Idioma:Español
Gazişehir Gaziantep v Alanyaspor
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Gazişehir Gaziantep (Local)
Predicción 38.14%2.62momio equitativo
EV -1.99%
Ventaja -0.773%
Kelly -1.26%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.57
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.25%38.14%38.12%39.19%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.302.442.452.5743.48%41.06%40.82%38.91%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Alanyaspor (Visitante)
Predicción 32.21%3.10momio equitativo
EV -1.43%
Ventaja -0.468%
Kelly -0.695%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.06
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.45%32.24%32.19%33.37%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.652.852.843.0637.74%35.11%35.15%32.68%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 29.65%3.37momio equitativo
EV -0.079%
Ventaja -0.024%
Kelly -0.033%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.37
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.28%29.62%29.69%30.83%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.903.153.163.3734.48%31.75%31.70%29.67%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Gazişehir Gaziantep (Local): 38.14%; Alanyaspor (Visitante): 32.21%; Empate: 29.65%. Para Empate, esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.373. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 3.370, con un valor esperado de -0.079%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (50 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.61%EV -1.99%E -0.773%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.65%EV -4.65%E -1.57%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.74%EV -3.64%E -1.12%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-15 17:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.61%EV -1.99%E -0.773%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.65%EV -4.65%E -1.57%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.74%EV -3.64%E -1.12%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-15 18:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.61%EV -1.99%E -0.773%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.65%EV -4.65%E -1.57%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.74%EV -3.64%E -1.12%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-15 18:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.89%EV -3.13%E -1.23%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 31.45%EV -1.43%E -0.468%K -0.695%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.65%EV -6.90%E -2.20%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-15 18:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.17%EV -4.66%E -1.86%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.91%EV -6.58%E -2.27%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.92%EV -2.15%E -0.653%K -0.937%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-15 18:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.70%EV -4.66%E -1.86%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.84%EV -7.55%E -2.63%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -5.12%E -1.60%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-15 18:19 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.70%EV -4.66%E -1.86%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.84%EV -7.55%E -2.63%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -5.12%E -1.60%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-15 18:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.68%EV -4.66%E -1.86%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.93%EV -4.97%E -1.69%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.39%EV -8.08%E -2.61%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-15 18:18 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.44%EV -4.66%E -1.86%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.84%EV -8.20%E -2.88%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -6.60%E -2.10%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-15 18:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.44%EV -4.66%E -1.86%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.84%EV -8.20%E -2.88%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -6.60%E -2.10%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-15 18:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -5.04%E -2.02%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.01I 33.22%NM 32.24%EV -3.04%E -1.01%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.79%EV -0.079%E -0.024%K -0.033%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-15 18:19 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 37.74%EV -5.80%E -2.35%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 31.70%EV -5.30%E -1.80%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.56%EV -9.57%E -3.14%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-15 18:24 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.73%EV -6.56%E -2.68%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -3.36%E -1.12%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.65%EV -5.12%E -1.60%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 18:19 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.48%EV -6.56%E -2.68%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.51%EV -6.58%E -2.27%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.01%EV -3.64%E -1.12%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-15 18:14 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.39%EV -6.56%E -2.68%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.66%EV -7.23%E -2.51%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.94%EV -3.64%E -1.12%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-15 18:19 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.16%EV -6.56%E -2.68%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -4.97%E -1.69%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -8.08%E -2.61%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-15 18:24 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.09%EV -6.56%E -2.68%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -8.20%E -2.88%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -5.12%E -1.60%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-15 18:19 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.04%EV -6.56%E -2.68%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.28%EV -9.81%E -3.50%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -3.64%E -1.12%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-15 18:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.04%EV -6.56%E -2.68%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.28%EV -9.81%E -3.50%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -3.64%E -1.12%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-15 18:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.04%EV -6.56%E -2.68%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.28%EV -9.81%E -3.50%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -3.64%E -1.12%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-15 18:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.04%EV -6.56%E -2.68%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.28%EV -9.81%E -3.50%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -3.64%E -1.12%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-15 18:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.04%EV -6.56%E -2.68%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.28%EV -9.81%E -3.50%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -3.64%E -1.12%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-15 18:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.04%EV -6.56%E -2.68%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.28%EV -9.81%E -3.50%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -3.64%E -1.12%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-15 18:04 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.04%EV -6.56%E -2.68%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.28%EV -9.81%E -3.50%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -3.64%E -1.12%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-15 18:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.04%EV -6.56%E -2.68%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.28%EV -9.81%E -3.50%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -3.64%E -1.12%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-15 18:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.04%EV -6.56%E -2.68%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.28%EV -9.81%E -3.50%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -3.64%E -1.12%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-15 18:04 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.04%EV -6.56%E -2.68%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.28%EV -9.81%E -3.50%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -3.64%E -1.12%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-15 18:04 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.04%EV -6.56%E -2.68%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.28%EV -9.81%E -3.50%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -3.64%E -1.12%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-15 18:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.56%E -2.68%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV -4.97%E -1.69%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -9.57%E -3.14%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-15 18:19 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.70%EV -6.56%E -2.68%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 31.52%EV -5.62%E -1.92%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.78%EV -11.05%E -3.68%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-15 18:23 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.10%EV -7.32%E -3.01%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 32.60%EV -8.52%E -3.00%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 29.30%EV -6.31%E -2.00%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-15 18:19 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.25%EV -7.71%E -3.18%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 31.59%EV -5.62%E -1.92%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.07I 32.57%NM 30.15%EV -8.97%E -2.92%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-15 18:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -8.47%E -3.53%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -6.58%E -2.27%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -8.08%E -2.61%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-15 18:04 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -8.47%E -3.53%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -9.81%E -3.50%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -5.12%E -1.60%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-15 18:19 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.18%EV -8.47%E -3.53%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -9.81%E -3.50%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -6.60%E -2.10%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-15 18:19 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.97%EV -8.47%E -3.53%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.65%EV -7.23%E -2.51%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38%EV -11.05%E -3.68%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-15 18:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.97%EV -8.47%E -3.53%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.65%EV -7.23%E -2.51%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38%EV -11.05%E -3.68%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-15 18:14 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.97%EV -8.47%E -3.53%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.65%EV -7.23%E -2.51%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38%EV -11.05%E -3.68%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-15 18:15 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.77%EV -8.47%E -3.53%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -8.20%E -2.88%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 30.42%EV -11.64%E -3.91%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-15 18:13 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.25%EV -8.47%E -3.53%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.93%EV -9.81%E -3.50%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -14.01%E -4.83%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-15 18:19 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.25%EV -8.47%E -3.53%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.93%EV -9.81%E -3.50%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -14.01%E -4.83%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-15 18:19 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.20%EV -9.23%E -3.88%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -9.81%E -3.50%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -8.08%E -2.61%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-15 18:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.44%EV -9.23%E -3.88%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.83%EV -9.81%E -3.50%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -14.01%E -4.83%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-15 18:19 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.63%EV -10.38%E -4.42%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -11.42%E -4.15%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.37%EV -5.12%E -1.60%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-15 18:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.22%EV -10.38%E -4.42%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -13.03%E -4.82%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.51%EV -6.60%E -2.10%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-15 17:59 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 38.11%EV -11.52%E -4.97%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.37%EV -14.64%E -5.52%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.52%EV -8.08%E -2.61%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-15 18:04 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 38.11%EV -11.52%E -4.97%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.37%EV -14.64%E -5.52%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.52%EV -8.08%E -2.61%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-15 18:05 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 38.11%EV -11.52%E -4.97%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 31.92%EV -10.77%E -3.89%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.97%EV -12.53%E -4.25%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-15 18:15 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.19%EV -12.28%E -5.34%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.19%EV -9.81%E -3.50%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.62%EV -6.60%E -2.10%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-15 18:09 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.73%EV -12.28%E -5.34%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.99%EV -13.03%E -4.82%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.28%EV -6.60%E -2.10%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-15 18:09 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.68I 37.31%NM 37.19% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.15% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.66% | 0.3% | 2026-08-15 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.68I 37.31%NM 37.19% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.15% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.66% | 0.3% | 2026-08-15 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.68I 37.31%NM 37.19% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.15% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.66% | 0.3% | 2026-08-15 18:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.36% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.82% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.82% | 1.4% | 2026-08-15 18:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.52% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.23% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.25% | 1.7% | 2026-08-15 18:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.28% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.36% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.36% | 2.0% | 2026-08-15 18:15 |