مدرسة الاحتمالات

Fenerbahce v Kasimpasa SK

البداية: 2026-02-23 17:02 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

51 شركة مراهنات (17 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Fenerbahce (المضيف)

التنبؤ 72.08%1.39السعر العادل
EV -2.70%
الأفضلية -2.00%
Kelly -7.70%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.35

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
69.74%72.23%72.08%74.85%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.151.271.261.3586.96%78.83%79.37%74.07%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Kasimpasa SK (الضيف)

التنبؤ 10.46%9.56السعر العادل
EV +15.04%
الأفضلية +1.37%
Kelly +1.50%
النمو +0.226%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 11.00

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
8.68%10.38%10.45%12.15%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
7.759.059.0011.0012.90%11.05%11.11%9.09%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 17.46%5.73السعر العادل
EV +4.79%
الأفضلية +0.798%
Kelly +0.957%
النمو +0.046%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 6.00

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
15.46%17.40%17.47%19.27%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.505.385.456.0022.22%18.57%18.35%16.67%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (51 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
1xBet1.30I 76.92%NM 74.37%EV -6.30%E -4.85%K -21.00%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV +15.04%E +1.37%K +1.50%G +0.226%5.74I 17.42%NM 16.84%EV +0.245%E +0.043%K +0.052%G +0.000%3.4%2026-02-23 16:59
Coolbet1.29I 77.52%NM 73.97%EV -7.02%E -5.44%K -24.21%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.68%EV +15.04%E +1.37%K +1.50%G +0.226%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.35%EV -3.95%E -0.718%K -0.877%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-23 16:58
ATG (SE)1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -9.18%E -7.29%K -35.32%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.43%EV +4.58%E +0.458%K +0.509%G +0.023%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.72%EV +4.79%E +0.798%K +0.957%G +0.046%6.0%2026-02-23 17:00
PointsBet (AU)1.28I 78.13%NM 72.90%EV -7.74%E -6.05%K -27.65%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.33%EV +4.58%E +0.458%K +0.509%G +0.023%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.77%EV -8.31%E -1.58%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-23 16:59
SportsBet1.25I 80.00%NM 73.95%EV -9.90%E -7.92%K -39.61%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV +4.58%E +0.458%K +0.509%G +0.023%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -3.95%E -0.718%K -0.877%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-23 17:00
BetUS1.27I 78.74%NM 73.34%EV -8.46%E -6.66%K -31.34%G +0.000%9.90I 10.10%NM 9.41%EV +3.54%E +0.357%K +0.398%G +0.014%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.25%EV -5.69%E -1.05%K -1.29%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-23 16:58
GTbets1.31I 76.34%NM 72.14%EV -5.58%E -4.26%K -18.00%G +0.000%9.59I 10.43%NM 9.85%EV +0.296%E +0.031%K +0.034%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.00%EV -8.31%E -1.58%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-23 16:59
Tipico (DE)1.27I 78.74%NM 74.33%EV -8.46%E -6.66%K -31.34%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.94%EV -0.646%E -0.068%K -0.076%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +4.79%E +0.798%K +0.957%G +0.046%5.9%2026-02-23 17:00
Unibet (NL)1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -9.90%E -7.92%K -39.61%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.77%EV -0.646%E -0.068%K -0.076%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.00%EV +1.29%E +0.223%K +0.269%G +0.003%7.8%2026-02-23 17:00
Unibet1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -9.90%E -7.92%K -39.61%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.77%EV -0.646%E -0.068%K -0.076%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.00%EV +1.29%E +0.223%K +0.269%G +0.003%7.8%2026-02-23 17:00
TABtouch1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -9.90%E -7.92%K -39.61%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.77%EV -0.646%E -0.068%K -0.076%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.00%EV +1.29%E +0.223%K +0.269%G +0.003%7.8%2026-02-23 17:00
Grosvenor1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -9.90%E -7.92%K -39.61%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.77%EV -0.646%E -0.068%K -0.076%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.00%EV +1.29%E +0.223%K +0.269%G +0.003%7.8%2026-02-23 17:00
Casumo1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -9.90%E -7.92%K -39.61%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.77%EV -0.646%E -0.068%K -0.076%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.00%EV +1.29%E +0.223%K +0.269%G +0.003%7.8%2026-02-23 17:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -9.90%E -7.92%K -39.61%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.77%EV -0.646%E -0.068%K -0.076%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.00%EV +1.29%E +0.223%K +0.269%G +0.003%7.8%2026-02-23 17:00
Unibet (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -9.90%E -7.92%K -39.61%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.77%EV -0.646%E -0.068%K -0.076%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.00%EV +1.29%E +0.223%K +0.269%G +0.003%7.8%2026-02-23 17:00
betPARX1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -9.90%E -7.92%K -39.61%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.77%EV -0.646%E -0.068%K -0.076%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.00%EV +1.29%E +0.223%K +0.269%G +0.003%7.8%2026-02-23 17:00
BetRivers1.24I 80.65%NM 74.39%EV -10.62%E -8.57%K -44.27%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.71%EV -0.646%E -0.068%K -0.076%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.90%EV +1.29%E +0.223%K +0.269%G +0.003%8.4%2026-02-23 16:57
Bet Right1.27I 78.74%NM 72.06%EV -8.46%E -6.66%K -31.34%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.63%EV -0.646%E -0.068%K -0.076%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -12.68%E -2.54%K -3.17%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-23 16:59
LeoVegas1.21I 82.64%NM 74.44%EV -12.79%E -10.57%K -60.89%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.48%EV -0.646%E -0.068%K -0.076%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.08%EV -2.20%E -0.393%K -0.478%G +0.000%11.0%2026-02-23 17:00
LiveScore Bet1.21I 82.64%NM 74.44%EV -12.79%E -10.57%K -60.89%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.48%EV -0.646%E -0.068%K -0.076%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.08%EV -2.20%E -0.393%K -0.478%G +0.000%11.0%2026-02-23 17:00
Virgin Bet1.21I 82.64%NM 74.44%EV -12.79%E -10.57%K -60.89%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.48%EV -0.646%E -0.068%K -0.076%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.08%EV -2.20%E -0.393%K -0.478%G +0.000%11.0%2026-02-23 17:00
Pinnacle1.31I 76.34%NM 73.33%EV -5.58%E -4.26%K -18.00%G +0.000%9.13I 10.95%NM 10.52%EV -4.52%E -0.495%K -0.555%G +0.000%5.95I 16.81%NM 16.15%EV +3.91%E +0.658%K +0.790%G +0.031%4.1%2026-02-23 16:59
Fanatics1.31I 76.34%NM 72.27%EV -5.58%E -4.26%K -18.00%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.52%EV -5.87%E -0.653%K -0.734%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.21%EV -3.95%E -0.718%K -0.877%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-23 17:00
LowVig.ag1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -9.90%E -7.92%K -39.61%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.31%EV -5.87%E -0.653%K -0.734%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.46%EV +4.79%E +0.798%K +0.957%G +0.046%7.8%2026-02-23 17:00
BetOnline.ag1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -9.90%E -7.92%K -39.61%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.31%EV -5.87%E -0.653%K -0.734%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.46%EV +4.79%E +0.798%K +0.957%G +0.046%7.8%2026-02-23 17:00
888sport1.29I 77.52%NM 71.36%EV -7.02%E -5.44%K -24.21%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.23%EV -5.87%E -0.653%K -0.734%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.41%EV -12.68%E -2.54%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-23 16:59
888sport (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 71.36%EV -7.02%E -5.44%K -24.21%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.23%EV -5.87%E -0.653%K -0.734%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.41%EV -12.68%E -2.54%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-23 16:59
Mr Green (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 71.36%EV -7.02%E -5.44%K -24.21%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.23%EV -5.87%E -0.653%K -0.734%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.41%EV -12.68%E -2.54%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-23 16:59
FanDuel1.24I 80.65%NM 73.57%EV -10.62%E -8.57%K -44.27%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.14%EV -5.87%E -0.653%K -0.734%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.29%EV -2.20%E -0.393%K -0.478%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-23 16:59
Winamax (DE)1.26I 79.37%NM 71.84%EV -9.18%E -7.29%K -35.32%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.06%EV -5.87%E -0.653%K -0.734%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -12.68%E -2.54%K -3.17%G +0.000%10.5%2026-02-23 17:00
Paddy Power1.22I 81.97%NM 72.49%EV -12.07%E -9.89%K -54.84%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.83%EV -5.87%E -0.653%K -0.734%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.69%EV -12.68%E -2.54%K -3.17%G +0.000%13.1%2026-02-23 17:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.22I 81.97%NM 71.09%EV -12.07%E -9.89%K -54.84%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.64%EV -5.87%E -0.653%K -0.734%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.27%EV -21.41%E -4.76%K -6.12%G +0.000%15.3%2026-02-23 17:00
Fliff1.20I 83.33%NM 72.53%EV -13.51%E -11.26%K -67.54%G +0.000%8.80I 11.36%NM 9.89%EV -7.97%E -0.905%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 17.58%EV -13.55%E -2.74%K -3.43%G +0.000%14.9%2026-02-23 17:00
Codere (IT)1.31I 76.34%NM 71.69%EV -5.58%E -4.26%K -18.00%G +0.000%8.60I 11.63%NM 10.92%EV -10.06%E -1.17%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.39%EV -5.69%E -1.05%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-23 17:00
NordicBet1.28I 78.13%NM 72.55%EV -7.74%E -6.05%K -27.65%G +0.000%8.59I 11.64%NM 10.81%EV -10.16%E -1.18%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.58I 17.92%NM 16.64%EV -2.55%E -0.457%K -0.557%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-23 16:59
Coral1.35I 74.07%NM 70.62%EV -2.70%E -2.00%K -7.70%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.22%EV -11.10%E -1.31%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.16%EV -8.31%E -1.58%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-23 17:00
Unibet (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.93%EV -4.14%E -3.11%K -12.54%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.10%EV -11.10%E -1.31%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -8.31%E -1.58%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-23 17:00
Everygame1.30I 76.92%NM 71.98%EV -6.30%E -4.85%K -21.00%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.01%EV -11.10%E -1.31%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.01%EV -3.95%E -0.718%K -0.877%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-23 16:59
BoyleSports1.30I 76.92%NM 70.10%EV -6.30%E -4.85%K -21.00%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.72%EV -11.10%E -1.31%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.18%EV -17.04%E -3.59%K -4.55%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-23 16:59
Sky Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 71.58%EV -9.90%E -7.92%K -39.61%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.53%EV -11.10%E -1.31%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.89%EV -12.68%E -2.54%K -3.17%G +0.000%11.8%2026-02-23 17:00
Betclic (FR)1.25I 80.00%NM 70.77%EV -9.90%E -7.92%K -39.61%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.41%EV -11.10%E -1.31%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.82%EV -17.92%E -3.81%K -4.84%G +0.000%13.0%2026-02-23 17:00
Winamax (FR)1.25I 80.00%NM 70.77%EV -9.90%E -7.92%K -39.61%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.41%EV -11.10%E -1.31%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.82%EV -17.92%E -3.81%K -4.84%G +0.000%13.0%2026-02-23 17:00
PMU (FR)1.15I 86.96%NM 72.73%EV -17.11%E -14.88%K -114.07%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 9.84%EV -11.10%E -1.31%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 17.43%EV -16.17%E -3.37%K -4.26%G +0.000%19.6%2026-02-23 16:59
Marathon Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 71.77%EV -6.30%E -4.85%K -21.00%G +0.000%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.11%EV -12.15%E -1.45%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 17.12%EV -4.82%E -0.884%K -1.08%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-23 16:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.13%EV -2.70%E -2.00%K -7.70%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.83%EV -16.33%E -2.04%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.03%EV -8.31%E -1.58%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-23 17:00
Bovada1.29I 77.52%NM 71.64%EV -7.02%E -5.44%K -24.21%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -16.33%E -2.04%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.80%EV -3.95%E -0.718%K -0.877%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-23 16:59
Betway1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -6.30%E -4.85%K -21.00%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -16.33%E -2.04%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -12.68%E -2.54%K -3.17%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-23 17:00
NetBet (FR)1.23I 81.30%NM 71.19%EV -11.34%E -9.22%K -49.33%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 10.94%EV -16.33%E -2.04%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.87%EV -14.42%E -2.94%K -3.70%G +0.000%14.2%2026-02-23 16:57
Parions Sport (FR)1.26I 79.37%NM 70.85%EV -9.18%E -7.29%K -35.32%G +0.000%7.90I 12.66%NM 11.30%EV -17.38%E -2.20%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.85%EV -12.68%E -2.54%K -3.17%G +0.000%12.0%2026-02-23 16:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 69.74%EV -2.70%E -2.00%K -7.70%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.15%EV -18.95%E -2.44%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -9.19%E -1.77%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-23 16:59
Neds1.35I 74.07%NM 69.74%EV -2.70%E -2.00%K -7.70%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.15%EV -18.95%E -2.44%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.11%EV -9.19%E -1.77%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-23 16:59
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 74.48%11.00I 9.09%NM 9.01%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.51%0.9%2026-02-23 17:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.33I 75.19%NM 74.48%11.00I 9.09%NM 9.01%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.51%0.9%2026-02-23 17:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 74.48%11.00I 9.09%NM 9.01%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.51%0.9%2026-02-23 17:00
Smarkets1.32I 75.76%NM 74.63%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.96%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.42%1.5%2026-02-23 17:00
Matchbook1.32I 75.76%NM 74.63%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.96%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.42%1.5%2026-02-23 17:00