L’École des cotes

Fenerbahce v Gazişehir Gaziantep

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-17 17:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Fenerbahce (Local)

Prévision 73.26%1.36cote équitable
EV -4.76%
Avantage -3.66%
Kelly -15.86%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
71.09%73.30%73.25%75.54%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.141.261.271.3087.72%79.28%78.74%76.92%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Gazişehir Gaziantep (Visiteur)

Prévision 10.27%9.73cote équitable
EV +8.28%
Avantage +0.785%
Kelly +0.868%
Croissance +0.072%

avec la cote maximale 10.54

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
8.82%10.36%10.30%12.35%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
7.259.009.0010.5413.79%11.11%11.11%9.49%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 16.46%6.07cote équitable
EV +10.96%
Avantage +1.63%
Kelly +1.91%
Croissance +0.209%

avec la cote maximale 6.74

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
14.36%16.34%16.45%19.27%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.505.635.576.7422.22%17.75%17.94%14.84%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nul ▼MargeMise à jour
1xBet1.30I 76.92%NM 74.44%EV -4.76%E -3.66%K -15.86%G +0.000%8.64I 11.57%NM 11.20%EV -11.24%E -1.30%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.74I 14.84%NM 14.36%EV +10.96%E +1.63%K +1.91%G +0.209%3.3%2026-03-17 16:55
Tipico (DE)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.54%EV -8.42%E -6.74%K -33.68%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.94%EV -2.41%E -0.253%K -0.283%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV +7.01%E +1.08%K +1.27%G +0.089%5.9%2026-03-17 16:45
LowVig.ag1.29I 77.52%NM 74.88%EV -5.49%E -4.26%K -18.93%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.66%EV +2.73%E +0.273%K +0.303%G +0.008%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.46%EV +2.90%E +0.463%K +0.552%G +0.016%3.5%2026-03-17 16:40
BetOnline.ag1.29I 77.52%NM 74.88%EV -5.49%E -4.26%K -18.93%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.66%EV +2.73%E +0.273%K +0.303%G +0.008%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.46%EV +2.90%E +0.463%K +0.552%G +0.016%3.5%2026-03-17 16:40
Pinnacle1.29I 77.52%NM 74.84%EV -5.49%E -4.26%K -18.93%G +0.000%10.01I 9.99%NM 9.64%EV +2.83%E +0.283%K +0.314%G +0.009%6.22I 16.08%NM 15.52%EV +2.40%E +0.386%K +0.460%G +0.011%3.6%2026-03-17 16:55
FanDuel1.24I 80.65%NM 74.38%EV -9.15%E -7.38%K -38.14%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.25%EV -7.54%E -0.838%K -0.943%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -1.22%E -0.203%K -0.244%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-17 16:50
SportsBet1.22I 81.97%NM 75.09%EV -10.62%E -8.70%K -48.27%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.64%EV -2.41%E -0.253%K -0.283%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -1.22%E -0.203%K -0.244%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-17 16:49
Paddy Power1.20I 83.33%NM 75.00%EV -12.08%E -10.07%K -60.42%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV -7.54%E -0.838%K -0.943%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -1.22%E -0.203%K -0.244%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-17 16:50
BetUS1.27I 78.74%NM 73.67%EV -6.96%E -5.48%K -25.76%G +0.000%9.05I 11.05%NM 10.34%EV -7.03%E -0.777%K -0.873%G +0.000%5.85I 17.09%NM 15.99%EV -3.69%E -0.631%K -0.761%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-17 16:55
Codere (IT)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.71%EV -4.76%E -3.66%K -15.86%G +0.000%8.60I 11.63%NM 10.99%EV -11.65%E -1.35%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.30%EV -4.51%E -0.778%K -0.940%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-17 16:50
Winamax (DE)1.27I 78.74%NM 72.03%EV -6.96%E -5.48%K -25.76%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -22.95%E -3.06%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.77%EV -4.51%E -0.778%K -0.940%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-17 16:50
Coolbet1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -5.49%E -4.26%K -18.93%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.53%EV +2.73%E +0.273%K +0.303%G +0.008%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.58%EV -5.34%E -0.928%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-17 16:49
Fanatics1.29I 77.52%NM 73.12%EV -5.49%E -4.26%K -18.93%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.48%EV -7.54%E -0.838%K -0.943%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.40%EV -5.34%E -0.928%K -1.12%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-17 16:45
Ladbrokes (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.51%EV -4.76%E -3.66%K -15.86%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -12.68%E -1.49%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -5.34%E -0.928%K -1.12%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-17 16:50
Coral1.30I 76.92%NM 72.51%EV -4.76%E -3.66%K -15.86%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -12.68%E -1.49%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -5.34%E -0.928%K -1.12%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-17 16:45
Everygame1.28I 78.13%NM 73.27%EV -6.22%E -4.86%K -22.22%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.42%EV -7.54%E -0.838%K -0.943%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.31%EV -5.34%E -0.928%K -1.12%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-17 16:40
Bovada1.26I 79.37%NM 73.36%EV -7.69%E -6.10%K -29.57%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.56%EV -10.11%E -1.16%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.08%EV -5.34%E -0.928%K -1.12%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-17 16:53
888sport1.25I 80.00%NM 73.29%EV -8.42%E -6.74%K -33.68%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.78%EV -12.68%E -1.49%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.93%EV -5.34%E -0.928%K -1.12%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-17 16:55
888sport (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 73.29%EV -8.42%E -6.74%K -33.68%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.78%EV -12.68%E -1.49%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.93%EV -5.34%E -0.928%K -1.12%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-17 16:55
Mr Green (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 73.29%EV -8.42%E -6.74%K -33.68%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.78%EV -12.68%E -1.49%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.93%EV -5.34%E -0.928%K -1.12%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-17 16:55
Marathon Bet1.26I 79.37%NM 74.02%EV -7.69%E -6.10%K -29.57%G +0.000%9.70I 10.31%NM 9.62%EV -0.351%E -0.036%K -0.040%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.36%EV -6.16%E -1.08%K -1.31%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-17 16:40
ATG (SE)1.28I 78.13%NM 73.72%EV -6.22%E -4.86%K -22.22%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.44%EV +2.73%E +0.273%K +0.303%G +0.008%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.85%EV -7.81%E -1.39%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-17 16:45
Svenska Spel1.28I 78.13%NM 73.72%EV -6.22%E -4.86%K -22.22%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.44%EV +2.73%E +0.273%K +0.303%G +0.008%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.85%EV -7.81%E -1.39%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-17 16:45
Neds1.30I 76.92%NM 71.96%EV -4.76%E -3.66%K -15.86%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.34%EV -15.25%E -1.85%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.70%EV -7.81%E -1.39%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-17 16:45
Ladbrokes (AU)1.30I 76.92%NM 71.96%EV -4.76%E -3.66%K -15.86%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.34%EV -15.25%E -1.85%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.70%EV -7.81%E -1.39%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-17 16:45
Winamax (FR)1.25I 80.00%NM 71.65%EV -8.42%E -6.74%K -33.68%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.35%EV -25.52%E -3.52%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.99%EV -7.81%E -1.39%K -1.70%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-17 16:50
Fliff1.24I 80.65%NM 72.79%EV -9.15%E -7.38%K -38.14%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 10.94%EV -15.25%E -1.85%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.55I 18.02%NM 16.26%EV -8.63%E -1.55%K -1.90%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-17 16:55
Betsson1.25I 80.00%NM 74.39%EV -8.42%E -6.74%K -33.68%G +0.000%10.54I 9.49%NM 8.82%EV +8.28%E +0.785%K +0.868%G +0.072%5.54I 18.05%NM 16.79%EV -8.79%E -1.59%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-17 16:55
NordicBet1.25I 80.00%NM 74.39%EV -8.42%E -6.74%K -33.68%G +0.000%10.54I 9.49%NM 8.82%EV +8.28%E +0.785%K +0.868%G +0.072%5.54I 18.05%NM 16.79%EV -8.79%E -1.59%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-17 16:55
PointsBet (AU)1.28I 78.13%NM 72.73%EV -6.22%E -4.86%K -22.22%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.34%EV -7.54%E -0.838%K -0.943%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.93%EV -9.45%E -1.72%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-17 16:50
Unibet1.27I 78.74%NM 73.28%EV -6.96%E -5.48%K -25.76%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.80%EV -2.41%E -0.253%K -0.283%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -9.45%E -1.72%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-17 16:44
Unibet (SE)1.27I 78.74%NM 73.28%EV -6.96%E -5.48%K -25.76%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.80%EV -2.41%E -0.253%K -0.283%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -9.45%E -1.72%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-17 16:45
Unibet (NL)1.27I 78.74%NM 73.28%EV -6.96%E -5.48%K -25.76%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.80%EV -2.41%E -0.253%K -0.283%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -9.45%E -1.72%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-17 16:45
TABtouch1.27I 78.74%NM 73.28%EV -6.96%E -5.48%K -25.76%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.80%EV -2.41%E -0.253%K -0.283%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -9.45%E -1.72%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-17 16:45
betPARX1.27I 78.74%NM 73.28%EV -6.96%E -5.48%K -25.76%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.80%EV -2.41%E -0.253%K -0.283%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -9.45%E -1.72%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-17 16:45
Casumo1.27I 78.74%NM 73.28%EV -6.96%E -5.48%K -25.76%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.80%EV -2.41%E -0.253%K -0.283%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -9.45%E -1.72%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-17 16:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.27I 78.74%NM 73.28%EV -6.96%E -5.48%K -25.76%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.80%EV -2.41%E -0.253%K -0.283%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -9.45%E -1.72%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-17 16:45
Grosvenor1.27I 78.74%NM 73.28%EV -6.96%E -5.48%K -25.76%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.80%EV -2.41%E -0.253%K -0.283%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -9.45%E -1.72%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-17 16:45
Unibet (UK)1.27I 78.74%NM 73.28%EV -6.96%E -5.48%K -25.76%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.80%EV -2.41%E -0.253%K -0.283%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -9.45%E -1.72%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-17 16:50
BoyleSports1.29I 77.52%NM 72.13%EV -5.49%E -4.26%K -18.93%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -12.68%E -1.49%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -9.45%E -1.72%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-17 16:39
Sky Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 72.76%EV -10.62%E -8.70%K -48.27%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.10%EV -17.82%E -2.23%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -9.45%E -1.72%K -2.10%G +0.000%12.6%2026-03-17 16:50
PMU (FR)1.14I 87.72%NM 74.09%EV -16.48%E -14.46%K -117.71%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 10.56%EV -17.82%E -2.23%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.36%EV -9.45%E -1.72%K -2.10%G +0.000%18.4%2026-03-17 16:50
BetRivers1.26I 79.37%NM 73.21%EV -7.69%E -6.10%K -29.57%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.71%EV -2.41%E -0.253%K -0.283%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.08%EV -11.10%E -2.06%K -2.52%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-17 16:45
Parions Sport (FR)1.24I 80.65%NM 71.79%EV -9.15%E -7.38%K -38.14%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.41%EV -19.87%E -2.55%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.80%EV -12.74%E -2.40%K -2.96%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-17 16:50
NetBet (FR)1.21I 82.64%NM 72.23%EV -11.35%E -9.38%K -54.05%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.28%EV -20.38%E -2.63%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.49%EV -12.74%E -2.40%K -2.96%G +0.000%14.4%2026-03-17 16:45
Betway1.29I 77.52%NM 71.56%EV -5.49%E -4.26%K -18.93%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV -12.68%E -1.49%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.58%EV -13.57%E -2.58%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-17 16:40
Bet Right1.27I 78.74%NM 72.31%EV -6.96%E -5.48%K -25.76%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.20%EV -7.54%E -0.838%K -0.943%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.49%EV -13.57%E -2.58%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-17 16:55
LiveScore Bet1.23I 81.30%NM 72.94%EV -9.89%E -8.04%K -42.98%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.97%EV -7.54%E -0.838%K -0.943%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.09%EV -13.57%E -2.58%K -3.19%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-17 16:45
LeoVegas1.23I 81.30%NM 72.94%EV -9.89%E -8.04%K -42.98%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.97%EV -7.54%E -0.838%K -0.943%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.09%EV -13.57%E -2.58%K -3.19%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-17 16:45
Virgin Bet1.23I 81.30%NM 72.94%EV -9.89%E -8.04%K -42.98%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.97%EV -7.54%E -0.838%K -0.943%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.09%EV -13.57%E -2.58%K -3.19%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-17 16:45
Betclic (FR)1.25I 80.00%NM 71.46%EV -8.42%E -6.74%K -33.68%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.53%EV -20.38%E -2.63%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.01%EV -13.57%E -2.58%K -3.19%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-17 16:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.22I 81.97%NM 71.09%EV -10.62%E -8.70%K -48.27%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.64%EV -7.54%E -0.838%K -0.943%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.27%EV -25.92%E -5.76%K -7.40%G +0.000%15.3%2026-03-17 16:50
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets1.31I 76.34%NM 76.23%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.51%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.26%0.1%2026-03-17 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 76.67%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.67%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.66%0.3%2026-03-17 16:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.30I 76.92%NM 76.67%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.67%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.66%0.3%2026-03-17 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.30I 76.92%NM 76.67%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.67%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.66%0.3%2026-03-17 16:55
Matchbook1.30I 76.92%NM 76.67%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.67%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.66%0.3%2026-03-17 16:55
Kalshi1.28I 78.13%NM 75.76%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.70%6.67I 14.99%NM 14.54%3.1%2026-03-17 16:45