Language:English
Galatasaray v Alanyaspor
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Galatasaray (Local)
Prediction 72.06%1.39fair odd
EV -4.15%
Edge -3.12%
Kelly -12.59%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.33
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
69.11%71.96%72.24%74.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.161.281.281.3386.21%78.09%78.13%75.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Alanyaspor (Visit)
Prediction 10.83%9.24fair odd
EV +5.89%
Edge +0.602%
Kelly +0.671%
Growth +0.039%
assuming max odds 9.78
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
9.83%10.89%10.75%12.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
7.408.628.749.7813.51%11.61%11.44%10.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 17.11%5.85fair odd
EV +5.05%
Edge +0.822%
Kelly +0.982%
Growth +0.050%
assuming max odds 6.14
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.73%17.15%17.01%19.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.505.405.506.1422.22%18.53%18.18%16.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Galatasaray (Local): 72.06%; Alanyaspor (Visit): 10.83%; Draw: 17.11%. For Alanyaspor (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 9.24. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 9.78, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.89%.
Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.48%EV -4.87%E -3.69%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 9.05I 11.05%NM 10.72%EV -2.02%E -0.223%K -0.250%G +0.000% | 6.14I 16.29%NM 15.80%EV +5.05%E +0.822%K +0.982%G +0.050% | 3.1% | 2026-02-28 16:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.23%EV -6.32%E -4.86%K -21.05%G +0.000% | 9.78I 10.22%NM 9.87%EV +5.89%E +0.602%K +0.671%G +0.039% | 6.07I 16.47%NM 15.90%EV +3.85%E +0.634%K +0.759%G +0.029% | 3.6% | 2026-02-28 16:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -5.60%E -4.27%K -18.05%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.67%EV -2.56%E -0.284%K -0.320%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.01%EV +2.65%E +0.442%K +0.530%G +0.014% | 4.1% | 2026-02-28 17:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -5.60%E -4.27%K -18.05%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.67%EV -2.56%E -0.284%K -0.320%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.01%EV +2.65%E +0.442%K +0.530%G +0.014% | 4.1% | 2026-02-28 16:59 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.33%EV -8.48%E -6.68%K -31.40%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.94%EV +2.86%E +0.301%K +0.336%G +0.010% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +2.65%E +0.442%K +0.530%G +0.014% | 5.9% | 2026-02-28 17:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.67%EV -7.76%E -6.06%K -27.70%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.93%EV +2.86%E +0.301%K +0.336%G +0.010% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.40%EV -1.63%E -0.283%K -0.342%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-28 16:58 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.27%EV -7.04%E -5.45%K -24.26%G +0.000% | 8.10I 12.35%NM 11.51%EV -12.30%E -1.52%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.21%EV -1.63%E -0.283%K -0.342%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-28 17:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.60%EV -4.87%E -3.69%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.53%EV -11.22%E -1.37%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.88%EV -4.19%E -0.749%K -0.911%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-28 17:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.10%EV -8.48%E -6.68%K -31.40%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.32%EV -2.56%E -0.284%K -0.320%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.58%EV -4.19%E -0.749%K -0.911%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-28 17:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 73.05%EV -9.20%E -7.30%K -35.38%G +0.000% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.52%EV -5.26%E -0.602%K -0.679%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.44%EV -4.19%E -0.749%K -0.911%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-28 16:58 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 73.05%EV -9.20%E -7.30%K -35.38%G +0.000% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.52%EV -5.26%E -0.602%K -0.679%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.44%EV -4.19%E -0.749%K -0.911%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-28 16:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.73%EV -7.76%E -6.06%K -27.70%G +0.000% | 8.92I 11.21%NM 10.44%EV -3.42%E -0.384%K -0.432%G +0.000% | 5.53I 18.08%NM 16.83%EV -5.39%E -0.975%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-28 17:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.73%EV -7.76%E -6.06%K -27.70%G +0.000% | 8.92I 11.21%NM 10.44%EV -3.42%E -0.384%K -0.432%G +0.000% | 5.53I 18.08%NM 16.83%EV -5.39%E -0.975%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-28 16:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.52%EV -4.87%E -3.69%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.08%EV +2.86%E +0.301%K +0.336%G +0.010% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.40%EV -5.90%E -1.07%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-28 16:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.02%EV -4.15%E -3.12%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.81%EV -13.38%E -1.67%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -5.90%E -1.07%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-28 16:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.02%EV -4.15%E -3.12%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.81%EV -13.38%E -1.67%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -5.90%E -1.07%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-28 17:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.33%EV -5.60%E -4.27%K -18.05%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.68%EV -13.38%E -1.67%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.99%EV -5.90%E -1.07%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-28 17:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.73%EV -7.76%E -6.06%K -27.70%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.34%EV -2.56%E -0.284%K -0.320%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.93%EV -5.90%E -1.07%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-28 17:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.73%EV -7.76%E -6.06%K -27.70%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.34%EV -2.56%E -0.284%K -0.320%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.93%EV -5.90%E -1.07%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-28 17:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.73%EV -7.76%E -6.06%K -27.70%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.34%EV -2.56%E -0.284%K -0.320%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.93%EV -5.90%E -1.07%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-28 17:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.73%EV -7.76%E -6.06%K -27.70%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.34%EV -2.56%E -0.284%K -0.320%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.93%EV -5.90%E -1.07%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-28 17:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.73%EV -7.76%E -6.06%K -27.70%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.34%EV -2.56%E -0.284%K -0.320%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.93%EV -5.90%E -1.07%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-28 17:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.73%EV -7.76%E -6.06%K -27.70%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.34%EV -2.56%E -0.284%K -0.320%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.93%EV -5.90%E -1.07%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-28 17:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.73%EV -7.76%E -6.06%K -27.70%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.34%EV -2.56%E -0.284%K -0.320%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.93%EV -5.90%E -1.07%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-28 17:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.89%EV -8.48%E -6.68%K -31.40%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV -2.56%E -0.284%K -0.320%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.83%EV -5.90%E -1.07%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-28 16:56 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.20%EV -9.92%E -7.94%K -39.68%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.17%EV -2.56%E -0.284%K -0.320%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -5.90%E -1.07%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-02-28 17:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 72.47%EV -10.64%E -8.58%K -44.33%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.57%EV -7.97%E -0.938%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.96%EV -9.33%E -1.76%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-02-28 17:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 72.47%EV -10.64%E -8.58%K -44.33%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.57%EV -7.97%E -0.938%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.96%EV -9.33%E -1.76%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-02-28 17:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 72.47%EV -10.64%E -8.58%K -44.33%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.57%EV -7.97%E -0.938%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.96%EV -9.33%E -1.76%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-02-28 17:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.34%EV -4.87%E -3.69%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 8.73I 11.45%NM 10.79%EV -5.48%E -0.628%K -0.709%G +0.000% | 5.27I 18.98%NM 17.87%EV -9.84%E -1.87%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-28 17:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.44%EV -4.15%E -3.12%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.71%EV -13.38%E -1.67%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -10.18%E -1.94%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-28 16:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.44%EV -4.15%E -3.12%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.71%EV -13.38%E -1.67%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -10.18%E -1.94%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-28 16:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.44%EV -4.15%E -3.12%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.71%EV -13.38%E -1.67%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -10.18%E -1.94%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-28 17:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.15%EV -7.76%E -6.06%K -27.70%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.26%EV -2.56%E -0.284%K -0.320%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.59%EV -10.18%E -1.94%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-28 16:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.72%EV -7.76%E -6.06%K -27.70%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.80%EV -7.97%E -0.938%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.48%EV -10.18%E -1.94%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-28 16:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.38%EV -6.32%E -4.86%K -21.05%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -18.80%E -2.51%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.43%EV -10.18%E -1.94%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-02-28 17:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 71.91%EV -9.20%E -7.30%K -35.38%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.66%EV -7.97%E -0.938%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.43%EV -11.04%E -2.12%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-02-28 17:00 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 70.39%EV -8.48%E -6.68%K -31.40%G +0.000% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.08%EV -19.88%E -2.69%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.53%EV -12.75%E -2.50%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-02-28 16:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.93%EV -7.04%E -5.45%K -24.26%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.77%EV -7.97%E -0.938%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -14.46%E -2.89%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-02-28 16:59 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.58%EV -9.92%E -7.94%K -39.68%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.53%EV -7.97%E -0.938%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.89%EV -14.46%E -2.89%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-02-28 17:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 72.49%EV -12.08%E -9.90%K -54.91%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.83%EV -2.56%E -0.284%K -0.320%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.69%EV -14.46%E -2.89%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-02-28 17:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 70.82%EV -9.92%E -7.94%K -39.68%G +0.000% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 10.73%EV -10.68%E -1.29%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.44%EV -17.88%E -3.72%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-02-28 17:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 70.59%EV -9.92%E -7.94%K -39.68%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.03%EV -13.38%E -1.67%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.38%EV -17.88%E -3.72%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-02-28 17:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 72.56%EV -16.41%E -14.14%K -102.53%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 9.90%EV -7.97%E -0.938%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 17.54%EV -17.88%E -3.72%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 18.8% | 2026-02-28 16:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.11%EV -6.32%E -4.86%K -21.05%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.98%EV -18.80%E -2.51%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.91%EV -18.73%E -3.94%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-02-28 17:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 69.73%EV -9.92%E -7.94%K -39.68%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 10.90%EV -13.38%E -1.67%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.37%EV -23.01%E -5.11%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-02-28 17:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.88% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.05% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 16.06% | 0.4% | 2026-02-28 17:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.88% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.05% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 16.06% | 0.4% | 2026-02-28 17:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.88% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.05% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 16.06% | 0.4% | 2026-02-28 17:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.32% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.65% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 16.04% | 0.6% | 2026-02-28 17:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 74.31% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.34% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.35% | 1.9% | 2026-02-28 17:00 |