La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Gazişehir Gaziantep v Besiktas JK
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Gazişehir Gaziantep (Local)
Predicción 32.52%3.07momio equitativo
EV +6.02%
Ventaja +1.85%
Kelly +2.66%
Crecimiento +0.160%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.26
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.72%32.44%32.55%33.89%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.632.832.803.2638.02%35.38%35.71%30.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Besiktas JK (Visitante)
Predicción 41.68%2.40momio equitativo
EV -4.13%
Ventaja -1.80%
Kelly -3.18%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.30
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.02%41.74%41.65%43.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.072.232.252.3048.31%44.80%44.44%43.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 25.80%3.88momio equitativo
EV -0.677%
Ventaja -0.176%
Kelly -0.238%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.85
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.58%25.82%25.80%28.02%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.573.603.8533.33%27.98%27.78%25.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.72%EV +6.02%E +1.85%K +2.66%G +0.160% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.44%EV -7.05%E -3.16%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.61I 27.70%NM 26.84%EV -6.87%E -1.90%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-01 16:55 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV +0.816%E +0.263%K +0.389%G +0.003% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -8.30%E -3.77%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -9.71%E -2.77%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-01 16:50 |
| Pinnacle | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.41%EV +0.166%E +0.054%K +0.080%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.44%EV -4.97%E -2.18%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.15%EV -4.55%E -1.23%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-01 16:55 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%EV -0.810%E -0.265%K -0.395%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.78%EV -9.14%E -4.19%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -9.71%E -2.77%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-01 16:55 |
| Everygame | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -2.44%E -0.812%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -8.30%E -3.77%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -7.13%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-01 16:54 |
| BetUS | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -2.44%E -0.812%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -8.30%E -3.77%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -9.71%E -2.77%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-01 16:55 |
| Betsson | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV -4.06%E -1.38%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.27%EV -8.30%E -3.77%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -8.42%E -2.37%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-01 16:55 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.19%EV -4.39%E -1.49%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.15%EV -4.13%E -1.80%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.66%EV -8.42%E -2.37%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-01 16:50 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.19%EV -4.39%E -1.49%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.15%EV -4.13%E -1.80%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.66%EV -8.42%E -2.37%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-01 16:50 |
| Bovada | 2.93I 34.13%NM 31.43%EV -4.71%E -1.61%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.25%EV -9.14%E -4.19%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -9.71%E -2.77%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-01 16:53 |
| Coral | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.61%EV -5.69%E -1.96%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.12%EV -4.13%E -1.80%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -7.13%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-01 16:50 |
| FanDuel | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -5.69%E -1.96%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -4.13%E -1.80%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -9.71%E -2.77%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-01 16:54 |
| Neds | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -5.69%E -1.96%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%EV -6.22%E -2.76%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -7.13%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-01 16:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -5.69%E -1.96%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%EV -6.22%E -2.76%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -7.13%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-01 16:50 |
| Betway | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.93%EV -6.34%E -2.20%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -8.30%E -3.77%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -9.71%E -2.77%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-01 16:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.54%EV -6.66%E -2.32%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.51%EV -6.22%E -2.76%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -7.13%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-01 16:50 |
| SportsBet | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.30%EV -6.66%E -2.32%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.21%EV -6.22%E -2.76%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -9.71%E -2.77%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-01 16:25 |
| Coolbet | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.56%EV -7.31%E -2.57%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.59%EV -4.13%E -1.80%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.85%EV -0.677%E -0.176%K -0.238%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-01 16:25 |
| Fanatics | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.15%EV -7.31%E -2.57%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.99%EV -6.22%E -2.76%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.86%EV -1.97%E -0.518%K -0.703%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-01 16:09 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -7.31%E -2.57%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.49%EV -5.39%E -2.37%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.46%EV -4.55%E -1.23%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-01 16:40 |
| NordicBet | 2.84I 35.21%NM 32.76%EV -7.64%E -2.69%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.81%EV -4.97%E -2.18%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 26.43%EV -9.19%E -2.61%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-01 16:50 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.62%EV -8.94%E -3.19%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -4.13%E -1.80%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -4.55%E -1.23%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-01 16:20 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.62%EV -8.94%E -3.19%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -4.13%E -1.80%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -4.55%E -1.23%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-01 16:20 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.54%EV -8.94%E -3.19%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.74%EV -6.22%E -2.76%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -1.97%E -0.518%K -0.703%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-01 16:50 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -8.94%E -3.19%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -6.22%E -2.76%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -4.55%E -1.23%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-01 16:45 |
| 888sport | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -8.94%E -3.19%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -6.22%E -2.76%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -12.29%E -3.61%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-01 16:44 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -8.94%E -3.19%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -6.22%E -2.76%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -12.29%E -3.61%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-01 16:44 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -8.94%E -3.19%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -6.22%E -2.76%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -12.29%E -3.61%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-01 16:44 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.35%EV -8.94%E -3.19%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -10.39%E -4.83%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.52%EV -8.42%E -2.37%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-01 16:34 |
| Paddy Power | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -8.94%E -3.19%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -8.30%E -3.77%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -12.29%E -3.61%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-01 16:25 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.78I 35.97%NM 32.70%EV -9.59%E -3.45%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 41.90%EV -9.55%E -4.40%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 25.40%EV -7.64%E -2.13%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-01 16:40 |
| Unibet | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -10.57%E -3.84%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.75%EV -4.97%E -2.18%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.46%EV -5.84%E -1.60%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-01 16:45 |
| Grosvenor | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -10.57%E -3.84%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.75%EV -4.97%E -2.18%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.46%EV -5.84%E -1.60%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-01 16:45 |
| Casumo | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -10.57%E -3.84%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.75%EV -4.97%E -2.18%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.46%EV -5.84%E -1.60%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-01 16:45 |
| TABtouch | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -10.57%E -3.84%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.75%EV -4.97%E -2.18%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.46%EV -5.84%E -1.60%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-01 16:45 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -10.57%E -3.84%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.75%EV -4.97%E -2.18%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.46%EV -5.84%E -1.60%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-01 16:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -10.57%E -3.84%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.75%EV -4.97%E -2.18%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.46%EV -5.84%E -1.60%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-01 16:45 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -10.57%E -3.84%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.75%EV -4.97%E -2.18%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.46%EV -5.84%E -1.60%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-01 16:45 |
| betPARX | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -10.57%E -3.84%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.75%EV -4.97%E -2.18%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.46%EV -5.84%E -1.60%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-01 16:45 |
| BetRivers | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.61%EV -10.57%E -3.84%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.07%EV -6.22%E -2.76%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.32%EV -5.84%E -1.60%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-01 16:15 |
| betfred_uk | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.52%EV -10.57%E -3.84%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -8.30%E -3.77%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -3.26%E -0.869%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-01 16:08 |
| Bet Right | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.30%EV -10.57%E -3.84%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.62%EV -8.30%E -3.77%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.09%EV -5.84%E -1.60%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-01 16:50 |
| BoyleSports | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.63%EV -10.57%E -3.84%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.73%EV -10.39%E -4.83%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.64%EV -9.71%E -2.77%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-01 16:50 |
| Sky Bet | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -10.57%E -3.84%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -8.30%E -3.77%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -14.87%E -4.50%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-01 16:25 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.75%EV -10.57%E -3.84%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 42.18%EV -13.72%E -6.63%K -12.82%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.07%EV -13.58%E -4.05%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-05-01 16:50 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.78%EV -12.19%E -4.52%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.89%EV -7.05%E -3.16%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -7.13%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-01 16:15 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.38%EV -12.19%E -4.52%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.92%EV -10.39%E -4.83%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.69%EV -5.84%E -1.60%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-01 16:35 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.89%EV -13.82%E -5.21%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.82%EV -8.30%E -3.77%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.30%EV -8.42%E -2.37%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-01 16:14 |
| LeoVegas | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.89%EV -13.82%E -5.21%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.82%EV -8.30%E -3.77%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.30%EV -8.42%E -2.37%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-01 16:14 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.89%EV -13.82%E -5.21%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.82%EV -8.30%E -3.77%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.30%EV -8.42%E -2.37%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-01 16:15 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.69%EV -13.82%E -5.21%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.52%EV -10.39%E -4.83%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.80%EV -7.13%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-01 16:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.63I 38.02%NM 31.96%EV -14.47%E -5.50%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 40.02%EV -12.47%E -5.94%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.02%EV -22.61%E -7.54%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 19.0% | 2026-05-01 16:55 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.61% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88% | 0.5% | 2026-05-01 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.49% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.79% | 0.9% | 2026-05-01 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.49% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.79% | 0.9% | 2026-05-01 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.49% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.79% | 0.9% | 2026-05-01 16:55 |
| Kalshi | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.42% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.08% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.50% | 2.0% | 2026-05-01 16:55 |
| Smarkets | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.94% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.37% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.70% | 2.6% | 2026-05-01 16:55 |