The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Genclerbirligi SK v Kasimpasa SK

2026-09-13 14:00 UTC — Turkey Super League

Head to Head

37 sportsbooks (11 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Genclerbirligi SK (Local)

Prediction 40.00%2.50fair odd
EV -3.59%
Edge -1.49%
Kelly -2.55%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.41

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.16%40.04%40.02%41.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.312.302.4147.62%43.32%43.48%41.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Kasimpasa SK (Visit)

Prediction 31.07%3.22fair odd
EV -1.82%
Edge -0.575%
Kelly -0.841%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.16

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.42%31.06%31.09%31.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.652.943.003.1637.74%33.96%33.33%31.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 28.93%3.46fair odd
EV -1.65%
Edge -0.486%
Kelly -0.688%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.73%28.90%28.89%29.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.953.173.203.4033.90%31.52%31.25%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Genclerbirligi SK (Local): 40.00%; Kasimpasa SK (Visit): 31.07%; Draw: 28.93%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.46. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.40, with an expected value of -1.65%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (37 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 40.22%EV -3.59%E -1.49%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.67%EV -1.82%E -0.575%K -0.841%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.11%EV -3.68%E -1.10%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-06 17:25
Pinnacle🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.06%EV -4.79%E -2.01%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 31.05%EV -4.61%E -1.50%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.89%EV -4.54%E -1.38%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-06 18:25
Unibet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.42%EV -4.79%E -2.01%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -6.79%E -2.26%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -7.44%E -2.32%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-06 17:25
TABtouch🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.42%EV -4.79%E -2.01%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -6.79%E -2.26%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -7.44%E -2.32%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-06 17:25
Casumo🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.42%EV -4.79%E -2.01%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -6.79%E -2.26%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -7.44%E -2.32%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-06 17:25
Unibet (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.42%EV -4.79%E -2.01%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -6.79%E -2.26%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -7.44%E -2.32%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-06 17:21
Grosvenor🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.42%EV -4.79%E -2.01%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -6.79%E -2.26%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -7.44%E -2.32%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-06 17:25
Unibet (NL)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.42%EV -4.79%E -2.01%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -6.79%E -2.26%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -7.44%E -2.32%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-06 17:25
betPARX🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.42%EV -4.79%E -2.01%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -6.79%E -2.26%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -7.44%E -2.32%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-06 17:25
ATG (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.42%EV -4.79%E -2.01%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -6.79%E -2.26%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -7.44%E -2.32%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-06 17:25
Svenska Spel🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.42%EV -4.79%E -2.01%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -6.79%E -2.26%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -7.44%E -2.32%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-06 17:21
Coolbet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.41%EV -5.99%E -2.55%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -6.79%E -2.26%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.93%EV -1.65%E -0.486%K -0.688%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-06 17:25
Unibet (UK)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -5.99%E -2.55%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -6.79%E -2.26%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -7.44%E -2.32%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-06 17:25
NordicBet🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 39.54%EV -6.39%E -2.73%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.36%EV -8.34%E -2.83%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.10%EV -8.02%E -2.52%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-06 18:30
Betsson🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 39.54%EV -6.39%E -2.73%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.36%EV -8.34%E -2.83%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.10%EV -8.02%E -2.52%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-06 18:30
Codere (IT)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.71%EV -6.79%E -2.91%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.37%EV -8.34%E -2.83%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -7.44%E -2.32%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-06 17:30
Marathon Bet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.19%EV -7.19%E -3.10%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 30.67%EV -5.55%E -1.82%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.14%EV -7.44%E -2.32%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-06 17:20
Fanatics🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -7.99%E -3.47%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -3.68%E -1.19%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -4.54%E -1.38%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-06 17:28
SportsBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.76%EV -7.99%E -3.47%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -6.79%E -2.26%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -3.10%E -0.925%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-06 17:25
FanDuel🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -7.99%E -3.47%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -6.79%E -2.26%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -4.54%E -1.38%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-06 17:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -7.99%E -3.47%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -6.79%E -2.26%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -4.54%E -1.38%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-06 17:25
Bet Right🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.99%EV -7.99%E -3.47%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -9.90%E -3.41%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -5.99%E -1.84%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-06 17:25
betfred_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -7.99%E -3.47%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -10.52%E -3.65%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -5.99%E -1.84%K -2.66%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-06 17:25
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -7.99%E -3.47%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -6.79%E -2.26%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -10.33%E -3.33%K -4.92%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-06 18:15
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -7.99%E -3.47%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -6.79%E -2.26%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -10.33%E -3.33%K -4.92%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-06 18:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -7.99%E -3.47%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -6.79%E -2.26%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -10.33%E -3.33%K -4.92%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-06 18:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.17%EV -7.99%E -3.47%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.28%EV -10.52%E -3.65%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.54%EV -11.78%E -3.86%K -5.74%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-06 17:21
PMU (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.17%EV -7.99%E -3.47%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.28%EV -10.52%E -3.65%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.54%EV -11.78%E -3.86%K -5.74%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-06 17:21
BetRivers🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.17%EV -7.99%E -3.47%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.28%EV -10.52%E -3.65%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.54%EV -11.78%E -3.86%K -5.74%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-06 17:21
LiveScore Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.16%EV -9.99%E -4.44%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.47%EV -13.00%E -4.64%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.37%EV -13.22%E -4.41%K -6.61%G +0.000%13.5%2026-09-06 17:25
Virgin Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.16%EV -9.99%E -4.44%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.47%EV -13.00%E -4.64%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.37%EV -13.22%E -4.41%K -6.61%G +0.000%13.5%2026-09-06 17:21
Betclic (FR)🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 40.21%EV -11.19%E -5.04%K -9.17%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.99%EV -10.52%E -3.65%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.80%EV -10.33%E -3.33%K -4.92%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-06 17:30
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.97%EV -11.99%E -5.45%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.30%EV -10.52%E -3.65%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.73%EV -5.99%E -1.84%K -2.66%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-06 17:25
Winamax (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.85%EV -11.99%E -5.45%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.88%EV -14.56%E -5.29%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.28%EV -10.33%E -3.33%K -4.92%G +0.000%14.1%2026-09-06 17:25
Unibet (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.70%EV -11.99%E -5.45%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.19%EV -13.00%E -4.64%K -7.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.11%EV -13.22%E -4.41%K -6.61%G +0.000%14.5%2026-09-06 17:25
Sky Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.02%EV -13.99%E -6.51%K -12.17%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.29%EV -14.56%E -5.29%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.68%EV -13.22%E -4.41%K -6.61%G +0.000%16.2%2026-09-06 17:25
Winamax (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 39.93%EV -15.99%E -7.62%K -14.54%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 31.64%EV -17.66%E -6.67%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 28.43%EV -14.67%E -4.97%K -7.52%G +0.000%19.3%2026-09-06 17:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎2.18I 45.87%NM 39.49%2.74I 36.50%NM 31.42%2.96I 33.78%NM 29.09%16.2%2026-09-06 17:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.37I 72.99%NM 34.95%1.37I 72.99%NM 34.95%1.59I 62.89%NM 30.11%108.9%2026-09-06 19:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.37I 72.99%NM 34.95%1.37I 72.99%NM 34.95%1.59I 62.89%NM 30.11%108.9%2026-09-06 19:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.37I 72.99%NM 29.79%1.37I 72.99%NM 29.79%1.01I 99.01%NM 40.41%145.0%2026-09-06 17:36