L’École des cotes

Gazişehir Gaziantep v Besiktas JK

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-01 17:00 UTC

Score final : Gazişehir Gaziantep 0–2 Besiktas JK

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Gazişehir Gaziantep (Local)

Prévision 32.52%3.07cote équitable
EV +6.02%
Avantage +1.85%
Kelly +2.66%
Croissance +0.160%

avec la cote maximale 3.26

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.72%32.44%32.55%33.89%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.632.832.803.2638.02%35.38%35.71%30.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Besiktas JK (Visiteur)

Prévision 41.68%2.40cote équitable
EV -4.13%
Avantage -1.80%
Kelly -3.18%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
40.02%41.74%41.65%43.44%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.072.232.252.3048.31%44.80%44.44%43.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 25.80%3.88cote équitable
EV -0.677%
Avantage -0.176%
Kelly -0.238%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.85

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.58%25.82%25.80%28.02%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.573.603.8533.33%27.98%27.78%25.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet3.26I 30.67%NM 29.72%EV +6.02%E +1.85%K +2.66%G +0.160%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.44%EV -7.05%E -3.16%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.84%EV -6.87%E -1.90%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-01 16:55
Tipico (DE)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV +0.816%E +0.263%K +0.389%G +0.003%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -8.30%E -3.77%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -9.71%E -2.77%K -3.88%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-01 16:50
Pinnacle3.08I 32.47%NM 31.41%EV +0.166%E +0.054%K +0.080%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.44%EV -4.97%E -2.18%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.15%EV -4.55%E -1.23%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-01 16:55
Marathon Bet3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%EV -0.810%E -0.265%K -0.395%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.78%EV -9.14%E -4.19%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -9.71%E -2.77%K -3.88%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-01 16:55
Everygame3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -2.44%E -0.812%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -8.30%E -3.77%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -7.13%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-01 16:54
BetUS3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -2.44%E -0.812%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -8.30%E -3.77%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -9.71%E -2.77%K -3.88%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-01 16:55
Betsson2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV -4.06%E -1.38%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.27%EV -8.30%E -3.77%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -8.42%E -2.37%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-01 16:55
BetOnline.ag2.94I 34.01%NM 32.19%EV -4.39%E -1.49%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.15%EV -4.13%E -1.80%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.66%EV -8.42%E -2.37%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-01 16:50
LowVig.ag2.94I 34.01%NM 32.19%EV -4.39%E -1.49%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.15%EV -4.13%E -1.80%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.66%EV -8.42%E -2.37%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-01 16:50
Bovada2.93I 34.13%NM 31.43%EV -4.71%E -1.61%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.25%EV -9.14%E -4.19%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -9.71%E -2.77%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-01 16:53
Coral2.90I 34.48%NM 32.61%EV -5.69%E -1.96%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.12%EV -4.13%E -1.80%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -7.13%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-01 16:50
FanDuel2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -5.69%E -1.96%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -4.13%E -1.80%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -9.71%E -2.77%K -3.88%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-01 16:54
Neds2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -5.69%E -1.96%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%EV -6.22%E -2.76%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -7.13%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-01 16:50
Ladbrokes (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -5.69%E -1.96%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%EV -6.22%E -2.76%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -7.13%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-01 16:50
Betway2.88I 34.72%NM 31.93%EV -6.34%E -2.20%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -8.30%E -3.77%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -9.71%E -2.77%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-01 16:50
Ladbrokes (UK)2.87I 34.84%NM 32.54%EV -6.66%E -2.32%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.51%EV -6.22%E -2.76%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -7.13%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-01 16:50
SportsBet2.87I 34.84%NM 32.30%EV -6.66%E -2.32%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.21%EV -6.22%E -2.76%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -9.71%E -2.77%K -3.88%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-01 16:25
Coolbet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.56%EV -7.31%E -2.57%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.59%EV -4.13%E -1.80%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.85%EV -0.677%E -0.176%K -0.238%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-01 16:25
Fanatics2.85I 35.09%NM 33.15%EV -7.31%E -2.57%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.99%EV -6.22%E -2.76%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.86%EV -1.97%E -0.518%K -0.703%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-01 16:09
Codere (IT)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -7.31%E -2.57%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.49%EV -5.39%E -2.37%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.46%EV -4.55%E -1.23%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-01 16:40
NordicBet2.84I 35.21%NM 32.76%EV -7.64%E -2.69%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.81%EV -4.97%E -2.18%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.43%EV -9.19%E -2.61%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-01 16:50
Svenska Spel2.80I 35.71%NM 33.62%EV -8.94%E -3.19%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -4.13%E -1.80%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -4.55%E -1.23%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-01 16:20
ATG (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.62%EV -8.94%E -3.19%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -4.13%E -1.80%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -4.55%E -1.23%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-01 16:20
Unibet (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.54%EV -8.94%E -3.19%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.74%EV -6.22%E -2.76%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -1.97%E -0.518%K -0.703%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-01 16:50
PointsBet (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -8.94%E -3.19%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -6.22%E -2.76%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -4.55%E -1.23%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-01 16:45
888sport2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -8.94%E -3.19%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -6.22%E -2.76%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -12.29%E -3.61%K -5.12%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-01 16:44
888sport (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -8.94%E -3.19%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -6.22%E -2.76%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -12.29%E -3.61%K -5.12%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-01 16:44
Mr Green (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -8.94%E -3.19%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -6.22%E -2.76%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -12.29%E -3.61%K -5.12%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-01 16:44
Unibet (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.35%EV -8.94%E -3.19%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -10.39%E -4.83%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.52%EV -8.42%E -2.37%K -3.30%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-01 16:34
Paddy Power2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -8.94%E -3.19%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -8.30%E -3.77%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -12.29%E -3.61%K -5.12%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-01 16:25
Betclic (FR)2.78I 35.97%NM 32.70%EV -9.59%E -3.45%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 41.90%EV -9.55%E -4.40%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 25.40%EV -7.64%E -2.13%K -2.96%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-01 16:40
Unibet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -10.57%E -3.84%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.75%EV -4.97%E -2.18%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.46%EV -5.84%E -1.60%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-01 16:45
Grosvenor2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -10.57%E -3.84%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.75%EV -4.97%E -2.18%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.46%EV -5.84%E -1.60%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-01 16:45
Casumo2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -10.57%E -3.84%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.75%EV -4.97%E -2.18%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.46%EV -5.84%E -1.60%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-01 16:45
TABtouch2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -10.57%E -3.84%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.75%EV -4.97%E -2.18%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.46%EV -5.84%E -1.60%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-01 16:45
Unibet (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -10.57%E -3.84%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.75%EV -4.97%E -2.18%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.46%EV -5.84%E -1.60%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-01 16:45
LeoVegas (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -10.57%E -3.84%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.75%EV -4.97%E -2.18%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.46%EV -5.84%E -1.60%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-01 16:45
Unibet (NL)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -10.57%E -3.84%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.75%EV -4.97%E -2.18%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.46%EV -5.84%E -1.60%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-01 16:45
betPARX2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -10.57%E -3.84%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.75%EV -4.97%E -2.18%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.46%EV -5.84%E -1.60%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-01 16:45
BetRivers2.75I 36.36%NM 33.61%EV -10.57%E -3.84%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.07%EV -6.22%E -2.76%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.32%EV -5.84%E -1.60%K -2.20%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-01 16:15
betfred_uk2.75I 36.36%NM 33.52%EV -10.57%E -3.84%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -8.30%E -3.77%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -3.26%E -0.869%K -1.18%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-01 16:08
Bet Right2.75I 36.36%NM 33.30%EV -10.57%E -3.84%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.62%EV -8.30%E -3.77%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.09%EV -5.84%E -1.60%K -2.20%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-01 16:50
BoyleSports2.75I 36.36%NM 32.63%EV -10.57%E -3.84%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.73%EV -10.39%E -4.83%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.64%EV -9.71%E -2.77%K -3.88%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-01 16:50
Sky Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -10.57%E -3.84%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -8.30%E -3.77%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -14.87%E -4.50%K -6.46%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-01 16:25
NetBet (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 31.75%EV -10.57%E -3.84%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 42.18%EV -13.72%E -6.63%K -12.82%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.07%EV -13.58%E -4.05%K -5.78%G +0.000%14.5%2026-05-01 16:50
PMU (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.78%EV -12.19%E -4.52%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.89%EV -7.05%E -3.16%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -7.13%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-01 16:15
Winamax (DE)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.38%EV -12.19%E -4.52%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.92%EV -10.39%E -4.83%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.69%EV -5.84%E -1.60%K -2.20%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-01 16:35
LiveScore Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 33.89%EV -13.82%E -5.21%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.82%EV -8.30%E -3.77%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.30%EV -8.42%E -2.37%K -3.30%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-01 16:14
LeoVegas2.65I 37.74%NM 33.89%EV -13.82%E -5.21%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.82%EV -8.30%E -3.77%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.30%EV -8.42%E -2.37%K -3.30%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-01 16:14
Virgin Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 33.89%EV -13.82%E -5.21%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.82%EV -8.30%E -3.77%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.30%EV -8.42%E -2.37%K -3.30%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-01 16:15
Winamax (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 33.69%EV -13.82%E -5.21%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.52%EV -10.39%E -4.83%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.80%EV -7.13%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-01 16:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.63I 38.02%NM 31.96%EV -14.47%E -5.50%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 40.02%EV -12.47%E -5.94%K -11.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.02%EV -22.61%E -7.54%K -11.30%G +0.000%19.0%2026-05-01 16:55
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook3.25I 30.77%NM 30.61%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%0.5%2026-05-01 16:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.49%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.79%0.9%2026-05-01 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.49%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.79%0.9%2026-05-01 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.49%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.79%0.9%2026-05-01 16:55
Kalshi3.12I 32.05%NM 31.42%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.08%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.50%2.0%2026-05-01 16:55
Smarkets3.15I 31.75%NM 30.94%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.37%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.70%2.6%2026-05-01 16:55