The School of Odds

Gazişehir Gaziantep v Alanyaspor

2026-08-15 18:30 UTC — Turkey Super League

Head to Head

15 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Gazişehir Gaziantep (Local)

Prediction 40.27%2.48fair odd
EV -2.95%
Edge -1.22%
Kelly -2.09%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.41

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.57%39.99%40.52%40.88%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.102.262.302.4147.62%44.16%43.48%41.49%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Alanyaspor (Visit)

Prediction 32.02%3.12fair odd
EV -3.30%
Edge -1.09%
Kelly -1.63%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.02

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.12%32.68%31.93%36.31%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.562.802.803.0239.06%35.74%35.71%33.11%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 27.71%3.61fair odd
EV +2.52%
Edge +0.682%
Kelly +0.935%
Growth +0.024%

assuming max odds 3.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.12%27.33%27.54%28.49%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.003.313.303.7033.33%30.19%30.30%27.03%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (15 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
NordicBet2.41I 41.49%NM 38.57%EV -2.95%E -1.22%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 36.31%EV -18.03%E -7.04%K -11.56%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV +2.52%E +0.682%K +0.935%G +0.024%7.6%2026-07-26 15:50
Betsson2.41I 41.49%NM 38.57%EV -2.95%E -1.22%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 36.31%EV -18.03%E -7.04%K -11.56%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV +2.52%E +0.682%K +0.935%G +0.024%7.6%2026-07-26 15:50
1xBet2.41I 41.49%NM 40.25%EV -2.95%E -1.22%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 32.12%EV -3.30%E -1.09%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.63%EV -2.74%E -0.781%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-26 19:20
Coolbet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.52%EV -5.36%E -2.28%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.28%EV -5.54%E -1.88%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.20%EV -3.02%E -0.862%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-26 16:00
SportsBet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.88%EV -7.38%E -3.21%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -5.54%E -1.88%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -4.40%E -1.28%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-26 15:50
FanDuel2.30I 43.48%NM 40.71%EV -7.38%E -3.21%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -5.54%E -1.88%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -5.79%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-26 17:34
Tipico (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -7.38%E -3.21%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -3.94%E -1.31%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -8.56%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-26 15:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -11.40%E -5.18%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -10.35%E -3.70%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -8.56%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-26 18:45
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -11.40%E -5.18%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -10.35%E -3.70%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -8.56%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-26 19:10
Codere (IT)2.34I 42.74%NM 39.57%EV -5.76%E -2.46%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.93%EV -7.14%E -2.46%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.49%EV -9.94%E -3.06%K -4.42%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-26 15:50
Winamax (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 39.61%EV -11.40%E -5.18%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.28%EV -13.55%E -5.02%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.11%EV -14.10%E -4.55%K -6.71%G +0.000%14.7%2026-07-26 15:50
Sky Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 40.16%EV -13.42%E -6.24%K -11.67%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.98%EV -13.55%E -5.02%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.86%EV -14.10%E -4.55%K -6.71%G +0.000%15.8%2026-07-26 15:49
Unibet (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 40.21%EV -13.42%E -6.24%K -11.67%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.44%EV -11.95%E -4.34%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.35%EV -15.49%E -5.08%K -7.55%G +0.000%15.7%2026-07-26 15:50
Betclic (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 40.05%EV -13.42%E -6.24%K -11.67%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 31.54%EV -12.59%E -4.61%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 28.42%EV -16.04%E -5.29%K -7.90%G +0.000%16.1%2026-07-26 15:49
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 39.88%EV -15.43%E -7.35%K -14.03%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 32.21%EV -16.75%E -6.44%K -10.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.91%EV -16.87%E -5.62%K -8.44%G +0.000%19.4%2026-07-26 15:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.01I 99.01%NM 33.33%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.33%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.33%197.0%2026-07-26 19:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.01I 99.01%NM 33.33%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.33%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.33%197.0%2026-07-26 19:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.01I 99.01%NM 33.33%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.33%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.33%197.0%2026-07-26 19:25