Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Gazişehir Gaziantep v Besiktas JK

Kickoff: 2026-05-01 17:00 UTC

Final: Gazişehir Gaziantep 0–2 Besiktas JK

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

52 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Gazişehir Gaziantep (Local)

Prediction 32.52%3.07fair odd
EV +6.02%
Edge +1.85%
Kelly +2.66%
Growth +0.160%

assuming max odds 3.26

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.72%32.44%32.55%33.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.632.832.803.2638.02%35.38%35.71%30.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Besiktas JK (Visit)

Prediction 41.68%2.40fair odd
EV -4.13%
Edge -1.80%
Kelly -3.18%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.02%41.74%41.65%43.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.072.232.252.3048.31%44.80%44.44%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.80%3.88fair odd
EV -0.677%
Edge -0.176%
Kelly -0.238%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.58%25.82%25.80%28.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.573.603.8533.33%27.98%27.78%25.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Gazişehir Gaziantep (Local): 32.52%; Besiktas JK (Visit): 41.68%; Draw: 25.80%. For Gazişehir Gaziantep (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.07. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.26, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.02%.

Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯3.26I 30.67%NM 29.72%EV +6.02%E +1.85%K +2.66%G +0.160%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.44%EV -7.05%E -3.16%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.84%EV -6.87%E -1.90%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-01 16:55
Tipico (DE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV +0.816%E +0.263%K +0.389%G +0.003%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -8.30%E -3.77%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -9.71%E -2.77%K -3.88%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-01 16:50
Pinnacle🎯3.08I 32.47%NM 31.41%EV +0.166%E +0.054%K +0.080%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.44%EV -4.97%E -2.18%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.15%EV -4.55%E -1.23%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-01 16:55
Marathon Bet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%EV -0.810%E -0.265%K -0.395%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.78%EV -9.14%E -4.19%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -9.71%E -2.77%K -3.88%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-01 16:55
Everygame🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -2.44%E -0.812%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -8.30%E -3.77%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -7.13%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-01 16:54
BetUS🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -2.44%E -0.812%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -8.30%E -3.77%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -9.71%E -2.77%K -3.88%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-01 16:55
Betsson🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV -4.06%E -1.38%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.27%EV -8.30%E -3.77%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -8.42%E -2.37%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-01 16:55
BetOnline.ag🎯2.94I 34.01%NM 32.19%EV -4.39%E -1.49%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.15%EV -4.13%E -1.80%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.66%EV -8.42%E -2.37%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-01 16:50
LowVig.ag🎯2.94I 34.01%NM 32.19%EV -4.39%E -1.49%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.15%EV -4.13%E -1.80%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.66%EV -8.42%E -2.37%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-01 16:50
Bovada🎯2.93I 34.13%NM 31.43%EV -4.71%E -1.61%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.25%EV -9.14%E -4.19%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -9.71%E -2.77%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-01 16:53
Coral🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.61%EV -5.69%E -1.96%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.12%EV -4.13%E -1.80%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -7.13%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-01 16:50
FanDuel🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -5.69%E -1.96%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -4.13%E -1.80%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -9.71%E -2.77%K -3.88%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-01 16:54
Neds🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -5.69%E -1.96%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%EV -6.22%E -2.76%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -7.13%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-01 16:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -5.69%E -1.96%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%EV -6.22%E -2.76%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -7.13%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-01 16:50
Betway🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.93%EV -6.34%E -2.20%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -8.30%E -3.77%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -9.71%E -2.77%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-01 16:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 32.54%EV -6.66%E -2.32%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.51%EV -6.22%E -2.76%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -7.13%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-01 16:50
SportsBet🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 32.30%EV -6.66%E -2.32%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.21%EV -6.22%E -2.76%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -9.71%E -2.77%K -3.88%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-01 16:25
Coolbet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.56%EV -7.31%E -2.57%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.59%EV -4.13%E -1.80%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.85%EV -0.677%E -0.176%K -0.238%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-01 16:25
Fanatics🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.15%EV -7.31%E -2.57%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.99%EV -6.22%E -2.76%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.86%EV -1.97%E -0.518%K -0.703%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-01 16:09
Codere (IT)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -7.31%E -2.57%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.49%EV -5.39%E -2.37%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.46%EV -4.55%E -1.23%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-01 16:40
NordicBet🎯2.84I 35.21%NM 32.76%EV -7.64%E -2.69%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.81%EV -4.97%E -2.18%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.43%EV -9.19%E -2.61%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-01 16:50
Svenska Spel🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.62%EV -8.94%E -3.19%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -4.13%E -1.80%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -4.55%E -1.23%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-01 16:20
ATG (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.62%EV -8.94%E -3.19%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -4.13%E -1.80%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -4.55%E -1.23%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-01 16:20
Unibet (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.54%EV -8.94%E -3.19%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.74%EV -6.22%E -2.76%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -1.97%E -0.518%K -0.703%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-01 16:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -8.94%E -3.19%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -6.22%E -2.76%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -4.55%E -1.23%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-01 16:45
888sport🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -8.94%E -3.19%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -6.22%E -2.76%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -12.29%E -3.61%K -5.12%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-01 16:44
888sport (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -8.94%E -3.19%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -6.22%E -2.76%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -12.29%E -3.61%K -5.12%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-01 16:44
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -8.94%E -3.19%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -6.22%E -2.76%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -12.29%E -3.61%K -5.12%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-01 16:44
Unibet (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.35%EV -8.94%E -3.19%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -10.39%E -4.83%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.52%EV -8.42%E -2.37%K -3.30%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-01 16:34
Paddy Power🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -8.94%E -3.19%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -8.30%E -3.77%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -12.29%E -3.61%K -5.12%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-01 16:25
Betclic (FR)🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 32.70%EV -9.59%E -3.45%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 41.90%EV -9.55%E -4.40%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 25.40%EV -7.64%E -2.13%K -2.96%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-01 16:40
Unibet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -10.57%E -3.84%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.75%EV -4.97%E -2.18%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.46%EV -5.84%E -1.60%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-01 16:45
Grosvenor🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -10.57%E -3.84%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.75%EV -4.97%E -2.18%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.46%EV -5.84%E -1.60%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-01 16:45
Casumo🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -10.57%E -3.84%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.75%EV -4.97%E -2.18%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.46%EV -5.84%E -1.60%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-01 16:45
TABtouch🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -10.57%E -3.84%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.75%EV -4.97%E -2.18%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.46%EV -5.84%E -1.60%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-01 16:45
Unibet (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -10.57%E -3.84%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.75%EV -4.97%E -2.18%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.46%EV -5.84%E -1.60%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-01 16:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -10.57%E -3.84%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.75%EV -4.97%E -2.18%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.46%EV -5.84%E -1.60%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-01 16:45
Unibet (NL)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -10.57%E -3.84%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.75%EV -4.97%E -2.18%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.46%EV -5.84%E -1.60%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-01 16:45
betPARX🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -10.57%E -3.84%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.75%EV -4.97%E -2.18%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.46%EV -5.84%E -1.60%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-01 16:45
BetRivers🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.61%EV -10.57%E -3.84%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.07%EV -6.22%E -2.76%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.32%EV -5.84%E -1.60%K -2.20%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-01 16:15
betfred_uk🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.52%EV -10.57%E -3.84%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -8.30%E -3.77%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -3.26%E -0.869%K -1.18%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-01 16:08
Bet Right🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.30%EV -10.57%E -3.84%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.62%EV -8.30%E -3.77%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.09%EV -5.84%E -1.60%K -2.20%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-01 16:50
BoyleSports🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.63%EV -10.57%E -3.84%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.73%EV -10.39%E -4.83%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.64%EV -9.71%E -2.77%K -3.88%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-01 16:50
Sky Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -10.57%E -3.84%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -8.30%E -3.77%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -14.87%E -4.50%K -6.46%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-01 16:25
NetBet (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 31.75%EV -10.57%E -3.84%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 42.18%EV -13.72%E -6.63%K -12.82%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.07%EV -13.58%E -4.05%K -5.78%G +0.000%14.5%2026-05-01 16:50
PMU (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.78%EV -12.19%E -4.52%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.89%EV -7.05%E -3.16%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -7.13%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-01 16:15
Winamax (DE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.38%EV -12.19%E -4.52%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.92%EV -10.39%E -4.83%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.69%EV -5.84%E -1.60%K -2.20%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-01 16:35
LiveScore Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.89%EV -13.82%E -5.21%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.82%EV -8.30%E -3.77%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.30%EV -8.42%E -2.37%K -3.30%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-01 16:14
LeoVegas🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.89%EV -13.82%E -5.21%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.82%EV -8.30%E -3.77%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.30%EV -8.42%E -2.37%K -3.30%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-01 16:14
Virgin Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.89%EV -13.82%E -5.21%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.82%EV -8.30%E -3.77%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.30%EV -8.42%E -2.37%K -3.30%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-01 16:15
Winamax (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.69%EV -13.82%E -5.21%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.52%EV -10.39%E -4.83%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.80%EV -7.13%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-01 16:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 31.96%EV -14.47%E -5.50%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 40.02%EV -12.47%E -5.94%K -11.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.02%EV -22.61%E -7.54%K -11.30%G +0.000%19.0%2026-05-01 16:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook3.25I 30.77%NM 30.61%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%0.5%2026-05-01 16:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.49%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.79%0.9%2026-05-01 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.49%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.79%0.9%2026-05-01 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.49%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.79%0.9%2026-05-01 16:55
Kalshi3.12I 32.05%NM 31.42%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.08%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.50%2.0%2026-05-01 16:55
Smarkets3.15I 31.75%NM 30.94%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.37%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.70%2.6%2026-05-01 16:55