Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Genclerbirligi SK v Besiktas JK

Kickoff: 2026-03-15 17:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

53 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Genclerbirligi SK (Local)

Prediction 17.86%5.60fair odd
EV +2.33%
Edge +0.406%
Kelly +0.492%
Growth +0.011%

assuming max odds 5.73

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.50%17.90%17.88%19.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.605.065.005.7321.74%19.77%20.00%17.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Besiktas JK (Visit)

Prediction 59.10%1.69fair odd
EV -1.89%
Edge -1.14%
Kelly -2.86%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.66

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.53%59.04%59.04%60.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.421.581.571.6670.42%63.23%63.69%60.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 23.04%4.34fair odd
EV -0.243%
Edge -0.056%
Kelly -0.073%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.33

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.82%23.06%23.07%25.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.973.954.3329.41%25.16%25.32%23.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Genclerbirligi SK (Local): 17.86%; Besiktas JK (Visit): 59.10%; Draw: 23.04%. For Genclerbirligi SK (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.60. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.73, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.33%.

Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯5.73I 17.45%NM 16.86%EV +2.33%E +0.406%K +0.492%G +0.011%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.36%EV -5.43%E -3.40%K -9.06%G +0.000%4.24I 23.58%NM 22.78%EV -2.32%E -0.546%K -0.715%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-15 16:45
FanDuel🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.50%EV +0.005%E +0.001%K +0.001%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.40%EV -9.57%E -6.26%K -18.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -7.85%E -1.96%K -2.62%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-15 16:44
LowVig.ag🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.51%EV -1.78%E -0.324%K -0.396%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.82%EV -4.84%E -3.01%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.66%EV -2.09%E -0.491%K -0.642%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-15 16:40
BetOnline.ag🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.51%EV -1.78%E -0.324%K -0.396%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.82%EV -4.84%E -3.01%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.66%EV -2.09%E -0.491%K -0.642%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-15 16:45
Fanatics🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -1.78%E -0.324%K -0.396%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.59%EV -7.21%E -4.59%K -12.65%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.12%EV -0.934%E -0.217%K -0.283%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-15 16:45
Unibet (UK)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.27%EV -1.78%E -0.324%K -0.396%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.12%EV -6.62%E -4.19%K -11.41%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.61%EV -3.24%E -0.771%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-15 16:45
Coolbet🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.27%EV -1.78%E -0.324%K -0.396%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.12%EV -6.62%E -4.19%K -11.41%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.61%EV -3.24%E -0.771%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-15 16:44
Tipico (DE)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.11%EV -1.78%E -0.324%K -0.396%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.94%EV -7.21%E -4.59%K -12.65%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -5.54%E -1.35%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-15 16:50
SportsBet🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.01%EV -1.78%E -0.324%K -0.396%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.60%EV -7.21%E -4.59%K -12.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -7.85%E -1.96%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-15 16:45
Everygame🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.01%EV -1.78%E -0.324%K -0.396%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.60%EV -7.21%E -4.59%K -12.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -7.85%E -1.96%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-15 16:45
1xBet🎯5.43I 18.42%NM 17.90%EV -3.03%E -0.558%K -0.684%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.56%EV -1.89%E -1.14%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.13I 24.21%NM 23.54%EV -4.85%E -1.17%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-15 16:50
Bovada🎯5.35I 18.69%NM 17.27%EV -4.46%E -0.834%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.62%EV -8.39%E -5.41%K -15.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -7.85%E -1.96%K -2.62%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-15 16:40
BetUS🎯5.35I 18.69%NM 17.27%EV -4.46%E -0.834%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.62%EV -8.39%E -5.41%K -15.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -7.85%E -1.96%K -2.62%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-15 16:40
Marathon Bet🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.59%EV -5.35%E -1.01%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.39%EV -7.21%E -4.59%K -12.65%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.02%EV -6.69%E -1.65%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-15 16:40
GTbets🎯5.27I 18.98%NM 17.87%EV -5.89%E -1.12%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.12%EV -4.25%E -2.63%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.02%EV -9.69%E -2.47%K -3.32%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-15 16:45
Coral🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 18.00%EV -6.25%E -1.19%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.18%EV -7.21%E -4.59%K -12.65%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.82%EV -0.243%E -0.056%K -0.073%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-15 16:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.88%EV -6.25%E -1.19%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.78%EV -7.21%E -4.59%K -12.65%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -3.24%E -0.771%K -1.01%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-15 16:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.68%EV -6.25%E -1.19%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.12%EV -7.21%E -4.59%K -12.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -7.85%E -1.96%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-15 16:45
Bet Right🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.49%EV -6.25%E -1.19%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.25%EV -8.39%E -5.41%K -15.25%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.25%EV -9.00%E -2.28%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-15 16:55
Codere (IT)🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 18.19%EV -7.14%E -1.37%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.74%EV -4.84%E -3.01%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.07%EV -5.54%E -1.35%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-15 16:30
Neds🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 18.02%EV -7.14%E -1.37%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.68%EV -7.21%E -4.59%K -12.65%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -3.24%E -0.771%K -1.01%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-15 16:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 18.02%EV -7.14%E -1.37%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.68%EV -7.21%E -4.59%K -12.65%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -3.24%E -0.771%K -1.01%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-15 16:40
Betsson🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.22%EV -8.92%E -1.75%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.83%EV -6.62%E -4.19%K -11.41%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.95%EV -6.69%E -1.65%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-15 16:30
NordicBet🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.22%EV -8.92%E -1.75%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.83%EV -6.62%E -4.19%K -11.41%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.95%EV -6.69%E -1.65%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-15 16:30
Betway🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.38%EV -10.71%E -2.14%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.44%EV -5.43%E -3.40%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -12.45%E -3.28%K -4.45%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-15 16:30
888sport🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -10.71%E -2.14%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.26%EV -7.21%E -4.59%K -12.65%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -10.15%E -2.60%K -3.50%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-15 16:45
888sport (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -10.71%E -2.14%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.26%EV -7.21%E -4.59%K -12.65%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -10.15%E -2.60%K -3.50%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-15 16:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -10.71%E -2.14%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.26%EV -7.21%E -4.59%K -12.65%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -10.15%E -2.60%K -3.50%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-15 16:45
BoyleSports🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.05%EV -10.71%E -2.14%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 58.21%EV -8.39%E -5.41%K -15.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.74%EV -12.45%E -3.28%K -4.45%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-15 16:35
Paddy Power🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -10.71%E -2.14%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.53%EV -9.57%E -6.26%K -18.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.56%EV -12.45%E -3.28%K -4.45%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-15 16:30
Sky Bet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.85%EV -10.71%E -2.14%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.34%EV -9.57%E -6.26%K -18.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.80%EV -13.61%E -3.63%K -4.95%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-15 16:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.23%EV -10.71%E -2.14%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 57.43%EV -11.35%E -7.56%K -22.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.34%EV -21.67%E -6.37%K -9.03%G +0.000%16.1%2026-03-15 16:45
Fliff🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 18.39%EV -12.50%E -2.55%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 58.51%EV -8.98%E -5.83%K -16.63%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.10%EV -10.15%E -2.60%K -3.50%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-15 16:45
Parions Sport (FR)🎯4.85I 20.62%NM 18.42%EV -13.39%E -2.76%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.38%EV -9.57%E -6.26%K -18.06%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.20%EV -11.30%E -2.94%K -3.97%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-15 16:35
ATG (SE)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.58%EV -14.28%E -2.98%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.62%EV -1.89%E -1.14%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.80%EV -9.00%E -2.28%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-15 16:55
Svenska Spel🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.58%EV -14.28%E -2.98%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.62%EV -1.89%E -1.14%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.80%EV -9.00%E -2.28%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-15 16:55
BetRivers🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.31%EV -14.28%E -2.98%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.22%EV -4.25%E -2.63%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.47%EV -9.00%E -2.28%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-15 16:30
Betclic (FR)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.57%EV -14.28%E -2.98%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.27%EV -9.57%E -6.26%K -18.06%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.16%EV -11.30%E -2.94%K -3.97%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-15 16:35
PMU (FR)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 17.39%EV -14.28%E -2.98%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 58.77%EV -16.07%E -11.32%K -38.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 23.84%EV -19.36%E -5.53%K -7.75%G +0.000%19.8%2026-03-15 16:30
Unibet🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.55%EV -15.17%E -3.19%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.63%EV -3.07%E -1.87%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -10.15%E -2.60%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-15 16:55
TABtouch🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.55%EV -15.17%E -3.19%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.63%EV -3.07%E -1.87%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -10.15%E -2.60%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-15 16:55
Unibet (NL)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.78%EV -16.07%E -3.42%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.69%EV -3.07%E -1.87%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.54%EV -9.00%E -2.28%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-15 16:55
Grosvenor🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.78%EV -16.07%E -3.42%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.69%EV -3.07%E -1.87%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.54%EV -9.00%E -2.28%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-15 16:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.78%EV -16.07%E -3.42%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.69%EV -3.07%E -1.87%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.54%EV -9.00%E -2.28%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-15 16:55
Unibet (SE)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.78%EV -16.07%E -3.42%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.69%EV -3.07%E -1.87%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.54%EV -9.00%E -2.28%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-15 16:55
Casumo🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.78%EV -16.07%E -3.42%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.69%EV -3.07%E -1.87%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.54%EV -9.00%E -2.28%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-15 16:55
betPARX🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.78%EV -16.07%E -3.42%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.69%EV -3.07%E -1.87%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.54%EV -9.00%E -2.28%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-15 16:55
Winamax (DE)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.38%EV -16.07%E -3.42%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.40%EV -7.80%E -5.00%K -13.93%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.22%EV -5.54%E -1.35%K -1.79%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-15 16:30
NetBet (FR)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 18.64%EV -16.07%E -3.42%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 58.01%EV -10.75%E -7.12%K -21.09%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.36%EV -13.61%E -3.63%K -4.95%G +0.000%14.2%2026-03-15 16:50
LeoVegas🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.66%EV -17.85%E -3.88%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.53%EV -5.43%E -3.40%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.80%EV -12.45%E -3.28%K -4.45%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-15 16:55
LiveScore Bet🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.66%EV -17.85%E -3.88%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.53%EV -5.43%E -3.40%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.80%EV -12.45%E -3.28%K -4.45%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-15 16:55
Virgin Bet🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.66%EV -17.85%E -3.88%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.53%EV -5.43%E -3.40%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.80%EV -12.45%E -3.28%K -4.45%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-15 16:55
Winamax (FR)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.41%EV -17.85%E -3.88%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 57.98%EV -8.98%E -5.83%K -16.63%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.61%EV -9.00%E -2.28%K -3.05%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-15 16:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.90I 16.95%NM 16.87%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.97%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.15%0.4%2026-03-15 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.90I 16.95%NM 16.87%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.97%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.15%0.4%2026-03-15 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.90I 16.95%NM 16.75%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.26%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.98%1.2%2026-03-15 16:55
Matchbook5.90I 16.95%NM 16.75%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.26%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.98%1.2%2026-03-15 16:55
Smarkets5.90I 16.95%NM 16.60%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.08%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.32%2.1%2026-03-15 16:55
Kalshi5.88I 17.01%NM 16.50%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.24%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.26%3.1%2026-03-15 16:50