L’École des cotes

Galatasaray v Fenerbahce

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-26 17:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

53 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Galatasaray (Local)

Prévision 41.32%2.42cote équitable
EV -2.91%
Avantage -1.24%
Kelly -2.15%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.35

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
38.91%41.27%41.27%42.62%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.102.222.242.3547.62%45.08%44.64%42.55%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Fenerbahce (Visiteur)

Prévision 30.36%3.29cote équitable
EV +2.32%
Avantage +0.688%
Kelly +0.978%
Croissance +0.023%

avec la cote maximale 3.37

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.25%30.28%30.50%32.55%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.633.053.103.3738.02%32.78%32.26%29.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 28.32%3.53cote équitable
EV -0.872%
Avantage -0.249%
Kelly -0.349%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.04%28.45%28.23%30.76%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.263.263.5033.33%30.65%30.67%28.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle2.32I 43.10%NM 41.04%EV -4.15%E -1.79%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.25%EV +2.32%E +0.688%K +0.978%G +0.023%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.71%EV -12.20%E -3.94%K -5.81%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 23:00
1xBet2.35I 42.55%NM 41.28%EV -2.91%E -1.24%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.96%EV +1.71%E +0.511%K +0.728%G +0.012%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.76%EV -7.67%E -2.35%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-23 23:29
Bovada2.26I 44.25%NM 40.84%EV -6.63%E -2.93%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -1.32%E -0.408%K -0.589%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.76%EV -15.03%E -5.01%K -7.52%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-23 23:09
BetUS2.26I 44.25%NM 40.84%EV -6.63%E -2.93%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -1.32%E -0.408%K -0.589%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.76%EV -15.03%E -5.01%K -7.52%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-23 23:05
Everygame2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -7.04%E -3.13%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -1.32%E -0.408%K -0.589%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -15.03%E -5.01%K -7.52%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-22 17:39
Marathon Bet2.26I 44.25%NM 41.29%EV -6.63%E -2.93%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.98%EV -2.24%E -0.694%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.72%EV -11.07%E -3.52%K -5.17%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 23:24
Svenska Spel2.23I 44.84%NM 42.50%EV -7.86%E -3.53%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.62%EV -2.84%E -0.888%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.88%EV -3.70%E -1.09%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 14:14
ATG (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.50%EV -7.86%E -3.53%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.62%EV -2.84%E -0.888%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.88%EV -3.70%E -1.09%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-23 14:14
Tipico (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -7.04%E -3.13%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -2.84%E -0.888%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -6.54%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-24 03:49
LowVig.ag2.34I 42.74%NM 40.02%EV -3.32%E -1.42%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -2.84%E -0.888%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.71%EV -13.62%E -4.46%K -6.64%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 11:25
BetOnline.ag2.34I 42.74%NM 40.02%EV -3.32%E -1.42%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -2.84%E -0.888%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.71%EV -13.62%E -4.46%K -6.64%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 11:24
Betsson2.25I 44.44%NM 41.36%EV -7.04%E -3.13%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 29.73%EV -4.97%E -1.59%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.90%EV -8.80%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 18:44
NordicBet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.36%EV -7.04%E -3.13%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 29.73%EV -4.97%E -1.59%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.90%EV -8.80%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 18:45
GTbets2.24I 44.64%NM 41.62%EV -7.45%E -3.33%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.88%EV -5.27%E -1.69%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 28.51%EV -7.39%E -2.26%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 22:25
Coolbet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.35%EV -4.97%E -2.16%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.68%EV -5.88%E -1.90%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -3.70%E -1.09%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 22:24
Coral2.25I 44.44%NM 42.22%EV -7.04%E -3.13%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.64%EV -5.88%E -1.90%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -0.872%E -0.249%K -0.349%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-21 18:44
Fanatics2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -7.04%E -3.13%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -5.88%E -1.90%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -3.70%E -1.09%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-21 19:30
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -7.04%E -3.13%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -5.88%E -1.90%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -3.70%E -1.09%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-21 18:44
Unibet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.48%EV -9.93%E -4.56%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -5.88%E -1.90%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -5.12%E -1.53%K -2.18%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 14:14
Casumo2.18I 45.87%NM 42.48%EV -9.93%E -4.56%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -5.88%E -1.90%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -5.12%E -1.53%K -2.18%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 14:15
Unibet (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 42.48%EV -9.93%E -4.56%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -5.88%E -1.90%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -5.12%E -1.53%K -2.18%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 14:14
TABtouch2.18I 45.87%NM 42.48%EV -9.93%E -4.56%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -5.88%E -1.90%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -5.12%E -1.53%K -2.18%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 14:15
Unibet (NL)2.18I 45.87%NM 42.48%EV -9.93%E -4.56%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -5.88%E -1.90%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -5.12%E -1.53%K -2.18%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 14:14
Grosvenor2.18I 45.87%NM 42.48%EV -9.93%E -4.56%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -5.88%E -1.90%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -5.12%E -1.53%K -2.18%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 14:15
LeoVegas (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 42.48%EV -9.93%E -4.56%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -5.88%E -1.90%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -5.12%E -1.53%K -2.18%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 14:14
betPARX2.18I 45.87%NM 42.48%EV -9.93%E -4.56%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -5.88%E -1.90%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -5.12%E -1.53%K -2.18%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 14:14
BetRivers2.17I 46.08%NM 42.42%EV -10.34%E -4.77%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%EV -5.88%E -1.90%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -6.54%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 14:15
Codere (IT)2.26I 44.25%NM 41.40%EV -6.63%E -2.93%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.67%EV -7.40%E -2.43%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -5.12%E -1.53%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-22 04:25
Unibet (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.51%EV -7.04%E -3.13%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -7.40%E -2.43%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -5.12%E -1.53%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-24 00:55
Neds2.25I 44.44%NM 41.51%EV -7.04%E -3.13%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -7.40%E -2.43%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -5.12%E -1.53%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-21 18:44
Ladbrokes (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.51%EV -7.04%E -3.13%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -7.40%E -2.43%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -5.12%E -1.53%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-21 18:45
PMU (FR)2.14I 46.73%NM 42.37%EV -11.58%E -5.41%K -10.16%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.73%EV -7.40%E -2.43%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.90%EV -7.95%E -2.45%K -3.53%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-23 14:15
PointsBet (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -4.97%E -2.16%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -8.92%E -2.97%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.54%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 22:25
SportsBet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -4.97%E -2.16%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -8.92%E -2.97%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -7.95%E -2.45%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-21 05:15
FanDuel2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -4.97%E -2.16%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -8.92%E -2.97%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -9.37%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-21 05:14
betfred_uk2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -7.04%E -3.13%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -8.92%E -2.97%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -7.95%E -2.45%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 22:25
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -7.04%E -3.13%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -8.92%E -2.97%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -9.37%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-22 07:14
Paddy Power2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -7.04%E -3.13%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -8.92%E -2.97%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -9.37%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-21 17:04
LeoVegas2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -13.24%E -6.30%K -12.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -8.92%E -2.97%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -7.95%E -2.45%K -3.53%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-23 14:15
Virgin Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -13.24%E -6.30%K -12.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -8.92%E -2.97%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -7.95%E -2.45%K -3.53%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-23 14:15
LiveScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -13.24%E -6.30%K -12.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -8.92%E -2.97%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -7.95%E -2.45%K -3.53%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-23 14:14
Bet Right2.25I 44.44%NM 40.73%EV -7.04%E -3.13%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -10.43%E -3.54%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%EV -7.95%E -2.45%K -3.53%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-23 22:24
Unibet (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.23%EV -13.24%E -6.30%K -12.03%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.06%EV -10.43%E -3.54%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.71%EV -9.37%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-22 04:24
Sky Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -9.10%E -4.14%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -11.95%E -4.12%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -12.20%E -3.94%K -5.81%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-23 17:04
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -13.24%E -6.30%K -12.03%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -11.95%E -4.12%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -6.54%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-23 23:05
Betclic (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.75%EV -13.24%E -6.30%K -12.03%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.23%EV -11.95%E -4.12%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 28.01%EV -11.35%E -3.63%K -5.33%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-22 04:23
Winamax (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.39%EV -11.17%E -5.20%K -9.71%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.23%EV -13.47%E -4.73%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.38%EV -7.95%E -2.45%K -3.53%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-22 04:24
NetBet (FR)2.17I 46.08%NM 40.31%EV -10.34%E -4.77%K -8.84%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 31.02%EV -14.38%E -5.10%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.68%EV -13.62%E -4.46%K -6.64%G +0.000%14.3%2026-04-23 23:30
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -9.10%E -4.14%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -14.99%E -5.35%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -0.872%E -0.249%K -0.349%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-21 10:54
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -9.10%E -4.14%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -14.99%E -5.35%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -0.872%E -0.249%K -0.349%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-21 10:55
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -9.10%E -4.14%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -14.99%E -5.35%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -0.872%E -0.249%K -0.349%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-21 10:54
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.15%EV -13.24%E -6.30%K -12.03%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.42%EV -16.51%E -6.00%K -9.43%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.43%EV -10.79%E -3.42%K -5.02%G +0.000%15.7%2026-04-24 00:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 38.91%EV -9.10%E -4.14%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 32.55%EV -20.15%E -7.66%K -12.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.54%EV -15.03%E -5.01%K -7.52%G +0.000%16.8%2026-04-23 17:05
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi2.38I 42.02%NM 41.21%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.43%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.36%2.0%2026-04-23 19:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.96%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.90%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.14%4.5%2026-04-24 03:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.96%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.90%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.14%4.5%2026-04-24 03:40
Smarkets2.26I 44.25%NM 42.00%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.66%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.34%5.3%2026-04-24 03:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.38%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.38%6.4%2026-04-24 03:40