Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Galatasaray v Fenerbahce

2026-10-26 18:30 UTC — Turkey Super League

Résultat du match

45 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Galatasaray (Local)

Prévision 41.36%2.42cote équitable
EV -1.56%
Avantage -0.655%
Kelly -1.13%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.38

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
40.35%41.44%41.33%43.61%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.002.202.202.3850.00%45.54%45.45%42.02%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Fenerbahce (Visiteur)

Prévision 33.01%3.03cote équitable
EV +0.665%
Avantage +0.218%
Kelly +0.325%
Croissance +0.002%

avec la cote maximale 3.05

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.60%32.86%33.00%34.11%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.502.852.873.0540.00%35.03%34.84%32.79%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 25.63%3.90cote équitable
EV -3.36%
Avantage -0.892%
Kelly -1.21%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.77

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.64%25.70%25.67%26.90%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.303.573.603.7730.30%27.97%27.78%26.53%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Galatasaray (Local) : 41.36% ; Fenerbahce (Visiteur) : 33.01% ; Match nul : 25.63%. Pour Fenerbahce (Visiteur), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 3.03. 9 opérateurs proposent une cote supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure cote disponible est 3.05, pour une espérance positive de +0.665%.

Cotes des opérateurs (45 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
TABtouch🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -11.07%E -5.15%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.73%EV +0.665%E +0.218%K +0.325%G +0.002%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.68%EV -6.44%E -1.76%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-19 19:35
Unibet (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -11.07%E -5.15%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.73%EV +0.665%E +0.218%K +0.325%G +0.002%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.68%EV -6.44%E -1.76%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-19 19:35
Unibet (NL)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -11.07%E -5.15%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.73%EV +0.665%E +0.218%K +0.325%G +0.002%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.68%EV -6.44%E -1.76%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-19 19:35
Casumo🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -11.07%E -5.15%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.73%EV +0.665%E +0.218%K +0.325%G +0.002%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.68%EV -6.44%E -1.76%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-19 19:35
Unibet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -11.07%E -5.15%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.73%EV +0.665%E +0.218%K +0.325%G +0.002%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.68%EV -6.44%E -1.76%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-19 19:35
Grosvenor🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -11.07%E -5.15%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.73%EV +0.665%E +0.218%K +0.325%G +0.002%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.68%EV -6.44%E -1.76%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-19 19:35
betPARX🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -11.07%E -5.15%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.73%EV +0.665%E +0.218%K +0.325%G +0.002%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.68%EV -6.44%E -1.76%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-19 19:35
ATG (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -11.07%E -5.15%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.73%EV +0.665%E +0.218%K +0.325%G +0.002%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.68%EV -6.44%E -1.76%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-19 19:35
Svenska Spel🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -11.07%E -5.15%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.73%EV +0.665%E +0.218%K +0.325%G +0.002%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.68%EV -6.44%E -1.76%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-19 19:35
LiveScore Bet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.49%EV -13.97%E -6.72%K -12.93%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.66%EV -2.64%E -0.893%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%EV -10.28%E -2.94%K -4.11%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-19 19:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.49%EV -13.97%E -6.72%K -12.93%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.66%EV -2.64%E -0.893%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%EV -10.28%E -2.94%K -4.11%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-19 19:35
Virgin Bet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.49%EV -13.97%E -6.72%K -12.93%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.66%EV -2.64%E -0.893%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%EV -10.28%E -2.94%K -4.11%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-19 19:35
BetRivers🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 43.61%EV -14.38%E -6.95%K -13.44%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.60%EV -2.64%E -0.893%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -10.28%E -2.94%K -4.11%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-19 19:35
1xBet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.78%EV -1.56%E -0.655%K -1.13%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.47%EV -4.29%E -1.48%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 25.75%EV -3.36%E -0.892%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.0%2026-10-19 15:35
Pinnacle🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 41.60%EV -5.28%E -2.31%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.85%EV -4.29%E -1.48%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.54%EV -4.39%E -1.18%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-19 19:25
Tipico (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.95%EV -6.94%E -3.08%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.54%EV -4.29%E -1.48%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.51%EV -5.16%E -1.39%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-19 15:55
Fanatics🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%EV -6.94%E -3.08%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -4.29%E -1.48%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -7.72%E -2.14%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-19 19:20
888sport🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -9.00%E -4.09%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -4.29%E -1.48%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -12.85%E -3.78%K -5.35%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-19 15:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -9.00%E -4.09%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -4.29%E -1.48%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -12.85%E -3.78%K -5.35%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-19 15:35
888sport (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -9.00%E -4.09%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -4.29%E -1.48%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -12.85%E -3.78%K -5.35%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-19 15:36
PMU (FR)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 43.34%EV -14.80%E -7.18%K -13.96%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.78%EV -4.29%E -1.48%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.88%EV -11.56%E -3.35%K -4.72%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-19 19:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.98%EV -4.87%E -2.12%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.84%EV -5.28%E -1.84%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -7.72%E -2.14%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-19 19:25
Coral🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.98%EV -4.87%E -2.12%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.84%EV -5.28%E -1.84%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -7.72%E -2.14%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-19 19:24
Coolbet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.32%EV -4.87%E -2.12%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.34%EV -5.94%E -2.08%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV -3.87%E -1.03%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-19 18:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.88%EV -4.87%E -2.12%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.99%EV -5.94%E -2.08%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -7.72%E -2.14%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-19 19:25
Neds🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.88%EV -4.87%E -2.12%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.99%EV -5.94%E -2.08%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -7.72%E -2.14%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-19 19:25
Betsson🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.44%EV -4.87%E -2.12%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.98%EV -6.93%E -2.46%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -10.28%E -2.94%K -4.11%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-19 16:00
SportsBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -6.94%E -3.08%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -7.59%E -2.71%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -5.16%E -1.39%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-19 15:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -6.94%E -3.08%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -7.59%E -2.71%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -5.16%E -1.39%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-19 19:16
FanDuel🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -6.94%E -3.08%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -7.59%E -2.71%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -5.16%E -1.39%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-19 15:49
Codere (IT)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -6.94%E -3.08%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.09%EV -7.59%E -2.71%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -7.72%E -2.14%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-19 16:45
Unibet (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -6.94%E -3.08%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.09%EV -7.59%E -2.71%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -7.72%E -2.14%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-19 18:35
NordicBet🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 40.39%EV -5.28%E -2.31%K -4.09%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.03%EV -7.59%E -2.71%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.58%EV -10.80%E -3.10%K -4.35%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-19 16:01
Bovada🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.39%EV -7.76%E -3.48%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.97%EV -7.59%E -2.71%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -7.72%E -2.14%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-19 19:20
Marathon Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.82%EV -5.70%E -2.50%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.48%EV -8.25%E -2.97%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.71%EV -7.21%E -1.99%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-19 15:30
Bet Right🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -6.94%E -3.08%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.49%EV -9.24%E -3.36%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -7.72%E -2.14%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-19 18:45
betfred_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.47%EV -9.00%E -4.09%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.18%EV -9.24%E -3.36%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -7.72%E -2.14%K -2.97%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-19 15:50
Betway🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.68%EV -6.94%E -3.08%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.90%EV -10.89%E -4.03%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -7.72%E -2.14%K -2.97%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-19 18:35
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.22%EV -9.00%E -4.09%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.59%EV -10.89%E -4.03%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -7.72%E -2.14%K -2.97%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-19 15:50
Betclic (FR)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 41.43%EV -12.31%E -5.81%K -10.99%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 32.89%EV -11.88%E -4.45%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 25.68%EV -12.33%E -3.61%K -5.10%G +0.000%13.9%2026-10-19 15:35
Unibet (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 42.68%EV -17.28%E -8.64%K -17.28%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 32.21%EV -12.54%E -4.73%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.11%EV -12.85%E -3.78%K -5.35%G +0.000%17.1%2026-10-19 15:35
BoyleSports🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.25%EV -11.07%E -5.15%K -9.63%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.11%EV -14.19%E -5.46%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -7.72%E -2.14%K -2.97%G +0.000%12.8%2026-10-19 16:10
Winamax (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.53%EV -13.14%E -6.26%K -11.95%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.55%EV -14.19%E -5.46%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.92%EV -10.28%E -2.94%K -4.11%G +0.000%14.7%2026-10-19 15:35
Sky Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.35%EV -11.07%E -5.15%K -9.63%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.36%EV -14.19%E -5.46%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.29%EV -15.41%E -4.67%K -6.70%G +0.000%15.3%2026-10-19 16:20
Winamax (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 40.96%EV -15.21%E -7.42%K -14.48%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 33.59%EV -17.49%E -6.99%K -11.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.45%EV -15.41%E -4.67%K -6.70%G +0.000%19.1%2026-10-19 15:35
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (1)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets◎2.10I 47.62%NM 40.65%2.58I 38.76%NM 33.09%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.27%17.1%2026-10-19 15:35