L’École des cotes

Genclerbirligi SK v Besiktas JK

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-15 17:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

53 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Genclerbirligi SK (Local)

Prévision 17.86%5.60cote équitable
EV +2.33%
Avantage +0.406%
Kelly +0.492%
Croissance +0.011%

avec la cote maximale 5.73

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.50%17.90%17.88%19.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.605.065.005.7321.74%19.77%20.00%17.45%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Besiktas JK (Visiteur)

Prévision 59.10%1.69cote équitable
EV -1.89%
Avantage -1.14%
Kelly -2.86%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.66

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
56.53%59.04%59.04%60.59%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.421.581.571.6670.42%63.23%63.69%60.24%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 23.04%4.34cote équitable
EV -0.243%
Avantage -0.056%
Kelly -0.073%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.33

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.82%23.06%23.07%25.34%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.403.973.954.3329.41%25.16%25.32%23.09%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle5.73I 17.45%NM 16.86%EV +2.33%E +0.406%K +0.492%G +0.011%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.36%EV -5.43%E -3.40%K -9.06%G +0.000%4.24I 23.58%NM 22.78%EV -2.32%E -0.546%K -0.715%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-15 16:45
FanDuel5.60I 17.86%NM 16.50%EV +0.005%E +0.001%K +0.001%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.40%EV -9.57%E -6.26%K -18.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -7.85%E -1.96%K -2.62%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-15 16:44
LowVig.ag5.50I 18.18%NM 17.51%EV -1.78%E -0.324%K -0.396%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.82%EV -4.84%E -3.01%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.66%EV -2.09%E -0.491%K -0.642%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-15 16:40
BetOnline.ag5.50I 18.18%NM 17.51%EV -1.78%E -0.324%K -0.396%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.82%EV -4.84%E -3.01%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.66%EV -2.09%E -0.491%K -0.642%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-15 16:45
Fanatics5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -1.78%E -0.324%K -0.396%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.59%EV -7.21%E -4.59%K -12.65%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.12%EV -0.934%E -0.217%K -0.283%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-15 16:45
Unibet (UK)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.27%EV -1.78%E -0.324%K -0.396%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.12%EV -6.62%E -4.19%K -11.41%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.61%EV -3.24%E -0.771%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-15 16:45
Coolbet5.50I 18.18%NM 17.27%EV -1.78%E -0.324%K -0.396%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.12%EV -6.62%E -4.19%K -11.41%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.61%EV -3.24%E -0.771%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-15 16:44
Tipico (DE)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.11%EV -1.78%E -0.324%K -0.396%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.94%EV -7.21%E -4.59%K -12.65%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -5.54%E -1.35%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-15 16:50
SportsBet5.50I 18.18%NM 17.01%EV -1.78%E -0.324%K -0.396%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.60%EV -7.21%E -4.59%K -12.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -7.85%E -1.96%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-15 16:45
Everygame5.50I 18.18%NM 17.01%EV -1.78%E -0.324%K -0.396%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.60%EV -7.21%E -4.59%K -12.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -7.85%E -1.96%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-15 16:45
1xBet5.43I 18.42%NM 17.90%EV -3.03%E -0.558%K -0.684%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.56%EV -1.89%E -1.14%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.13I 24.21%NM 23.54%EV -4.85%E -1.17%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-15 16:50
Bovada5.35I 18.69%NM 17.27%EV -4.46%E -0.834%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.62%EV -8.39%E -5.41%K -15.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -7.85%E -1.96%K -2.62%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-15 16:40
BetUS5.35I 18.69%NM 17.27%EV -4.46%E -0.834%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.62%EV -8.39%E -5.41%K -15.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -7.85%E -1.96%K -2.62%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-15 16:40
Marathon Bet5.30I 18.87%NM 17.59%EV -5.35%E -1.01%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.39%EV -7.21%E -4.59%K -12.65%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.02%EV -6.69%E -1.65%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-15 16:40
GTbets5.27I 18.98%NM 17.87%EV -5.89%E -1.12%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.12%EV -4.25%E -2.63%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.02%EV -9.69%E -2.47%K -3.32%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-15 16:45
Coral5.25I 19.05%NM 18.00%EV -6.25%E -1.19%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.18%EV -7.21%E -4.59%K -12.65%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.82%EV -0.243%E -0.056%K -0.073%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-15 16:45
Ladbrokes (UK)5.25I 19.05%NM 17.88%EV -6.25%E -1.19%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.78%EV -7.21%E -4.59%K -12.65%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -3.24%E -0.771%K -1.01%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-15 16:45
PointsBet (AU)5.25I 19.05%NM 17.68%EV -6.25%E -1.19%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.12%EV -7.21%E -4.59%K -12.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -7.85%E -1.96%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-15 16:45
Bet Right5.25I 19.05%NM 17.49%EV -6.25%E -1.19%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.25%EV -8.39%E -5.41%K -15.25%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.25%EV -9.00%E -2.28%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-15 16:55
Codere (IT)5.20I 19.23%NM 18.19%EV -7.14%E -1.37%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.74%EV -4.84%E -3.01%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.07%EV -5.54%E -1.35%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-15 16:30
Neds5.20I 19.23%NM 18.02%EV -7.14%E -1.37%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.68%EV -7.21%E -4.59%K -12.65%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -3.24%E -0.771%K -1.01%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-15 16:45
Ladbrokes (AU)5.20I 19.23%NM 18.02%EV -7.14%E -1.37%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.68%EV -7.21%E -4.59%K -12.65%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -3.24%E -0.771%K -1.01%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-15 16:40
Betsson5.10I 19.61%NM 18.22%EV -8.92%E -1.75%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.83%EV -6.62%E -4.19%K -11.41%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.95%EV -6.69%E -1.65%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-15 16:30
NordicBet5.10I 19.61%NM 18.22%EV -8.92%E -1.75%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.83%EV -6.62%E -4.19%K -11.41%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.95%EV -6.69%E -1.65%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-15 16:30
Betway5.00I 20.00%NM 18.38%EV -10.71%E -2.14%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.44%EV -5.43%E -3.40%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -12.45%E -3.28%K -4.45%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-15 16:30
888sport5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -10.71%E -2.14%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.26%EV -7.21%E -4.59%K -12.65%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -10.15%E -2.60%K -3.50%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-15 16:45
888sport (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -10.71%E -2.14%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.26%EV -7.21%E -4.59%K -12.65%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -10.15%E -2.60%K -3.50%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-15 16:40
Mr Green (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -10.71%E -2.14%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.26%EV -7.21%E -4.59%K -12.65%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -10.15%E -2.60%K -3.50%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-15 16:45
BoyleSports5.00I 20.00%NM 18.05%EV -10.71%E -2.14%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 58.21%EV -8.39%E -5.41%K -15.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.74%EV -12.45%E -3.28%K -4.45%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-15 16:35
Paddy Power5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -10.71%E -2.14%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.53%EV -9.57%E -6.26%K -18.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.56%EV -12.45%E -3.28%K -4.45%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-15 16:30
Sky Bet5.00I 20.00%NM 17.85%EV -10.71%E -2.14%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.34%EV -9.57%E -6.26%K -18.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.80%EV -13.61%E -3.63%K -4.95%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-15 16:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)5.00I 20.00%NM 17.23%EV -10.71%E -2.14%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 57.43%EV -11.35%E -7.56%K -22.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.34%EV -21.67%E -6.37%K -9.03%G +0.000%16.1%2026-03-15 16:45
Fliff4.90I 20.41%NM 18.39%EV -12.50%E -2.55%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 58.51%EV -8.98%E -5.83%K -16.63%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.10%EV -10.15%E -2.60%K -3.50%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-15 16:45
Parions Sport (FR)4.85I 20.62%NM 18.42%EV -13.39%E -2.76%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.38%EV -9.57%E -6.26%K -18.06%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.20%EV -11.30%E -2.94%K -3.97%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-15 16:35
ATG (SE)4.80I 20.83%NM 19.58%EV -14.28%E -2.98%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.62%EV -1.89%E -1.14%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.80%EV -9.00%E -2.28%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-15 16:55
Svenska Spel4.80I 20.83%NM 19.58%EV -14.28%E -2.98%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.62%EV -1.89%E -1.14%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.80%EV -9.00%E -2.28%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-15 16:55
BetRivers4.80I 20.83%NM 19.31%EV -14.28%E -2.98%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.22%EV -4.25%E -2.63%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.47%EV -9.00%E -2.28%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-15 16:30
Betclic (FR)4.80I 20.83%NM 18.57%EV -14.28%E -2.98%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.27%EV -9.57%E -6.26%K -18.06%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.16%EV -11.30%E -2.94%K -3.97%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-15 16:35
PMU (FR)4.80I 20.83%NM 17.39%EV -14.28%E -2.98%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 58.77%EV -16.07%E -11.32%K -38.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 23.84%EV -19.36%E -5.53%K -7.75%G +0.000%19.8%2026-03-15 16:30
Unibet4.75I 21.05%NM 19.55%EV -15.17%E -3.19%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.63%EV -3.07%E -1.87%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -10.15%E -2.60%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-15 16:55
TABtouch4.75I 21.05%NM 19.55%EV -15.17%E -3.19%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.63%EV -3.07%E -1.87%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -10.15%E -2.60%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-15 16:55
Unibet (NL)4.70I 21.28%NM 19.78%EV -16.07%E -3.42%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.69%EV -3.07%E -1.87%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.54%EV -9.00%E -2.28%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-15 16:55
Grosvenor4.70I 21.28%NM 19.78%EV -16.07%E -3.42%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.69%EV -3.07%E -1.87%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.54%EV -9.00%E -2.28%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-15 16:55
LeoVegas (SE)4.70I 21.28%NM 19.78%EV -16.07%E -3.42%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.69%EV -3.07%E -1.87%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.54%EV -9.00%E -2.28%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-15 16:55
Unibet (SE)4.70I 21.28%NM 19.78%EV -16.07%E -3.42%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.69%EV -3.07%E -1.87%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.54%EV -9.00%E -2.28%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-15 16:55
Casumo4.70I 21.28%NM 19.78%EV -16.07%E -3.42%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.69%EV -3.07%E -1.87%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.54%EV -9.00%E -2.28%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-15 16:55
betPARX4.70I 21.28%NM 19.78%EV -16.07%E -3.42%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.69%EV -3.07%E -1.87%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.54%EV -9.00%E -2.28%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-15 16:55
Winamax (DE)4.70I 21.28%NM 19.38%EV -16.07%E -3.42%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.40%EV -7.80%E -5.00%K -13.93%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.22%EV -5.54%E -1.35%K -1.79%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-15 16:30
NetBet (FR)4.70I 21.28%NM 18.64%EV -16.07%E -3.42%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 58.01%EV -10.75%E -7.12%K -21.09%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.36%EV -13.61%E -3.63%K -4.95%G +0.000%14.2%2026-03-15 16:50
LeoVegas4.60I 21.74%NM 19.66%EV -17.85%E -3.88%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.53%EV -5.43%E -3.40%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.80%EV -12.45%E -3.28%K -4.45%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-15 16:55
LiveScore Bet4.60I 21.74%NM 19.66%EV -17.85%E -3.88%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.53%EV -5.43%E -3.40%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.80%EV -12.45%E -3.28%K -4.45%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-15 16:55
Virgin Bet4.60I 21.74%NM 19.66%EV -17.85%E -3.88%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.53%EV -5.43%E -3.40%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.80%EV -12.45%E -3.28%K -4.45%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-15 16:55
Winamax (FR)4.60I 21.74%NM 19.41%EV -17.85%E -3.88%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 57.98%EV -8.98%E -5.83%K -16.63%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.61%EV -9.00%E -2.28%K -3.05%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-15 16:30
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.90I 16.95%NM 16.87%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.97%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.15%0.4%2026-03-15 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.90I 16.95%NM 16.87%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.97%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.15%0.4%2026-03-15 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.90I 16.95%NM 16.75%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.26%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.98%1.2%2026-03-15 16:55
Matchbook5.90I 16.95%NM 16.75%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.26%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.98%1.2%2026-03-15 16:55
Smarkets5.90I 16.95%NM 16.60%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.08%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.32%2.1%2026-03-15 16:55
Kalshi5.88I 17.01%NM 16.50%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.24%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.26%3.1%2026-03-15 16:50