L’École des cotes

Fenerbahce v Kasimpasa SK

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-23 17:02 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

51 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Fenerbahce (Local)

Prévision 72.08%1.39cote équitable
EV -2.70%
Avantage -2.00%
Kelly -7.70%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.35

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
69.74%72.23%72.08%74.85%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.151.271.261.3586.96%78.83%79.37%74.07%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Kasimpasa SK (Visiteur)

Prévision 10.46%9.56cote équitable
EV +15.04%
Avantage +1.37%
Kelly +1.50%
Croissance +0.226%

avec la cote maximale 11.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
8.68%10.38%10.45%12.15%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
7.759.059.0011.0012.90%11.05%11.11%9.09%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 17.46%5.73cote équitable
EV +4.79%
Avantage +0.798%
Kelly +0.957%
Croissance +0.046%

avec la cote maximale 6.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
15.46%17.40%17.47%19.27%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.505.385.456.0022.22%18.57%18.35%16.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet1.30I 76.92%NM 74.37%EV -6.30%E -4.85%K -21.00%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV +15.04%E +1.37%K +1.50%G +0.226%5.74I 17.42%NM 16.84%EV +0.245%E +0.043%K +0.052%G +0.000%3.4%2026-02-23 16:59
Coolbet1.29I 77.52%NM 73.97%EV -7.02%E -5.44%K -24.21%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.68%EV +15.04%E +1.37%K +1.50%G +0.226%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.35%EV -3.95%E -0.718%K -0.877%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-23 16:58
ATG (SE)1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -9.18%E -7.29%K -35.32%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.43%EV +4.58%E +0.458%K +0.509%G +0.023%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.72%EV +4.79%E +0.798%K +0.957%G +0.046%6.0%2026-02-23 17:00
PointsBet (AU)1.28I 78.13%NM 72.90%EV -7.74%E -6.05%K -27.65%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.33%EV +4.58%E +0.458%K +0.509%G +0.023%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.77%EV -8.31%E -1.58%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-23 16:59
SportsBet1.25I 80.00%NM 73.95%EV -9.90%E -7.92%K -39.61%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV +4.58%E +0.458%K +0.509%G +0.023%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -3.95%E -0.718%K -0.877%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-23 17:00
BetUS1.27I 78.74%NM 73.34%EV -8.46%E -6.66%K -31.34%G +0.000%9.90I 10.10%NM 9.41%EV +3.54%E +0.357%K +0.398%G +0.014%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.25%EV -5.69%E -1.05%K -1.29%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-23 16:58
GTbets1.31I 76.34%NM 72.14%EV -5.58%E -4.26%K -18.00%G +0.000%9.59I 10.43%NM 9.85%EV +0.296%E +0.031%K +0.034%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.00%EV -8.31%E -1.58%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-23 16:59
Tipico (DE)1.27I 78.74%NM 74.33%EV -8.46%E -6.66%K -31.34%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.94%EV -0.646%E -0.068%K -0.076%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +4.79%E +0.798%K +0.957%G +0.046%5.9%2026-02-23 17:00
Unibet (NL)1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -9.90%E -7.92%K -39.61%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.77%EV -0.646%E -0.068%K -0.076%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.00%EV +1.29%E +0.223%K +0.269%G +0.003%7.8%2026-02-23 17:00
Unibet1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -9.90%E -7.92%K -39.61%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.77%EV -0.646%E -0.068%K -0.076%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.00%EV +1.29%E +0.223%K +0.269%G +0.003%7.8%2026-02-23 17:00
TABtouch1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -9.90%E -7.92%K -39.61%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.77%EV -0.646%E -0.068%K -0.076%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.00%EV +1.29%E +0.223%K +0.269%G +0.003%7.8%2026-02-23 17:00
Grosvenor1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -9.90%E -7.92%K -39.61%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.77%EV -0.646%E -0.068%K -0.076%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.00%EV +1.29%E +0.223%K +0.269%G +0.003%7.8%2026-02-23 17:00
Casumo1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -9.90%E -7.92%K -39.61%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.77%EV -0.646%E -0.068%K -0.076%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.00%EV +1.29%E +0.223%K +0.269%G +0.003%7.8%2026-02-23 17:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -9.90%E -7.92%K -39.61%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.77%EV -0.646%E -0.068%K -0.076%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.00%EV +1.29%E +0.223%K +0.269%G +0.003%7.8%2026-02-23 17:00
Unibet (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -9.90%E -7.92%K -39.61%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.77%EV -0.646%E -0.068%K -0.076%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.00%EV +1.29%E +0.223%K +0.269%G +0.003%7.8%2026-02-23 17:00
betPARX1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -9.90%E -7.92%K -39.61%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.77%EV -0.646%E -0.068%K -0.076%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.00%EV +1.29%E +0.223%K +0.269%G +0.003%7.8%2026-02-23 17:00
BetRivers1.24I 80.65%NM 74.39%EV -10.62%E -8.57%K -44.27%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.71%EV -0.646%E -0.068%K -0.076%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.90%EV +1.29%E +0.223%K +0.269%G +0.003%8.4%2026-02-23 16:57
Bet Right1.27I 78.74%NM 72.06%EV -8.46%E -6.66%K -31.34%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.63%EV -0.646%E -0.068%K -0.076%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -12.68%E -2.54%K -3.17%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-23 16:59
LeoVegas1.21I 82.64%NM 74.44%EV -12.79%E -10.57%K -60.89%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.48%EV -0.646%E -0.068%K -0.076%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.08%EV -2.20%E -0.393%K -0.478%G +0.000%11.0%2026-02-23 17:00
LiveScore Bet1.21I 82.64%NM 74.44%EV -12.79%E -10.57%K -60.89%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.48%EV -0.646%E -0.068%K -0.076%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.08%EV -2.20%E -0.393%K -0.478%G +0.000%11.0%2026-02-23 17:00
Virgin Bet1.21I 82.64%NM 74.44%EV -12.79%E -10.57%K -60.89%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.48%EV -0.646%E -0.068%K -0.076%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.08%EV -2.20%E -0.393%K -0.478%G +0.000%11.0%2026-02-23 17:00
Pinnacle1.31I 76.34%NM 73.33%EV -5.58%E -4.26%K -18.00%G +0.000%9.13I 10.95%NM 10.52%EV -4.52%E -0.495%K -0.555%G +0.000%5.95I 16.81%NM 16.15%EV +3.91%E +0.658%K +0.790%G +0.031%4.1%2026-02-23 16:59
Fanatics1.31I 76.34%NM 72.27%EV -5.58%E -4.26%K -18.00%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.52%EV -5.87%E -0.653%K -0.734%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.21%EV -3.95%E -0.718%K -0.877%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-23 17:00
LowVig.ag1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -9.90%E -7.92%K -39.61%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.31%EV -5.87%E -0.653%K -0.734%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.46%EV +4.79%E +0.798%K +0.957%G +0.046%7.8%2026-02-23 17:00
BetOnline.ag1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -9.90%E -7.92%K -39.61%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.31%EV -5.87%E -0.653%K -0.734%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.46%EV +4.79%E +0.798%K +0.957%G +0.046%7.8%2026-02-23 17:00
888sport1.29I 77.52%NM 71.36%EV -7.02%E -5.44%K -24.21%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.23%EV -5.87%E -0.653%K -0.734%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.41%EV -12.68%E -2.54%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-23 16:59
888sport (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 71.36%EV -7.02%E -5.44%K -24.21%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.23%EV -5.87%E -0.653%K -0.734%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.41%EV -12.68%E -2.54%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-23 16:59
Mr Green (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 71.36%EV -7.02%E -5.44%K -24.21%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.23%EV -5.87%E -0.653%K -0.734%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.41%EV -12.68%E -2.54%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-23 16:59
FanDuel1.24I 80.65%NM 73.57%EV -10.62%E -8.57%K -44.27%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.14%EV -5.87%E -0.653%K -0.734%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.29%EV -2.20%E -0.393%K -0.478%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-23 16:59
Winamax (DE)1.26I 79.37%NM 71.84%EV -9.18%E -7.29%K -35.32%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.06%EV -5.87%E -0.653%K -0.734%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -12.68%E -2.54%K -3.17%G +0.000%10.5%2026-02-23 17:00
Paddy Power1.22I 81.97%NM 72.49%EV -12.07%E -9.89%K -54.84%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.83%EV -5.87%E -0.653%K -0.734%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.69%EV -12.68%E -2.54%K -3.17%G +0.000%13.1%2026-02-23 17:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.22I 81.97%NM 71.09%EV -12.07%E -9.89%K -54.84%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.64%EV -5.87%E -0.653%K -0.734%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.27%EV -21.41%E -4.76%K -6.12%G +0.000%15.3%2026-02-23 17:00
Fliff1.20I 83.33%NM 72.53%EV -13.51%E -11.26%K -67.54%G +0.000%8.80I 11.36%NM 9.89%EV -7.97%E -0.905%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 17.58%EV -13.55%E -2.74%K -3.43%G +0.000%14.9%2026-02-23 17:00
Codere (IT)1.31I 76.34%NM 71.69%EV -5.58%E -4.26%K -18.00%G +0.000%8.60I 11.63%NM 10.92%EV -10.06%E -1.17%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.39%EV -5.69%E -1.05%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-23 17:00
NordicBet1.28I 78.13%NM 72.55%EV -7.74%E -6.05%K -27.65%G +0.000%8.59I 11.64%NM 10.81%EV -10.16%E -1.18%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.58I 17.92%NM 16.64%EV -2.55%E -0.457%K -0.557%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-23 16:59
Coral1.35I 74.07%NM 70.62%EV -2.70%E -2.00%K -7.70%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.22%EV -11.10%E -1.31%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.16%EV -8.31%E -1.58%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-23 17:00
Unibet (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.93%EV -4.14%E -3.11%K -12.54%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.10%EV -11.10%E -1.31%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -8.31%E -1.58%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-23 17:00
Everygame1.30I 76.92%NM 71.98%EV -6.30%E -4.85%K -21.00%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.01%EV -11.10%E -1.31%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.01%EV -3.95%E -0.718%K -0.877%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-23 16:59
BoyleSports1.30I 76.92%NM 70.10%EV -6.30%E -4.85%K -21.00%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.72%EV -11.10%E -1.31%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.18%EV -17.04%E -3.59%K -4.55%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-23 16:59
Sky Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 71.58%EV -9.90%E -7.92%K -39.61%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.53%EV -11.10%E -1.31%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.89%EV -12.68%E -2.54%K -3.17%G +0.000%11.8%2026-02-23 17:00
Betclic (FR)1.25I 80.00%NM 70.77%EV -9.90%E -7.92%K -39.61%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.41%EV -11.10%E -1.31%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.82%EV -17.92%E -3.81%K -4.84%G +0.000%13.0%2026-02-23 17:00
Winamax (FR)1.25I 80.00%NM 70.77%EV -9.90%E -7.92%K -39.61%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.41%EV -11.10%E -1.31%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.82%EV -17.92%E -3.81%K -4.84%G +0.000%13.0%2026-02-23 17:00
PMU (FR)1.15I 86.96%NM 72.73%EV -17.11%E -14.88%K -114.07%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 9.84%EV -11.10%E -1.31%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 17.43%EV -16.17%E -3.37%K -4.26%G +0.000%19.6%2026-02-23 16:59
Marathon Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 71.77%EV -6.30%E -4.85%K -21.00%G +0.000%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.11%EV -12.15%E -1.45%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 17.12%EV -4.82%E -0.884%K -1.08%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-23 16:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.13%EV -2.70%E -2.00%K -7.70%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.83%EV -16.33%E -2.04%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.03%EV -8.31%E -1.58%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-23 17:00
Bovada1.29I 77.52%NM 71.64%EV -7.02%E -5.44%K -24.21%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -16.33%E -2.04%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.80%EV -3.95%E -0.718%K -0.877%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-23 16:59
Betway1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -6.30%E -4.85%K -21.00%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -16.33%E -2.04%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -12.68%E -2.54%K -3.17%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-23 17:00
NetBet (FR)1.23I 81.30%NM 71.19%EV -11.34%E -9.22%K -49.33%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 10.94%EV -16.33%E -2.04%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.87%EV -14.42%E -2.94%K -3.70%G +0.000%14.2%2026-02-23 16:57
Parions Sport (FR)1.26I 79.37%NM 70.85%EV -9.18%E -7.29%K -35.32%G +0.000%7.90I 12.66%NM 11.30%EV -17.38%E -2.20%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.85%EV -12.68%E -2.54%K -3.17%G +0.000%12.0%2026-02-23 16:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 69.74%EV -2.70%E -2.00%K -7.70%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.15%EV -18.95%E -2.44%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -9.19%E -1.77%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-23 16:59
Neds1.35I 74.07%NM 69.74%EV -2.70%E -2.00%K -7.70%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.15%EV -18.95%E -2.44%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -9.19%E -1.77%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-23 16:59
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 74.48%11.00I 9.09%NM 9.01%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.51%0.9%2026-02-23 17:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.33I 75.19%NM 74.48%11.00I 9.09%NM 9.01%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.51%0.9%2026-02-23 17:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 74.48%11.00I 9.09%NM 9.01%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.51%0.9%2026-02-23 17:00
Smarkets1.32I 75.76%NM 74.63%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.96%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.42%1.5%2026-02-23 17:00
Matchbook1.32I 75.76%NM 74.63%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.96%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.42%1.5%2026-02-23 17:00