L’École des cotes

Galatasaray v Alanyaspor

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-28 17:02 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

46 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Galatasaray (Local)

Prévision 72.06%1.39cote équitable
EV -4.15%
Avantage -3.12%
Kelly -12.59%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.33

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
69.11%71.96%72.24%74.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.161.281.281.3386.21%78.09%78.13%75.19%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Alanyaspor (Visiteur)

Prévision 10.83%9.24cote équitable
EV +5.89%
Avantage +0.602%
Kelly +0.671%
Croissance +0.039%

avec la cote maximale 9.78

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
9.83%10.89%10.75%12.20%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
7.408.628.749.7813.51%11.61%11.44%10.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 17.11%5.85cote équitable
EV +5.05%
Avantage +0.822%
Kelly +0.982%
Croissance +0.050%

avec la cote maximale 6.14

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
15.73%17.15%17.01%19.37%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.505.405.506.1422.22%18.53%18.18%16.29%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (46 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nul ▼MargeMise à jour
1xBet1.32I 75.76%NM 73.48%EV -4.87%E -3.69%K -15.23%G +0.000%9.05I 11.05%NM 10.72%EV -2.02%E -0.223%K -0.250%G +0.000%6.14I 16.29%NM 15.80%EV +5.05%E +0.822%K +0.982%G +0.050%3.1%2026-02-28 16:59
Pinnacle1.30I 76.92%NM 74.23%EV -6.32%E -4.86%K -21.05%G +0.000%9.78I 10.22%NM 9.87%EV +5.89%E +0.602%K +0.671%G +0.039%6.07I 16.47%NM 15.90%EV +3.85%E +0.634%K +0.759%G +0.029%3.6%2026-02-28 16:59
BetOnline.ag1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -5.60%E -4.27%K -18.05%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.67%EV -2.56%E -0.284%K -0.320%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.01%EV +2.65%E +0.442%K +0.530%G +0.014%4.1%2026-02-28 17:00
LowVig.ag1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -5.60%E -4.27%K -18.05%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.67%EV -2.56%E -0.284%K -0.320%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.01%EV +2.65%E +0.442%K +0.530%G +0.014%4.1%2026-02-28 16:59
Tipico (DE)1.27I 78.74%NM 74.33%EV -8.48%E -6.68%K -31.40%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.94%EV +2.86%E +0.301%K +0.336%G +0.010%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +2.65%E +0.442%K +0.530%G +0.014%5.9%2026-02-28 17:00
Everygame1.28I 78.13%NM 73.67%EV -7.76%E -6.06%K -27.70%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.93%EV +2.86%E +0.301%K +0.336%G +0.010%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.40%EV -1.63%E -0.283%K -0.342%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-28 16:58
Marathon Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 72.27%EV -7.04%E -5.45%K -24.26%G +0.000%8.10I 12.35%NM 11.51%EV -12.30%E -1.52%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.21%EV -1.63%E -0.283%K -0.342%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-28 17:00
Codere (IT)1.32I 75.76%NM 71.60%EV -4.87%E -3.69%K -15.23%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.53%EV -11.22%E -1.37%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.88%EV -4.19%E -0.749%K -0.911%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-28 17:00
FanDuel1.27I 78.74%NM 73.10%EV -8.48%E -6.68%K -31.40%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.32%EV -2.56%E -0.284%K -0.320%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.58%EV -4.19%E -0.749%K -0.911%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-28 17:00
Bovada1.26I 79.37%NM 73.05%EV -9.20%E -7.30%K -35.38%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.52%EV -5.26%E -0.602%K -0.679%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.44%EV -4.19%E -0.749%K -0.911%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-28 16:58
BetUS1.26I 79.37%NM 73.05%EV -9.20%E -7.30%K -35.38%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.52%EV -5.26%E -0.602%K -0.679%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.44%EV -4.19%E -0.749%K -0.911%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-28 16:59
Betsson1.28I 78.13%NM 72.73%EV -7.76%E -6.06%K -27.70%G +0.000%8.92I 11.21%NM 10.44%EV -3.42%E -0.384%K -0.432%G +0.000%5.53I 18.08%NM 16.83%EV -5.39%E -0.975%K -1.19%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-28 17:00
NordicBet1.28I 78.13%NM 72.73%EV -7.76%E -6.06%K -27.70%G +0.000%8.92I 11.21%NM 10.44%EV -3.42%E -0.384%K -0.432%G +0.000%5.53I 18.08%NM 16.83%EV -5.39%E -0.975%K -1.19%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-28 16:59
Coolbet1.32I 75.76%NM 72.52%EV -4.87%E -3.69%K -15.23%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.08%EV +2.86%E +0.301%K +0.336%G +0.010%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.40%EV -5.90%E -1.07%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-28 16:59
Unibet (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.02%EV -4.15%E -3.12%K -12.59%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.81%EV -13.38%E -1.67%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -5.90%E -1.07%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-28 16:59
Coral1.33I 75.19%NM 71.02%EV -4.15%E -3.12%K -12.59%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.81%EV -13.38%E -1.67%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -5.90%E -1.07%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-28 17:00
Fanatics1.31I 76.34%NM 71.33%EV -5.60%E -4.27%K -18.05%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.68%EV -13.38%E -1.67%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.99%EV -5.90%E -1.07%K -1.31%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-28 17:00
Unibet1.28I 78.13%NM 72.73%EV -7.76%E -6.06%K -27.70%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.34%EV -2.56%E -0.284%K -0.320%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.93%EV -5.90%E -1.07%K -1.31%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-28 17:00
Unibet (NL)1.28I 78.13%NM 72.73%EV -7.76%E -6.06%K -27.70%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.34%EV -2.56%E -0.284%K -0.320%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.93%EV -5.90%E -1.07%K -1.31%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-28 17:00
Grosvenor1.28I 78.13%NM 72.73%EV -7.76%E -6.06%K -27.70%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.34%EV -2.56%E -0.284%K -0.320%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.93%EV -5.90%E -1.07%K -1.31%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-28 17:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.28I 78.13%NM 72.73%EV -7.76%E -6.06%K -27.70%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.34%EV -2.56%E -0.284%K -0.320%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.93%EV -5.90%E -1.07%K -1.31%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-28 17:00
TABtouch1.28I 78.13%NM 72.73%EV -7.76%E -6.06%K -27.70%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.34%EV -2.56%E -0.284%K -0.320%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.93%EV -5.90%E -1.07%K -1.31%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-28 17:00
Casumo1.28I 78.13%NM 72.73%EV -7.76%E -6.06%K -27.70%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.34%EV -2.56%E -0.284%K -0.320%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.93%EV -5.90%E -1.07%K -1.31%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-28 17:00
Unibet (SE)1.28I 78.13%NM 72.73%EV -7.76%E -6.06%K -27.70%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.34%EV -2.56%E -0.284%K -0.320%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.93%EV -5.90%E -1.07%K -1.31%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-28 17:00
BetRivers1.27I 78.74%NM 72.89%EV -8.48%E -6.68%K -31.40%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV -2.56%E -0.284%K -0.320%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.83%EV -5.90%E -1.07%K -1.31%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-28 16:56
SportsBet1.25I 80.00%NM 73.20%EV -9.92%E -7.94%K -39.68%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.17%EV -2.56%E -0.284%K -0.320%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -5.90%E -1.07%K -1.31%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-28 17:00
Virgin Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 72.47%EV -10.64%E -8.58%K -44.33%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.57%EV -7.97%E -0.938%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.96%EV -9.33%E -1.76%K -2.17%G +0.000%11.3%2026-02-28 17:00
LeoVegas1.24I 80.65%NM 72.47%EV -10.64%E -8.58%K -44.33%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.57%EV -7.97%E -0.938%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.96%EV -9.33%E -1.76%K -2.17%G +0.000%11.3%2026-02-28 17:00
LiveScore Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 72.47%EV -10.64%E -8.58%K -44.33%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.57%EV -7.97%E -0.938%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.96%EV -9.33%E -1.76%K -2.17%G +0.000%11.3%2026-02-28 17:00
GTbets1.32I 75.76%NM 71.34%EV -4.87%E -3.69%K -15.23%G +0.000%8.73I 11.45%NM 10.79%EV -5.48%E -0.628%K -0.709%G +0.000%5.27I 18.98%NM 17.87%EV -9.84%E -1.87%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-28 17:00
Neds1.33I 75.19%NM 70.44%EV -4.15%E -3.12%K -12.59%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.71%EV -13.38%E -1.67%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -10.18%E -1.94%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-28 16:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.44%EV -4.15%E -3.12%K -12.59%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.71%EV -13.38%E -1.67%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -10.18%E -1.94%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-28 16:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.44%EV -4.15%E -3.12%K -12.59%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.71%EV -13.38%E -1.67%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -10.18%E -1.94%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-28 17:00
PointsBet (AU)1.28I 78.13%NM 72.15%EV -7.76%E -6.06%K -27.70%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.26%EV -2.56%E -0.284%K -0.320%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.59%EV -10.18%E -1.94%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-28 16:59
Bet Right1.28I 78.13%NM 71.72%EV -7.76%E -6.06%K -27.70%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.80%EV -7.97%E -0.938%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.48%EV -10.18%E -1.94%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-28 16:59
Betway1.30I 76.92%NM 70.38%EV -6.32%E -4.86%K -21.05%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -18.80%E -2.51%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.43%EV -10.18%E -1.94%K -2.40%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-28 17:00
Winamax (DE)1.26I 79.37%NM 71.91%EV -9.20%E -7.30%K -35.38%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.66%EV -7.97%E -0.938%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.43%EV -11.04%E -2.12%K -2.63%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-28 17:00
Parions Sport (FR)1.27I 78.74%NM 70.39%EV -8.48%E -6.68%K -31.40%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.08%EV -19.88%E -2.69%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.53%EV -12.75%E -2.50%K -3.11%G +0.000%11.9%2026-02-28 16:59
888sport1.29I 77.52%NM 70.93%EV -7.04%E -5.45%K -24.26%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.77%EV -7.97%E -0.938%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -14.46%E -2.89%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-28 16:59
Sky Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 71.58%EV -9.92%E -7.94%K -39.68%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.53%EV -7.97%E -0.938%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.89%EV -14.46%E -2.89%K -3.61%G +0.000%11.8%2026-02-28 17:00
Paddy Power1.22I 81.97%NM 72.49%EV -12.08%E -9.90%K -54.91%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.83%EV -2.56%E -0.284%K -0.320%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.69%EV -14.46%E -2.89%K -3.61%G +0.000%13.1%2026-02-28 17:00
Betclic (FR)1.25I 80.00%NM 70.82%EV -9.92%E -7.94%K -39.68%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 10.73%EV -10.68%E -1.29%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.44%EV -17.88%E -3.72%K -4.71%G +0.000%13.0%2026-02-28 17:00
Winamax (FR)1.25I 80.00%NM 70.59%EV -9.92%E -7.94%K -39.68%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.03%EV -13.38%E -1.67%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.38%EV -17.88%E -3.72%K -4.71%G +0.000%13.3%2026-02-28 17:00
PMU (FR)1.16I 86.21%NM 72.56%EV -16.41%E -14.14%K -102.53%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 9.90%EV -7.97%E -0.938%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 17.54%EV -17.88%E -3.72%K -4.71%G +0.000%18.8%2026-02-28 16:59
BoyleSports1.30I 76.92%NM 69.11%EV -6.32%E -4.86%K -21.05%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.98%EV -18.80%E -2.51%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.91%EV -18.73%E -3.94%K -5.00%G +0.000%11.3%2026-02-28 17:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 69.73%EV -9.92%E -7.94%K -39.68%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 10.90%EV -13.38%E -1.67%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.37%EV -23.01%E -5.11%K -6.57%G +0.000%14.7%2026-02-28 17:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 74.88%11.00I 9.09%NM 9.05%6.20I 16.13%NM 16.06%0.4%2026-02-28 17:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 74.88%11.00I 9.09%NM 9.05%6.20I 16.13%NM 16.06%0.4%2026-02-28 17:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.33I 75.19%NM 74.88%11.00I 9.09%NM 9.05%6.20I 16.13%NM 16.06%0.4%2026-02-28 17:00
Matchbook1.32I 75.76%NM 75.32%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.65%6.20I 16.13%NM 16.04%0.6%2026-02-28 17:00
Smarkets1.32I 75.76%NM 74.31%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.34%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.35%1.9%2026-02-28 17:00