Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Erzurum BB v Torku Konyaspor

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-05 14:00 UTC

Score final : Erzurum BB 1–0 Torku Konyaspor

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Erzurum BB (Local)

Prévision 40.75%2.45cote équitable
EV -2.21%
Avantage -0.920%
Kelly -1.58%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
39.45%40.80%40.61%42.59%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.102.282.302.4047.62%43.90%43.48%41.67%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Torku Konyaspor (Visiteur)

Prévision 31.24%3.20cote équitable
EV -0.958%
Avantage -0.302%
Kelly -0.441%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.17

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.05%31.17%31.33%32.33%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.752.952.953.1736.36%33.89%33.90%31.55%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 28.01%3.57cote équitable
EV -3.36%
Avantage -0.975%
Kelly -1.37%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.45

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.78%28.02%28.07%29.27%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.103.323.333.4532.26%30.12%30.08%28.99%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Erzurum BB (Local) : 40.75% ; Torku Konyaspor (Visiteur) : 31.24% ; Match nul : 28.01%. Pour Torku Konyaspor (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.20. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 3.17, pour une espérance de -0.958% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.40%EV -2.21%E -0.920%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 31.17%EV -2.83%E -0.911%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 28.43%EV -4.49%E -1.32%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-04 08:41
Pinnacle🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.48%EV -3.02%E -1.27%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 31.18%EV -3.46%E -1.12%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.34%EV -4.77%E -1.40%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-04 14:15
GTbets🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.31%EV -3.02%E -1.27%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.01I 33.22%NM 31.88%EV -5.96%E -1.98%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.81%EV -3.36%E -0.975%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-02 14:19
Coolbet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.41%EV -4.25%E -1.81%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -6.27%E -2.09%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.93%EV -4.77%E -1.40%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 00:40
Casumo🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.51%EV -5.47%E -2.36%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.86%EV -7.83%E -2.65%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.64%EV -4.77%E -1.40%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-03 13:10
Unibet (SE)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.51%EV -5.47%E -2.36%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.86%EV -7.83%E -2.65%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.64%EV -4.77%E -1.40%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-03 13:14
Unibet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.51%EV -5.47%E -2.36%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.86%EV -7.83%E -2.65%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.64%EV -4.77%E -1.40%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-03 13:14
Grosvenor🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.51%EV -5.47%E -2.36%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.86%EV -7.83%E -2.65%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.64%EV -4.77%E -1.40%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-03 13:10
Unibet (NL)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.51%EV -5.47%E -2.36%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.86%EV -7.83%E -2.65%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.64%EV -4.77%E -1.40%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-03 13:10
TABtouch🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.51%EV -5.47%E -2.36%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.86%EV -7.83%E -2.65%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.64%EV -4.77%E -1.40%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-03 13:10
betPARX🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.51%EV -5.47%E -2.36%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.86%EV -7.83%E -2.65%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.64%EV -4.77%E -1.40%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-03 13:15
ATG (SE)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.51%EV -5.47%E -2.36%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.86%EV -7.83%E -2.65%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.64%EV -4.77%E -1.40%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-03 13:10
Svenska Spel🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.51%EV -5.47%E -2.36%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.86%EV -7.83%E -2.65%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.64%EV -4.77%E -1.40%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-03 13:15
Marathon Bet🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 40.37%EV -5.88%E -2.54%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 31.19%EV -6.58%E -2.20%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.43%EV -8.13%E -2.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-04 08:29
Coral🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.35%EV -6.28%E -2.73%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.68%EV -3.14%E -1.01%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.77%E -1.40%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-04 00:30
DraftKings🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.97%EV -6.28%E -2.73%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.90%EV -4.71%E -1.54%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.13%EV -6.17%E -1.84%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-04 14:05
Unibet (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -6.28%E -2.73%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -6.27%E -2.09%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -4.77%E -1.40%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-02 14:20
SportsBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -6.28%E -2.73%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -9.39%E -3.24%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV -3.36%E -0.975%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-04 00:28
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -6.28%E -2.73%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -6.27%E -2.09%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -7.57%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-04 00:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -6.28%E -2.73%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -6.27%E -2.09%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -7.57%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-04 00:30
Neds🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -6.28%E -2.73%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -6.27%E -2.09%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -7.57%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-04 00:30
FanDuel🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -6.28%E -2.73%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -9.39%E -3.24%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -4.77%E -1.40%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-04 00:28
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -6.28%E -2.73%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -9.39%E -3.24%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -4.77%E -1.40%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-04 00:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -6.28%E -2.73%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.27%EV -10.02%E -3.48%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -4.77%E -1.40%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-04 07:15
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -6.28%E -2.73%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -9.39%E -3.24%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -7.57%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-04 08:30
betfred_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.07%EV -6.28%E -2.73%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.00%EV -10.02%E -3.48%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -7.57%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-31 23:35
Bet Right🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -6.28%E -2.73%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -10.96%E -3.84%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -7.57%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-31 23:35
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -6.28%E -2.73%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -9.39%E -3.24%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -13.17%E -4.25%K -6.27%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-31 23:30
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -6.28%E -2.73%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -9.39%E -3.24%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -13.17%E -4.25%K -6.27%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-31 23:31
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -6.28%E -2.73%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -9.39%E -3.24%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -13.17%E -4.25%K -6.27%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-31 23:30
Codere (IT)🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 41.25%EV -6.69%E -2.92%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.97%EV -4.71%E -1.54%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.78%EV -4.77%E -1.40%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-03 02:05
Bovada🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 40.31%EV -6.69%E -2.92%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.29%EV -7.83%E -2.65%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.40%EV -8.97%E -2.76%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-04 08:33
BetOnline.ag🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.77%EV -7.10%E -3.11%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 30.05%EV -0.958%E -0.302%K -0.441%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.18%EV -5.33%E -1.58%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-01 02:00
LowVig.ag🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.77%EV -7.10%E -3.11%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 30.05%EV -0.958%E -0.302%K -0.441%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.18%EV -5.33%E -1.58%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-01 02:00
BetUS🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.77%EV -7.10%E -3.11%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 30.05%EV -0.958%E -0.302%K -0.441%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.18%EV -5.33%E -1.58%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-01 22:30
Fanatics🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -8.32%E -3.70%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -3.14%E -1.01%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -4.77%E -1.40%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-02 12:45
Tipico (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -8.32%E -3.70%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -3.14%E -1.01%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -7.57%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-04 11:20
BoyleSports🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.43%EV -8.32%E -3.70%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.58%EV -10.02%E -3.48%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.99%EV -8.97%E -2.76%K -3.99%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-04 08:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.29%EV -8.32%E -3.70%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -10.96%E -3.84%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.90%EV -8.97%E -2.76%K -3.99%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-03 13:10
PMU (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.29%EV -8.32%E -3.70%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -10.96%E -3.84%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.90%EV -8.97%E -2.76%K -3.99%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-03 13:14
Paddy Power🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.24%EV -8.32%E -3.70%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.33%EV -12.52%E -4.47%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -7.57%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-04 00:28
Betsson🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 41.34%EV -8.73%E -3.90%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 30.16%EV -4.08%E -1.33%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.49%EV -8.97%E -2.76%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-04 14:05
NordicBet🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 41.34%EV -8.73%E -3.90%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 30.16%EV -4.08%E -1.33%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.49%EV -8.97%E -2.76%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-04 14:05
BetRivers🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 40.28%EV -9.14%E -4.10%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.08%EV -12.52%E -4.47%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -8.97%E -2.76%K -3.99%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-03 13:10
Sky Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.37%EV -10.36%E -4.71%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.30%EV -14.08%E -5.12%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -8.97%E -2.76%K -3.99%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-04 00:30
NetBet (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.35%EV -10.36%E -4.71%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 31.48%EV -11.89%E -4.22%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.18%EV -11.77%E -3.74%K -5.47%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-04 08:40
LiveScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.20%EV -10.36%E -4.71%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.16%EV -14.08%E -5.12%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.64%EV -10.37%E -3.24%K -4.71%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-03 13:14
Virgin Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.20%EV -10.36%E -4.71%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.16%EV -14.08%E -5.12%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.64%EV -10.37%E -3.24%K -4.71%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-03 13:10
Betclic (FR)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 41.87%EV -11.58%E -5.34%K -9.90%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 30.59%EV -7.21%E -2.43%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.53%EV -7.57%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-03 14:05
Winamax (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.73%EV -12.40%E -5.77%K -10.78%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.48%EV -10.96%E -3.84%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.78%EV -6.17%E -1.84%K -2.62%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-02 14:20
Unibet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.59%EV -14.43%E -6.87%K -13.12%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.31%EV -7.83%E -2.65%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.10%EV -7.57%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-04 06:05
Winamax (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.15%EV -14.43%E -6.87%K -13.12%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.42%EV -14.08%E -5.12%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.43%EV -11.77%E -3.74%K -5.47%G +0.000%15.7%2026-09-02 14:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.12%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.66%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.22%2.2%2026-09-04 14:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.12%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.66%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.22%2.2%2026-09-04 14:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.12%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.66%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.22%2.2%2026-09-04 14:05
Kalshi◎2.38I 42.02%NM 40.79%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.06%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.15%3.0%2026-09-04 12:35
Smarkets◎2.32I 43.10%NM 41.38%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.54%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.09%4.2%2026-09-04 14:05
Matchbook◎2.36I 42.37%NM 40.14%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.28%5.6%2026-09-04 14:10