Idioma:Español
Erzurum BB v Galatasaray
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Erzurum BB (Local)
Predicción 15.91%6.28momio equitativo
EV +11.40%
Ventaja +1.63%
Kelly +1.90%
Crecimiento +0.217%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 7.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
13.42%15.79%15.76%17.05%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
5.406.116.007.0018.52%16.36%16.67%14.29%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Galatasaray (Visitante)
Predicción 61.65%1.62momio equitativo
EV -2.60%
Ventaja -1.64%
Kelly -4.48%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.58
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
59.86%61.72%61.81%65.23%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.381.471.481.5872.46%67.82%67.57%63.29%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 22.44%4.46momio equitativo
EV -1.28%
Ventaja -0.290%
Kelly -0.375%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.35%22.49%22.43%23.48%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.804.134.104.4026.32%24.23%24.39%22.73%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Erzurum BB (Local): 15.91%; Galatasaray (Visitante): 61.65%; Empate: 22.44%. Para Erzurum BB (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 6.28. 16 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 7.00, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +11.40%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (42 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.42%EV +11.40%E +1.63%K +1.90%G +0.217% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.23%EV -11.23%E -7.80%K -25.51%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.35%EV -1.28%E -0.290%K -0.375%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-21 18:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.42%EV +11.40%E +1.63%K +1.90%G +0.217% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.23%EV -11.23%E -7.80%K -25.51%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.35%EV -1.28%E -0.290%K -0.375%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-21 18:24 |
| Casumo🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.62%EV +7.42%E +1.10%K +1.29%G +0.096% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.75%EV -12.46%E -8.77%K -29.67%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.63%EV -4.64%E -1.09%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-21 18:24 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.62%EV +7.42%E +1.10%K +1.29%G +0.096% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.75%EV -12.46%E -8.77%K -29.67%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.63%EV -4.64%E -1.09%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-21 18:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.62%EV +7.42%E +1.10%K +1.29%G +0.096% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.75%EV -12.46%E -8.77%K -29.67%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.63%EV -4.64%E -1.09%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-21 18:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.62%EV +7.42%E +1.10%K +1.29%G +0.096% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.75%EV -12.46%E -8.77%K -29.67%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.63%EV -4.64%E -1.09%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-21 18:24 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.62%EV +7.42%E +1.10%K +1.29%G +0.096% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.75%EV -12.46%E -8.77%K -29.67%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.63%EV -4.64%E -1.09%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-21 18:24 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.62%EV +7.42%E +1.10%K +1.29%G +0.096% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.75%EV -12.46%E -8.77%K -29.67%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.63%EV -4.64%E -1.09%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-21 18:24 |
| betPARX🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.62%EV +7.42%E +1.10%K +1.29%G +0.096% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.75%EV -12.46%E -8.77%K -29.67%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.63%EV -4.64%E -1.09%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-21 18:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 6.51I 15.36%NM 14.83%EV +3.60%E +0.553%K +0.654%G +0.024% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.29%EV -4.45%E -2.87%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 4.22I 23.70%NM 22.88%EV -5.31%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-21 18:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV +3.44%E +0.530%K +0.626%G +0.022% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.95%EV -8.76%E -5.92%K -18.25%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -8.01%E -1.95%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-21 18:04 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.97%EV +3.44%E +0.530%K +0.626%G +0.022% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 64.41%EV -13.08%E -9.27%K -31.89%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -5.76%E -1.37%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-21 18:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.97%EV +3.44%E +0.530%K +0.626%G +0.022% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 64.41%EV -13.08%E -9.27%K -31.89%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -5.76%E -1.37%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-21 18:24 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.83%EV +3.44%E +0.530%K +0.626%G +0.022% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.23%EV -13.69%E -9.78%K -34.23%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.93%EV -8.01%E -1.95%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-21 17:24 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 13.89%EV +1.85%E +0.289%K +0.343%G +0.006% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 64.42%EV -14.93%E -10.82%K -39.28%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.68%EV -8.01%E -1.95%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-21 18:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 13.89%EV +1.85%E +0.289%K +0.343%G +0.006% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 64.42%EV -14.93%E -10.82%K -39.28%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.68%EV -8.01%E -1.95%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-21 18:24 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 6.28I 15.92%NM 15.41%EV -0.058%E -0.009%K -0.011%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.26%EV -2.60%E -1.64%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.32%EV -6.89%E -1.66%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-21 18:19 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.95%EV -0.535%E -0.086%K -0.102%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.27%EV -7.53%E -5.02%K -15.06%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -8.01%E -1.95%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-21 18:04 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.81%EV -2.92%E -0.479%K -0.573%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.82%EV -3.83%E -2.45%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 4.31I 23.20%NM 22.37%EV -3.30%E -0.765%K -0.996%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-21 17:49 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.81%EV -2.92%E -0.479%K -0.573%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.82%EV -3.83%E -2.45%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 4.31I 23.20%NM 22.37%EV -3.30%E -0.765%K -0.996%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-21 17:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.72%EV -4.51%E -0.752%K -0.903%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.26%EV -5.06%E -3.29%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.01%EV -8.01%E -1.95%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-21 18:04 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -4.51%E -0.752%K -0.903%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.42%EV -5.68%E -3.71%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -8.01%E -1.95%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-21 18:09 |
| Betway🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -4.51%E -0.752%K -0.903%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -7.53%E -5.02%K -15.06%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -5.76%E -1.37%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-21 18:04 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.54%EV -4.51%E -0.752%K -0.903%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.73%EV -6.91%E -4.58%K -13.55%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -8.01%E -1.95%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-21 18:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -4.51%E -0.752%K -0.903%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.53%E -5.02%K -15.06%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -10.25%E -2.56%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-21 18:24 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.91%EV -4.51%E -0.752%K -0.903%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.14%EV -11.23%E -7.80%K -25.51%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.94%EV -12.49%E -3.20%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-21 18:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.82%EV -4.51%E -0.752%K -0.903%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.77%EV -11.23%E -7.80%K -25.51%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.41%EV -14.74%E -3.88%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-21 18:04 |
| GTbets🎯 | 5.87I 17.04%NM 15.80%EV -6.58%E -1.12%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.84%EV -7.53%E -5.02%K -15.06%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.35%EV -6.89%E -1.66%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-21 17:44 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.54%EV -8.49%E -1.48%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.35%EV -4.45%E -2.87%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.11%EV -3.52%E -0.818%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-21 18:24 |
| BetUS🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.06%EV -8.49%E -1.48%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.15%EV -6.91%E -4.58%K -13.55%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.80%EV -9.13%E -2.25%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-21 18:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.37%EV -8.49%E -1.48%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.37%EV -11.23%E -7.80%K -25.51%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.26%EV -14.74%E -3.88%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-08-21 18:04 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 5.70I 17.54%NM 15.55%EV -9.29%E -1.63%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 62.00%EV -11.84%E -8.28%K -27.54%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.45%EV -11.37%E -2.88%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-21 18:24 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.05%EV -12.47%E -2.27%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.89%EV -5.06%E -3.29%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.06%EV -4.64%E -1.09%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-21 17:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.71%EV -12.47%E -2.27%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.87%EV -6.91%E -4.58%K -13.55%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.42%EV -8.01%E -1.95%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-21 18:24 |
| 888sport🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.65%EV -12.47%E -2.27%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.86%EV -5.68%E -3.71%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -12.49%E -3.20%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-21 17:49 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.65%EV -12.47%E -2.27%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.86%EV -5.68%E -3.71%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -12.49%E -3.20%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-21 17:49 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.65%EV -12.47%E -2.27%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.86%EV -5.68%E -3.71%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -12.49%E -3.20%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-21 17:49 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -12.47%E -2.27%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -11.23%E -7.80%K -25.51%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -10.25%E -2.56%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-21 18:24 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.83%EV -14.06%E -2.60%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.00%EV -8.14%E -5.47%K -16.62%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.17%EV -8.01%E -1.95%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-21 18:14 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.83%EV -14.06%E -2.60%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.00%EV -8.14%E -5.47%K -16.62%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.17%EV -8.01%E -1.95%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-21 17:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.76%EV -14.06%E -2.60%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.16%EV -8.76%E -5.92%K -18.25%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.08%EV -8.01%E -1.95%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-21 17:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.69%EV -14.06%E -2.60%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.32%EV -9.38%E -6.38%K -19.95%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.99%EV -8.01%E -1.95%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-21 18:04 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.26% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.57% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.18% | 0.2% | 2026-08-21 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.26% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.57% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.18% | 0.2% | 2026-08-21 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.85% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.50% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.66% | 0.3% | 2026-08-21 18:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.48% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.13% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.38% | 1.5% | 2026-08-21 18:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 7.14I 14.01%NM 13.74% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.71% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.55% | 1.9% | 2026-08-21 18:04 |