Model domyślnyŚrednia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Genclerbirligi SK v Kasimpasa SK

Początek: 2026-09-13 14:00 UTC

Wynik końcowy: Genclerbirligi SK 1–2 Kasimpasa SK

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

52 bukmacherów (19 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Genclerbirligi SK (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 41.18%2.43kurs godziwy
EV -2.00%
Przewaga -0.840%
Kelly -1.45%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.38

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
39.26%41.10%41.22%42.66%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.102.292.302.3847.62%43.71%43.48%42.02%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kasimpasa SK (Goście)

Prognoza 29.53%3.39kurs godziwy
EV -1.67%
Przewaga -0.500%
Kelly -0.715%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.33

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
28.32%29.61%29.39%31.47%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.903.093.063.3334.48%32.37%32.63%30.03%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Remis

Prognoza 29.29%3.41kurs godziwy
EV -1.87%
Przewaga -0.558%
Kelly -0.795%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.35

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
27.82%29.29%29.38%30.45%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.903.163.203.3534.48%31.68%31.25%29.85%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Genclerbirligi SK (Gospodarze): 41.18%; Kasimpasa SK (Goście): 29.53%; Remis: 29.29%. Dla wyniku Kasimpasa SK (Goście) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 3.39. Żaden kwalifikujący się bukmacher nie oferował kursu zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu: najlepszy wynosił 3.33, przy wartości oczekiwanej -1.67%; nie dawał dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej.

Kursy bukmacherskie (52 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarze ▼GościeRemisMarżaAktualizacja
Unibet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.62%EV -2.00%E -0.840%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.92%EV -9.93%E -3.26%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.47%EV -6.26%E -1.96%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-13 13:25
TABtouch🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.62%EV -2.00%E -0.840%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.92%EV -9.93%E -3.26%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.47%EV -6.26%E -1.96%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-12 14:20
Casumo🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.62%EV -2.00%E -0.840%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.92%EV -9.93%E -3.26%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.47%EV -6.26%E -1.96%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-12 14:20
Unibet (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.62%EV -2.00%E -0.840%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.92%EV -9.93%E -3.26%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.47%EV -6.26%E -1.96%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-12 14:20
Grosvenor🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.62%EV -2.00%E -0.840%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.92%EV -9.93%E -3.26%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.47%EV -6.26%E -1.96%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-13 13:25
Unibet (NL)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.62%EV -2.00%E -0.840%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.92%EV -9.93%E -3.26%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.47%EV -6.26%E -1.96%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-13 13:25
betPARX🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.62%EV -2.00%E -0.840%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.92%EV -9.93%E -3.26%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.47%EV -6.26%E -1.96%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-13 13:25
ATG (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.62%EV -2.00%E -0.840%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.92%EV -9.93%E -3.26%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.47%EV -6.26%E -1.96%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-12 14:20
Svenska Spel🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.62%EV -2.00%E -0.840%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.92%EV -9.93%E -3.26%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.47%EV -6.26%E -1.96%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-12 14:20
Coral🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.10%EV -2.41%E -1.02%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.66%EV -8.46%E -2.73%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.24%EV -4.80%E -1.48%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-13 09:56
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.69%EV -2.41%E -1.02%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -11.41%E -3.80%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -4.80%E -1.48%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-13 09:55
LowVig.ag🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 40.37%EV -2.82%E -1.20%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 29.68%EV -5.21%E -1.62%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.96%EV -6.85%E -2.15%K -3.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-13 12:45
BetOnline.ag🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 40.37%EV -2.82%E -1.20%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 29.68%EV -5.21%E -1.62%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.96%EV -6.85%E -2.15%K -3.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-13 12:45
BetUS🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 40.37%EV -2.82%E -1.20%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 29.68%EV -5.21%E -1.62%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.96%EV -6.85%E -2.15%K -3.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-13 12:46
GTbets🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 39.98%EV -2.82%E -1.20%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.63%EV -9.05%E -2.94%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 29.39%EV -5.97%E -1.86%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-07 00:09
Neds🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.51%EV -3.23%E -1.38%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.47%EV -12.89%E -4.37%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.02%EV -6.26%E -1.96%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-13 09:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.51%EV -3.23%E -1.38%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.47%EV -12.89%E -4.37%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.02%EV -6.26%E -1.96%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-13 09:55
Pinnacle🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 41.49%EV -4.06%E -1.74%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.03%EV -1.67%E -0.500%K -0.715%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.47%EV -3.92%E -1.19%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-13 13:55
1xBet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.36%EV -4.47%E -1.93%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.99%EV -5.50%E -1.72%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.65%EV -1.87%E -0.558%K -0.795%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-13 13:50
Coolbet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.40%EV -5.29%E -2.30%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.30%EV -4.03%E -1.24%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.30%EV -4.80%E -1.48%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-12 14:19
Fanatics🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.29%E -2.30%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -5.50%E -1.72%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -6.26%E -1.96%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-13 12:40
DraftKings🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.29%E -2.30%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -5.50%E -1.72%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -6.26%E -1.96%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-13 13:34
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -5.29%E -2.30%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -11.41%E -3.80%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -12.12%E -4.04%K -6.06%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-13 12:40
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -5.29%E -2.30%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -11.41%E -3.80%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -12.12%E -4.04%K -6.06%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-13 12:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -5.29%E -2.30%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -11.41%E -3.80%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -12.12%E -4.04%K -6.06%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-13 12:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.26%EV -5.29%E -2.30%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.14%EV -14.36%E -4.95%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.60%EV -10.66%E -3.49%K -5.20%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-13 13:25
LiveScore Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.26%EV -5.29%E -2.30%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.14%EV -14.36%E -4.95%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.60%EV -10.66%E -3.49%K -5.20%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-13 13:20
Virgin Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.26%EV -5.29%E -2.30%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.14%EV -14.36%E -4.95%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.60%EV -10.66%E -3.49%K -5.20%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-13 13:20
PMU (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.26%EV -5.29%E -2.30%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.14%EV -14.36%E -4.95%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.60%EV -10.66%E -3.49%K -5.20%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-13 13:20
BetRivers🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.47%EV -6.12%E -2.68%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.03%EV -14.36%E -4.95%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.50%EV -10.66%E -3.49%K -5.20%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-13 13:25
Codere (IT)🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 41.53%EV -6.53%E -2.88%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -5.50%E -1.72%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.01%EV -4.80%E -1.48%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-13 13:41
Marathon Bet🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 41.30%EV -6.94%E -3.07%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.35%EV -6.10%E -1.92%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.35%EV -6.85%E -2.15%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-13 13:54
Unibet (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -7.35%E -3.27%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -5.50%E -1.72%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -4.80%E -1.48%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-13 13:40
FanDuel🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -7.35%E -3.27%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -2.55%E -0.773%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -9.19%E -2.97%K -4.38%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-13 13:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -7.35%E -3.27%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -8.46%E -2.73%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -3.33%E -1.01%K -1.45%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-13 13:40
SportsBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -7.35%E -3.27%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -4.03%E -1.24%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -9.19%E -2.97%K -4.38%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-13 13:40
Betway🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -7.35%E -3.27%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -8.46%E -2.73%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -4.80%E -1.48%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-13 13:56
NordicBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.16%EV -7.35%E -3.27%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.76%EV -4.91%E -1.53%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.07%EV -9.78%E -3.17%K -4.70%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-13 13:35
Betsson🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.16%EV -7.35%E -3.27%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.76%EV -4.91%E -1.53%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.07%EV -9.78%E -3.17%K -4.70%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-13 13:35
betfred_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -7.35%E -3.27%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -11.41%E -3.80%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -4.80%E -1.48%K -2.13%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-13 13:40
BoyleSports🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -7.35%E -3.27%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -11.41%E -3.80%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -12.12%E -4.04%K -6.06%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-13 05:30
Bovada🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.28%EV -8.18%E -3.67%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.22%EV -6.98%E -2.22%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.50%EV -8.61%E -2.76%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-13 13:54
Tipico (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -9.41%E -4.28%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -5.50%E -1.72%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -3.33%E -1.01%K -1.45%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-13 13:40
Bet Right🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.70%EV -9.41%E -4.28%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -9.93%E -3.26%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -4.80%E -1.48%K -2.13%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-13 13:40
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -9.41%E -4.28%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -5.50%E -1.72%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -12.12%E -4.04%K -6.06%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-13 13:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -9.41%E -4.28%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -5.50%E -1.72%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -12.12%E -4.04%K -6.06%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-13 13:45
NetBet (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.42%EV -9.41%E -4.28%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 29.94%EV -12.30%E -4.14%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.64%EV -12.12%E -4.04%K -6.06%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-13 13:56
Betclic (FR)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 41.94%EV -10.65%E -4.91%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.36%EV -8.46%E -2.73%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 28.71%EV -7.14%E -2.25%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-13 13:40
Winamax (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -11.47%E -5.33%K -9.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -11.41%E -3.80%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -4.80%E -1.48%K -2.13%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-13 13:41
Winamax (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.65%EV -11.47%E -5.33%K -9.97%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.36%EV -12.89%E -4.37%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.99%EV -6.26%E -1.96%K -2.85%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-13 13:40
Sky Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.07%EV -11.47%E -5.33%K -9.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.48%EV -8.46%E -2.73%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.45%EV -15.05%E -5.19%K -7.92%G +0.000%13.3%2026-09-13 13:40
Unibet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.66%EV -13.53%E -6.44%K -12.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -8.46%E -2.73%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.44%EV -7.73%E -2.45%K -3.59%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-13 13:41
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (6)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemisMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Smarkets◎2.42I 41.32%NM 41.26%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.94%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.80%0.2%2026-09-13 13:56
Matchbook◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.83%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.45%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.72%0.4%2026-09-13 13:56
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.36I 42.37%NM 42.04%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.35%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%0.8%2026-09-13 13:56
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.36I 42.37%NM 42.04%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.35%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%0.8%2026-09-13 13:56
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.36I 42.37%NM 42.04%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.35%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%0.8%2026-09-13 13:55
Kalshi◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.21%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.43%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.36%2.0%2026-09-13 13:31