Language:English
Erzurum BB v Galatasaray
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Erzurum BB (Local)
Prediction 15.91%6.28fair odd
EV +11.40%
Edge +1.63%
Kelly +1.90%
Growth +0.217%
assuming max odds 7.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
13.42%15.79%15.76%17.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.406.116.007.0018.52%16.36%16.67%14.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Galatasaray (Visit)
Prediction 61.65%1.62fair odd
EV -2.60%
Edge -1.64%
Kelly -4.48%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.58
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.86%61.72%61.81%65.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.381.471.481.5872.46%67.82%67.57%63.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 22.44%4.46fair odd
EV -1.28%
Edge -0.290%
Kelly -0.375%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.35%22.49%22.43%23.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.804.134.104.4026.32%24.23%24.39%22.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Erzurum BB (Local): 15.91%; Galatasaray (Visit): 61.65%; Draw: 22.44%. For Erzurum BB (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.28. 16 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +11.40%.
Sportsbook Odds (42 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.42%EV +11.40%E +1.63%K +1.90%G +0.217% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.23%EV -11.23%E -7.80%K -25.51%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.35%EV -1.28%E -0.290%K -0.375%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-21 18:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.42%EV +11.40%E +1.63%K +1.90%G +0.217% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.23%EV -11.23%E -7.80%K -25.51%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.35%EV -1.28%E -0.290%K -0.375%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-21 18:24 |
| Casumo🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.62%EV +7.42%E +1.10%K +1.29%G +0.096% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.75%EV -12.46%E -8.77%K -29.67%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.63%EV -4.64%E -1.09%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-21 18:24 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.62%EV +7.42%E +1.10%K +1.29%G +0.096% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.75%EV -12.46%E -8.77%K -29.67%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.63%EV -4.64%E -1.09%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-21 18:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.62%EV +7.42%E +1.10%K +1.29%G +0.096% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.75%EV -12.46%E -8.77%K -29.67%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.63%EV -4.64%E -1.09%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-21 18:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.62%EV +7.42%E +1.10%K +1.29%G +0.096% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.75%EV -12.46%E -8.77%K -29.67%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.63%EV -4.64%E -1.09%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-21 18:24 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.62%EV +7.42%E +1.10%K +1.29%G +0.096% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.75%EV -12.46%E -8.77%K -29.67%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.63%EV -4.64%E -1.09%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-21 18:24 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.62%EV +7.42%E +1.10%K +1.29%G +0.096% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.75%EV -12.46%E -8.77%K -29.67%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.63%EV -4.64%E -1.09%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-21 18:24 |
| betPARX🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.62%EV +7.42%E +1.10%K +1.29%G +0.096% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.75%EV -12.46%E -8.77%K -29.67%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.63%EV -4.64%E -1.09%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-21 18:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 6.51I 15.36%NM 14.83%EV +3.60%E +0.553%K +0.654%G +0.024% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.29%EV -4.45%E -2.87%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 4.22I 23.70%NM 22.88%EV -5.31%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-21 18:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV +3.44%E +0.530%K +0.626%G +0.022% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.95%EV -8.76%E -5.92%K -18.25%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -8.01%E -1.95%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-21 18:04 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.97%EV +3.44%E +0.530%K +0.626%G +0.022% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 64.41%EV -13.08%E -9.27%K -31.89%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -5.76%E -1.37%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-21 18:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.97%EV +3.44%E +0.530%K +0.626%G +0.022% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 64.41%EV -13.08%E -9.27%K -31.89%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -5.76%E -1.37%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-21 18:24 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.83%EV +3.44%E +0.530%K +0.626%G +0.022% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.23%EV -13.69%E -9.78%K -34.23%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.93%EV -8.01%E -1.95%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-21 17:24 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 13.89%EV +1.85%E +0.289%K +0.343%G +0.006% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 64.42%EV -14.93%E -10.82%K -39.28%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.68%EV -8.01%E -1.95%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-21 18:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 13.89%EV +1.85%E +0.289%K +0.343%G +0.006% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 64.42%EV -14.93%E -10.82%K -39.28%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.68%EV -8.01%E -1.95%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-21 18:24 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 6.28I 15.92%NM 15.41%EV -0.058%E -0.009%K -0.011%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.26%EV -2.60%E -1.64%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.32%EV -6.89%E -1.66%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-21 18:19 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.95%EV -0.535%E -0.086%K -0.102%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.27%EV -7.53%E -5.02%K -15.06%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -8.01%E -1.95%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-21 18:04 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.81%EV -2.92%E -0.479%K -0.573%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.82%EV -3.83%E -2.45%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 4.31I 23.20%NM 22.37%EV -3.30%E -0.765%K -0.996%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-21 17:49 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.81%EV -2.92%E -0.479%K -0.573%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.82%EV -3.83%E -2.45%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 4.31I 23.20%NM 22.37%EV -3.30%E -0.765%K -0.996%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-21 17:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.72%EV -4.51%E -0.752%K -0.903%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.26%EV -5.06%E -3.29%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.01%EV -8.01%E -1.95%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-21 18:04 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -4.51%E -0.752%K -0.903%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.42%EV -5.68%E -3.71%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -8.01%E -1.95%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-21 18:09 |
| Betway🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -4.51%E -0.752%K -0.903%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -7.53%E -5.02%K -15.06%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -5.76%E -1.37%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-21 18:04 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.54%EV -4.51%E -0.752%K -0.903%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.73%EV -6.91%E -4.58%K -13.55%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -8.01%E -1.95%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-21 18:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -4.51%E -0.752%K -0.903%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.53%E -5.02%K -15.06%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -10.25%E -2.56%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-21 18:24 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.91%EV -4.51%E -0.752%K -0.903%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.14%EV -11.23%E -7.80%K -25.51%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.94%EV -12.49%E -3.20%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-21 18:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.82%EV -4.51%E -0.752%K -0.903%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.77%EV -11.23%E -7.80%K -25.51%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.41%EV -14.74%E -3.88%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-21 18:04 |
| GTbets🎯 | 5.87I 17.04%NM 15.80%EV -6.58%E -1.12%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.84%EV -7.53%E -5.02%K -15.06%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.35%EV -6.89%E -1.66%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-21 17:44 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.54%EV -8.49%E -1.48%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.35%EV -4.45%E -2.87%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.11%EV -3.52%E -0.818%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-21 18:24 |
| BetUS🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.06%EV -8.49%E -1.48%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.15%EV -6.91%E -4.58%K -13.55%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.80%EV -9.13%E -2.25%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-21 18:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.37%EV -8.49%E -1.48%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.37%EV -11.23%E -7.80%K -25.51%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.26%EV -14.74%E -3.88%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-08-21 18:04 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 5.70I 17.54%NM 15.55%EV -9.29%E -1.63%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 62.00%EV -11.84%E -8.28%K -27.54%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.45%EV -11.37%E -2.88%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-21 18:24 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.05%EV -12.47%E -2.27%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.89%EV -5.06%E -3.29%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.06%EV -4.64%E -1.09%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-21 17:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.71%EV -12.47%E -2.27%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.87%EV -6.91%E -4.58%K -13.55%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.42%EV -8.01%E -1.95%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-21 18:24 |
| 888sport🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.65%EV -12.47%E -2.27%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.86%EV -5.68%E -3.71%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -12.49%E -3.20%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-21 17:49 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.65%EV -12.47%E -2.27%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.86%EV -5.68%E -3.71%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -12.49%E -3.20%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-21 17:49 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.65%EV -12.47%E -2.27%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.86%EV -5.68%E -3.71%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -12.49%E -3.20%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-21 17:49 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -12.47%E -2.27%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -11.23%E -7.80%K -25.51%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -10.25%E -2.56%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-21 18:24 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.83%EV -14.06%E -2.60%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.00%EV -8.14%E -5.47%K -16.62%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.17%EV -8.01%E -1.95%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-21 18:14 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.83%EV -14.06%E -2.60%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.00%EV -8.14%E -5.47%K -16.62%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.17%EV -8.01%E -1.95%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-21 17:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.76%EV -14.06%E -2.60%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.16%EV -8.76%E -5.92%K -18.25%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.08%EV -8.01%E -1.95%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-21 17:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.69%EV -14.06%E -2.60%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.32%EV -9.38%E -6.38%K -19.95%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.99%EV -8.01%E -1.95%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-21 18:04 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.26% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.57% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.18% | 0.2% | 2026-08-21 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.26% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.57% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.18% | 0.2% | 2026-08-21 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.85% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.50% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.66% | 0.3% | 2026-08-21 18:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.48% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.13% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.38% | 1.5% | 2026-08-21 18:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 7.14I 14.01%NM 13.74% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.71% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.55% | 1.9% | 2026-08-21 18:04 |