Language:English
Fenerbahce v Samsunspor
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Fenerbahce (Local)
Prediction 65.23%1.53fair odd
EV -2.15%
Edge -1.44%
Kelly -4.31%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.07%65.29%65.33%68.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.261.401.401.5079.37%71.27%71.43%66.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Samsunspor (Visit)
Prediction 13.68%7.31fair odd
EV +9.46%
Edge +1.18%
Kelly +1.35%
Growth +0.128%
assuming max odds 8.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
11.77%13.54%13.58%15.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.906.926.898.0016.95%14.45%14.51%12.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 21.09%4.74fair odd
EV +2.27%
Edge +0.468%
Kelly +0.589%
Growth +0.013%
assuming max odds 4.85
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.03%21.17%21.08%23.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.414.464.8526.67%22.69%22.40%20.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Fenerbahce (Local): 65.23%; Samsunspor (Visit): 13.68%; Draw: 21.09%. For Samsunspor (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.31. 17 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 8.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +9.46%.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.21%EV -9.98%E -7.23%K -26.26%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.77%EV +9.46%E +1.18%K +1.35%G +0.128% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.03%EV -0.895%E -0.190%K -0.242%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-08 17:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.21%EV -9.98%E -7.23%K -26.26%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.77%EV +9.46%E +1.18%K +1.35%G +0.128% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.03%EV -0.895%E -0.190%K -0.242%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-08 17:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.39%EV -8.68%E -6.20%K -21.69%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.10%EV +6.72%E +0.862%K +0.988%G +0.066% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV -3.00%E -0.653%K -0.834%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-08 17:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.03%EV -6.07%E -4.21%K -13.79%G +0.000% | 7.76I 12.89%NM 12.44%EV +6.17%E +0.796%K +0.913%G +0.056% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.54%EV -0.895%E -0.190%K -0.242%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-08 16:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.39%EV -9.98%E -7.23%K -26.26%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV +2.62%E +0.349%K +0.403%G +0.011% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.22%EV -3.00%E -0.653%K -0.834%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-08 17:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.39%EV -9.98%E -7.23%K -26.26%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV +2.62%E +0.349%K +0.403%G +0.011% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.22%EV -3.00%E -0.653%K -0.834%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-08 17:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.39%EV -9.98%E -7.23%K -26.26%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV +2.62%E +0.349%K +0.403%G +0.011% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.22%EV -3.00%E -0.653%K -0.834%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-08 17:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.39%EV -9.98%E -7.23%K -26.26%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV +2.62%E +0.349%K +0.403%G +0.011% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.22%EV -3.00%E -0.653%K -0.834%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-08 17:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.39%EV -9.98%E -7.23%K -26.26%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV +2.62%E +0.349%K +0.403%G +0.011% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.22%EV -3.00%E -0.653%K -0.834%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-08 17:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.39%EV -9.98%E -7.23%K -26.26%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV +2.62%E +0.349%K +0.403%G +0.011% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.22%EV -3.00%E -0.653%K -0.834%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-08 17:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.39%EV -9.98%E -7.23%K -26.26%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV +2.62%E +0.349%K +0.403%G +0.011% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.22%EV -3.00%E -0.653%K -0.834%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-08 17:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.39%EV -9.98%E -7.23%K -26.26%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV +2.62%E +0.349%K +0.403%G +0.011% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.22%EV -3.00%E -0.653%K -0.834%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-08 17:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.08%EV -9.98%E -7.23%K -26.26%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.34%EV +2.62%E +0.349%K +0.403%G +0.011% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%EV -5.11%E -1.14%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-08 16:56 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.41%EV -11.29%E -8.30%K -31.35%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV +2.62%E +0.349%K +0.403%G +0.011% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -5.11%E -1.14%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-08 16:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.89%EV -13.24%E -9.96%K -40.13%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.04%EV +2.62%E +0.349%K +0.403%G +0.011% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.07%EV -5.11%E -1.14%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-08 17:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.89%EV -13.24%E -9.96%K -40.13%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.04%EV +2.62%E +0.349%K +0.403%G +0.011% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.07%EV -5.11%E -1.14%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-08 17:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.89%EV -13.24%E -9.96%K -40.13%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.04%EV +2.62%E +0.349%K +0.403%G +0.011% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.07%EV -5.11%E -1.14%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-08 17:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.48%EV -8.68%E -6.20%K -21.69%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.84%EV -0.804%E -0.111%K -0.129%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.68%EV -5.11%E -1.14%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-08 16:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.59%EV -5.41%E -3.73%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV -4.22%E -0.603%K -0.704%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.04%EV -10.38%E -2.44%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-08 17:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.59%EV -5.41%E -3.73%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV -4.22%E -0.603%K -0.704%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.04%EV -10.38%E -2.44%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-08 16:59 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.86%EV -7.37%E -5.19%K -17.55%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV -4.22%E -0.603%K -0.704%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -5.11%E -1.14%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-08 17:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.23%EV -6.72%E -4.70%K -15.63%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.33%EV -4.22%E -0.603%K -0.704%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.44%EV -8.28%E -1.90%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-08 16:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.87%EV -8.68%E -6.20%K -21.69%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -4.22%E -0.603%K -0.704%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -7.22%E -1.64%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-08 17:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.39%EV -6.72%E -4.70%K -15.63%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -4.22%E -0.603%K -0.704%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.46%EV -13.55%E -3.30%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-08 16:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.87%EV -11.29%E -8.30%K -31.35%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.80%EV -4.22%E -0.603%K -0.704%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.33%EV -11.44%E -2.72%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-03-08 17:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.60%EV -7.37%E -5.19%K -17.55%G +0.000% | 6.89I 14.51%NM 13.52%EV -5.73%E -0.832%K -0.973%G +0.000% | 4.46I 22.42%NM 20.88%EV -5.96%E -1.34%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-08 16:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.60%EV -7.37%E -5.19%K -17.55%G +0.000% | 6.89I 14.51%NM 13.52%EV -5.73%E -0.832%K -0.973%G +0.000% | 4.46I 22.42%NM 20.88%EV -5.96%E -1.34%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-08 17:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.13%EV -5.41%E -3.73%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.89%EV -6.96%E -1.02%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.99%EV -5.11%E -1.14%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-08 17:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.03%EV -2.80%E -1.88%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.35%EV -7.64%E -1.13%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.62%EV -0.895%E -0.190%K -0.242%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-08 17:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.03%EV -2.80%E -1.88%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.35%EV -7.64%E -1.13%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.62%EV -0.895%E -0.190%K -0.242%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-08 16:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.23%EV -8.02%E -5.69%K -19.57%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.63%EV -7.64%E -1.13%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.14%EV -8.28%E -1.90%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-08 16:58 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.23%EV -8.02%E -5.69%K -19.57%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.63%EV -7.64%E -1.13%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.14%EV -8.28%E -1.90%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-08 16:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.24%EV -3.46%E -2.34%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.63%EV -11.07%E -1.70%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.13%EV -5.11%E -1.14%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-08 17:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.24%EV -3.46%E -2.34%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.63%EV -11.07%E -1.70%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.13%EV -5.11%E -1.14%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-08 17:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.07%EV -5.41%E -3.73%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.07%EV -11.07%E -1.70%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -15.66%E -3.91%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-08 17:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.99%EV -8.68%E -6.20%K -21.69%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.00%EV -11.07%E -1.70%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.01%EV -8.70%E -2.01%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-08 16:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.99%EV -8.68%E -6.20%K -21.69%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.00%EV -11.07%E -1.70%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.01%EV -8.70%E -2.01%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-08 16:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.99%EV -8.68%E -6.20%K -21.69%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.00%EV -11.07%E -1.70%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.01%EV -8.70%E -2.01%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-08 16:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.57%EV -8.68%E -6.20%K -21.69%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -11.07%E -1.70%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -11.44%E -2.72%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-08 17:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.88%EV -8.68%E -6.20%K -21.69%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.76%EV -11.07%E -1.70%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -15.66%E -3.91%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-03-08 17:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 63.62%EV -11.29%E -8.30%K -31.35%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.31%EV -11.07%E -1.70%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.07%EV -20.93%E -5.58%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-03-08 17:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.86%EV -2.15%E -1.44%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 6.45I 15.50%NM 15.08%EV -11.75%E -1.82%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 20.06%EV +2.27%E +0.468%K +0.589%G +0.013% | 2.8% | 2026-03-08 16:59 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.22%EV -4.11%E -2.80%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 6.44I 15.53%NM 14.66%EV -11.89%E -1.85%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 4.47I 22.37%NM 21.12%EV -5.74%E -1.29%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-08 16:59 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 65.58%EV -11.94%E -8.84%K -34.11%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 13.83%EV -12.43%E -1.94%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.59%EV -9.33%E -2.17%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-03-08 16:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 63.88%EV -4.76%E -3.26%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.92%EV -14.49%E -2.32%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -7.22%E -1.64%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-08 16:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 63.88%EV -4.76%E -3.26%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.92%EV -14.49%E -2.32%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -7.22%E -1.64%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-08 16:59 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 64.05%EV -8.02%E -5.69%K -19.57%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.45%EV -14.49%E -2.32%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.50%EV -11.44%E -2.72%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-08 17:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 64.54%EV -9.98%E -7.23%K -26.26%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.25%EV -14.49%E -2.32%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.21%EV -11.44%E -2.72%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-03-08 17:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 65.59%EV -17.81%E -14.13%K -68.49%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 13.22%EV -14.49%E -2.32%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 21.19%EV -17.76%E -4.55%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 21.0% | 2026-03-08 17:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.50%EV -8.68%E -6.20%K -21.69%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.82%EV -17.91%E -2.98%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.68%EV -13.55%E -3.30%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-03-08 17:00 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 64.43%EV -12.59%E -9.40%K -37.03%G +0.000% | 5.95I 16.81%NM 14.51%EV -18.59%E -3.12%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.06%EV -13.55%E -3.30%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 15.8% | 2026-03-08 17:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 64.34%EV -11.29%E -8.30%K -31.35%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 14.83%EV -19.27%E -3.27%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.83%EV -11.44%E -2.72%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-03-08 17:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.70% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.57% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.73% | 0.5% | 2026-03-08 17:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.70% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.57% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.73% | 0.5% | 2026-03-08 17:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.02% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.02% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.96% | 1.5% | 2026-03-08 17:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.02% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.02% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.96% | 1.5% | 2026-03-08 17:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.61% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.55% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.83% | 2.1% | 2026-03-08 17:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.30% | 8.33I 12.00%NM 11.55% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.15% | 3.9% | 2026-03-08 17:00 |