La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Galatasaray v Alanyaspor
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Galatasaray (Local)
Predicción 72.06%1.39momio equitativo
EV -4.15%
Ventaja -3.12%
Kelly -12.59%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.33
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
69.11%71.96%72.24%74.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.161.281.281.3386.21%78.09%78.13%75.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Alanyaspor (Visitante)
Predicción 10.83%9.24momio equitativo
EV +5.89%
Ventaja +0.602%
Kelly +0.671%
Crecimiento +0.039%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 9.78
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
9.83%10.89%10.75%12.20%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
7.408.628.749.7813.51%11.61%11.44%10.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 17.11%5.85momio equitativo
EV +5.05%
Ventaja +0.822%
Kelly +0.982%
Crecimiento +0.050%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.14
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
15.73%17.15%17.01%19.37%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.505.405.506.1422.22%18.53%18.18%16.29%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (46 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.48%EV -4.87%E -3.69%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 9.05I 11.05%NM 10.72%EV -2.02%E -0.223%K -0.250%G +0.000% | 6.14I 16.29%NM 15.80%EV +5.05%E +0.822%K +0.982%G +0.050% | 3.1% | 2026-02-28 16:59 |
| Pinnacle | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.23%EV -6.32%E -4.86%K -21.05%G +0.000% | 9.78I 10.22%NM 9.87%EV +5.89%E +0.602%K +0.671%G +0.039% | 6.07I 16.47%NM 15.90%EV +3.85%E +0.634%K +0.759%G +0.029% | 3.6% | 2026-02-28 16:59 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -5.60%E -4.27%K -18.05%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.67%EV -2.56%E -0.284%K -0.320%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.01%EV +2.65%E +0.442%K +0.530%G +0.014% | 4.1% | 2026-02-28 17:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -5.60%E -4.27%K -18.05%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.67%EV -2.56%E -0.284%K -0.320%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.01%EV +2.65%E +0.442%K +0.530%G +0.014% | 4.1% | 2026-02-28 16:59 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.33%EV -8.48%E -6.68%K -31.40%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.94%EV +2.86%E +0.301%K +0.336%G +0.010% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +2.65%E +0.442%K +0.530%G +0.014% | 5.9% | 2026-02-28 17:00 |
| Everygame | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.67%EV -7.76%E -6.06%K -27.70%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.93%EV +2.86%E +0.301%K +0.336%G +0.010% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.40%EV -1.63%E -0.283%K -0.342%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-28 16:58 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.27%EV -7.04%E -5.45%K -24.26%G +0.000% | 8.10I 12.35%NM 11.51%EV -12.30%E -1.52%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.21%EV -1.63%E -0.283%K -0.342%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-28 17:00 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.60%EV -4.87%E -3.69%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.53%EV -11.22%E -1.37%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.88%EV -4.19%E -0.749%K -0.911%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-28 17:00 |
| FanDuel | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.10%EV -8.48%E -6.68%K -31.40%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.32%EV -2.56%E -0.284%K -0.320%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.58%EV -4.19%E -0.749%K -0.911%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-28 17:00 |
| Bovada | 1.26I 79.37%NM 73.05%EV -9.20%E -7.30%K -35.38%G +0.000% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.52%EV -5.26%E -0.602%K -0.679%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.44%EV -4.19%E -0.749%K -0.911%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-28 16:58 |
| BetUS | 1.26I 79.37%NM 73.05%EV -9.20%E -7.30%K -35.38%G +0.000% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.52%EV -5.26%E -0.602%K -0.679%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.44%EV -4.19%E -0.749%K -0.911%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-28 16:59 |
| Betsson | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.73%EV -7.76%E -6.06%K -27.70%G +0.000% | 8.92I 11.21%NM 10.44%EV -3.42%E -0.384%K -0.432%G +0.000% | 5.53I 18.08%NM 16.83%EV -5.39%E -0.975%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-28 17:00 |
| NordicBet | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.73%EV -7.76%E -6.06%K -27.70%G +0.000% | 8.92I 11.21%NM 10.44%EV -3.42%E -0.384%K -0.432%G +0.000% | 5.53I 18.08%NM 16.83%EV -5.39%E -0.975%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-28 16:59 |
| Coolbet | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.52%EV -4.87%E -3.69%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.08%EV +2.86%E +0.301%K +0.336%G +0.010% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.40%EV -5.90%E -1.07%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-28 16:59 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.02%EV -4.15%E -3.12%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.81%EV -13.38%E -1.67%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -5.90%E -1.07%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-28 16:59 |
| Coral | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.02%EV -4.15%E -3.12%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.81%EV -13.38%E -1.67%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -5.90%E -1.07%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-28 17:00 |
| Fanatics | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.33%EV -5.60%E -4.27%K -18.05%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.68%EV -13.38%E -1.67%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.99%EV -5.90%E -1.07%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-28 17:00 |
| Unibet | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.73%EV -7.76%E -6.06%K -27.70%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.34%EV -2.56%E -0.284%K -0.320%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.93%EV -5.90%E -1.07%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-28 17:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.73%EV -7.76%E -6.06%K -27.70%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.34%EV -2.56%E -0.284%K -0.320%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.93%EV -5.90%E -1.07%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-28 17:00 |
| Grosvenor | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.73%EV -7.76%E -6.06%K -27.70%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.34%EV -2.56%E -0.284%K -0.320%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.93%EV -5.90%E -1.07%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-28 17:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.73%EV -7.76%E -6.06%K -27.70%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.34%EV -2.56%E -0.284%K -0.320%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.93%EV -5.90%E -1.07%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-28 17:00 |
| TABtouch | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.73%EV -7.76%E -6.06%K -27.70%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.34%EV -2.56%E -0.284%K -0.320%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.93%EV -5.90%E -1.07%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-28 17:00 |
| Casumo | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.73%EV -7.76%E -6.06%K -27.70%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.34%EV -2.56%E -0.284%K -0.320%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.93%EV -5.90%E -1.07%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-28 17:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.73%EV -7.76%E -6.06%K -27.70%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.34%EV -2.56%E -0.284%K -0.320%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.93%EV -5.90%E -1.07%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-28 17:00 |
| BetRivers | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.89%EV -8.48%E -6.68%K -31.40%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV -2.56%E -0.284%K -0.320%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.83%EV -5.90%E -1.07%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-28 16:56 |
| SportsBet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.20%EV -9.92%E -7.94%K -39.68%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.17%EV -2.56%E -0.284%K -0.320%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -5.90%E -1.07%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-02-28 17:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.24I 80.65%NM 72.47%EV -10.64%E -8.58%K -44.33%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.57%EV -7.97%E -0.938%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.96%EV -9.33%E -1.76%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-02-28 17:00 |
| LeoVegas | 1.24I 80.65%NM 72.47%EV -10.64%E -8.58%K -44.33%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.57%EV -7.97%E -0.938%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.96%EV -9.33%E -1.76%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-02-28 17:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.24I 80.65%NM 72.47%EV -10.64%E -8.58%K -44.33%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.57%EV -7.97%E -0.938%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.96%EV -9.33%E -1.76%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-02-28 17:00 |
| GTbets | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.34%EV -4.87%E -3.69%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 8.73I 11.45%NM 10.79%EV -5.48%E -0.628%K -0.709%G +0.000% | 5.27I 18.98%NM 17.87%EV -9.84%E -1.87%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-28 17:00 |
| Neds | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.44%EV -4.15%E -3.12%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.71%EV -13.38%E -1.67%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -10.18%E -1.94%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-28 16:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.44%EV -4.15%E -3.12%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.71%EV -13.38%E -1.67%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -10.18%E -1.94%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-28 16:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.44%EV -4.15%E -3.12%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.71%EV -13.38%E -1.67%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -10.18%E -1.94%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-28 17:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.15%EV -7.76%E -6.06%K -27.70%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.26%EV -2.56%E -0.284%K -0.320%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.59%EV -10.18%E -1.94%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-28 16:59 |
| Bet Right | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.72%EV -7.76%E -6.06%K -27.70%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.80%EV -7.97%E -0.938%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.48%EV -10.18%E -1.94%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-28 16:59 |
| Betway | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.38%EV -6.32%E -4.86%K -21.05%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -18.80%E -2.51%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.43%EV -10.18%E -1.94%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-02-28 17:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 71.91%EV -9.20%E -7.30%K -35.38%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.66%EV -7.97%E -0.938%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.43%EV -11.04%E -2.12%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-02-28 17:00 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 70.39%EV -8.48%E -6.68%K -31.40%G +0.000% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.08%EV -19.88%E -2.69%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.53%EV -12.75%E -2.50%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-02-28 16:59 |
| 888sport | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.93%EV -7.04%E -5.45%K -24.26%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.77%EV -7.97%E -0.938%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -14.46%E -2.89%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-02-28 16:59 |
| Sky Bet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.58%EV -9.92%E -7.94%K -39.68%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.53%EV -7.97%E -0.938%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.89%EV -14.46%E -2.89%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-02-28 17:00 |
| Paddy Power | 1.22I 81.97%NM 72.49%EV -12.08%E -9.90%K -54.91%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.83%EV -2.56%E -0.284%K -0.320%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.69%EV -14.46%E -2.89%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-02-28 17:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 70.82%EV -9.92%E -7.94%K -39.68%G +0.000% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 10.73%EV -10.68%E -1.29%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.44%EV -17.88%E -3.72%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-02-28 17:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 70.59%EV -9.92%E -7.94%K -39.68%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.03%EV -13.38%E -1.67%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.38%EV -17.88%E -3.72%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-02-28 17:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.16I 86.21%NM 72.56%EV -16.41%E -14.14%K -102.53%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 9.90%EV -7.97%E -0.938%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 17.54%EV -17.88%E -3.72%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 18.8% | 2026-02-28 16:59 |
| BoyleSports | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.11%EV -6.32%E -4.86%K -21.05%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.98%EV -18.80%E -2.51%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.91%EV -18.73%E -3.94%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-02-28 17:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 69.73%EV -9.92%E -7.94%K -39.68%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 10.90%EV -13.38%E -1.67%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.37%EV -23.01%E -5.11%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-02-28 17:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.88% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.05% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 16.06% | 0.4% | 2026-02-28 17:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.88% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.05% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 16.06% | 0.4% | 2026-02-28 17:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.88% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.05% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 16.06% | 0.4% | 2026-02-28 17:00 |
| Matchbook | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.32% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.65% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 16.04% | 0.6% | 2026-02-28 17:00 |
| Smarkets | 1.32I 75.76%NM 74.31% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.34% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.35% | 1.9% | 2026-02-28 17:00 |