E -5.24%K -8.15%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-14 16:54
Codere (IT)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.27%EV -3.90%E -1.75%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.32%EV -8.80%E -2.55%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.41%EV -5.54%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-14 16:40
Unibet (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.39%EV -5.19%E -2.36%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -8.80%E -2.55%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%EV -7.06%E -2.31%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-14 16:50
LiveScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 44.95%EV -13.81%E -6.91%K -13.81%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.06%EV -8.80%E -2.55%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.00%EV -5.54%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-14 16:30
LeoVegas2.00I 50.00%NM 44.95%EV -13.81%E -6.91%K -13.81%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.06%EV -8.80%E -2.55%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.00%EV -5.54%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-14 16:30
Virgin Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 44.95%EV -13.81%E -6.91%K -13.81%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.06%EV -8.80%E -2.55%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.00%EV -5.54%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-14 16:30
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -3.04%E -1.35%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -10.13%E -2.98%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -5.54%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-14 16:20
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -5.19%E -2.36%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -10.13%E -2.98%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -5.54%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 16:45
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -7.35%E -3.42%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.13%E -2.98%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-14 16:40
Ladbrokes (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.51%EV -3.04%E -1.35%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -11.45%E -3.42%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -7.06%E -2.31%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 16:20
Neds2.25I 44.44%NM 41.51%EV -3.04%E -1.35%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -11.45%E -3.42%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -7.06%E -2.31%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 16:20
Bet Right2.15I 46.51%NM 42.61%EV -7.35%E -3.42%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.35%EV -11.45%E -3.42%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.04%EV -7.06%E -2.31%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-14 16:45
Fliff2.05I 48.78%NM 43.57%EV -11.66%E -5.69%K -11.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.66%EV -11.45%E -3.42%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.77%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-14 16:50
Winamax (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -7.35%E -3.42%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -12.77%E -3.87%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-14 16:40
Betclic (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.59%EV -9.50%E -4.53%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.10%EV -12.77%E -3.87%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.31%EV -10.11%E -3.43%K -5.18%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-14 16:45
Parions Sport (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.59%EV -9.50%E -4.53%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.10%EV -12.77%E -3.87%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.31%EV -10.11%E -3.43%K -5.18%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-14 16:40
NetBet (FR)2.02I 49.50%NM 43.40%EV -12.95%E -6.41%K -12.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.57%EV -12.77%E -3.87%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 30.03%EV -11.02%E -3.77%K -5.74%G +0.000%14.1%2026-03-14 16:50
PMU (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 42.98%EV -15.97%E -8.19%K -16.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.40%EV -12.77%E -3.87%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 31.63%EV -19.25%E -7.26%K -11.67%G +0.000%19.3%2026-03-14 16:55
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.41%EV -9.50%E -4.53%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.40%EV -14.09%E -4.34%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.19%EV -10.11%E -3.43%K -5.18%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-14 16:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 42.38%EV -13.81%E -6.91%K -13.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.34%EV -18.06%E -5.82%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.27%EV -14.68%E -5.24%K -8.15%G +0.000%18.0%2026-03-14 16:55
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.46%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.09%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.46%0.9%2026-03-14 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.46%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.09%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.46%0.9%2026-03-14 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.46%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.09%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.46%0.9%2026-03-14 16:55
Matchbook2.28I 43.86%NM 43.46%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.09%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.46%0.9%2026-03-14 16:55
Kalshi2.22I 45.05%NM 44.17%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.47%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.36%2.0%2026-03-14 16:45
Smarkets2.26I 44.25%NM 43.32%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.10%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.58%2.1%2026-03-14 16:55