La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Galatasaray v Fenerbahce
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Galatasaray (Local)
Predicción 41.32%2.42momio equitativo
EV -2.91%
Ventaja -1.24%
Kelly -2.15%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.35
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
38.91%41.27%41.27%42.62%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.102.222.242.3547.62%45.08%44.64%42.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Fenerbahce (Visitante)
Predicción 30.36%3.29momio equitativo
EV +2.32%
Ventaja +0.688%
Kelly +0.978%
Crecimiento +0.023%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.37
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.25%30.28%30.50%32.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.633.053.103.3738.02%32.78%32.26%29.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 28.32%3.53momio equitativo
EV -0.872%
Ventaja -0.249%
Kelly -0.349%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.04%28.45%28.23%30.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.263.263.5033.33%30.65%30.67%28.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.04%EV -4.15%E -1.79%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.25%EV +2.32%E +0.688%K +0.978%G +0.023% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.71%EV -12.20%E -3.94%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 23:00 |
| 1xBet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.28%EV -2.91%E -1.24%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.96%EV +1.71%E +0.511%K +0.728%G +0.012% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.76%EV -7.67%E -2.35%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-23 23:29 |
| Bovada | 2.26I 44.25%NM 40.84%EV -6.63%E -2.93%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -1.32%E -0.408%K -0.589%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.76%EV -15.03%E -5.01%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-23 23:09 |
| BetUS | 2.26I 44.25%NM 40.84%EV -6.63%E -2.93%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -1.32%E -0.408%K -0.589%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.76%EV -15.03%E -5.01%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-23 23:05 |
| Everygame | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -7.04%E -3.13%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -1.32%E -0.408%K -0.589%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -15.03%E -5.01%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-22 17:39 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.26I 44.25%NM 41.29%EV -6.63%E -2.93%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 28.98%EV -2.24%E -0.694%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 29.72%EV -11.07%E -3.52%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-23 23:24 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.50%EV -7.86%E -3.53%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.62%EV -2.84%E -0.888%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.88%EV -3.70%E -1.09%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-23 14:14 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.50%EV -7.86%E -3.53%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.62%EV -2.84%E -0.888%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.88%EV -3.70%E -1.09%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-23 14:14 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -7.04%E -3.13%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -2.84%E -0.888%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -6.54%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-24 03:49 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.02%EV -3.32%E -1.42%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -2.84%E -0.888%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.71%EV -13.62%E -4.46%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-23 11:25 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.02%EV -3.32%E -1.42%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -2.84%E -0.888%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.71%EV -13.62%E -4.46%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-23 11:24 |
| Betsson | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.36%EV -7.04%E -3.13%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 29.73%EV -4.97%E -1.59%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 28.90%EV -8.80%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-23 18:44 |
| NordicBet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.36%EV -7.04%E -3.13%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 29.73%EV -4.97%E -1.59%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 28.90%EV -8.80%E -2.73%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-23 18:45 |
| GTbets | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.62%EV -7.45%E -3.33%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.88%EV -5.27%E -1.69%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 28.51%EV -7.39%E -2.26%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-23 22:25 |
| Coolbet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.35%EV -4.97%E -2.16%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.68%EV -5.88%E -1.90%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -3.70%E -1.09%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-23 22:24 |
| Coral | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.22%EV -7.04%E -3.13%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.64%EV -5.88%E -1.90%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -0.872%E -0.249%K -0.349%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-21 18:44 |
| Fanatics | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -7.04%E -3.13%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -5.88%E -1.90%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -3.70%E -1.09%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-21 19:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -7.04%E -3.13%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -5.88%E -1.90%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -3.70%E -1.09%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-21 18:44 |
| Unibet | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.48%EV -9.93%E -4.56%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -5.88%E -1.90%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -5.12%E -1.53%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-23 14:14 |
| Casumo | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.48%EV -9.93%E -4.56%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -5.88%E -1.90%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -5.12%E -1.53%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-23 14:15 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.48%EV -9.93%E -4.56%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -5.88%E -1.90%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -5.12%E -1.53%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-23 14:14 |
| TABtouch | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.48%EV -9.93%E -4.56%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -5.88%E -1.90%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -5.12%E -1.53%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-23 14:15 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.48%EV -9.93%E -4.56%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -5.88%E -1.90%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -5.12%E -1.53%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-23 14:14 |
| Grosvenor | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.48%EV -9.93%E -4.56%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -5.88%E -1.90%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -5.12%E -1.53%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-23 14:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.48%EV -9.93%E -4.56%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -5.88%E -1.90%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -5.12%E -1.53%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-23 14:14 |
| betPARX | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.48%EV -9.93%E -4.56%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -5.88%E -1.90%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -5.12%E -1.53%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-23 14:14 |
| BetRivers | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.42%EV -10.34%E -4.77%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%EV -5.88%E -1.90%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -6.54%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-23 14:15 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.26I 44.25%NM 41.40%EV -6.63%E -2.93%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.67%EV -7.40%E -2.43%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -5.12%E -1.53%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-22 04:25 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.51%EV -7.04%E -3.13%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -7.40%E -2.43%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -5.12%E -1.53%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-24 00:55 |
| Neds | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.51%EV -7.04%E -3.13%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -7.40%E -2.43%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -5.12%E -1.53%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-21 18:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.51%EV -7.04%E -3.13%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -7.40%E -2.43%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -5.12%E -1.53%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-21 18:45 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.37%EV -11.58%E -5.41%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.73%EV -7.40%E -2.43%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.90%EV -7.95%E -2.45%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-23 14:15 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -4.97%E -2.16%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -8.92%E -2.97%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.54%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-23 22:25 |
| SportsBet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -4.97%E -2.16%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -8.92%E -2.97%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -7.95%E -2.45%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-21 05:15 |
| FanDuel | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -4.97%E -2.16%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -8.92%E -2.97%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -9.37%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-21 05:14 |
| betfred_uk | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -7.04%E -3.13%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -8.92%E -2.97%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -7.95%E -2.45%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-23 22:25 |
| Betway | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -7.04%E -3.13%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -8.92%E -2.97%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -9.37%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-22 07:14 |
| Paddy Power | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -7.04%E -3.13%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -8.92%E -2.97%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -9.37%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-21 17:04 |
| LeoVegas | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -13.24%E -6.30%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -8.92%E -2.97%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -7.95%E -2.45%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-23 14:15 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -13.24%E -6.30%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -8.92%E -2.97%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -7.95%E -2.45%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-23 14:15 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -13.24%E -6.30%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -8.92%E -2.97%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -7.95%E -2.45%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-23 14:14 |
| Bet Right | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.73%EV -7.04%E -3.13%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -10.43%E -3.54%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%EV -7.95%E -2.45%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-23 22:24 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.23%EV -13.24%E -6.30%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.06%EV -10.43%E -3.54%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.71%EV -9.37%E -2.93%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-04-22 04:24 |
| Sky Bet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -9.10%E -4.14%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -11.95%E -4.12%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -12.20%E -3.94%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-23 17:04 |
| BoyleSports | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -13.24%E -6.30%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -11.95%E -4.12%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -6.54%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-23 23:05 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.75%EV -13.24%E -6.30%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.23%EV -11.95%E -4.12%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 28.01%EV -11.35%E -3.63%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-04-22 04:23 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.39%EV -11.17%E -5.20%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.23%EV -13.47%E -4.73%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.38%EV -7.95%E -2.45%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-22 04:24 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.17I 46.08%NM 40.31%EV -10.34%E -4.77%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 31.02%EV -14.38%E -5.10%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.68%EV -13.62%E -4.46%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-04-23 23:30 |
| 888sport | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -9.10%E -4.14%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -14.99%E -5.35%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -0.872%E -0.249%K -0.349%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-21 10:54 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -9.10%E -4.14%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -14.99%E -5.35%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -0.872%E -0.249%K -0.349%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-21 10:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -9.10%E -4.14%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -14.99%E -5.35%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -0.872%E -0.249%K -0.349%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-21 10:54 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.15%EV -13.24%E -6.30%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.42%EV -16.51%E -6.00%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.43%EV -10.79%E -3.42%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 15.7% | 2026-04-24 00:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 38.91%EV -9.10%E -4.14%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 32.55%EV -20.15%E -7.66%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.54%EV -15.03%E -5.01%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 16.8% | 2026-04-23 17:05 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.21% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.43% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.36% | 2.0% | 2026-04-23 19:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.96% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.90% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.14% | 4.5% | 2026-04-24 03:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.96% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.90% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.14% | 4.5% | 2026-04-24 03:40 |
| Smarkets | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.00% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.66% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.34% | 5.3% | 2026-04-24 03:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.38% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.38% | 6.4% | 2026-04-24 03:40 |