La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Goztepe v Alanyaspor
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Goztepe (Local)
Predicción 43.09%2.32momio equitativo
EV -3.04%
Ventaja -1.35%
Kelly -2.43%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.51%43.15%43.23%44.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.952.132.102.2551.28%47.04%47.62%44.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Alanyaspor (Visitante)
Predicción 26.43%3.78momio equitativo
EV +1.77%
Ventaja +0.460%
Kelly +0.621%
Crecimiento +0.011%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.85
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.02%26.34%26.34%27.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.513.533.8532.26%28.50%28.33%25.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 30.47%3.28momio equitativo
EV +0.559%
Ventaja +0.169%
Kelly +0.243%
Crecimiento +0.001%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.30
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.98%30.51%30.43%31.92%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.653.053.053.3037.74%32.75%32.79%30.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.81%EV -4.76%E -2.15%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.15%EV +1.77%E +0.460%K +0.621%G +0.011% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.04%EV -4.93%E -1.58%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-14 16:50 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.25%EV -5.19%E -2.36%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.04%EV +0.448%E +0.118%K +0.160%G +0.001% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.71%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-14 16:40 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.25%EV -5.19%E -2.36%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.04%EV +0.448%E +0.118%K +0.160%G +0.001% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.71%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-14 16:40 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -9.50%E -4.53%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -2.19%E -0.593%K -0.813%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -5.54%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-14 16:44 |
| FanDuel | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.29%EV -7.35%E -3.42%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -2.19%E -0.593%K -0.813%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -10.11%E -3.43%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-14 16:54 |
| SportsBet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.06%EV -7.35%E -3.42%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.02%EV -2.19%E -0.593%K -0.813%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -11.63%E -4.01%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-14 16:55 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.37%EV -7.35%E -3.42%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.55%EV -3.52%E -0.963%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-14 16:50 |
| Everygame | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.14%EV -7.35%E -3.42%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.41%EV -3.52%E -0.963%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.44%EV -10.11%E -3.43%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-14 16:40 |
| Bovada | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.49%EV -8.64%E -4.08%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -3.52%E -0.963%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.25%EV -10.11%E -3.43%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-14 16:44 |
| BetUS | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.49%EV -8.64%E -4.08%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -3.52%E -0.963%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.25%EV -10.11%E -3.43%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-14 16:45 |
| 1xBet | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.71%EV -4.33%E -1.95%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.61I 27.70%NM 26.88%EV -4.57%E -1.27%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.41%EV +0.559%E +0.169%K +0.243%G +0.001% | 3.0% | 2026-03-14 16:55 |
| Fanatics | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.09%EV -5.19%E -2.36%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -4.84%E -1.34%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.58%EV -5.54%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-14 16:19 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.85%EV -9.50%E -4.53%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -4.84%E -1.34%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.98%EV -0.965%E -0.297%K -0.429%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-14 16:30 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.85%EV -9.50%E -4.53%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -4.84%E -1.34%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.98%EV -0.965%E -0.297%K -0.429%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-14 16:30 |
| Paddy Power | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -9.50%E -4.53%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.23%EV -4.84%E -1.34%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.53%EV -12.24%E -4.25%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-14 16:55 |
| GTbets | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.88%EV -3.04%E -1.35%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.59I 27.86%NM 26.87%EV -5.10%E -1.42%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.19I 31.35%NM 30.24%EV -2.79%E -0.876%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-14 16:25 |
| Unibet | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.72%EV -10.36%E -4.98%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -6.16%E -1.74%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -2.49%E -0.778%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-14 16:25 |
| TABtouch | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.72%EV -10.36%E -4.98%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -6.16%E -1.74%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -2.49%E -0.778%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-14 16:20 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.72%EV -10.36%E -4.98%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -6.16%E -1.74%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -2.49%E -0.778%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-14 16:20 |
| Grosvenor | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.72%EV -10.36%E -4.98%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -6.16%E -1.74%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -2.49%E -0.778%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-14 16:20 |
| Casumo | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.72%EV -10.36%E -4.98%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -6.16%E -1.74%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -2.49%E -0.778%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-14 16:20 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.72%EV -10.36%E -4.98%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -6.16%E -1.74%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -2.49%E -0.778%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-14 16:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.72%EV -10.36%E -4.98%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -6.16%E -1.74%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -2.49%E -0.778%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-14 16:20 |
| betPARX | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.72%EV -10.36%E -4.98%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -6.16%E -1.74%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -2.49%E -0.778%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-14 16:20 |
| BetRivers | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.84%EV -10.80%E -5.22%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.15%EV -6.16%E -1.74%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.01%EV -2.49%E -0.778%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-14 16:30 |
| NordicBet | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.42%EV -7.78%E -3.64%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 26.32%EV -6.69%E -1.89%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.07I 32.57%NM 30.26%EV -6.45%E -2.10%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-14 16:45 |
| Betsson | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.42%EV -7.78%E -3.64%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 26.32%EV -6.69%E -1.89%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.07I 32.57%NM 30.26%EV -6.45%E -2.10%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-14 16:45 |
| Coral | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.22%EV -3.04%E -1.35%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -7.48%E -2.14%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.64%EV -5.54%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-14 16:20 |
| Coolbet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.18%EV -5.19%E -2.36%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -7.48%E -2.14%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%EV -2.49%E -0.778%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-14 16:50 |
| 888sport | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -9.50%E -4.53%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -7.48%E -2.14%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-14 16:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -9.50%E -4.53%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -7.48%E -2.14%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-14 16:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -9.50%E -4.53%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -7.48%E -2.14%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-14 16:55 |
| BoyleSports | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -7.35%E -3.42%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -7.48%E -2.14%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -11.63%E -4.01%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-14 16:20 |
| Sky Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -9.50%E -4.53%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -7.48%E -2.14%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -14.68%E -5.24%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-14 16:54 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.27%EV -3.90%E -1.75%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.32%EV -8.80%E -2.55%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.41%EV -5.54%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-14 16:40 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.39%EV -5.19%E -2.36%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -8.80%E -2.55%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%EV -7.06%E -2.31%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-14 16:50 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.95%EV -13.81%E -6.91%K -13.81%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.06%EV -8.80%E -2.55%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.00%EV -5.54%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-14 16:30 |
| LeoVegas | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.95%EV -13.81%E -6.91%K -13.81%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.06%EV -8.80%E -2.55%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.00%EV -5.54%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-14 16:30 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.95%EV -13.81%E -6.91%K -13.81%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.06%EV -8.80%E -2.55%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.00%EV -5.54%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-14 16:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -3.04%E -1.35%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -10.13%E -2.98%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -5.54%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-14 16:20 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -5.19%E -2.36%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -10.13%E -2.98%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -5.54%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-14 16:45 |
| Betway | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -7.35%E -3.42%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.13%E -2.98%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-14 16:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.51%EV -3.04%E -1.35%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -11.45%E -3.42%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -7.06%E -2.31%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-14 16:20 |
| Neds | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.51%EV -3.04%E -1.35%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -11.45%E -3.42%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -7.06%E -2.31%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-14 16:20 |
| Bet Right | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.61%EV -7.35%E -3.42%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.35%EV -11.45%E -3.42%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.04%EV -7.06%E -2.31%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-14 16:45 |
| Fliff | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.57%EV -11.66%E -5.69%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.66%EV -11.45%E -3.42%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.77%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-14 16:50 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -7.35%E -3.42%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -12.77%E -3.87%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -8.58%E -2.86%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-14 16:40 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.59%EV -9.50%E -4.53%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.10%EV -12.77%E -3.87%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.31%EV -10.11%E -3.43%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-03-14 16:45 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.59%EV -9.50%E -4.53%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.10%EV -12.77%E -3.87%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.31%EV -10.11%E -3.43%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-03-14 16:40 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 43.40%EV -12.95%E -6.41%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.57%EV -12.77%E -3.87%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 30.03%EV -11.02%E -3.77%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-03-14 16:50 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 42.98%EV -15.97%E -8.19%K -16.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.40%EV -12.77%E -3.87%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 31.63%EV -19.25%E -7.26%K -11.67%G +0.000% | 19.3% | 2026-03-14 16:55 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.41%EV -9.50%E -4.53%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.40%EV -14.09%E -4.34%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.19%EV -10.11%E -3.43%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-03-14 16:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 42.38%EV -13.81%E -6.91%K -13.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.34%EV -18.06%E -5.82%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.27%EV -14.68%E -5.24%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 18.0% | 2026-03-14 16:55 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.46% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.09% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.46% | 0.9% | 2026-03-14 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.46% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.09% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.46% | 0.9% | 2026-03-14 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.46% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.09% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.46% | 0.9% | 2026-03-14 16:55 |
| Matchbook | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.46% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.09% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.46% | 0.9% | 2026-03-14 16:55 |
| Kalshi | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.17% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.47% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.36% | 2.0% | 2026-03-14 16:45 |
| Smarkets | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.32% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.10% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.58% | 2.1% | 2026-03-14 16:55 |