Language:English
Genclerbirligi SK v Kasimpasa SK
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Genclerbirligi SK (Local)
Prediction 41.18%2.43fair odd
EV -2.00%
Edge -0.840%
Kelly -1.45%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.38
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.26%41.10%41.22%42.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.292.302.3847.62%43.71%43.48%42.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Kasimpasa SK (Visit)
Prediction 29.53%3.39fair odd
EV -1.67%
Edge -0.500%
Kelly -0.715%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.33
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.32%29.61%29.39%31.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.093.063.3334.48%32.37%32.63%30.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 29.29%3.41fair odd
EV -1.87%
Edge -0.558%
Kelly -0.795%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.35
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.82%29.29%29.38%30.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.163.203.3534.48%31.68%31.25%29.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Genclerbirligi SK (Local): 41.18%; Kasimpasa SK (Visit): 29.53%; Draw: 29.29%. For Kasimpasa SK (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.39. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.33, with an expected value of -1.67%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.62%EV -2.00%E -0.840%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.92%EV -9.93%E -3.26%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.47%EV -6.26%E -1.96%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-13 13:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.62%EV -2.00%E -0.840%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.92%EV -9.93%E -3.26%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.47%EV -6.26%E -1.96%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.62%EV -2.00%E -0.840%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.92%EV -9.93%E -3.26%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.47%EV -6.26%E -1.96%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.62%EV -2.00%E -0.840%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.92%EV -9.93%E -3.26%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.47%EV -6.26%E -1.96%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.62%EV -2.00%E -0.840%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.92%EV -9.93%E -3.26%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.47%EV -6.26%E -1.96%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-13 13:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.62%EV -2.00%E -0.840%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.92%EV -9.93%E -3.26%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.47%EV -6.26%E -1.96%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-13 13:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.62%EV -2.00%E -0.840%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.92%EV -9.93%E -3.26%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.47%EV -6.26%E -1.96%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-13 13:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.62%EV -2.00%E -0.840%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.92%EV -9.93%E -3.26%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.47%EV -6.26%E -1.96%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.62%EV -2.00%E -0.840%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.92%EV -9.93%E -3.26%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.47%EV -6.26%E -1.96%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-12 14:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.10%EV -2.41%E -1.02%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.66%EV -8.46%E -2.73%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.24%EV -4.80%E -1.48%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-13 09:56 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.69%EV -2.41%E -1.02%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -11.41%E -3.80%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -4.80%E -1.48%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-13 09:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.37%EV -2.82%E -1.20%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.21I 31.15%NM 29.68%EV -5.21%E -1.62%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.96%EV -6.85%E -2.15%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-13 12:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.37%EV -2.82%E -1.20%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.21I 31.15%NM 29.68%EV -5.21%E -1.62%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.96%EV -6.85%E -2.15%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-13 12:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.37%EV -2.82%E -1.20%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.21I 31.15%NM 29.68%EV -5.21%E -1.62%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.96%EV -6.85%E -2.15%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-13 12:46 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.98%EV -2.82%E -1.20%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.63%EV -9.05%E -2.94%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.21I 31.15%NM 29.39%EV -5.97%E -1.86%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-07 00:09 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.51%EV -3.23%E -1.38%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.47%EV -12.89%E -4.37%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.02%EV -6.26%E -1.96%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-13 09:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.51%EV -3.23%E -1.38%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.47%EV -12.89%E -4.37%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.02%EV -6.26%E -1.96%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-13 09:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.49%EV -4.06%E -1.74%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.03%EV -1.67%E -0.500%K -0.715%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 29.47%EV -3.92%E -1.19%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-13 13:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.36%EV -4.47%E -1.93%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.99%EV -5.50%E -1.72%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.65%EV -1.87%E -0.558%K -0.795%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-13 13:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.40%EV -5.29%E -2.30%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.30%EV -4.03%E -1.24%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.30%EV -4.80%E -1.48%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-12 14:19 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.29%E -2.30%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -5.50%E -1.72%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -6.26%E -1.96%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-13 12:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.29%E -2.30%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -5.50%E -1.72%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -6.26%E -1.96%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-13 13:34 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -5.29%E -2.30%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -11.41%E -3.80%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -12.12%E -4.04%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-13 12:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -5.29%E -2.30%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -11.41%E -3.80%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -12.12%E -4.04%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-13 12:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -5.29%E -2.30%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -11.41%E -3.80%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -12.12%E -4.04%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-13 12:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.26%EV -5.29%E -2.30%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.14%EV -14.36%E -4.95%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.60%EV -10.66%E -3.49%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-13 13:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.26%EV -5.29%E -2.30%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.14%EV -14.36%E -4.95%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.60%EV -10.66%E -3.49%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-13 13:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.26%EV -5.29%E -2.30%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.14%EV -14.36%E -4.95%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.60%EV -10.66%E -3.49%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-13 13:20 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.26%EV -5.29%E -2.30%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.14%EV -14.36%E -4.95%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.60%EV -10.66%E -3.49%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-13 13:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.47%EV -6.12%E -2.68%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.03%EV -14.36%E -4.95%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.50%EV -10.66%E -3.49%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-13 13:25 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.53%EV -6.53%E -2.88%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -5.50%E -1.72%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.01%EV -4.80%E -1.48%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-13 13:41 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 41.30%EV -6.94%E -3.07%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.35%EV -6.10%E -1.92%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.35%EV -6.85%E -2.15%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-13 13:54 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -7.35%E -3.27%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -5.50%E -1.72%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -4.80%E -1.48%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-13 13:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -7.35%E -3.27%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -2.55%E -0.773%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -9.19%E -2.97%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-13 13:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -7.35%E -3.27%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -8.46%E -2.73%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -3.33%E -1.01%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-13 13:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -7.35%E -3.27%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -4.03%E -1.24%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -9.19%E -2.97%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-13 13:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -7.35%E -3.27%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -8.46%E -2.73%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -4.80%E -1.48%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-13 13:56 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.16%EV -7.35%E -3.27%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 28.76%EV -4.91%E -1.53%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.07%EV -9.78%E -3.17%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-13 13:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.16%EV -7.35%E -3.27%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 28.76%EV -4.91%E -1.53%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.07%EV -9.78%E -3.17%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-13 13:35 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -7.35%E -3.27%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -11.41%E -3.80%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -4.80%E -1.48%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-13 13:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -7.35%E -3.27%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -11.41%E -3.80%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -12.12%E -4.04%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-13 05:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.28%EV -8.18%E -3.67%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.22%EV -6.98%E -2.22%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.50%EV -8.61%E -2.76%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-13 13:54 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -9.41%E -4.28%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -5.50%E -1.72%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -3.33%E -1.01%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-13 13:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.70%EV -9.41%E -4.28%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -9.93%E -3.26%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -4.80%E -1.48%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-13 13:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -9.41%E -4.28%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -5.50%E -1.72%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -12.12%E -4.04%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-13 13:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -9.41%E -4.28%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -5.50%E -1.72%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -12.12%E -4.04%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-13 13:45 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.42%EV -9.41%E -4.28%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 29.94%EV -12.30%E -4.14%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.64%EV -12.12%E -4.04%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-09-13 13:56 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 41.94%EV -10.65%E -4.91%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.36%EV -8.46%E -2.73%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 28.71%EV -7.14%E -2.25%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-13 13:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -11.47%E -5.33%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -11.41%E -3.80%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -4.80%E -1.48%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-13 13:41 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.65%EV -11.47%E -5.33%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.36%EV -12.89%E -4.37%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.99%EV -6.26%E -1.96%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-13 13:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.07%EV -11.47%E -5.33%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.48%EV -8.46%E -2.73%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.45%EV -15.05%E -5.19%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-09-13 13:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.66%EV -13.53%E -6.44%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -8.46%E -2.73%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.44%EV -7.73%E -2.45%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-13 13:41 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 41.26% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.94% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.80% | 0.2% | 2026-09-13 13:56 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.83% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.45% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.72% | 0.4% | 2026-09-13 13:56 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.04% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.35% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62% | 0.8% | 2026-09-13 13:56 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.04% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.35% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62% | 0.8% | 2026-09-13 13:56 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.04% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.35% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62% | 0.8% | 2026-09-13 13:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.21% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.43% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.36% | 2.0% | 2026-09-13 13:31 |