Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Gazişehir Gaziantep v Alanyaspor

Início: 2026-08-15 18:30 UTC

Final: Gazişehir Gaziantep 1–1 Alanyaspor

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

50 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Gazişehir Gaziantep (Local)

Previsão 38.14%2.62odd justa
EV -1.99%
Vantagem -0.773%
Kelly -1.26%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.57

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
37.25%38.14%38.12%39.19%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.302.442.452.5743.48%41.06%40.82%38.91%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Alanyaspor (Visitante)

Previsão 32.21%3.10odd justa
EV -1.43%
Vantagem -0.468%
Kelly -0.695%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.06

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
31.45%32.24%32.19%33.37%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.652.852.843.0637.74%35.11%35.15%32.68%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 29.65%3.37odd justa
EV -0.079%
Vantagem -0.024%
Kelly -0.033%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.37

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
28.28%29.62%29.69%30.83%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.903.153.163.3734.48%31.75%31.70%29.67%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Gazişehir Gaziantep (Local): 38.14%; Alanyaspor (Visitante): 32.21%; Empate: 29.65%. Para Empate, essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.373. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 3.370, com valor esperado de -0.079%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (50 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
BetOnline.ag🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 37.61%EV -1.99%E -0.773%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.65%EV -4.65%E -1.57%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.74%EV -3.64%E -1.12%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-15 17:59
LowVig.ag🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 37.61%EV -1.99%E -0.773%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.65%EV -4.65%E -1.57%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.74%EV -3.64%E -1.12%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-15 18:00
BetUS🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 37.61%EV -1.99%E -0.773%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.65%EV -4.65%E -1.57%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.74%EV -3.64%E -1.12%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-15 18:00
Pinnacle🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 37.89%EV -3.13%E -1.23%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.45%EV -1.43%E -0.468%K -0.695%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.65%EV -6.90%E -2.20%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-15 18:15
Coolbet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.17%EV -4.66%E -1.86%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.91%EV -6.58%E -2.27%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.92%EV -2.15%E -0.653%K -0.937%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-15 18:20
Coral🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.70%EV -4.66%E -1.86%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.84%EV -7.55%E -2.63%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -5.12%E -1.60%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-15 18:19
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.70%EV -4.66%E -1.86%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.84%EV -7.55%E -2.63%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -5.12%E -1.60%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-15 18:25
FanDuel🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.68%EV -4.66%E -1.86%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.93%EV -4.97%E -1.69%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.39%EV -8.08%E -2.61%K -3.85%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-15 18:18
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.44%EV -4.66%E -1.86%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.84%EV -8.20%E -2.88%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -6.60%E -2.10%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-15 18:20
Neds🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.44%EV -4.66%E -1.86%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.84%EV -8.20%E -2.88%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -6.60%E -2.10%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-15 18:20
1xBet🎯2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -5.04%E -2.02%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.01I 33.22%NM 32.24%EV -3.04%E -1.01%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.79%EV -0.079%E -0.024%K -0.033%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-15 18:19
Marathon Bet🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 37.74%EV -5.80%E -2.35%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.70%EV -5.30%E -1.80%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.56%EV -9.57%E -3.14%K -4.67%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-15 18:24
Fanatics🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.73%EV -6.56%E -2.68%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -3.36%E -1.12%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.65%EV -5.12%E -1.60%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 18:19
Codere (IT)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.48%EV -6.56%E -2.68%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.51%EV -6.58%E -2.27%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.01%EV -3.64%E -1.12%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-15 18:14
Unibet (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.39%EV -6.56%E -2.68%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.66%EV -7.23%E -2.51%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.94%EV -3.64%E -1.12%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-15 18:19
Tipico (DE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.16%EV -6.56%E -2.68%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -4.97%E -1.69%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -8.08%E -2.61%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 18:24
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.09%EV -6.56%E -2.68%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -8.20%E -2.88%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -5.12%E -1.60%K -2.33%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-15 18:19
betPARX🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.04%EV -6.56%E -2.68%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.28%EV -9.81%E -3.50%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -3.64%E -1.12%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-15 18:05
PMU (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.04%EV -6.56%E -2.68%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.28%EV -9.81%E -3.50%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -3.64%E -1.12%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-15 18:05
Grosvenor🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.04%EV -6.56%E -2.68%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.28%EV -9.81%E -3.50%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -3.64%E -1.12%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-15 18:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.04%EV -6.56%E -2.68%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.28%EV -9.81%E -3.50%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -3.64%E -1.12%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-15 18:05
Unibet (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.04%EV -6.56%E -2.68%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.28%EV -9.81%E -3.50%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -3.64%E -1.12%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-15 18:05
Casumo🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.04%EV -6.56%E -2.68%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.28%EV -9.81%E -3.50%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -3.64%E -1.12%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-15 18:04
Unibet (NL)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.04%EV -6.56%E -2.68%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.28%EV -9.81%E -3.50%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -3.64%E -1.12%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-15 18:05
Unibet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.04%EV -6.56%E -2.68%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.28%EV -9.81%E -3.50%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -3.64%E -1.12%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-15 18:05
Svenska Spel🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.04%EV -6.56%E -2.68%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.28%EV -9.81%E -3.50%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -3.64%E -1.12%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-15 18:04
ATG (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.04%EV -6.56%E -2.68%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.28%EV -9.81%E -3.50%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -3.64%E -1.12%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-15 18:04
TABtouch🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.04%EV -6.56%E -2.68%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.28%EV -9.81%E -3.50%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -3.64%E -1.12%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-15 18:04
SportsBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.56%E -2.68%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV -4.97%E -1.69%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -9.57%E -3.14%K -4.67%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-15 18:19
Bovada🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.70%EV -6.56%E -2.68%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 31.52%EV -5.62%E -1.92%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.78%EV -11.05%E -3.68%K -5.52%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-15 18:23
Betsson🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.10%EV -7.32%E -3.01%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 32.60%EV -8.52%E -3.00%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 29.30%EV -6.31%E -2.00%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-15 18:19
NordicBet🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 38.25%EV -7.71%E -3.18%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 31.59%EV -5.62%E -1.92%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 30.15%EV -8.97%E -2.92%K -4.34%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-15 18:25
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -8.47%E -3.53%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -6.58%E -2.27%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -8.08%E -2.61%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-15 18:04
betfred_uk🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -8.47%E -3.53%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -9.81%E -3.50%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -5.12%E -1.60%K -2.33%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-15 18:19
Bet Right🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.18%EV -8.47%E -3.53%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -9.81%E -3.50%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -6.60%E -2.10%K -3.07%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-15 18:19
888sport🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.97%EV -8.47%E -3.53%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.65%EV -7.23%E -2.51%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38%EV -11.05%E -3.68%K -5.52%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-15 18:15
888sport (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.97%EV -8.47%E -3.53%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.65%EV -7.23%E -2.51%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38%EV -11.05%E -3.68%K -5.52%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-15 18:14
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.97%EV -8.47%E -3.53%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.65%EV -7.23%E -2.51%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38%EV -11.05%E -3.68%K -5.52%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-15 18:15
Betclic (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.77%EV -8.47%E -3.53%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -8.20%E -2.88%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 30.42%EV -11.64%E -3.91%K -5.88%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-15 18:13
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.25%EV -8.47%E -3.53%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.93%EV -9.81%E -3.50%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -14.01%E -4.83%K -7.38%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-15 18:19
Paddy Power🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.25%EV -8.47%E -3.53%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.93%EV -9.81%E -3.50%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -14.01%E -4.83%K -7.38%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-15 18:19
BoyleSports🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.20%EV -9.23%E -3.88%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -9.81%E -3.50%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -8.08%E -2.61%K -3.85%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-15 18:25
Sky Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.44%EV -9.23%E -3.88%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.83%EV -9.81%E -3.50%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -14.01%E -4.83%K -7.38%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-15 18:19
Winamax (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.63%EV -10.38%E -4.42%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -11.42%E -4.15%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.37%EV -5.12%E -1.60%K -2.33%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-15 18:10
BetRivers🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.22%EV -10.38%E -4.42%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -13.03%E -4.82%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.51%EV -6.60%E -2.10%K -3.07%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-15 17:59
Virgin Bet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 38.11%EV -11.52%E -4.97%K -8.73%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.37%EV -14.64%E -5.52%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.52%EV -8.08%E -2.61%K -3.85%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-15 18:04
LiveScore Bet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 38.11%EV -11.52%E -4.97%K -8.73%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.37%EV -14.64%E -5.52%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.52%EV -8.08%E -2.61%K -3.85%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-15 18:05
NetBet (FR)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 38.11%EV -11.52%E -4.97%K -8.73%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 31.92%EV -10.77%E -3.89%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.97%EV -12.53%E -4.25%K -6.43%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-15 18:15
Unibet (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.19%EV -12.28%E -5.34%K -9.45%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.19%EV -9.81%E -3.50%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.62%EV -6.60%E -2.10%K -3.07%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-15 18:09
Winamax (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.73%EV -12.28%E -5.34%K -9.45%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.99%EV -13.03%E -4.82%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.28%EV -6.60%E -2.10%K -3.07%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-15 18:09
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.68I 37.31%NM 37.19%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.15%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.66%0.3%2026-08-15 18:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.68I 37.31%NM 37.19%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.15%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.66%0.3%2026-08-15 18:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.68I 37.31%NM 37.19%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.15%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.66%0.3%2026-08-15 18:25
Matchbook2.64I 37.88%NM 37.36%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.82%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.82%1.4%2026-08-15 18:25
Smarkets2.62I 38.17%NM 37.52%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.23%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.25%1.7%2026-08-15 18:25
Kalshi2.63I 38.02%NM 37.28%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.36%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.36%2.0%2026-08-15 18:15