Language:English
Fenerbahce v Gazişehir Gaziantep
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Fenerbahce (Local)
Prediction 73.26%1.36fair odd
EV -4.76%
Edge -3.66%
Kelly -15.86%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
71.09%73.30%73.25%75.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.141.261.271.3087.72%79.28%78.74%76.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Gazişehir Gaziantep (Visit)
Prediction 10.27%9.73fair odd
EV +8.28%
Edge +0.785%
Kelly +0.868%
Growth +0.072%
assuming max odds 10.54
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
8.82%10.36%10.30%12.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
7.259.009.0010.5413.79%11.11%11.11%9.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 16.46%6.07fair odd
EV +10.96%
Edge +1.63%
Kelly +1.91%
Growth +0.209%
assuming max odds 6.74
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.36%16.34%16.45%19.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.505.635.576.7422.22%17.75%17.94%14.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Fenerbahce (Local): 73.26%; Gazişehir Gaziantep (Visit): 10.27%; Draw: 16.46%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.07. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.74, corresponding to a positive expected value of +10.96%.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.44%EV -4.76%E -3.66%K -15.86%G +0.000% | 8.64I 11.57%NM 11.20%EV -11.24%E -1.30%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 6.74I 14.84%NM 14.36%EV +10.96%E +1.63%K +1.91%G +0.209% | 3.3% | 2026-03-17 16:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.54%EV -8.42%E -6.74%K -33.68%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.94%EV -2.41%E -0.253%K -0.283%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV +7.01%E +1.08%K +1.27%G +0.089% | 5.9% | 2026-03-17 16:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.88%EV -5.49%E -4.26%K -18.93%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.66%EV +2.73%E +0.273%K +0.303%G +0.008% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.46%EV +2.90%E +0.463%K +0.552%G +0.016% | 3.5% | 2026-03-17 16:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.88%EV -5.49%E -4.26%K -18.93%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.66%EV +2.73%E +0.273%K +0.303%G +0.008% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.46%EV +2.90%E +0.463%K +0.552%G +0.016% | 3.5% | 2026-03-17 16:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.84%EV -5.49%E -4.26%K -18.93%G +0.000% | 10.01I 9.99%NM 9.64%EV +2.83%E +0.283%K +0.314%G +0.009% | 6.22I 16.08%NM 15.52%EV +2.40%E +0.386%K +0.460%G +0.011% | 3.6% | 2026-03-17 16:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.38%EV -9.15%E -7.38%K -38.14%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.25%EV -7.54%E -0.838%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -1.22%E -0.203%K -0.244%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-17 16:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.09%EV -10.62%E -8.70%K -48.27%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.64%EV -2.41%E -0.253%K -0.283%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -1.22%E -0.203%K -0.244%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-17 16:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.00%EV -12.08%E -10.07%K -60.42%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV -7.54%E -0.838%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -1.22%E -0.203%K -0.244%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-17 16:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.67%EV -6.96%E -5.48%K -25.76%G +0.000% | 9.05I 11.05%NM 10.34%EV -7.03%E -0.777%K -0.873%G +0.000% | 5.85I 17.09%NM 15.99%EV -3.69%E -0.631%K -0.761%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-17 16:55 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.71%EV -4.76%E -3.66%K -15.86%G +0.000% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 10.99%EV -11.65%E -1.35%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.30%EV -4.51%E -0.778%K -0.940%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-17 16:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.03%EV -6.96%E -5.48%K -25.76%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -22.95%E -3.06%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.77%EV -4.51%E -0.778%K -0.940%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-17 16:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -5.49%E -4.26%K -18.93%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.53%EV +2.73%E +0.273%K +0.303%G +0.008% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.58%EV -5.34%E -0.928%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-17 16:49 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.12%EV -5.49%E -4.26%K -18.93%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.48%EV -7.54%E -0.838%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.40%EV -5.34%E -0.928%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-17 16:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.51%EV -4.76%E -3.66%K -15.86%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -12.68%E -1.49%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -5.34%E -0.928%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-17 16:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.51%EV -4.76%E -3.66%K -15.86%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -12.68%E -1.49%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -5.34%E -0.928%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-17 16:45 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.27%EV -6.22%E -4.86%K -22.22%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.42%EV -7.54%E -0.838%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.31%EV -5.34%E -0.928%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-17 16:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 73.36%EV -7.69%E -6.10%K -29.57%G +0.000% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.56%EV -10.11%E -1.16%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.08%EV -5.34%E -0.928%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-17 16:53 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.29%EV -8.42%E -6.74%K -33.68%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.78%EV -12.68%E -1.49%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.93%EV -5.34%E -0.928%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-17 16:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.29%EV -8.42%E -6.74%K -33.68%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.78%EV -12.68%E -1.49%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.93%EV -5.34%E -0.928%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-17 16:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.29%EV -8.42%E -6.74%K -33.68%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.78%EV -12.68%E -1.49%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.93%EV -5.34%E -0.928%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-17 16:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.02%EV -7.69%E -6.10%K -29.57%G +0.000% | 9.70I 10.31%NM 9.62%EV -0.351%E -0.036%K -0.040%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.36%EV -6.16%E -1.08%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-17 16:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.72%EV -6.22%E -4.86%K -22.22%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.44%EV +2.73%E +0.273%K +0.303%G +0.008% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.85%EV -7.81%E -1.39%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-17 16:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.72%EV -6.22%E -4.86%K -22.22%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.44%EV +2.73%E +0.273%K +0.303%G +0.008% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.85%EV -7.81%E -1.39%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-17 16:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.96%EV -4.76%E -3.66%K -15.86%G +0.000% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.34%EV -15.25%E -1.85%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.70%EV -7.81%E -1.39%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-17 16:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.96%EV -4.76%E -3.66%K -15.86%G +0.000% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.34%EV -15.25%E -1.85%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.70%EV -7.81%E -1.39%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-17 16:45 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.65%EV -8.42%E -6.74%K -33.68%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.35%EV -25.52%E -3.52%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 15.99%EV -7.81%E -1.39%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-03-17 16:50 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 72.79%EV -9.15%E -7.38%K -38.14%G +0.000% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 10.94%EV -15.25%E -1.85%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 5.55I 18.02%NM 16.26%EV -8.63%E -1.55%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-03-17 16:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.39%EV -8.42%E -6.74%K -33.68%G +0.000% | 10.54I 9.49%NM 8.82%EV +8.28%E +0.785%K +0.868%G +0.072% | 5.54I 18.05%NM 16.79%EV -8.79%E -1.59%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-17 16:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.39%EV -8.42%E -6.74%K -33.68%G +0.000% | 10.54I 9.49%NM 8.82%EV +8.28%E +0.785%K +0.868%G +0.072% | 5.54I 18.05%NM 16.79%EV -8.79%E -1.59%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-17 16:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.73%EV -6.22%E -4.86%K -22.22%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.34%EV -7.54%E -0.838%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.93%EV -9.45%E -1.72%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-17 16:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.28%EV -6.96%E -5.48%K -25.76%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.80%EV -2.41%E -0.253%K -0.283%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -9.45%E -1.72%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-17 16:44 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.28%EV -6.96%E -5.48%K -25.76%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.80%EV -2.41%E -0.253%K -0.283%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -9.45%E -1.72%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-17 16:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.28%EV -6.96%E -5.48%K -25.76%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.80%EV -2.41%E -0.253%K -0.283%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -9.45%E -1.72%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-17 16:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.28%EV -6.96%E -5.48%K -25.76%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.80%EV -2.41%E -0.253%K -0.283%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -9.45%E -1.72%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-17 16:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.28%EV -6.96%E -5.48%K -25.76%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.80%EV -2.41%E -0.253%K -0.283%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -9.45%E -1.72%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-17 16:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.28%EV -6.96%E -5.48%K -25.76%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.80%EV -2.41%E -0.253%K -0.283%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -9.45%E -1.72%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-17 16:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.28%EV -6.96%E -5.48%K -25.76%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.80%EV -2.41%E -0.253%K -0.283%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -9.45%E -1.72%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-17 16:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.28%EV -6.96%E -5.48%K -25.76%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.80%EV -2.41%E -0.253%K -0.283%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -9.45%E -1.72%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-17 16:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.28%EV -6.96%E -5.48%K -25.76%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.80%EV -2.41%E -0.253%K -0.283%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -9.45%E -1.72%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-17 16:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.13%EV -5.49%E -4.26%K -18.93%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -12.68%E -1.49%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -9.45%E -1.72%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-17 16:39 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 72.76%EV -10.62%E -8.70%K -48.27%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.10%EV -17.82%E -2.23%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -9.45%E -1.72%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-03-17 16:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 74.09%EV -16.48%E -14.46%K -117.71%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 10.56%EV -17.82%E -2.23%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.36%EV -9.45%E -1.72%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 18.4% | 2026-03-17 16:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 73.21%EV -7.69%E -6.10%K -29.57%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.71%EV -2.41%E -0.253%K -0.283%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.08%EV -11.10%E -2.06%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-17 16:45 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 71.79%EV -9.15%E -7.38%K -38.14%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 11.41%EV -19.87%E -2.55%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.80%EV -12.74%E -2.40%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-03-17 16:50 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 72.23%EV -11.35%E -9.38%K -54.05%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 11.28%EV -20.38%E -2.63%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.49%EV -12.74%E -2.40%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-03-17 16:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.56%EV -5.49%E -4.26%K -18.93%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV -12.68%E -1.49%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.58%EV -13.57%E -2.58%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-17 16:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.31%EV -6.96%E -5.48%K -25.76%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.20%EV -7.54%E -0.838%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.49%EV -13.57%E -2.58%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-17 16:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 72.94%EV -9.89%E -8.04%K -42.98%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.97%EV -7.54%E -0.838%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.09%EV -13.57%E -2.58%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-03-17 16:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 72.94%EV -9.89%E -8.04%K -42.98%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.97%EV -7.54%E -0.838%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.09%EV -13.57%E -2.58%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-03-17 16:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 72.94%EV -9.89%E -8.04%K -42.98%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.97%EV -7.54%E -0.838%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.09%EV -13.57%E -2.58%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-03-17 16:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.46%EV -8.42%E -6.74%K -33.68%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 11.53%EV -20.38%E -2.63%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.01%EV -13.57%E -2.58%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-17 16:49 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 71.09%EV -10.62%E -8.70%K -48.27%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.64%EV -7.54%E -0.838%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.27%EV -25.92%E -5.76%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 15.3% | 2026-03-17 16:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.31I 76.34%NM 76.23% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.51% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.26% | 0.1% | 2026-03-17 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.67% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.67% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.66% | 0.3% | 2026-03-17 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.67% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.67% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.66% | 0.3% | 2026-03-17 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.67% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.67% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.66% | 0.3% | 2026-03-17 16:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.67% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.67% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.66% | 0.3% | 2026-03-17 16:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.76% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.70% | 6.67I 14.99%NM 14.54% | 3.1% | 2026-03-17 16:45 |