Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Gazişehir Gaziantep v Alanyaspor

Kickoff: 2026-08-15 18:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

50 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Gazişehir Gaziantep (Local)

Prediction 38.14%2.62fair odd
EV -1.99%
Edge -0.773%
Kelly -1.26%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.57

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.25%38.14%38.12%39.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.442.452.5743.48%41.06%40.82%38.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Alanyaspor (Visit)

Prediction 32.21%3.10fair odd
EV -1.43%
Edge -0.468%
Kelly -0.695%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.06

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.45%32.24%32.19%33.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.652.852.843.0637.74%35.11%35.15%32.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 29.65%3.37fair odd
EV -0.079%
Edge -0.024%
Kelly -0.033%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.37

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.28%29.62%29.69%30.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.153.163.3734.48%31.75%31.70%29.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Gazişehir Gaziantep (Local): 38.14%; Alanyaspor (Visit): 32.21%; Draw: 29.65%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.373. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.370, with an expected value of -0.079%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 37.61%EV -1.99%E -0.773%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.65%EV -4.65%E -1.57%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.74%EV -3.64%E -1.12%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-15 17:59
LowVig.ag🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 37.61%EV -1.99%E -0.773%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.65%EV -4.65%E -1.57%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.74%EV -3.64%E -1.12%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-15 18:00
BetUS🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 37.61%EV -1.99%E -0.773%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.65%EV -4.65%E -1.57%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.74%EV -3.64%E -1.12%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-15 18:00
Pinnacle🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 37.89%EV -3.13%E -1.23%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.45%EV -1.43%E -0.468%K -0.695%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.65%EV -6.90%E -2.20%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-15 18:15
Coolbet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.17%EV -4.66%E -1.86%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.91%EV -6.58%E -2.27%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.92%EV -2.15%E -0.653%K -0.937%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-15 18:20
Coral🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.70%EV -4.66%E -1.86%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.84%EV -7.55%E -2.63%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -5.12%E -1.60%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-15 18:19
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.70%EV -4.66%E -1.86%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.84%EV -7.55%E -2.63%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -5.12%E -1.60%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-15 18:25
FanDuel🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.68%EV -4.66%E -1.86%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.93%EV -4.97%E -1.69%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.39%EV -8.08%E -2.61%K -3.85%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-15 18:18
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.44%EV -4.66%E -1.86%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.84%EV -8.20%E -2.88%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -6.60%E -2.10%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-15 18:20
Neds🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.44%EV -4.66%E -1.86%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.84%EV -8.20%E -2.88%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -6.60%E -2.10%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-15 18:20
1xBet🎯2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -5.04%E -2.02%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.01I 33.22%NM 32.24%EV -3.04%E -1.01%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.79%EV -0.079%E -0.024%K -0.033%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-15 18:19
Marathon Bet🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 37.74%EV -5.80%E -2.35%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.70%EV -5.30%E -1.80%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.56%EV -9.57%E -3.14%K -4.67%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-15 18:24
Fanatics🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.73%EV -6.56%E -2.68%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -3.36%E -1.12%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.65%EV -5.12%E -1.60%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 18:19
Codere (IT)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.48%EV -6.56%E -2.68%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.51%EV -6.58%E -2.27%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.01%EV -3.64%E -1.12%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-15 18:14
Unibet (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.39%EV -6.56%E -2.68%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.66%EV -7.23%E -2.51%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.94%EV -3.64%E -1.12%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-15 18:19
Tipico (DE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.16%EV -6.56%E -2.68%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -4.97%E -1.69%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -8.08%E -2.61%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 18:24
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.09%EV -6.56%E -2.68%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -8.20%E -2.88%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -5.12%E -1.60%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-15 18:19
betPARX🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.04%EV -6.56%E -2.68%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.28%EV -9.81%E -3.50%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -3.64%E -1.12%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-15 18:05
PMU (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.04%EV -6.56%E -2.68%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.28%EV -9.81%E -3.50%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -3.64%E -1.12%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-15 18:05
Grosvenor🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.04%EV -6.56%E -2.68%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.28%EV -9.81%E -3.50%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -3.64%E -1.12%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-15 18:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.04%EV -6.56%E -2.68%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.28%EV -9.81%E -3.50%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -3.64%E -1.12%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-15 18:05
Unibet (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.04%EV -6.56%E -2.68%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.28%EV -9.81%E -3.50%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -3.64%E -1.12%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-15 18:05
Casumo🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.04%EV -6.56%E -2.68%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.28%EV -9.81%E -3.50%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -3.64%E -1.12%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-15 18:04
Unibet (NL)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.04%EV -6.56%E -2.68%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.28%EV -9.81%E -3.50%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -3.64%E -1.12%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-15 18:05
Unibet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.04%EV -6.56%E -2.68%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.28%EV -9.81%E -3.50%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -3.64%E -1.12%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-15 18:05
Svenska Spel🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.04%EV -6.56%E -2.68%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.28%EV -9.81%E -3.50%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -3.64%E -1.12%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-15 18:04
ATG (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.04%EV -6.56%E -2.68%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.28%EV -9.81%E -3.50%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -3.64%E -1.12%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-15 18:04
TABtouch🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.04%EV -6.56%E -2.68%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.28%EV -9.81%E -3.50%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -3.64%E -1.12%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-15 18:04
SportsBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.56%E -2.68%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV -4.97%E -1.69%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -9.57%E -3.14%K -4.67%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-15 18:19
Bovada🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.70%EV -6.56%E -2.68%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 31.52%EV -5.62%E -1.92%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.78%EV -11.05%E -3.68%K -5.52%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-15 18:23
Betsson🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.10%EV -7.32%E -3.01%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 32.60%EV -8.52%E -3.00%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 29.30%EV -6.31%E -2.00%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-15 18:19
NordicBet🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 38.25%EV -7.71%E -3.18%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 31.59%EV -5.62%E -1.92%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 30.15%EV -8.97%E -2.92%K -4.34%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-15 18:25
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -8.47%E -3.53%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -6.58%E -2.27%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -8.08%E -2.61%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-15 18:04
betfred_uk🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -8.47%E -3.53%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -9.81%E -3.50%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -5.12%E -1.60%K -2.33%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-15 18:19
Bet Right🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.18%EV -8.47%E -3.53%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -9.81%E -3.50%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -6.60%E -2.10%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-15 18:19
888sport🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.97%EV -8.47%E -3.53%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.65%EV -7.23%E -2.51%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38%EV -11.05%E -3.68%K -5.52%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-15 18:15
888sport (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.97%EV -8.47%E -3.53%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.65%EV -7.23%E -2.51%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38%EV -11.05%E -3.68%K -5.52%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-15 18:14
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.97%EV -8.47%E -3.53%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.65%EV -7.23%E -2.51%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38%EV -11.05%E -3.68%K -5.52%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-15 18:15
Betclic (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.77%EV -8.47%E -3.53%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -8.20%E -2.88%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 30.42%EV -11.64%E -3.91%K -5.88%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-15 18:13
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.25%EV -8.47%E -3.53%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.93%EV -9.81%E -3.50%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -14.01%E -4.83%K -7.38%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-15 18:19
Paddy Power🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.25%EV -8.47%E -3.53%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.93%EV -9.81%E -3.50%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -14.01%E -4.83%K -7.38%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-15 18:19
BoyleSports🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.20%EV -9.23%E -3.88%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -9.81%E -3.50%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -8.08%E -2.61%K -3.85%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-15 18:25
Sky Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.44%EV -9.23%E -3.88%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.83%EV -9.81%E -3.50%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -14.01%E -4.83%K -7.38%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-15 18:19
Winamax (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.63%EV -10.38%E -4.42%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -11.42%E -4.15%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.37%EV -5.12%E -1.60%K -2.33%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-15 18:10
BetRivers🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.22%EV -10.38%E -4.42%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -13.03%E -4.82%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.51%EV -6.60%E -2.10%K -3.07%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-15 17:59
Virgin Bet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 38.11%EV -11.52%E -4.97%K -8.73%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.37%EV -14.64%E -5.52%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.52%EV -8.08%E -2.61%K -3.85%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-15 18:04
LiveScore Bet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 38.11%EV -11.52%E -4.97%K -8.73%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.37%EV -14.64%E -5.52%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.52%EV -8.08%E -2.61%K -3.85%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-15 18:05
NetBet (FR)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 38.11%EV -11.52%E -4.97%K -8.73%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 31.92%EV -10.77%E -3.89%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.97%EV -12.53%E -4.25%K -6.43%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-15 18:15
Unibet (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.19%EV -12.28%E -5.34%K -9.45%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.19%EV -9.81%E -3.50%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.62%EV -6.60%E -2.10%K -3.07%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-15 18:09
Winamax (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.73%EV -12.28%E -5.34%K -9.45%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.99%EV -13.03%E -4.82%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.28%EV -6.60%E -2.10%K -3.07%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-15 18:09
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.68I 37.31%NM 37.19%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.15%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.66%0.3%2026-08-15 18:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.68I 37.31%NM 37.19%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.15%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.66%0.3%2026-08-15 18:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.68I 37.31%NM 37.19%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.15%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.66%0.3%2026-08-15 18:25
Matchbook2.64I 37.88%NM 37.36%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.82%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.82%1.4%2026-08-15 18:25
Smarkets2.62I 38.17%NM 37.52%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.23%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.25%1.7%2026-08-15 18:25
Kalshi2.63I 38.02%NM 37.28%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.36%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.36%2.0%2026-08-15 18:15

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