مدرسة الاحتمالات

Fenerbahce v Samsunspor

البداية: 2026-03-08 17:04 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

52 شركة مراهنات (17 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Fenerbahce (المضيف)

التنبؤ 65.23%1.53السعر العادل
EV -2.15%
الأفضلية -1.44%
Kelly -4.31%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.50

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
63.07%65.29%65.33%68.21%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.261.401.401.5079.37%71.27%71.43%66.67%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Samsunspor (الضيف)

التنبؤ 13.68%7.31السعر العادل
EV +9.46%
الأفضلية +1.18%
Kelly +1.35%
النمو +0.128%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 8.00

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
11.77%13.54%13.58%15.08%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
5.906.926.898.0016.95%14.45%14.51%12.50%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 21.09%4.74السعر العادل
EV +2.27%
الأفضلية +0.468%
Kelly +0.589%
النمو +0.013%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.85

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
20.03%21.17%21.08%23.07%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.754.414.464.8526.67%22.69%22.40%20.62%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (52 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
ATG (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.21%EV -9.98%E -7.23%K -26.26%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.77%EV +9.46%E +1.18%K +1.35%G +0.128%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.03%EV -0.895%E -0.190%K -0.242%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-08 17:00
Svenska Spel1.38I 72.46%NM 68.21%EV -9.98%E -7.23%K -26.26%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.77%EV +9.46%E +1.18%K +1.35%G +0.128%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.03%EV -0.895%E -0.190%K -0.242%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-08 17:00
Tipico (DE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.39%EV -8.68%E -6.20%K -21.69%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.10%EV +6.72%E +0.862%K +0.988%G +0.066%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV -3.00%E -0.653%K -0.834%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-08 17:00
Pinnacle1.44I 69.44%NM 67.03%EV -6.07%E -4.21%K -13.79%G +0.000%7.76I 12.89%NM 12.44%EV +6.17%E +0.796%K +0.913%G +0.056%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.54%EV -0.895%E -0.190%K -0.242%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-08 16:59
Unibet1.38I 72.46%NM 67.39%EV -9.98%E -7.23%K -26.26%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV +2.62%E +0.349%K +0.403%G +0.011%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.22%EV -3.00%E -0.653%K -0.834%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-08 17:00
TABtouch1.38I 72.46%NM 67.39%EV -9.98%E -7.23%K -26.26%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV +2.62%E +0.349%K +0.403%G +0.011%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.22%EV -3.00%E -0.653%K -0.834%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-08 17:00
Unibet (NL)1.38I 72.46%NM 67.39%EV -9.98%E -7.23%K -26.26%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV +2.62%E +0.349%K +0.403%G +0.011%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.22%EV -3.00%E -0.653%K -0.834%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-08 17:00
Grosvenor1.38I 72.46%NM 67.39%EV -9.98%E -7.23%K -26.26%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV +2.62%E +0.349%K +0.403%G +0.011%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.22%EV -3.00%E -0.653%K -0.834%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-08 17:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 67.39%EV -9.98%E -7.23%K -26.26%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV +2.62%E +0.349%K +0.403%G +0.011%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.22%EV -3.00%E -0.653%K -0.834%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-08 17:00
Unibet (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 67.39%EV -9.98%E -7.23%K -26.26%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV +2.62%E +0.349%K +0.403%G +0.011%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.22%EV -3.00%E -0.653%K -0.834%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-08 17:00
Casumo1.38I 72.46%NM 67.39%EV -9.98%E -7.23%K -26.26%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV +2.62%E +0.349%K +0.403%G +0.011%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.22%EV -3.00%E -0.653%K -0.834%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-08 17:00
betPARX1.38I 72.46%NM 67.39%EV -9.98%E -7.23%K -26.26%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV +2.62%E +0.349%K +0.403%G +0.011%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.22%EV -3.00%E -0.653%K -0.834%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-08 17:00
BetRivers1.38I 72.46%NM 67.08%EV -9.98%E -7.23%K -26.26%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.34%EV +2.62%E +0.349%K +0.403%G +0.011%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%EV -5.11%E -1.14%K -1.46%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-08 16:56
FanDuel1.36I 73.53%NM 67.41%EV -11.29%E -8.30%K -31.35%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV +2.62%E +0.349%K +0.403%G +0.011%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -5.11%E -1.14%K -1.46%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-08 16:59
LeoVegas1.33I 75.19%NM 67.89%EV -13.24%E -9.96%K -40.13%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.04%EV +2.62%E +0.349%K +0.403%G +0.011%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.07%EV -5.11%E -1.14%K -1.46%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-08 17:00
LiveScore Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 67.89%EV -13.24%E -9.96%K -40.13%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.04%EV +2.62%E +0.349%K +0.403%G +0.011%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.07%EV -5.11%E -1.14%K -1.46%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-08 17:00
Virgin Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 67.89%EV -13.24%E -9.96%K -40.13%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.04%EV +2.62%E +0.349%K +0.403%G +0.011%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.07%EV -5.11%E -1.14%K -1.46%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-08 17:00
Everygame1.40I 71.43%NM 66.48%EV -8.68%E -6.20%K -21.69%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.84%EV -0.804%E -0.111%K -0.129%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.68%EV -5.11%E -1.14%K -1.46%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-08 16:59
Unibet (UK)1.45I 68.97%NM 64.59%EV -5.41%E -3.73%K -12.03%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV -4.22%E -0.603%K -0.704%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.04%EV -10.38%E -2.44%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-08 17:00
PointsBet (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 64.59%EV -5.41%E -3.73%K -12.03%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV -4.22%E -0.603%K -0.704%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.04%EV -10.38%E -2.44%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-08 16:59
Fanatics1.42I 70.42%NM 65.86%EV -7.37%E -5.19%K -17.55%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV -4.22%E -0.603%K -0.704%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -5.11%E -1.14%K -1.46%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-08 17:00
Marathon Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 65.23%EV -6.72%E -4.70%K -15.63%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.33%EV -4.22%E -0.603%K -0.704%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.44%EV -8.28%E -1.90%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-08 16:59
SportsBet1.40I 71.43%NM 65.87%EV -8.68%E -6.20%K -21.69%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -4.22%E -0.603%K -0.704%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -7.22%E -1.64%K -2.12%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-08 17:00
Bet Right1.43I 69.93%NM 64.39%EV -6.72%E -4.70%K -15.63%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -4.22%E -0.603%K -0.704%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.46%EV -13.55%E -3.30%K -4.37%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-08 16:59
Paddy Power1.36I 73.53%NM 65.87%EV -11.29%E -8.30%K -31.35%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.80%EV -4.22%E -0.603%K -0.704%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.33%EV -11.44%E -2.72%K -3.57%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-08 17:00
NordicBet1.42I 70.42%NM 65.60%EV -7.37%E -5.19%K -17.55%G +0.000%6.89I 14.51%NM 13.52%EV -5.73%E -0.832%K -0.973%G +0.000%4.46I 22.42%NM 20.88%EV -5.96%E -1.34%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-08 16:59
Betsson1.42I 70.42%NM 65.60%EV -7.37%E -5.19%K -17.55%G +0.000%6.89I 14.51%NM 13.52%EV -5.73%E -0.832%K -0.973%G +0.000%4.46I 22.42%NM 20.88%EV -5.96%E -1.34%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-08 17:00
Codere (IT)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.13%EV -5.41%E -3.73%K -12.03%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.89%EV -6.96%E -1.02%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.99%EV -5.11%E -1.14%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-08 17:00
BetOnline.ag1.49I 67.11%NM 65.03%EV -2.80%E -1.88%K -5.72%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.35%EV -7.64%E -1.13%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.62%EV -0.895%E -0.190%K -0.242%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-08 17:00
LowVig.ag1.49I 67.11%NM 65.03%EV -2.80%E -1.88%K -5.72%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.35%EV -7.64%E -1.13%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.62%EV -0.895%E -0.190%K -0.242%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-08 16:59
Bovada1.41I 70.92%NM 65.23%EV -8.02%E -5.69%K -19.57%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.63%EV -7.64%E -1.13%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.14%EV -8.28%E -1.90%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-08 16:58
BetUS1.41I 70.92%NM 65.23%EV -8.02%E -5.69%K -19.57%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.63%EV -7.64%E -1.13%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.14%EV -8.28%E -1.90%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-08 16:59
Coral1.48I 67.57%NM 64.24%EV -3.46%E -2.34%K -7.20%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.63%EV -11.07%E -1.70%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.13%EV -5.11%E -1.14%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-08 17:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 64.24%EV -3.46%E -2.34%K -7.20%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.63%EV -11.07%E -1.70%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.13%EV -5.11%E -1.14%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-08 17:00
Betway1.45I 68.97%NM 63.07%EV -5.41%E -3.73%K -12.03%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.07%EV -11.07%E -1.70%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -15.66%E -3.91%K -5.22%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-08 17:00
888sport1.40I 71.43%NM 64.99%EV -8.68%E -6.20%K -21.69%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.00%EV -11.07%E -1.70%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.01%EV -8.70%E -2.01%K -2.61%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-08 16:59
888sport (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 64.99%EV -8.68%E -6.20%K -21.69%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.00%EV -11.07%E -1.70%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.01%EV -8.70%E -2.01%K -2.61%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-08 16:59
Mr Green (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 64.99%EV -8.68%E -6.20%K -21.69%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.00%EV -11.07%E -1.70%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.01%EV -8.70%E -2.01%K -2.61%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-08 16:59
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 64.57%EV -8.68%E -6.20%K -21.69%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -11.07%E -1.70%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -11.44%E -2.72%K -3.57%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-08 17:00
Sky Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 63.88%EV -8.68%E -6.20%K -21.69%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.76%EV -11.07%E -1.70%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -15.66%E -3.91%K -5.22%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-08 17:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 63.62%EV -11.29%E -8.30%K -31.35%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.31%EV -11.07%E -1.70%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.07%EV -20.93%E -5.58%K -7.61%G +0.000%15.6%2026-03-08 17:00
1xBet1.50I 66.67%NM 64.86%EV -2.15%E -1.44%K -4.31%G +0.000%6.45I 15.50%NM 15.08%EV -11.75%E -1.82%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 20.06%EV +2.27%E +0.468%K +0.589%G +0.013%2.8%2026-03-08 16:59
GTbets1.47I 68.03%NM 64.22%EV -4.11%E -2.80%K -8.74%G +0.000%6.44I 15.53%NM 14.66%EV -11.89%E -1.85%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.47I 22.37%NM 21.12%EV -5.74%E -1.29%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-08 16:59
Parions Sport (FR)1.35I 74.07%NM 65.58%EV -11.94%E -8.84%K -34.11%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 13.83%EV -12.43%E -1.94%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.59%EV -9.33%E -2.17%K -2.83%G +0.000%13.0%2026-03-08 16:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.46I 68.49%NM 63.88%EV -4.76%E -3.26%K -10.35%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.92%EV -14.49%E -2.32%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -7.22%E -1.64%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-08 16:59
Neds1.46I 68.49%NM 63.88%EV -4.76%E -3.26%K -10.35%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.92%EV -14.49%E -2.32%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -7.22%E -1.64%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-08 16:59
Winamax (DE)1.41I 70.92%NM 64.05%EV -8.02%E -5.69%K -19.57%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.45%EV -14.49%E -2.32%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.50%EV -11.44%E -2.72%K -3.57%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-08 17:00
Betclic (FR)1.38I 72.46%NM 64.54%EV -9.98%E -7.23%K -26.26%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.25%EV -14.49%E -2.32%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.21%EV -11.44%E -2.72%K -3.57%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-08 17:00
PMU (FR)1.26I 79.37%NM 65.59%EV -17.81%E -14.13%K -68.49%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 13.22%EV -14.49%E -2.32%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 21.19%EV -17.76%E -4.55%K -6.13%G +0.000%21.0%2026-03-08 17:00
Winamax (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 63.50%EV -8.68%E -6.20%K -21.69%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.82%EV -17.91%E -2.98%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.68%EV -13.55%E -3.30%K -4.37%G +0.000%12.5%2026-03-08 17:00
Fliff1.34I 74.63%NM 64.43%EV -12.59%E -9.40%K -37.03%G +0.000%5.95I 16.81%NM 14.51%EV -18.59%E -3.12%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.06%EV -13.55%E -3.30%K -4.37%G +0.000%15.8%2026-03-08 17:00
NetBet (FR)1.36I 73.53%NM 64.34%EV -11.29%E -8.30%K -31.35%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 14.83%EV -19.27%E -3.27%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.83%EV -11.44%E -2.72%K -3.57%G +0.000%14.3%2026-03-08 17:00
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.47I 68.03%NM 67.70%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.57%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.73%0.5%2026-03-08 17:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.47I 68.03%NM 67.70%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.57%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.73%0.5%2026-03-08 17:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.47I 68.03%NM 67.02%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.02%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.96%1.5%2026-03-08 17:00
Matchbook1.47I 68.03%NM 67.02%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.02%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.96%1.5%2026-03-08 17:00
Smarkets1.47I 68.03%NM 66.61%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.55%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.83%2.1%2026-03-08 17:00
Kalshi1.43I 69.93%NM 67.30%8.33I 12.00%NM 11.55%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.15%3.9%2026-03-08 17:00