The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Galatasaray v Fenerbahce

Kickoff: 2026-10-26 18:30 UTC

Final: Galatasaray 2–1 Fenerbahce

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

52 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Galatasaray (Local)

Prediction 46.69%2.14fair odd
EV -3.35%
Edge -1.62%
Kelly -3.13%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.07

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.44%46.73%46.71%49.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.821.961.962.0754.95%51.07%51.02%48.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Fenerbahce (Visit)

Prediction 28.73%3.48fair odd
EV +0.553%
Edge +0.158%
Kelly +0.221%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.83%28.71%28.70%29.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.053.273.273.5032.79%30.59%30.53%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 24.58%4.07fair odd
EV +0.286%
Edge +0.070%
Kelly +0.093%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.08

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.55%24.56%24.58%26.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.773.754.0828.57%26.53%26.67%24.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Galatasaray (Local): 46.69%; Fenerbahce (Visit): 28.73%; Draw: 24.58%. For Fenerbahce (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.48. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.553%.

Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
ATG (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.17%EV -9.89%E -5.12%K -10.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV +0.553%E +0.158%K +0.221%G +0.001%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.72%EV -1.68%E -0.420%K -0.560%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-26 18:21
Svenska Spel🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.17%EV -9.89%E -5.12%K -10.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV +0.553%E +0.158%K +0.221%G +0.001%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.72%EV -1.68%E -0.420%K -0.560%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-26 18:21
1xBet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.77%EV -8.02%E -4.07%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.69%EV -0.309%E -0.089%K -0.125%G +0.000%4.08I 24.51%NM 23.55%EV +0.286%E +0.070%K +0.093%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-26 18:25
Coolbet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.14%EV -7.55%E -3.81%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.03%EV -2.32%E -0.682%K -0.967%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.83%EV -1.68%E -0.420%K -0.560%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-26 12:25
Tipico (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.29%EV -6.62%E -3.31%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -2.32%E -0.682%K -0.967%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -6.60%E -1.74%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-26 18:26
FanDuel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -6.62%E -3.31%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -2.32%E -0.682%K -0.967%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -9.05%E -2.45%K -3.35%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-26 18:25
SportsBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.40%EV -5.68%E -2.81%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -2.32%E -0.682%K -0.967%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -11.51%E -3.20%K -4.43%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-26 18:26
Pinnacle🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.71%EV -3.35%E -1.62%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.69%EV -3.18%E -0.944%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 24.60%EV -3.40%E -0.866%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.4%2026-10-26 18:21
LowVig.ag🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.67%EV -3.35%E -1.62%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.75%EV -3.47%E -1.03%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 24.58%EV -3.40%E -0.866%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.5%2026-10-26 18:25
BetOnline.ag🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.67%EV -3.35%E -1.62%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.75%EV -3.47%E -1.03%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 24.58%EV -3.40%E -0.866%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.5%2026-10-26 18:26
BetUS🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.03%EV -8.95%E -4.59%K -9.42%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -3.76%E -1.12%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.01%EV -4.14%E -1.06%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-26 18:21
GTbets🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.61%EV -9.42%E -4.86%K -10.02%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -3.76%E -1.12%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 24.83%EV -8.56%E -2.30%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-26 18:21
TABtouch🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.79%EV -12.22%E -6.50%K -13.89%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.38%EV -3.76%E -1.12%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.83%EV -5.37%E -1.39%K -1.88%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-26 18:21
Unibet (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.79%EV -12.22%E -6.50%K -13.89%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.38%EV -3.76%E -1.12%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.83%EV -5.37%E -1.39%K -1.88%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-26 18:21
Unibet (NL)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.79%EV -12.22%E -6.50%K -13.89%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.38%EV -3.76%E -1.12%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.83%EV -5.37%E -1.39%K -1.88%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-26 18:21
Casumo🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.79%EV -12.22%E -6.50%K -13.89%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.38%EV -3.76%E -1.12%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.83%EV -5.37%E -1.39%K -1.88%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-26 18:20
Unibet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.79%EV -12.22%E -6.50%K -13.89%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.38%EV -3.76%E -1.12%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.83%EV -5.37%E -1.39%K -1.88%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-26 18:21
Grosvenor🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.79%EV -12.22%E -6.50%K -13.89%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.38%EV -3.76%E -1.12%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.83%EV -5.37%E -1.39%K -1.88%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-26 18:21
betPARX🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.79%EV -12.22%E -6.50%K -13.89%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.38%EV -3.76%E -1.12%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.83%EV -5.37%E -1.39%K -1.88%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-26 18:20
Fanatics🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.28%EV -4.28%E -2.09%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -5.19%E -1.57%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97%EV -6.60%E -1.74%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-26 18:25
Paddy Power🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -8.95%E -4.59%K -9.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -5.19%E -1.57%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -13.97%E -3.99%K -5.59%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-26 18:26
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -8.95%E -4.59%K -9.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -5.19%E -1.57%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -13.97%E -3.99%K -5.59%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-26 18:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 48.55%EV -13.15%E -7.07%K -15.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.37%EV -5.19%E -1.57%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.08%EV -7.83%E -2.09%K -2.85%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-26 18:21
Virgin Bet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 48.55%EV -13.15%E -7.07%K -15.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.37%EV -5.19%E -1.57%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.08%EV -7.83%E -2.09%K -2.85%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-26 18:21
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.69%EV -13.62%E -7.36%K -16.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.29%EV -5.19%E -1.57%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.02%EV -7.83%E -2.09%K -2.85%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-26 18:21
Sky Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 47.87%EV -13.62%E -7.36%K -16.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -5.19%E -1.57%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -13.97%E -3.99%K -5.59%G +0.000%12.9%2026-10-26 18:09
DraftKings🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.08%EV -4.28%E -2.09%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.06%EV -6.63%E -2.04%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.86%EV -6.60%E -1.74%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-26 18:26
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.93%EV -4.28%E -2.09%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.97%EV -6.63%E -2.04%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.11%EV -7.83%E -2.09%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-26 18:25
Coral🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.93%EV -4.28%E -2.09%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.97%EV -6.63%E -2.04%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.11%EV -7.83%E -2.09%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-26 18:25
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.69%EV -6.62%E -3.31%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -6.63%E -2.04%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -6.60%E -1.74%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-26 18:25
Betsson🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.14%EV -5.68%E -2.81%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -6.63%E -2.04%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -9.05%E -2.45%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-26 18:26
Marathon Bet🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 46.76%EV -7.09%E -3.56%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -6.63%E -2.04%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 24.61%EV -7.09%E -1.88%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-26 18:25
PMU (FR)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 48.74%EV -15.02%E -8.25%K -18.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.29%EV -6.63%E -2.04%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.97%EV -9.05%E -2.45%K -3.35%G +0.000%12.7%2026-10-26 18:21
NordicBet🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 46.06%EV -6.15%E -3.06%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 28.84%EV -7.78%E -2.42%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 25.09%EV -9.30%E -2.52%K -3.46%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-26 18:25
Codere (IT)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.02%EV -4.28%E -2.09%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -8.07%E -2.52%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.50%EV -5.37%E -1.39%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-26 18:26
Unibet (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.87%EV -4.28%E -2.09%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -8.07%E -2.52%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -6.60%E -1.74%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-26 18:26
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.56%EV -4.28%E -2.09%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -8.07%E -2.52%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -9.05%E -2.45%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-26 18:26
Neds🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.56%EV -4.28%E -2.09%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -8.07%E -2.52%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -9.05%E -2.45%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-26 18:26
Bovada🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.02%EV -6.62%E -3.31%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.76%EV -8.07%E -2.52%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -10.28%E -2.82%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-26 18:25
Winamax (DE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.50%EV -10.35%E -5.39%K -11.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -8.07%E -2.52%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -6.60%E -1.74%K -2.36%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-26 18:25
NetBet (FR)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 47.69%EV -12.69%E -6.79%K -14.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.87%EV -8.07%E -2.52%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.43%EV -10.28%E -2.82%K -3.88%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-26 18:25
Betclic (FR)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 46.88%EV -9.42%E -4.86%K -10.02%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.87%EV -9.50%E -3.02%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.25%EV -7.83%E -2.09%K -2.85%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-26 18:24
BetRivers🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 46.98%EV -10.35%E -5.39%K -11.25%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.64%EV -9.50%E -3.02%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.38%EV -9.05%E -2.45%K -3.35%G +0.000%10.9%2026-10-26 17:35
Winamax (FR)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.40%EV -11.29%E -5.94%K -12.54%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.59%EV -9.50%E -3.02%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.01%EV -7.83%E -2.09%K -2.85%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-26 18:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.34%EV -6.62%E -3.31%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.90%EV -10.94%E -3.53%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.76%EV -4.14%E -1.06%K -1.43%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-26 18:25
Bet Right🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.30%EV -7.55%E -3.81%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -10.94%E -3.53%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.13%EV -6.60%E -1.74%K -2.36%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-26 18:25
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -6.62%E -3.31%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -10.94%E -3.53%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -11.51%E -3.20%K -4.43%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-26 18:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -6.62%E -3.31%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -10.94%E -3.53%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -11.51%E -3.20%K -4.43%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-26 18:26
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -6.62%E -3.31%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -10.94%E -3.53%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -11.51%E -3.20%K -4.43%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-26 18:25
betfred_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.53%EV -8.95%E -4.59%K -9.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -10.94%E -3.53%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -7.83%E -2.09%K -2.85%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-26 18:25
BoyleSports🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 47.58%EV -12.69%E -6.79%K -14.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -10.94%E -3.53%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.72%EV -7.83%E -2.09%K -2.85%G +0.000%12.4%2026-10-26 17:09
Unibet (FR)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 47.43%EV -14.56%E -7.95%K -17.54%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.46%EV -12.38%E -4.06%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.11%EV -11.51%E -3.20%K -4.43%G +0.000%15.2%2026-10-26 18:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.14I 46.73%NM 46.66%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.74%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.60%0.1%2026-10-26 18:26
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.14I 46.73%NM 46.66%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.74%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.60%0.1%2026-10-26 18:26
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.14I 46.73%NM 46.48%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.02%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.50%0.5%2026-10-26 18:26
Matchbook◎2.14I 46.73%NM 46.48%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.02%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.50%0.5%2026-10-26 18:25
Smarkets◎2.12I 47.17%NM 46.53%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.18%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.29%1.4%2026-10-26 18:26
Kalshi◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.11%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.40%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.49%2.1%2026-10-26 18:26

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