Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Erzurum BB v Torku Konyaspor

Kickoff: 2026-09-05 14:00 UTC

Final: Erzurum BB 1–0 Torku Konyaspor

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

52 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Erzurum BB (Local)

Prediction 40.75%2.45fair odd
EV -2.21%
Edge -0.920%
Kelly -1.58%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.45%40.80%40.61%42.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.282.302.4047.62%43.90%43.48%41.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Torku Konyaspor (Visit)

Prediction 31.24%3.20fair odd
EV -0.958%
Edge -0.302%
Kelly -0.441%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.17

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.05%31.17%31.33%32.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.752.952.953.1736.36%33.89%33.90%31.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 28.01%3.57fair odd
EV -3.36%
Edge -0.975%
Kelly -1.37%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.78%28.02%28.07%29.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.323.333.4532.26%30.12%30.08%28.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Erzurum BB (Local): 40.75%; Torku Konyaspor (Visit): 31.24%; Draw: 28.01%. For Torku Konyaspor (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.20. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.17, with an expected value of -0.958%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.40%EV -2.21%E -0.920%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 31.17%EV -2.83%E -0.911%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 28.43%EV -4.49%E -1.32%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-04 08:41
Pinnacle🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.48%EV -3.02%E -1.27%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 31.18%EV -3.46%E -1.12%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.34%EV -4.77%E -1.40%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-04 14:15
GTbets🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.31%EV -3.02%E -1.27%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.01I 33.22%NM 31.88%EV -5.96%E -1.98%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.81%EV -3.36%E -0.975%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-02 14:19
Coolbet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.41%EV -4.25%E -1.81%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -6.27%E -2.09%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.93%EV -4.77%E -1.40%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 00:40
Casumo🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.51%EV -5.47%E -2.36%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.86%EV -7.83%E -2.65%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.64%EV -4.77%E -1.40%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-03 13:10
Unibet (SE)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.51%EV -5.47%E -2.36%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.86%EV -7.83%E -2.65%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.64%EV -4.77%E -1.40%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-03 13:14
Unibet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.51%EV -5.47%E -2.36%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.86%EV -7.83%E -2.65%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.64%EV -4.77%E -1.40%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-03 13:14
Grosvenor🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.51%EV -5.47%E -2.36%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.86%EV -7.83%E -2.65%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.64%EV -4.77%E -1.40%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-03 13:10
Unibet (NL)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.51%EV -5.47%E -2.36%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.86%EV -7.83%E -2.65%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.64%EV -4.77%E -1.40%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-03 13:10
TABtouch🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.51%EV -5.47%E -2.36%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.86%EV -7.83%E -2.65%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.64%EV -4.77%E -1.40%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-03 13:10
betPARX🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.51%EV -5.47%E -2.36%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.86%EV -7.83%E -2.65%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.64%EV -4.77%E -1.40%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-03 13:15
ATG (SE)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.51%EV -5.47%E -2.36%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.86%EV -7.83%E -2.65%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.64%EV -4.77%E -1.40%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-03 13:10
Svenska Spel🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.51%EV -5.47%E -2.36%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.86%EV -7.83%E -2.65%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.64%EV -4.77%E -1.40%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-03 13:15
Marathon Bet🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 40.37%EV -5.88%E -2.54%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 31.19%EV -6.58%E -2.20%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.43%EV -8.13%E -2.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-04 08:29
Coral🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.35%EV -6.28%E -2.73%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.68%EV -3.14%E -1.01%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.77%E -1.40%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-04 00:30
DraftKings🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.97%EV -6.28%E -2.73%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.90%EV -4.71%E -1.54%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.13%EV -6.17%E -1.84%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-04 14:05
Unibet (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -6.28%E -2.73%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -6.27%E -2.09%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -4.77%E -1.40%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-02 14:20
SportsBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -6.28%E -2.73%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -9.39%E -3.24%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV -3.36%E -0.975%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-04 00:28
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -6.28%E -2.73%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -6.27%E -2.09%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -7.57%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-04 00:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -6.28%E -2.73%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -6.27%E -2.09%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -7.57%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-04 00:30
Neds🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -6.28%E -2.73%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -6.27%E -2.09%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -7.57%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-04 00:30
FanDuel🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -6.28%E -2.73%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -9.39%E -3.24%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -4.77%E -1.40%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-04 00:28
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -6.28%E -2.73%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -9.39%E -3.24%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -4.77%E -1.40%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-04 00:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -6.28%E -2.73%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.27%EV -10.02%E -3.48%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -4.77%E -1.40%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-04 07:15
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -6.28%E -2.73%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -9.39%E -3.24%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -7.57%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-04 08:30
betfred_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.07%EV -6.28%E -2.73%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.00%EV -10.02%E -3.48%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -7.57%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-31 23:35
Bet Right🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -6.28%E -2.73%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -10.96%E -3.84%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -7.57%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-31 23:35
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -6.28%E -2.73%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -9.39%E -3.24%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -13.17%E -4.25%K -6.27%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-31 23:30
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -6.28%E -2.73%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -9.39%E -3.24%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -13.17%E -4.25%K -6.27%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-31 23:31
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -6.28%E -2.73%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -9.39%E -3.24%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -13.17%E -4.25%K -6.27%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-31 23:30
Codere (IT)🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 41.25%EV -6.69%E -2.92%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.97%EV -4.71%E -1.54%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.78%EV -4.77%E -1.40%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-03 02:05
Bovada🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 40.31%EV -6.69%E -2.92%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.29%EV -7.83%E -2.65%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -8.97%E -2.76%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-04 08:33
BetOnline.ag🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.77%EV -7.10%E -3.11%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 30.05%EV -0.958%E -0.302%K -0.441%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.18%EV -5.33%E -1.58%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-01 02:00
LowVig.ag🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.77%EV -7.10%E -3.11%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 30.05%EV -0.958%E -0.302%K -0.441%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.18%EV -5.33%E -1.58%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-01 02:00
BetUS🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.77%EV -7.10%E -3.11%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 30.05%EV -0.958%E -0.302%K -0.441%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.18%EV -5.33%E -1.58%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-01 22:30
Fanatics🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -8.32%E -3.70%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -3.14%E -1.01%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -4.77%E -1.40%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-02 12:45
Tipico (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -8.32%E -3.70%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -3.14%E -1.01%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -7.57%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-04 11:20
BoyleSports🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.43%EV -8.32%E -3.70%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.58%EV -10.02%E -3.48%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.99%EV -8.97%E -2.76%K -3.99%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-04 08:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.29%EV -8.32%E -3.70%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -10.96%E -3.84%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.90%EV -8.97%E -2.76%K -3.99%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-03 13:10
PMU (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.29%EV -8.32%E -3.70%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -10.96%E -3.84%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.90%EV -8.97%E -2.76%K -3.99%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-03 13:14
Paddy Power🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.24%EV -8.32%E -3.70%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.33%EV -12.52%E -4.47%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -7.57%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-04 00:28
Betsson🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 41.34%EV -8.73%E -3.90%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 30.16%EV -4.08%E -1.33%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.49%EV -8.97%E -2.76%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-04 14:05
NordicBet🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 41.34%EV -8.73%E -3.90%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 30.16%EV -4.08%E -1.33%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.49%EV -8.97%E -2.76%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-04 14:05
BetRivers🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 40.28%EV -9.14%E -4.10%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.08%EV -12.52%E -4.47%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -8.97%E -2.76%K -3.99%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-03 13:10
Sky Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.37%EV -10.36%E -4.71%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.30%EV -14.08%E -5.12%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -8.97%E -2.76%K -3.99%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-04 00:30
NetBet (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.35%EV -10.36%E -4.71%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 31.48%EV -11.89%E -4.22%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.18%EV -11.77%E -3.74%K -5.47%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-04 08:40
LiveScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.20%EV -10.36%E -4.71%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.16%EV -14.08%E -5.12%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.64%EV -10.37%E -3.24%K -4.71%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-03 13:14
Virgin Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.20%EV -10.36%E -4.71%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.16%EV -14.08%E -5.12%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.64%EV -10.37%E -3.24%K -4.71%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-03 13:10
Betclic (FR)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 41.87%EV -11.58%E -5.34%K -9.90%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 30.59%EV -7.21%E -2.43%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.53%EV -7.57%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-03 14:05
Winamax (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.73%EV -12.40%E -5.77%K -10.78%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.48%EV -10.96%E -3.84%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.78%EV -6.17%E -1.84%K -2.62%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-02 14:20
Unibet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.59%EV -14.43%E -6.87%K -13.12%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.31%EV -7.83%E -2.65%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.10%EV -7.57%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-04 06:05
Winamax (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.15%EV -14.43%E -6.87%K -13.12%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.42%EV -14.08%E -5.12%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.43%EV -11.77%E -3.74%K -5.47%G +0.000%15.7%2026-09-02 14:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.12%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.66%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.22%2.2%2026-09-04 14:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.12%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.66%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.22%2.2%2026-09-04 14:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.12%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.66%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.22%2.2%2026-09-04 14:05
Kalshi2.38I 42.02%NM 40.79%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.06%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.15%3.0%2026-09-04 12:35
Smarkets2.32I 43.10%NM 41.38%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.54%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.09%4.2%2026-09-04 14:05
Matchbook2.36I 42.37%NM 40.14%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.28%5.6%2026-09-04 14:10