La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Fenerbahce v Kasimpasa SK
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Fenerbahce (Local)
Predicción 72.08%1.39momio equitativo
EV -2.70%
Ventaja -2.00%
Kelly -7.70%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.35
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
69.74%72.23%72.08%74.85%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.151.271.261.3586.96%78.83%79.37%74.07%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Kasimpasa SK (Visitante)
Predicción 10.46%9.56momio equitativo
EV +15.04%
Ventaja +1.37%
Kelly +1.50%
Crecimiento +0.226%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 11.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
8.68%10.38%10.45%12.15%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
7.759.059.0011.0012.90%11.05%11.11%9.09%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 17.46%5.73momio equitativo
EV +4.79%
Ventaja +0.798%
Kelly +0.957%
Crecimiento +0.046%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
15.46%17.40%17.47%19.27%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.505.385.456.0022.22%18.57%18.35%16.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.37%EV -6.30%E -4.85%K -21.00%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV +15.04%E +1.37%K +1.50%G +0.226% | 5.74I 17.42%NM 16.84%EV +0.245%E +0.043%K +0.052%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-02-23 16:59 |
| Coolbet | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.97%EV -7.02%E -5.44%K -24.21%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.68%EV +15.04%E +1.37%K +1.50%G +0.226% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.35%EV -3.95%E -0.718%K -0.877%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-23 16:58 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -9.18%E -7.29%K -35.32%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.43%EV +4.58%E +0.458%K +0.509%G +0.023% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.72%EV +4.79%E +0.798%K +0.957%G +0.046% | 6.0% | 2026-02-23 17:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.90%EV -7.74%E -6.05%K -27.65%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.33%EV +4.58%E +0.458%K +0.509%G +0.023% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.77%EV -8.31%E -1.58%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-23 16:59 |
| SportsBet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.95%EV -9.90%E -7.92%K -39.61%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV +4.58%E +0.458%K +0.509%G +0.023% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -3.95%E -0.718%K -0.877%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-02-23 17:00 |
| BetUS | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.34%EV -8.46%E -6.66%K -31.34%G +0.000% | 9.90I 10.10%NM 9.41%EV +3.54%E +0.357%K +0.398%G +0.014% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.25%EV -5.69%E -1.05%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-23 16:58 |
| GTbets | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.14%EV -5.58%E -4.26%K -18.00%G +0.000% | 9.59I 10.43%NM 9.85%EV +0.296%E +0.031%K +0.034%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.00%EV -8.31%E -1.58%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-23 16:59 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.33%EV -8.46%E -6.66%K -31.34%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.94%EV -0.646%E -0.068%K -0.076%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +4.79%E +0.798%K +0.957%G +0.046% | 5.9% | 2026-02-23 17:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -9.90%E -7.92%K -39.61%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.77%EV -0.646%E -0.068%K -0.076%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.00%EV +1.29%E +0.223%K +0.269%G +0.003% | 7.8% | 2026-02-23 17:00 |
| Unibet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -9.90%E -7.92%K -39.61%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.77%EV -0.646%E -0.068%K -0.076%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.00%EV +1.29%E +0.223%K +0.269%G +0.003% | 7.8% | 2026-02-23 17:00 |
| TABtouch | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -9.90%E -7.92%K -39.61%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.77%EV -0.646%E -0.068%K -0.076%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.00%EV +1.29%E +0.223%K +0.269%G +0.003% | 7.8% | 2026-02-23 17:00 |
| Grosvenor | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -9.90%E -7.92%K -39.61%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.77%EV -0.646%E -0.068%K -0.076%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.00%EV +1.29%E +0.223%K +0.269%G +0.003% | 7.8% | 2026-02-23 17:00 |
| Casumo | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -9.90%E -7.92%K -39.61%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.77%EV -0.646%E -0.068%K -0.076%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.00%EV +1.29%E +0.223%K +0.269%G +0.003% | 7.8% | 2026-02-23 17:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -9.90%E -7.92%K -39.61%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.77%EV -0.646%E -0.068%K -0.076%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.00%EV +1.29%E +0.223%K +0.269%G +0.003% | 7.8% | 2026-02-23 17:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -9.90%E -7.92%K -39.61%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.77%EV -0.646%E -0.068%K -0.076%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.00%EV +1.29%E +0.223%K +0.269%G +0.003% | 7.8% | 2026-02-23 17:00 |
| betPARX | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -9.90%E -7.92%K -39.61%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.77%EV -0.646%E -0.068%K -0.076%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.00%EV +1.29%E +0.223%K +0.269%G +0.003% | 7.8% | 2026-02-23 17:00 |
| BetRivers | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.39%EV -10.62%E -8.57%K -44.27%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.71%EV -0.646%E -0.068%K -0.076%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.90%EV +1.29%E +0.223%K +0.269%G +0.003% | 8.4% | 2026-02-23 16:57 |
| Bet Right | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.06%EV -8.46%E -6.66%K -31.34%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.63%EV -0.646%E -0.068%K -0.076%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -12.68%E -2.54%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-02-23 16:59 |
| LeoVegas | 1.21I 82.64%NM 74.44%EV -12.79%E -10.57%K -60.89%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.48%EV -0.646%E -0.068%K -0.076%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.08%EV -2.20%E -0.393%K -0.478%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-02-23 17:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.21I 82.64%NM 74.44%EV -12.79%E -10.57%K -60.89%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.48%EV -0.646%E -0.068%K -0.076%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.08%EV -2.20%E -0.393%K -0.478%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-02-23 17:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.21I 82.64%NM 74.44%EV -12.79%E -10.57%K -60.89%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.48%EV -0.646%E -0.068%K -0.076%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.08%EV -2.20%E -0.393%K -0.478%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-02-23 17:00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.33%EV -5.58%E -4.26%K -18.00%G +0.000% | 9.13I 10.95%NM 10.52%EV -4.52%E -0.495%K -0.555%G +0.000% | 5.95I 16.81%NM 16.15%EV +3.91%E +0.658%K +0.790%G +0.031% | 4.1% | 2026-02-23 16:59 |
| Fanatics | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.27%EV -5.58%E -4.26%K -18.00%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.52%EV -5.87%E -0.653%K -0.734%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.21%EV -3.95%E -0.718%K -0.877%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-23 17:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -9.90%E -7.92%K -39.61%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.31%EV -5.87%E -0.653%K -0.734%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.46%EV +4.79%E +0.798%K +0.957%G +0.046% | 7.8% | 2026-02-23 17:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -9.90%E -7.92%K -39.61%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.31%EV -5.87%E -0.653%K -0.734%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.46%EV +4.79%E +0.798%K +0.957%G +0.046% | 7.8% | 2026-02-23 17:00 |
| 888sport | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.36%EV -7.02%E -5.44%K -24.21%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.23%EV -5.87%E -0.653%K -0.734%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.41%EV -12.68%E -2.54%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-23 16:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.36%EV -7.02%E -5.44%K -24.21%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.23%EV -5.87%E -0.653%K -0.734%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.41%EV -12.68%E -2.54%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-23 16:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.36%EV -7.02%E -5.44%K -24.21%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.23%EV -5.87%E -0.653%K -0.734%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.41%EV -12.68%E -2.54%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-23 16:59 |
| FanDuel | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.57%EV -10.62%E -8.57%K -44.27%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.14%EV -5.87%E -0.653%K -0.734%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.29%EV -2.20%E -0.393%K -0.478%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-02-23 16:59 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 71.84%EV -9.18%E -7.29%K -35.32%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.06%EV -5.87%E -0.653%K -0.734%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -12.68%E -2.54%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-02-23 17:00 |
| Paddy Power | 1.22I 81.97%NM 72.49%EV -12.07%E -9.89%K -54.84%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.83%EV -5.87%E -0.653%K -0.734%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.69%EV -12.68%E -2.54%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-02-23 17:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 71.09%EV -12.07%E -9.89%K -54.84%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.64%EV -5.87%E -0.653%K -0.734%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.27%EV -21.41%E -4.76%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 15.3% | 2026-02-23 17:00 |
| Fliff | 1.20I 83.33%NM 72.53%EV -13.51%E -11.26%K -67.54%G +0.000% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 9.89%EV -7.97%E -0.905%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 17.58%EV -13.55%E -2.74%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-02-23 17:00 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.69%EV -5.58%E -4.26%K -18.00%G +0.000% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 10.92%EV -10.06%E -1.17%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.39%EV -5.69%E -1.05%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-23 17:00 |
| NordicBet | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.55%EV -7.74%E -6.05%K -27.65%G +0.000% | 8.59I 11.64%NM 10.81%EV -10.16%E -1.18%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.58I 17.92%NM 16.64%EV -2.55%E -0.457%K -0.557%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-23 16:59 |
| Coral | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.62%EV -2.70%E -2.00%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.22%EV -11.10%E -1.31%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.16%EV -8.31%E -1.58%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-23 17:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.93%EV -4.14%E -3.11%K -12.54%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.10%EV -11.10%E -1.31%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -8.31%E -1.58%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-23 17:00 |
| Everygame | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.98%EV -6.30%E -4.85%K -21.00%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.01%EV -11.10%E -1.31%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.01%EV -3.95%E -0.718%K -0.877%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-23 16:59 |
| BoyleSports | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.10%EV -6.30%E -4.85%K -21.00%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.72%EV -11.10%E -1.31%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.18%EV -17.04%E -3.59%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-02-23 16:59 |
| Sky Bet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.58%EV -9.90%E -7.92%K -39.61%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.53%EV -11.10%E -1.31%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.89%EV -12.68%E -2.54%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-02-23 17:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 70.77%EV -9.90%E -7.92%K -39.61%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.41%EV -11.10%E -1.31%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.82%EV -17.92%E -3.81%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-02-23 17:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 70.77%EV -9.90%E -7.92%K -39.61%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.41%EV -11.10%E -1.31%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.82%EV -17.92%E -3.81%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-02-23 17:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.15I 86.96%NM 72.73%EV -17.11%E -14.88%K -114.07%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 9.84%EV -11.10%E -1.31%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 17.43%EV -16.17%E -3.37%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 19.6% | 2026-02-23 16:59 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.77%EV -6.30%E -4.85%K -21.00%G +0.000% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.11%EV -12.15%E -1.45%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 5.45I 18.35%NM 17.12%EV -4.82%E -0.884%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-23 16:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.13%EV -2.70%E -2.00%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.83%EV -16.33%E -2.04%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.03%EV -8.31%E -1.58%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-23 17:00 |
| Bovada | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.64%EV -7.02%E -5.44%K -24.21%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -16.33%E -2.04%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.80%EV -3.95%E -0.718%K -0.877%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-02-23 16:59 |
| Betway | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -6.30%E -4.85%K -21.00%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -16.33%E -2.04%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -12.68%E -2.54%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-02-23 17:00 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.23I 81.30%NM 71.19%EV -11.34%E -9.22%K -49.33%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 10.94%EV -16.33%E -2.04%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 17.87%EV -14.42%E -2.94%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-02-23 16:57 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 70.85%EV -9.18%E -7.29%K -35.32%G +0.000% | 7.90I 12.66%NM 11.30%EV -17.38%E -2.20%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.85%EV -12.68%E -2.54%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-02-23 16:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.74%EV -2.70%E -2.00%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.15%EV -18.95%E -2.44%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -9.19%E -1.77%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-23 16:59 |
| Neds | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.74%EV -2.70%E -2.00%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.15%EV -18.95%E -2.44%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -9.19%E -1.77%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-23 16:59 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.48% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.01% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.51% | 0.9% | 2026-02-23 17:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.48% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.01% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.51% | 0.9% | 2026-02-23 17:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.48% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 9.01% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.51% | 0.9% | 2026-02-23 17:00 |
| Smarkets | 1.32I 75.76%NM 74.63% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.96% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.42% | 1.5% | 2026-02-23 17:00 |
| Matchbook | 1.32I 75.76%NM 74.63% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.96% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.42% | 1.5% | 2026-02-23 17:00 |