Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Genclerbirligi SK v Kasimpasa SK

Início: 2026-09-13 14:00 UTC

Final: Genclerbirligi SK 1–2 Kasimpasa SK

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

52 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Genclerbirligi SK (Local)

Previsão 41.18%2.43odd justa
EV -2.00%
Vantagem -0.840%
Kelly -1.45%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.38

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
39.26%41.10%41.22%42.66%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.102.292.302.3847.62%43.71%43.48%42.02%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Kasimpasa SK (Visitante)

Previsão 29.53%3.39odd justa
EV -1.67%
Vantagem -0.500%
Kelly -0.715%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.33

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
28.32%29.61%29.39%31.47%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.903.093.063.3334.48%32.37%32.63%30.03%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 29.29%3.41odd justa
EV -1.87%
Vantagem -0.558%
Kelly -0.795%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.35

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.82%29.29%29.38%30.45%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.903.163.203.3534.48%31.68%31.25%29.85%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Genclerbirligi SK (Local): 41.18%; Kasimpasa SK (Visitante): 29.53%; Empate: 29.29%. Para Kasimpasa SK (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.39. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 3.33, com valor esperado de -1.67%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (52 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Unibet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.62%EV -2.00%E -0.840%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.92%EV -9.93%E -3.26%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.47%EV -6.26%E -1.96%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-13 13:25
TABtouch🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.62%EV -2.00%E -0.840%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.92%EV -9.93%E -3.26%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.47%EV -6.26%E -1.96%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-12 14:20
Casumo🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.62%EV -2.00%E -0.840%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.92%EV -9.93%E -3.26%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.47%EV -6.26%E -1.96%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-12 14:20
Unibet (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.62%EV -2.00%E -0.840%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.92%EV -9.93%E -3.26%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.47%EV -6.26%E -1.96%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-12 14:20
Grosvenor🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.62%EV -2.00%E -0.840%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.92%EV -9.93%E -3.26%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.47%EV -6.26%E -1.96%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-13 13:25
Unibet (NL)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.62%EV -2.00%E -0.840%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.92%EV -9.93%E -3.26%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.47%EV -6.26%E -1.96%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-13 13:25
betPARX🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.62%EV -2.00%E -0.840%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.92%EV -9.93%E -3.26%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.47%EV -6.26%E -1.96%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-13 13:25
ATG (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.62%EV -2.00%E -0.840%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.92%EV -9.93%E -3.26%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.47%EV -6.26%E -1.96%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-12 14:20
Svenska Spel🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.62%EV -2.00%E -0.840%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.92%EV -9.93%E -3.26%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.47%EV -6.26%E -1.96%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-12 14:20
Coral🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.10%EV -2.41%E -1.02%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.66%EV -8.46%E -2.73%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.24%EV -4.80%E -1.48%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-13 09:56
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.69%EV -2.41%E -1.02%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -11.41%E -3.80%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -4.80%E -1.48%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-13 09:55
LowVig.ag🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 40.37%EV -2.82%E -1.20%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 29.68%EV -5.21%E -1.62%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.96%EV -6.85%E -2.15%K -3.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-13 12:45
BetOnline.ag🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 40.37%EV -2.82%E -1.20%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 29.68%EV -5.21%E -1.62%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.96%EV -6.85%E -2.15%K -3.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-13 12:45
BetUS🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 40.37%EV -2.82%E -1.20%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 29.68%EV -5.21%E -1.62%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.96%EV -6.85%E -2.15%K -3.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-13 12:46
GTbets🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 39.98%EV -2.82%E -1.20%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.63%EV -9.05%E -2.94%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 29.39%EV -5.97%E -1.86%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-07 00:09
Neds🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.51%EV -3.23%E -1.38%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.47%EV -12.89%E -4.37%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.02%EV -6.26%E -1.96%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-13 09:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.51%EV -3.23%E -1.38%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.47%EV -12.89%E -4.37%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.02%EV -6.26%E -1.96%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-13 09:55
Pinnacle🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 41.49%EV -4.06%E -1.74%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.03%EV -1.67%E -0.500%K -0.715%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.47%EV -3.92%E -1.19%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-13 13:55
1xBet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.36%EV -4.47%E -1.93%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.99%EV -5.50%E -1.72%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.65%EV -1.87%E -0.558%K -0.795%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-13 13:50
Coolbet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.40%EV -5.29%E -2.30%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.30%EV -4.03%E -1.24%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.30%EV -4.80%E -1.48%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-12 14:19
Fanatics🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.29%E -2.30%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -5.50%E -1.72%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -6.26%E -1.96%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-13 12:40
DraftKings🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.29%E -2.30%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -5.50%E -1.72%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -6.26%E -1.96%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-13 13:34
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -5.29%E -2.30%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -11.41%E -3.80%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -12.12%E -4.04%K -6.06%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-13 12:40
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -5.29%E -2.30%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -11.41%E -3.80%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -12.12%E -4.04%K -6.06%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-13 12:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -5.29%E -2.30%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -11.41%E -3.80%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -12.12%E -4.04%K -6.06%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-13 12:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.26%EV -5.29%E -2.30%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.14%EV -14.36%E -4.95%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.60%EV -10.66%E -3.49%K -5.20%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-13 13:25
LiveScore Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.26%EV -5.29%E -2.30%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.14%EV -14.36%E -4.95%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.60%EV -10.66%E -3.49%K -5.20%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-13 13:20
Virgin Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.26%EV -5.29%E -2.30%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.14%EV -14.36%E -4.95%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.60%EV -10.66%E -3.49%K -5.20%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-13 13:20
PMU (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.26%EV -5.29%E -2.30%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.14%EV -14.36%E -4.95%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.60%EV -10.66%E -3.49%K -5.20%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-13 13:20
BetRivers🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.47%EV -6.12%E -2.68%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.03%EV -14.36%E -4.95%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.50%EV -10.66%E -3.49%K -5.20%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-13 13:25
Codere (IT)🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 41.53%EV -6.53%E -2.88%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -5.50%E -1.72%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.01%EV -4.80%E -1.48%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-13 13:41
Marathon Bet🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 41.30%EV -6.94%E -3.07%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.35%EV -6.10%E -1.92%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.35%EV -6.85%E -2.15%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-13 13:54
Unibet (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -7.35%E -3.27%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -5.50%E -1.72%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -4.80%E -1.48%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-13 13:40
FanDuel🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -7.35%E -3.27%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -2.55%E -0.773%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -9.19%E -2.97%K -4.38%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-13 13:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -7.35%E -3.27%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -8.46%E -2.73%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -3.33%E -1.01%K -1.45%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-13 13:40
SportsBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -7.35%E -3.27%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -4.03%E -1.24%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -9.19%E -2.97%K -4.38%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-13 13:40
Betway🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -7.35%E -3.27%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -8.46%E -2.73%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -4.80%E -1.48%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-13 13:56
NordicBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.16%EV -7.35%E -3.27%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.76%EV -4.91%E -1.53%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.07%EV -9.78%E -3.17%K -4.70%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-13 13:35
Betsson🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.16%EV -7.35%E -3.27%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.76%EV -4.91%E -1.53%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.07%EV -9.78%E -3.17%K -4.70%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-13 13:35
betfred_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -7.35%E -3.27%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -11.41%E -3.80%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -4.80%E -1.48%K -2.13%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-13 13:40
BoyleSports🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -7.35%E -3.27%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -11.41%E -3.80%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -12.12%E -4.04%K -6.06%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-13 05:30
Bovada🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.28%EV -8.18%E -3.67%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.22%EV -6.98%E -2.22%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.50%EV -8.61%E -2.76%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-13 13:54
Tipico (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -9.41%E -4.28%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -5.50%E -1.72%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -3.33%E -1.01%K -1.45%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-13 13:40
Bet Right🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.70%EV -9.41%E -4.28%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -9.93%E -3.26%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -4.80%E -1.48%K -2.13%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-13 13:40
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -9.41%E -4.28%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -5.50%E -1.72%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -12.12%E -4.04%K -6.06%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-13 13:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -9.41%E -4.28%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -5.50%E -1.72%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -12.12%E -4.04%K -6.06%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-13 13:45
NetBet (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.42%EV -9.41%E -4.28%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 29.94%EV -12.30%E -4.14%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.64%EV -12.12%E -4.04%K -6.06%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-13 13:56
Betclic (FR)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 41.94%EV -10.65%E -4.91%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.36%EV -8.46%E -2.73%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 28.71%EV -7.14%E -2.25%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-13 13:40
Winamax (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -11.47%E -5.33%K -9.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -11.41%E -3.80%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -4.80%E -1.48%K -2.13%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-13 13:41
Winamax (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.65%EV -11.47%E -5.33%K -9.97%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.36%EV -12.89%E -4.37%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.99%EV -6.26%E -1.96%K -2.85%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-13 13:40
Sky Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.07%EV -11.47%E -5.33%K -9.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.48%EV -8.46%E -2.73%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.45%EV -15.05%E -5.19%K -7.92%G +0.000%13.3%2026-09-13 13:40
Unibet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.66%EV -13.53%E -6.44%K -12.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -8.46%E -2.73%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.44%EV -7.73%E -2.45%K -3.59%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-13 13:41
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Smarkets◎2.42I 41.32%NM 41.26%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.94%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.80%0.2%2026-09-13 13:56
Matchbook◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.83%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.45%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.72%0.4%2026-09-13 13:56
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.36I 42.37%NM 42.04%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.35%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%0.8%2026-09-13 13:56
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.36I 42.37%NM 42.04%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.35%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%0.8%2026-09-13 13:56
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.36I 42.37%NM 42.04%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.35%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%0.8%2026-09-13 13:55
Kalshi◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.21%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.43%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.36%2.0%2026-09-13 13:31