La escuela de los momios

Fenerbahce v Gazişehir Gaziantep

Inicio: 2026-03-17 17:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

52 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Fenerbahce (Local)

Predicción 73.26%1.36momio equitativo
EV -4.76%
Ventaja -3.66%
Kelly -15.86%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
71.09%73.30%73.25%75.54%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.141.261.271.3087.72%79.28%78.74%76.92%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Gazişehir Gaziantep (Visitante)

Predicción 10.27%9.73momio equitativo
EV +8.28%
Ventaja +0.785%
Kelly +0.868%
Crecimiento +0.072%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 10.54

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
8.82%10.36%10.30%12.35%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
7.259.009.0010.5413.79%11.11%11.11%9.49%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 16.46%6.07momio equitativo
EV +10.96%
Ventaja +1.63%
Kelly +1.91%
Crecimiento +0.209%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.74

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
14.36%16.34%16.45%19.27%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.505.635.576.7422.22%17.75%17.94%14.84%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpate ▼MargenActualizado
1xBet1.30I 76.92%NM 74.44%EV -4.76%E -3.66%K -15.86%G +0.000%8.64I 11.57%NM 11.20%EV -11.24%E -1.30%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.74I 14.84%NM 14.36%EV +10.96%E +1.63%K +1.91%G +0.209%3.3%2026-03-17 16:55
Tipico (DE)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.54%EV -8.42%E -6.74%K -33.68%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.94%EV -2.41%E -0.253%K -0.283%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV +7.01%E +1.08%K +1.27%G +0.089%5.9%2026-03-17 16:45
LowVig.ag1.29I 77.52%NM 74.88%EV -5.49%E -4.26%K -18.93%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.66%EV +2.73%E +0.273%K +0.303%G +0.008%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.46%EV +2.90%E +0.463%K +0.552%G +0.016%3.5%2026-03-17 16:40
BetOnline.ag1.29I 77.52%NM 74.88%EV -5.49%E -4.26%K -18.93%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.66%EV +2.73%E +0.273%K +0.303%G +0.008%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.46%EV +2.90%E +0.463%K +0.552%G +0.016%3.5%2026-03-17 16:40
Pinnacle1.29I 77.52%NM 74.84%EV -5.49%E -4.26%K -18.93%G +0.000%10.01I 9.99%NM 9.64%EV +2.83%E +0.283%K +0.314%G +0.009%6.22I 16.08%NM 15.52%EV +2.40%E +0.386%K +0.460%G +0.011%3.6%2026-03-17 16:55
FanDuel1.24I 80.65%NM 74.38%EV -9.15%E -7.38%K -38.14%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.25%EV -7.54%E -0.838%K -0.943%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -1.22%E -0.203%K -0.244%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-17 16:50
SportsBet1.22I 81.97%NM 75.09%EV -10.62%E -8.70%K -48.27%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.64%EV -2.41%E -0.253%K -0.283%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -1.22%E -0.203%K -0.244%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-17 16:49
Paddy Power1.20I 83.33%NM 75.00%EV -12.08%E -10.07%K -60.42%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV -7.54%E -0.838%K -0.943%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -1.22%E -0.203%K -0.244%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-17 16:50
BetUS1.27I 78.74%NM 73.67%EV -6.96%E -5.48%K -25.76%G +0.000%9.05I 11.05%NM 10.34%EV -7.03%E -0.777%K -0.873%G +0.000%5.85I 17.09%NM 15.99%EV -3.69%E -0.631%K -0.761%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-17 16:55
Codere (IT)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.71%EV -4.76%E -3.66%K -15.86%G +0.000%8.60I 11.63%NM 10.99%EV -11.65%E -1.35%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.30%EV -4.51%E -0.778%K -0.940%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-17 16:50
Winamax (DE)1.27I 78.74%NM 72.03%EV -6.96%E -5.48%K -25.76%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -22.95%E -3.06%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.77%EV -4.51%E -0.778%K -0.940%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-17 16:50
Coolbet1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -5.49%E -4.26%K -18.93%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.53%EV +2.73%E +0.273%K +0.303%G +0.008%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.58%EV -5.34%E -0.928%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-17 16:49
Fanatics1.29I 77.52%NM 73.12%EV -5.49%E -4.26%K -18.93%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.48%EV -7.54%E -0.838%K -0.943%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.40%EV -5.34%E -0.928%K -1.12%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-17 16:45
Ladbrokes (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.51%EV -4.76%E -3.66%K -15.86%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -12.68%E -1.49%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -5.34%E -0.928%K -1.12%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-17 16:50
Coral1.30I 76.92%NM 72.51%EV -4.76%E -3.66%K -15.86%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -12.68%E -1.49%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.39%EV -5.34%E -0.928%K -1.12%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-17 16:45
Everygame1.28I 78.13%NM 73.27%EV -6.22%E -4.86%K -22.22%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.42%EV -7.54%E -0.838%K -0.943%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.31%EV -5.34%E -0.928%K -1.12%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-17 16:40
Bovada1.26I 79.37%NM 73.36%EV -7.69%E -6.10%K -29.57%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.56%EV -10.11%E -1.16%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.08%EV -5.34%E -0.928%K -1.12%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-17 16:53
888sport1.25I 80.00%NM 73.29%EV -8.42%E -6.74%K -33.68%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.78%EV -12.68%E -1.49%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.93%EV -5.34%E -0.928%K -1.12%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-17 16:55
888sport (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 73.29%EV -8.42%E -6.74%K -33.68%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.78%EV -12.68%E -1.49%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.93%EV -5.34%E -0.928%K -1.12%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-17 16:55
Mr Green (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 73.29%EV -8.42%E -6.74%K -33.68%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.78%EV -12.68%E -1.49%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.93%EV -5.34%E -0.928%K -1.12%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-17 16:55
Marathon Bet1.26I 79.37%NM 74.02%EV -7.69%E -6.10%K -29.57%G +0.000%9.70I 10.31%NM 9.62%EV -0.351%E -0.036%K -0.040%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.36%EV -6.16%E -1.08%K -1.31%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-17 16:40
ATG (SE)1.28I 78.13%NM 73.72%EV -6.22%E -4.86%K -22.22%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.44%EV +2.73%E +0.273%K +0.303%G +0.008%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.85%EV -7.81%E -1.39%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-17 16:45
Svenska Spel1.28I 78.13%NM 73.72%EV -6.22%E -4.86%K -22.22%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.44%EV +2.73%E +0.273%K +0.303%G +0.008%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.85%EV -7.81%E -1.39%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-17 16:45
Neds1.30I 76.92%NM 71.96%EV -4.76%E -3.66%K -15.86%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.34%EV -15.25%E -1.85%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.70%EV -7.81%E -1.39%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-17 16:45
Ladbrokes (AU)1.30I 76.92%NM 71.96%EV -4.76%E -3.66%K -15.86%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.34%EV -15.25%E -1.85%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.70%EV -7.81%E -1.39%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-17 16:45
Winamax (FR)1.25I 80.00%NM 71.65%EV -8.42%E -6.74%K -33.68%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.35%EV -25.52%E -3.52%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.99%EV -7.81%E -1.39%K -1.70%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-17 16:50
Fliff1.24I 80.65%NM 72.79%EV -9.15%E -7.38%K -38.14%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 10.94%EV -15.25%E -1.85%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.55I 18.02%NM 16.26%EV -8.63%E -1.55%K -1.90%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-17 16:55
Betsson1.25I 80.00%NM 74.39%EV -8.42%E -6.74%K -33.68%G +0.000%10.54I 9.49%NM 8.82%EV +8.28%E +0.785%K +0.868%G +0.072%5.54I 18.05%NM 16.79%EV -8.79%E -1.59%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-17 16:55
NordicBet1.25I 80.00%NM 74.39%EV -8.42%E -6.74%K -33.68%G +0.000%10.54I 9.49%NM 8.82%EV +8.28%E +0.785%K +0.868%G +0.072%5.54I 18.05%NM 16.79%EV -8.79%E -1.59%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-17 16:55
PointsBet (AU)1.28I 78.13%NM 72.73%EV -6.22%E -4.86%K -22.22%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.34%EV -7.54%E -0.838%K -0.943%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.93%EV -9.45%E -1.72%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-17 16:50
Unibet1.27I 78.74%NM 73.28%EV -6.96%E -5.48%K -25.76%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.80%EV -2.41%E -0.253%K -0.283%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -9.45%E -1.72%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-17 16:44
Unibet (SE)1.27I 78.74%NM 73.28%EV -6.96%E -5.48%K -25.76%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.80%EV -2.41%E -0.253%K -0.283%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -9.45%E -1.72%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-17 16:45
Unibet (NL)1.27I 78.74%NM 73.28%EV -6.96%E -5.48%K -25.76%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.80%EV -2.41%E -0.253%K -0.283%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -9.45%E -1.72%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-17 16:45
TABtouch1.27I 78.74%NM 73.28%EV -6.96%E -5.48%K -25.76%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.80%EV -2.41%E -0.253%K -0.283%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -9.45%E -1.72%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-17 16:45
betPARX1.27I 78.74%NM 73.28%EV -6.96%E -5.48%K -25.76%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.80%EV -2.41%E -0.253%K -0.283%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -9.45%E -1.72%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-17 16:45
Casumo1.27I 78.74%NM 73.28%EV -6.96%E -5.48%K -25.76%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.80%EV -2.41%E -0.253%K -0.283%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -9.45%E -1.72%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-17 16:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.27I 78.74%NM 73.28%EV -6.96%E -5.48%K -25.76%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.80%EV -2.41%E -0.253%K -0.283%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -9.45%E -1.72%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-17 16:45
Grosvenor1.27I 78.74%NM 73.28%EV -6.96%E -5.48%K -25.76%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.80%EV -2.41%E -0.253%K -0.283%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -9.45%E -1.72%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-17 16:45
Unibet (UK)1.27I 78.74%NM 73.28%EV -6.96%E -5.48%K -25.76%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.80%EV -2.41%E -0.253%K -0.283%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -9.45%E -1.72%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-17 16:50
BoyleSports1.29I 77.52%NM 72.13%EV -5.49%E -4.26%K -18.93%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -12.68%E -1.49%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -9.45%E -1.72%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-17 16:39
Sky Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 72.76%EV -10.62%E -8.70%K -48.27%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.10%EV -17.82%E -2.23%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -9.45%E -1.72%K -2.10%G +0.000%12.6%2026-03-17 16:50
PMU (FR)1.14I 87.72%NM 74.09%EV -16.48%E -14.46%K -117.71%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 10.56%EV -17.82%E -2.23%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.36%EV -9.45%E -1.72%K -2.10%G +0.000%18.4%2026-03-17 16:50
BetRivers1.26I 79.37%NM 73.21%EV -7.69%E -6.10%K -29.57%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.71%EV -2.41%E -0.253%K -0.283%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.08%EV -11.10%E -2.06%K -2.52%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-17 16:45
Parions Sport (FR)1.24I 80.65%NM 71.79%EV -9.15%E -7.38%K -38.14%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.41%EV -19.87%E -2.55%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.80%EV -12.74%E -2.40%K -2.96%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-17 16:50
NetBet (FR)1.21I 82.64%NM 72.23%EV -11.35%E -9.38%K -54.05%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.28%EV -20.38%E -2.63%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.49%EV -12.74%E -2.40%K -2.96%G +0.000%14.4%2026-03-17 16:45
Betway1.29I 77.52%NM 71.56%EV -5.49%E -4.26%K -18.93%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.86%EV -12.68%E -1.49%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.58%EV -13.57%E -2.58%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-17 16:40
Bet Right1.27I 78.74%NM 72.31%EV -6.96%E -5.48%K -25.76%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.20%EV -7.54%E -0.838%K -0.943%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.49%EV -13.57%E -2.58%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-17 16:55
LiveScore Bet1.23I 81.30%NM 72.94%EV -9.89%E -8.04%K -42.98%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.97%EV -7.54%E -0.838%K -0.943%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.09%EV -13.57%E -2.58%K -3.19%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-17 16:45
LeoVegas1.23I 81.30%NM 72.94%EV -9.89%E -8.04%K -42.98%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.97%EV -7.54%E -0.838%K -0.943%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.09%EV -13.57%E -2.58%K -3.19%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-17 16:45
Virgin Bet1.23I 81.30%NM 72.94%EV -9.89%E -8.04%K -42.98%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.97%EV -7.54%E -0.838%K -0.943%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.09%EV -13.57%E -2.58%K -3.19%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-17 16:45
Betclic (FR)1.25I 80.00%NM 71.46%EV -8.42%E -6.74%K -33.68%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.53%EV -20.38%E -2.63%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.01%EV -13.57%E -2.58%K -3.19%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-17 16:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.22I 81.97%NM 71.09%EV -10.62%E -8.70%K -48.27%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.64%EV -7.54%E -0.838%K -0.943%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.27%EV -25.92%E -5.76%K -7.40%G +0.000%15.3%2026-03-17 16:50
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Smarkets1.31I 76.34%NM 76.23%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.51%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.26%0.1%2026-03-17 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 76.67%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.67%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.66%0.3%2026-03-17 16:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.30I 76.92%NM 76.67%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.67%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.66%0.3%2026-03-17 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.30I 76.92%NM 76.67%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.67%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.66%0.3%2026-03-17 16:55
Matchbook1.30I 76.92%NM 76.67%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.67%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.66%0.3%2026-03-17 16:55
Kalshi1.28I 78.13%NM 75.76%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.70%6.67I 14.99%NM 14.54%3.1%2026-03-17 16:45