La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Fenerbahce v Samsunspor
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Fenerbahce (Casa)
Previsione 65.23%1.53quota equa
EV -2.15%
Vantaggio -1.44%
Kelly -4.31%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.50
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
63.07%65.29%65.33%68.21%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.261.401.401.5079.37%71.27%71.43%66.67%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Samsunspor (Trasferta)
Previsione 13.68%7.31quota equa
EV +9.46%
Vantaggio +1.18%
Kelly +1.35%
Crescita +0.128%
ipotizzando la quota massima 8.00
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
11.77%13.54%13.58%15.08%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
5.906.926.898.0016.95%14.45%14.51%12.50%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Pareggio
Previsione 21.09%4.74quota equa
EV +2.27%
Vantaggio +0.468%
Kelly +0.589%
Crescita +0.013%
ipotizzando la quota massima 4.85
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
20.03%21.17%21.08%23.07%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.754.414.464.8526.67%22.69%22.40%20.62%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (52 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Pareggio | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.21%EV -9.98%E -7.23%K -26.26%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.77%EV +9.46%E +1.18%K +1.35%G +0.128% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.03%EV -0.895%E -0.190%K -0.242%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-08 17:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.21%EV -9.98%E -7.23%K -26.26%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.77%EV +9.46%E +1.18%K +1.35%G +0.128% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.03%EV -0.895%E -0.190%K -0.242%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-08 17:00 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.39%EV -8.68%E -6.20%K -21.69%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.10%EV +6.72%E +0.862%K +0.988%G +0.066% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV -3.00%E -0.653%K -0.834%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-08 17:00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.03%EV -6.07%E -4.21%K -13.79%G +0.000% | 7.76I 12.89%NM 12.44%EV +6.17%E +0.796%K +0.913%G +0.056% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.54%EV -0.895%E -0.190%K -0.242%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-08 16:59 |
| Unibet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.39%EV -9.98%E -7.23%K -26.26%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV +2.62%E +0.349%K +0.403%G +0.011% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.22%EV -3.00%E -0.653%K -0.834%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-08 17:00 |
| TABtouch | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.39%EV -9.98%E -7.23%K -26.26%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV +2.62%E +0.349%K +0.403%G +0.011% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.22%EV -3.00%E -0.653%K -0.834%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-08 17:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.39%EV -9.98%E -7.23%K -26.26%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV +2.62%E +0.349%K +0.403%G +0.011% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.22%EV -3.00%E -0.653%K -0.834%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-08 17:00 |
| Grosvenor | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.39%EV -9.98%E -7.23%K -26.26%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV +2.62%E +0.349%K +0.403%G +0.011% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.22%EV -3.00%E -0.653%K -0.834%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-08 17:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.39%EV -9.98%E -7.23%K -26.26%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV +2.62%E +0.349%K +0.403%G +0.011% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.22%EV -3.00%E -0.653%K -0.834%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-08 17:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.39%EV -9.98%E -7.23%K -26.26%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV +2.62%E +0.349%K +0.403%G +0.011% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.22%EV -3.00%E -0.653%K -0.834%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-08 17:00 |
| Casumo | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.39%EV -9.98%E -7.23%K -26.26%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV +2.62%E +0.349%K +0.403%G +0.011% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.22%EV -3.00%E -0.653%K -0.834%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-08 17:00 |
| betPARX | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.39%EV -9.98%E -7.23%K -26.26%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV +2.62%E +0.349%K +0.403%G +0.011% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.22%EV -3.00%E -0.653%K -0.834%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-08 17:00 |
| BetRivers | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.08%EV -9.98%E -7.23%K -26.26%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.34%EV +2.62%E +0.349%K +0.403%G +0.011% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%EV -5.11%E -1.14%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-08 16:56 |
| FanDuel | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.41%EV -11.29%E -8.30%K -31.35%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.22%EV +2.62%E +0.349%K +0.403%G +0.011% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.37%EV -5.11%E -1.14%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-08 16:59 |
| LeoVegas | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.89%EV -13.24%E -9.96%K -40.13%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.04%EV +2.62%E +0.349%K +0.403%G +0.011% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.07%EV -5.11%E -1.14%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-08 17:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.89%EV -13.24%E -9.96%K -40.13%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.04%EV +2.62%E +0.349%K +0.403%G +0.011% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.07%EV -5.11%E -1.14%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-08 17:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.89%EV -13.24%E -9.96%K -40.13%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.04%EV +2.62%E +0.349%K +0.403%G +0.011% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.07%EV -5.11%E -1.14%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-08 17:00 |
| Everygame | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.48%EV -8.68%E -6.20%K -21.69%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.84%EV -0.804%E -0.111%K -0.129%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.68%EV -5.11%E -1.14%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-08 16:59 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.59%EV -5.41%E -3.73%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV -4.22%E -0.603%K -0.704%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.04%EV -10.38%E -2.44%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-08 17:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.59%EV -5.41%E -3.73%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV -4.22%E -0.603%K -0.704%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.04%EV -10.38%E -2.44%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-08 16:59 |
| Fanatics | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.86%EV -7.37%E -5.19%K -17.55%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV -4.22%E -0.603%K -0.704%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -5.11%E -1.14%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-08 17:00 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.23%EV -6.72%E -4.70%K -15.63%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.33%EV -4.22%E -0.603%K -0.704%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.44%EV -8.28%E -1.90%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-08 16:59 |
| SportsBet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.87%EV -8.68%E -6.20%K -21.69%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -4.22%E -0.603%K -0.704%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -7.22%E -1.64%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-08 17:00 |
| Bet Right | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.39%EV -6.72%E -4.70%K -15.63%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -4.22%E -0.603%K -0.704%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.46%EV -13.55%E -3.30%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-08 16:59 |
| Paddy Power | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.87%EV -11.29%E -8.30%K -31.35%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.80%EV -4.22%E -0.603%K -0.704%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.33%EV -11.44%E -2.72%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-03-08 17:00 |
| NordicBet | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.60%EV -7.37%E -5.19%K -17.55%G +0.000% | 6.89I 14.51%NM 13.52%EV -5.73%E -0.832%K -0.973%G +0.000% | 4.46I 22.42%NM 20.88%EV -5.96%E -1.34%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-08 16:59 |
| Betsson | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.60%EV -7.37%E -5.19%K -17.55%G +0.000% | 6.89I 14.51%NM 13.52%EV -5.73%E -0.832%K -0.973%G +0.000% | 4.46I 22.42%NM 20.88%EV -5.96%E -1.34%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-08 17:00 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.13%EV -5.41%E -3.73%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.89%EV -6.96%E -1.02%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.99%EV -5.11%E -1.14%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-08 17:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.03%EV -2.80%E -1.88%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.35%EV -7.64%E -1.13%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.62%EV -0.895%E -0.190%K -0.242%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-08 17:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.03%EV -2.80%E -1.88%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.35%EV -7.64%E -1.13%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.62%EV -0.895%E -0.190%K -0.242%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-08 16:59 |
| Bovada | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.23%EV -8.02%E -5.69%K -19.57%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.63%EV -7.64%E -1.13%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.14%EV -8.28%E -1.90%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-08 16:58 |
| BetUS | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.23%EV -8.02%E -5.69%K -19.57%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.63%EV -7.64%E -1.13%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.14%EV -8.28%E -1.90%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-08 16:59 |
| Coral | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.24%EV -3.46%E -2.34%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.63%EV -11.07%E -1.70%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.13%EV -5.11%E -1.14%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-08 17:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.24%EV -3.46%E -2.34%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.63%EV -11.07%E -1.70%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.13%EV -5.11%E -1.14%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-08 17:00 |
| Betway | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.07%EV -5.41%E -3.73%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.07%EV -11.07%E -1.70%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -15.66%E -3.91%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-08 17:00 |
| 888sport | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.99%EV -8.68%E -6.20%K -21.69%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.00%EV -11.07%E -1.70%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.01%EV -8.70%E -2.01%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-08 16:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.99%EV -8.68%E -6.20%K -21.69%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.00%EV -11.07%E -1.70%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.01%EV -8.70%E -2.01%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-08 16:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.99%EV -8.68%E -6.20%K -21.69%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.00%EV -11.07%E -1.70%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.01%EV -8.70%E -2.01%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-08 16:59 |
| BoyleSports | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.57%EV -8.68%E -6.20%K -21.69%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -11.07%E -1.70%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -11.44%E -2.72%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-08 17:00 |
| Sky Bet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.88%EV -8.68%E -6.20%K -21.69%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.76%EV -11.07%E -1.70%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -15.66%E -3.91%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-03-08 17:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 63.62%EV -11.29%E -8.30%K -31.35%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.31%EV -11.07%E -1.70%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.07%EV -20.93%E -5.58%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-03-08 17:00 |
| 1xBet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.86%EV -2.15%E -1.44%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 6.45I 15.50%NM 15.08%EV -11.75%E -1.82%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 20.06%EV +2.27%E +0.468%K +0.589%G +0.013% | 2.8% | 2026-03-08 16:59 |
| GTbets | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.22%EV -4.11%E -2.80%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 6.44I 15.53%NM 14.66%EV -11.89%E -1.85%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 4.47I 22.37%NM 21.12%EV -5.74%E -1.29%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-08 16:59 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 65.58%EV -11.94%E -8.84%K -34.11%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 13.83%EV -12.43%E -1.94%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.59%EV -9.33%E -2.17%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-03-08 16:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.46I 68.49%NM 63.88%EV -4.76%E -3.26%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.92%EV -14.49%E -2.32%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -7.22%E -1.64%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-08 16:59 |
| Neds | 1.46I 68.49%NM 63.88%EV -4.76%E -3.26%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.92%EV -14.49%E -2.32%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -7.22%E -1.64%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-08 16:59 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 64.05%EV -8.02%E -5.69%K -19.57%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.45%EV -14.49%E -2.32%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.50%EV -11.44%E -2.72%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-08 17:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 64.54%EV -9.98%E -7.23%K -26.26%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.25%EV -14.49%E -2.32%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.21%EV -11.44%E -2.72%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-03-08 17:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 65.59%EV -17.81%E -14.13%K -68.49%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 13.22%EV -14.49%E -2.32%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 21.19%EV -17.76%E -4.55%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 21.0% | 2026-03-08 17:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 63.50%EV -8.68%E -6.20%K -21.69%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.82%EV -17.91%E -2.98%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.68%EV -13.55%E -3.30%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-03-08 17:00 |
| Fliff | 1.34I 74.63%NM 64.43%EV -12.59%E -9.40%K -37.03%G +0.000% | 5.95I 16.81%NM 14.51%EV -18.59%E -3.12%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.06%EV -13.55%E -3.30%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 15.8% | 2026-03-08 17:00 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 64.34%EV -11.29%E -8.30%K -31.35%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 14.83%EV -19.27%E -3.27%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.83%EV -11.44%E -2.72%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-03-08 17:00 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (6)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.70% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.57% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.73% | 0.5% | 2026-03-08 17:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.70% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.57% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.73% | 0.5% | 2026-03-08 17:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.02% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.02% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.96% | 1.5% | 2026-03-08 17:00 |
| Matchbook | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.02% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.02% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.96% | 1.5% | 2026-03-08 17:00 |
| Smarkets | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.61% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.55% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.83% | 2.1% | 2026-03-08 17:00 |
| Kalshi | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.30% | 8.33I 12.00%NM 11.55% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.15% | 3.9% | 2026-03-08 17:00 |