Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Erzurum BB v Galatasaray

Inizio: 2026-08-21 18:30 UTC

Finale: Erzurum BB 0–4 Galatasaray

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

42 bookmaker (15 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Erzurum BB (Casa)

Previsione 15.91%6.28quota equa
EV +11.40%
Vantaggio +1.63%
Kelly +1.90%
Crescita +0.217%

ipotizzando la quota massima 7.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
13.42%15.79%15.76%17.05%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
5.406.116.007.0018.52%16.36%16.67%14.29%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Galatasaray (Trasferta)

Previsione 61.65%1.62quota equa
EV -2.60%
Vantaggio -1.64%
Kelly -4.48%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.58

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
59.86%61.72%61.81%65.23%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.381.471.481.5872.46%67.82%67.57%63.29%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 22.44%4.46quota equa
EV -1.28%
Vantaggio -0.290%
Kelly -0.375%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.40

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
21.35%22.49%22.43%23.48%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.804.134.104.4026.32%24.23%24.39%22.73%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Erzurum BB (Casa): 15.91%; Galatasaray (Trasferta): 61.65%; Pareggio: 22.44%. Per Erzurum BB (Casa), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 6.28. 16 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 7.00, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +11.40%.

Quote dei bookmaker (42 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Svenska Spel🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.42%EV +11.40%E +1.63%K +1.90%G +0.217%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.23%EV -11.23%E -7.80%K -25.51%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.35%EV -1.28%E -0.290%K -0.375%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-21 18:25
ATG (SE)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.42%EV +11.40%E +1.63%K +1.90%G +0.217%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.23%EV -11.23%E -7.80%K -25.51%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.35%EV -1.28%E -0.290%K -0.375%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-21 18:24
Casumo🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 13.62%EV +7.42%E +1.10%K +1.29%G +0.096%1.42I 70.42%NM 64.75%EV -12.46%E -8.77%K -29.67%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.63%EV -4.64%E -1.09%K -1.43%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-21 18:24
TABtouch🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 13.62%EV +7.42%E +1.10%K +1.29%G +0.096%1.42I 70.42%NM 64.75%EV -12.46%E -8.77%K -29.67%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.63%EV -4.64%E -1.09%K -1.43%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-21 18:25
Unibet🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 13.62%EV +7.42%E +1.10%K +1.29%G +0.096%1.42I 70.42%NM 64.75%EV -12.46%E -8.77%K -29.67%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.63%EV -4.64%E -1.09%K -1.43%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-21 18:25
Grosvenor🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 13.62%EV +7.42%E +1.10%K +1.29%G +0.096%1.42I 70.42%NM 64.75%EV -12.46%E -8.77%K -29.67%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.63%EV -4.64%E -1.09%K -1.43%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-21 18:24
Unibet (NL)🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 13.62%EV +7.42%E +1.10%K +1.29%G +0.096%1.42I 70.42%NM 64.75%EV -12.46%E -8.77%K -29.67%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.63%EV -4.64%E -1.09%K -1.43%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-21 18:24
Unibet (SE)🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 13.62%EV +7.42%E +1.10%K +1.29%G +0.096%1.42I 70.42%NM 64.75%EV -12.46%E -8.77%K -29.67%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.63%EV -4.64%E -1.09%K -1.43%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-21 18:24
betPARX🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 13.62%EV +7.42%E +1.10%K +1.29%G +0.096%1.42I 70.42%NM 64.75%EV -12.46%E -8.77%K -29.67%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.63%EV -4.64%E -1.09%K -1.43%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-21 18:25
Pinnacle🎯6.51I 15.36%NM 14.83%EV +3.60%E +0.553%K +0.654%G +0.024%1.55I 64.52%NM 62.29%EV -4.45%E -2.87%K -8.08%G +0.000%4.22I 23.70%NM 22.88%EV -5.31%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-21 18:25
FanDuel🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV +3.44%E +0.530%K +0.626%G +0.022%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.95%EV -8.76%E -5.92%K -18.25%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -8.01%E -1.95%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-21 18:04
PMU (FR)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 13.97%EV +3.44%E +0.530%K +0.626%G +0.022%1.41I 70.92%NM 64.41%EV -13.08%E -9.27%K -31.89%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -5.76%E -1.37%K -1.80%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-21 18:24
LeoVegas (SE)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 13.97%EV +3.44%E +0.530%K +0.626%G +0.022%1.41I 70.92%NM 64.41%EV -13.08%E -9.27%K -31.89%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -5.76%E -1.37%K -1.80%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-21 18:24
BetRivers🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 13.83%EV +3.44%E +0.530%K +0.626%G +0.022%1.40I 71.43%NM 64.23%EV -13.69%E -9.78%K -34.23%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.93%EV -8.01%E -1.95%K -2.58%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-21 17:24
LiveScore Bet🎯6.40I 15.63%NM 13.89%EV +1.85%E +0.289%K +0.343%G +0.006%1.38I 72.46%NM 64.42%EV -14.93%E -10.82%K -39.28%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.68%EV -8.01%E -1.95%K -2.58%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-21 18:25
Virgin Bet🎯6.40I 15.63%NM 13.89%EV +1.85%E +0.289%K +0.343%G +0.006%1.38I 72.46%NM 64.42%EV -14.93%E -10.82%K -39.28%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.68%EV -8.01%E -1.95%K -2.58%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-21 18:24
1xBet🎯6.28I 15.92%NM 15.41%EV -0.058%E -0.009%K -0.011%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 61.26%EV -2.60%E -1.64%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.32%EV -6.89%E -1.66%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-21 18:19
SportsBet🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 14.95%EV -0.535%E -0.086%K -0.102%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.27%EV -7.53%E -5.02%K -15.06%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -8.01%E -1.95%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-21 18:04
BetOnline.ag🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 15.81%EV -2.92%E -0.479%K -0.573%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.82%EV -3.83%E -2.45%K -6.84%G +0.000%4.31I 23.20%NM 22.37%EV -3.30%E -0.765%K -0.996%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-21 17:49
LowVig.ag🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 15.81%EV -2.92%E -0.479%K -0.573%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.82%EV -3.83%E -2.45%K -6.84%G +0.000%4.31I 23.20%NM 22.37%EV -3.30%E -0.765%K -0.996%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-21 17:50
DraftKings🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.72%EV -4.51%E -0.752%K -0.903%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.26%EV -5.06%E -3.29%K -9.37%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.01%EV -8.01%E -1.95%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-21 18:04
Fanatics🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -4.51%E -0.752%K -0.903%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.42%EV -5.68%E -3.71%K -10.71%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -8.01%E -1.95%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-21 18:09
Betway🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -4.51%E -0.752%K -0.903%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -7.53%E -5.02%K -15.06%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -5.76%E -1.37%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-21 18:04
Marathon Bet🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.54%EV -4.51%E -0.752%K -0.903%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.73%EV -6.91%E -4.58%K -13.55%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -8.01%E -1.95%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-21 18:20
Bovada🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -4.51%E -0.752%K -0.903%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.53%E -5.02%K -15.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -10.25%E -2.56%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-21 18:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 14.91%EV -4.51%E -0.752%K -0.903%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.14%EV -11.23%E -7.80%K -25.51%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.94%EV -12.49%E -3.20%K -4.31%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-21 18:20
Paddy Power🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 14.82%EV -4.51%E -0.752%K -0.903%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 61.77%EV -11.23%E -7.80%K -25.51%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.41%EV -14.74%E -3.88%K -5.26%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-21 18:04
GTbets🎯5.87I 17.04%NM 15.80%EV -6.58%E -1.12%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.84%EV -7.53%E -5.02%K -15.06%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.35%EV -6.89%E -1.66%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-21 17:44
Coolbet🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.54%EV -8.49%E -1.48%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.35%EV -4.45%E -2.87%K -8.08%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.11%EV -3.52%E -0.818%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-21 18:24
BetUS🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.06%EV -8.49%E -1.48%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.15%EV -6.91%E -4.58%K -13.55%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.80%EV -9.13%E -2.25%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-21 18:00
Sky Bet🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 15.37%EV -8.49%E -1.48%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 61.37%EV -11.23%E -7.80%K -25.51%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.26%EV -14.74%E -3.88%K -5.26%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-21 18:04
NetBet (FR)🎯5.70I 17.54%NM 15.55%EV -9.29%E -1.63%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 62.00%EV -11.84%E -8.28%K -27.54%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.45%EV -11.37%E -2.88%K -3.86%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-21 18:24
Unibet (UK)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.05%EV -12.47%E -2.27%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.89%EV -5.06%E -3.29%K -9.37%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.06%EV -4.64%E -1.09%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-21 17:55
Bet Right🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.71%EV -12.47%E -2.27%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 60.87%EV -6.91%E -4.58%K -13.55%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.42%EV -8.01%E -1.95%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-21 18:24
888sport🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.65%EV -12.47%E -2.27%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.86%EV -5.68%E -3.71%K -10.71%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -12.49%E -3.20%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-21 17:49
888sport (SE)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.65%EV -12.47%E -2.27%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.86%EV -5.68%E -3.71%K -10.71%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -12.49%E -3.20%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-21 17:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.65%EV -12.47%E -2.27%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.86%EV -5.68%E -3.71%K -10.71%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -12.49%E -3.20%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-21 17:49
BoyleSports🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -12.47%E -2.27%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -11.23%E -7.80%K -25.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -10.25%E -2.56%K -3.42%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-21 18:24
Betclic (FR)🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 16.83%EV -14.06%E -2.60%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 61.00%EV -8.14%E -5.47%K -16.62%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.17%EV -8.01%E -1.95%K -2.58%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-21 18:14
Winamax (DE)🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 16.83%EV -14.06%E -2.60%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 61.00%EV -8.14%E -5.47%K -16.62%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.17%EV -8.01%E -1.95%K -2.58%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-21 17:55
Winamax (FR)🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 16.76%EV -14.06%E -2.60%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 61.16%EV -8.76%E -5.92%K -18.25%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.08%EV -8.01%E -1.95%K -2.58%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-21 17:55
Unibet (FR)🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 16.69%EV -14.06%E -2.60%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 61.32%EV -9.38%E -6.38%K -19.95%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.99%EV -8.01%E -1.95%K -2.58%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-21 18:04
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎7.00I 14.29%NM 14.26%1.57I 63.69%NM 63.57%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.18%0.2%2026-08-21 18:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎7.00I 14.29%NM 14.26%1.57I 63.69%NM 63.57%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.18%0.2%2026-08-21 18:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎7.20I 13.89%NM 13.85%1.57I 63.69%NM 63.50%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.66%0.3%2026-08-21 18:25
Smarkets◎6.80I 14.71%NM 14.48%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.13%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.38%1.5%2026-08-21 18:25
Kalshi◎7.14I 14.01%NM 13.74%1.54I 64.94%NM 63.71%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.55%1.9%2026-08-21 18:04