La escuela de los momios

Genclerbirligi SK v Besiktas JK

Inicio: 2026-03-15 17:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

53 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Genclerbirligi SK (Local)

Predicción 17.86%5.60momio equitativo
EV +2.33%
Ventaja +0.406%
Kelly +0.492%
Crecimiento +0.011%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.73

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
16.50%17.90%17.88%19.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.605.065.005.7321.74%19.77%20.00%17.45%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Besiktas JK (Visitante)

Predicción 59.10%1.69momio equitativo
EV -1.89%
Ventaja -1.14%
Kelly -2.86%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.66

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
56.53%59.04%59.04%60.59%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.421.581.571.6670.42%63.23%63.69%60.24%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 23.04%4.34momio equitativo
EV -0.243%
Ventaja -0.056%
Kelly -0.073%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.33

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.82%23.06%23.07%25.34%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.403.973.954.3329.41%25.16%25.32%23.09%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle5.73I 17.45%NM 16.86%EV +2.33%E +0.406%K +0.492%G +0.011%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.36%EV -5.43%E -3.40%K -9.06%G +0.000%4.24I 23.58%NM 22.78%EV -2.32%E -0.546%K -0.715%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-15 16:45
FanDuel5.60I 17.86%NM 16.50%EV +0.005%E +0.001%K +0.001%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.40%EV -9.57%E -6.26%K -18.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -7.85%E -1.96%K -2.62%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-15 16:44
LowVig.ag5.50I 18.18%NM 17.51%EV -1.78%E -0.324%K -0.396%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.82%EV -4.84%E -3.01%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.66%EV -2.09%E -0.491%K -0.642%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-15 16:40
BetOnline.ag5.50I 18.18%NM 17.51%EV -1.78%E -0.324%K -0.396%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.82%EV -4.84%E -3.01%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.66%EV -2.09%E -0.491%K -0.642%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-15 16:45
Fanatics5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -1.78%E -0.324%K -0.396%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.59%EV -7.21%E -4.59%K -12.65%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.12%EV -0.934%E -0.217%K -0.283%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-15 16:45
Unibet (UK)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.27%EV -1.78%E -0.324%K -0.396%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.12%EV -6.62%E -4.19%K -11.41%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.61%EV -3.24%E -0.771%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-15 16:45
Coolbet5.50I 18.18%NM 17.27%EV -1.78%E -0.324%K -0.396%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.12%EV -6.62%E -4.19%K -11.41%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.61%EV -3.24%E -0.771%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-15 16:44
Tipico (DE)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.11%EV -1.78%E -0.324%K -0.396%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.94%EV -7.21%E -4.59%K -12.65%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -5.54%E -1.35%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-15 16:50
SportsBet5.50I 18.18%NM 17.01%EV -1.78%E -0.324%K -0.396%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.60%EV -7.21%E -4.59%K -12.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -7.85%E -1.96%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-15 16:45
Everygame5.50I 18.18%NM 17.01%EV -1.78%E -0.324%K -0.396%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.60%EV -7.21%E -4.59%K -12.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -7.85%E -1.96%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-15 16:45
1xBet5.43I 18.42%NM 17.90%EV -3.03%E -0.558%K -0.684%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.56%EV -1.89%E -1.14%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.13I 24.21%NM 23.54%EV -4.85%E -1.17%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-15 16:50
Bovada5.35I 18.69%NM 17.27%EV -4.46%E -0.834%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.62%EV -8.39%E -5.41%K -15.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -7.85%E -1.96%K -2.62%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-15 16:40
BetUS5.35I 18.69%NM 17.27%EV -4.46%E -0.834%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.62%EV -8.39%E -5.41%K -15.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -7.85%E -1.96%K -2.62%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-15 16:40
Marathon Bet5.30I 18.87%NM 17.59%EV -5.35%E -1.01%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.39%EV -7.21%E -4.59%K -12.65%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.02%EV -6.69%E -1.65%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-15 16:40
GTbets5.27I 18.98%NM 17.87%EV -5.89%E -1.12%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.12%EV -4.25%E -2.63%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.02%EV -9.69%E -2.47%K -3.32%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-15 16:45
Coral5.25I 19.05%NM 18.00%EV -6.25%E -1.19%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.18%EV -7.21%E -4.59%K -12.65%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.82%EV -0.243%E -0.056%K -0.073%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-15 16:45
Ladbrokes (UK)5.25I 19.05%NM 17.88%EV -6.25%E -1.19%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.78%EV -7.21%E -4.59%K -12.65%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -3.24%E -0.771%K -1.01%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-15 16:45
PointsBet (AU)5.25I 19.05%NM 17.68%EV -6.25%E -1.19%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.12%EV -7.21%E -4.59%K -12.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -7.85%E -1.96%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-15 16:45
Bet Right5.25I 19.05%NM 17.49%EV -6.25%E -1.19%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.25%EV -8.39%E -5.41%K -15.25%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.25%EV -9.00%E -2.28%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-15 16:55
Codere (IT)5.20I 19.23%NM 18.19%EV -7.14%E -1.37%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.74%EV -4.84%E -3.01%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.07%EV -5.54%E -1.35%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-15 16:30
Neds5.20I 19.23%NM 18.02%EV -7.14%E -1.37%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.68%EV -7.21%E -4.59%K -12.65%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -3.24%E -0.771%K -1.01%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-15 16:45
Ladbrokes (AU)5.20I 19.23%NM 18.02%EV -7.14%E -1.37%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.68%EV -7.21%E -4.59%K -12.65%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -3.24%E -0.771%K -1.01%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-15 16:40
Betsson5.10I 19.61%NM 18.22%EV -8.92%E -1.75%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.83%EV -6.62%E -4.19%K -11.41%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.95%EV -6.69%E -1.65%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-15 16:30
NordicBet5.10I 19.61%NM 18.22%EV -8.92%E -1.75%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.83%EV -6.62%E -4.19%K -11.41%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.95%EV -6.69%E -1.65%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-15 16:30
Betway5.00I 20.00%NM 18.38%EV -10.71%E -2.14%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.44%EV -5.43%E -3.40%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -12.45%E -3.28%K -4.45%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-15 16:30
888sport5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -10.71%E -2.14%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.26%EV -7.21%E -4.59%K -12.65%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -10.15%E -2.60%K -3.50%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-15 16:45
888sport (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -10.71%E -2.14%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.26%EV -7.21%E -4.59%K -12.65%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -10.15%E -2.60%K -3.50%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-15 16:40
Mr Green (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -10.71%E -2.14%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.26%EV -7.21%E -4.59%K -12.65%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -10.15%E -2.60%K -3.50%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-15 16:45
BoyleSports5.00I 20.00%NM 18.05%EV -10.71%E -2.14%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 58.21%EV -8.39%E -5.41%K -15.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.74%EV -12.45%E -3.28%K -4.45%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-15 16:35
Paddy Power5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -10.71%E -2.14%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.53%EV -9.57%E -6.26%K -18.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.56%EV -12.45%E -3.28%K -4.45%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-15 16:30
Sky Bet5.00I 20.00%NM 17.85%EV -10.71%E -2.14%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.34%EV -9.57%E -6.26%K -18.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.80%EV -13.61%E -3.63%K -4.95%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-15 16:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)5.00I 20.00%NM 17.23%EV -10.71%E -2.14%K -2.68%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 57.43%EV -11.35%E -7.56%K -22.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.34%EV -21.67%E -6.37%K -9.03%G +0.000%16.1%2026-03-15 16:45
Fliff4.90I 20.41%NM 18.39%EV -12.50%E -2.55%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 58.51%EV -8.98%E -5.83%K -16.63%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.10%EV -10.15%E -2.60%K -3.50%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-15 16:45
Parions Sport (FR)4.85I 20.62%NM 18.42%EV -13.39%E -2.76%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.38%EV -9.57%E -6.26%K -18.06%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.20%EV -11.30%E -2.94%K -3.97%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-15 16:35
ATG (SE)4.80I 20.83%NM 19.58%EV -14.28%E -2.98%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.62%EV -1.89%E -1.14%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.80%EV -9.00%E -2.28%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-15 16:55
Svenska Spel4.80I 20.83%NM 19.58%EV -14.28%E -2.98%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.62%EV -1.89%E -1.14%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.80%EV -9.00%E -2.28%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-15 16:55
BetRivers4.80I 20.83%NM 19.31%EV -14.28%E -2.98%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.22%EV -4.25%E -2.63%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.47%EV -9.00%E -2.28%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-15 16:30
Betclic (FR)4.80I 20.83%NM 18.57%EV -14.28%E -2.98%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.27%EV -9.57%E -6.26%K -18.06%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.16%EV -11.30%E -2.94%K -3.97%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-15 16:35
PMU (FR)4.80I 20.83%NM 17.39%EV -14.28%E -2.98%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 58.77%EV -16.07%E -11.32%K -38.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 23.84%EV -19.36%E -5.53%K -7.75%G +0.000%19.8%2026-03-15 16:30
Unibet4.75I 21.05%NM 19.55%EV -15.17%E -3.19%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.63%EV -3.07%E -1.87%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -10.15%E -2.60%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-15 16:55
TABtouch4.75I 21.05%NM 19.55%EV -15.17%E -3.19%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.63%EV -3.07%E -1.87%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -10.15%E -2.60%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-15 16:55
Unibet (NL)4.70I 21.28%NM 19.78%EV -16.07%E -3.42%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.69%EV -3.07%E -1.87%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.54%EV -9.00%E -2.28%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-15 16:55
Grosvenor4.70I 21.28%NM 19.78%EV -16.07%E -3.42%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.69%EV -3.07%E -1.87%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.54%EV -9.00%E -2.28%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-15 16:55
LeoVegas (SE)4.70I 21.28%NM 19.78%EV -16.07%E -3.42%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.69%EV -3.07%E -1.87%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.54%EV -9.00%E -2.28%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-15 16:55
Unibet (SE)4.70I 21.28%NM 19.78%EV -16.07%E -3.42%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.69%EV -3.07%E -1.87%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.54%EV -9.00%E -2.28%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-15 16:55
Casumo4.70I 21.28%NM 19.78%EV -16.07%E -3.42%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.69%EV -3.07%E -1.87%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.54%EV -9.00%E -2.28%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-15 16:55
betPARX4.70I 21.28%NM 19.78%EV -16.07%E -3.42%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.69%EV -3.07%E -1.87%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.54%EV -9.00%E -2.28%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-15 16:55
Winamax (DE)4.70I 21.28%NM 19.38%EV -16.07%E -3.42%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.40%EV -7.80%E -5.00%K -13.93%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.22%EV -5.54%E -1.35%K -1.79%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-15 16:30
NetBet (FR)4.70I 21.28%NM 18.64%EV -16.07%E -3.42%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 58.01%EV -10.75%E -7.12%K -21.09%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.36%EV -13.61%E -3.63%K -4.95%G +0.000%14.2%2026-03-15 16:50
LeoVegas4.60I 21.74%NM 19.66%EV -17.85%E -3.88%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.53%EV -5.43%E -3.40%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.80%EV -12.45%E -3.28%K -4.45%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-15 16:55
LiveScore Bet4.60I 21.74%NM 19.66%EV -17.85%E -3.88%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.53%EV -5.43%E -3.40%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.80%EV -12.45%E -3.28%K -4.45%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-15 16:55
Virgin Bet4.60I 21.74%NM 19.66%EV -17.85%E -3.88%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.53%EV -5.43%E -3.40%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.80%EV -12.45%E -3.28%K -4.45%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-15 16:55
Winamax (FR)4.60I 21.74%NM 19.41%EV -17.85%E -3.88%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 57.98%EV -8.98%E -5.83%K -16.63%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.61%EV -9.00%E -2.28%K -3.05%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-15 16:30
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.90I 16.95%NM 16.87%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.97%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.15%0.4%2026-03-15 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.90I 16.95%NM 16.87%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.97%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.15%0.4%2026-03-15 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.90I 16.95%NM 16.75%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.26%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.98%1.2%2026-03-15 16:55
Matchbook5.90I 16.95%NM 16.75%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.26%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.98%1.2%2026-03-15 16:55
Smarkets5.90I 16.95%NM 16.60%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.08%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.32%2.1%2026-03-15 16:55
Kalshi5.88I 17.01%NM 16.50%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.24%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.26%3.1%2026-03-15 16:50