Language:English
Galatasaray v Fenerbahce
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Galatasaray (Local)
Prediction 41.32%2.42fair odd
EV -2.91%
Edge -1.24%
Kelly -2.15%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.35
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.91%41.27%41.27%42.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.222.242.3547.62%45.08%44.64%42.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Fenerbahce (Visit)
Prediction 30.36%3.29fair odd
EV +2.32%
Edge +0.688%
Kelly +0.978%
Growth +0.023%
assuming max odds 3.37
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.25%30.28%30.50%32.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.633.053.103.3738.02%32.78%32.26%29.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.32%3.53fair odd
EV -0.872%
Edge -0.249%
Kelly -0.349%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.04%28.45%28.23%30.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.263.263.5033.33%30.65%30.67%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Galatasaray (Local): 41.32%; Fenerbahce (Visit): 30.36%; Draw: 28.32%. For Fenerbahce (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.29. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.37, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.32%.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.04%EV -4.15%E -1.79%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.25%EV +2.32%E +0.688%K +0.978%G +0.023% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.71%EV -12.20%E -3.94%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 23:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.28%EV -2.91%E -1.24%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.96%EV +1.71%E +0.511%K +0.728%G +0.012% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.76%EV -7.67%E -2.35%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-23 23:29 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 40.84%EV -6.63%E -2.93%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -1.32%E -0.408%K -0.589%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.76%EV -15.03%E -5.01%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-23 23:09 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 40.84%EV -6.63%E -2.93%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -1.32%E -0.408%K -0.589%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.76%EV -15.03%E -5.01%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-23 23:05 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -7.04%E -3.13%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -1.32%E -0.408%K -0.589%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -15.03%E -5.01%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-22 17:39 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 41.29%EV -6.63%E -2.93%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 28.98%EV -2.24%E -0.694%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 29.72%EV -11.07%E -3.52%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-23 23:24 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.50%EV -7.86%E -3.53%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.62%EV -2.84%E -0.888%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.88%EV -3.70%E -1.09%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-23 14:14 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.50%EV -7.86%E -3.53%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.62%EV -2.84%E -0.888%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.88%EV -3.70%E -1.09%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-23 14:14 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -7.04%E -3.13%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -2.84%E -0.888%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -6.54%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-24 03:49 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.02%EV -3.32%E -1.42%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -2.84%E -0.888%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.71%EV -13.62%E -4.46%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-23 11:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.02%EV -3.32%E -1.42%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -2.84%E -0.888%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.71%EV -13.62%E -4.46%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-23 11:24 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.36%EV -7.04%E -3.13%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 29.73%EV -4.97%E -1.59%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 28.90%EV -8.80%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-23 18:44 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.36%EV -7.04%E -3.13%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 29.73%EV -4.97%E -1.59%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 28.90%EV -8.80%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-23 18:45 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.62%EV -7.45%E -3.33%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.88%EV -5.27%E -1.69%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 28.51%EV -7.39%E -2.26%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-23 22:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.35%EV -4.97%E -2.16%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.68%EV -5.88%E -1.90%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -3.70%E -1.09%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 22:24 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.22%EV -7.04%E -3.13%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.64%EV -5.88%E -1.90%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -0.872%E -0.249%K -0.349%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-21 18:44 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -7.04%E -3.13%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -5.88%E -1.90%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -3.70%E -1.09%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-21 19:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -7.04%E -3.13%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -5.88%E -1.90%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -3.70%E -1.09%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-21 18:44 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.48%EV -9.93%E -4.56%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -5.88%E -1.90%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -5.12%E -1.53%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-23 14:14 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.48%EV -9.93%E -4.56%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -5.88%E -1.90%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -5.12%E -1.53%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-23 14:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.48%EV -9.93%E -4.56%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -5.88%E -1.90%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -5.12%E -1.53%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-23 14:14 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.48%EV -9.93%E -4.56%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -5.88%E -1.90%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -5.12%E -1.53%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-23 14:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.48%EV -9.93%E -4.56%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -5.88%E -1.90%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -5.12%E -1.53%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-23 14:14 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.48%EV -9.93%E -4.56%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -5.88%E -1.90%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -5.12%E -1.53%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-23 14:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.48%EV -9.93%E -4.56%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -5.88%E -1.90%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -5.12%E -1.53%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-23 14:14 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.48%EV -9.93%E -4.56%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -5.88%E -1.90%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -5.12%E -1.53%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-23 14:14 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.42%EV -10.34%E -4.77%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%EV -5.88%E -1.90%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -6.54%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-23 14:15 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 41.40%EV -6.63%E -2.93%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.67%EV -7.40%E -2.43%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -5.12%E -1.53%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-22 04:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.51%EV -7.04%E -3.13%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -7.40%E -2.43%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -5.12%E -1.53%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-24 00:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.51%EV -7.04%E -3.13%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -7.40%E -2.43%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -5.12%E -1.53%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-21 18:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.51%EV -7.04%E -3.13%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -7.40%E -2.43%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -5.12%E -1.53%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-21 18:45 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.37%EV -11.58%E -5.41%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.73%EV -7.40%E -2.43%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.90%EV -7.95%E -2.45%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-23 14:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -4.97%E -2.16%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -8.92%E -2.97%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.54%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-23 22:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -4.97%E -2.16%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -8.92%E -2.97%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -7.95%E -2.45%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-21 05:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -4.97%E -2.16%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -8.92%E -2.97%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -9.37%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-21 05:14 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -7.04%E -3.13%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -8.92%E -2.97%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -7.95%E -2.45%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-23 22:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -7.04%E -3.13%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -8.92%E -2.97%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -9.37%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-22 07:14 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -7.04%E -3.13%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -8.92%E -2.97%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -9.37%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-21 17:04 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -13.24%E -6.30%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -8.92%E -2.97%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -7.95%E -2.45%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-23 14:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -13.24%E -6.30%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -8.92%E -2.97%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -7.95%E -2.45%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-23 14:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -13.24%E -6.30%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -8.92%E -2.97%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -7.95%E -2.45%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-23 14:14 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.73%EV -7.04%E -3.13%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -10.43%E -3.54%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%EV -7.95%E -2.45%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-23 22:24 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.23%EV -13.24%E -6.30%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.06%EV -10.43%E -3.54%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.71%EV -9.37%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-04-22 04:24 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -9.10%E -4.14%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -11.95%E -4.12%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -12.20%E -3.94%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-23 17:04 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -13.24%E -6.30%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -11.95%E -4.12%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -6.54%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-23 23:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.75%EV -13.24%E -6.30%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.23%EV -11.95%E -4.12%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 28.01%EV -11.35%E -3.63%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-04-22 04:23 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.39%EV -11.17%E -5.20%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.23%EV -13.47%E -4.73%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.38%EV -7.95%E -2.45%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-22 04:24 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 40.31%EV -10.34%E -4.77%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 31.02%EV -14.38%E -5.10%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.68%EV -13.62%E -4.46%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-04-23 23:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -9.10%E -4.14%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -14.99%E -5.35%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -0.872%E -0.249%K -0.349%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-21 10:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -9.10%E -4.14%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -14.99%E -5.35%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -0.872%E -0.249%K -0.349%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-21 10:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -9.10%E -4.14%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -14.99%E -5.35%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -0.872%E -0.249%K -0.349%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-21 10:54 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.15%EV -13.24%E -6.30%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.42%EV -16.51%E -6.00%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.43%EV -10.79%E -3.42%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 15.7% | 2026-04-24 00:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 38.91%EV -9.10%E -4.14%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 32.55%EV -20.15%E -7.66%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.54%EV -15.03%E -5.01%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 16.8% | 2026-04-23 17:05 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.21% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.43% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.36% | 2.0% | 2026-04-23 19:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.96% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.90% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.14% | 4.5% | 2026-04-24 03:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.96% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.90% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.14% | 4.5% | 2026-04-24 03:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.00% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.66% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.34% | 5.3% | 2026-04-24 03:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.38% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.38% | 6.4% | 2026-04-24 03:40 |