Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Çaykur Rizespor v Besiktas JK

Kickoff: 2026-05-15 17:00 UTC

Final: Çaykur Rizespor 2–2 Besiktas JK

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

53 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Çaykur Rizespor (Local)

Prediction 32.44%3.08fair odd
EV +1.53%
Edge +0.490%
Kelly +0.720%
Growth +0.011%

assuming max odds 3.13

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.02%32.28%32.49%33.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.922.883.1338.46%34.28%34.72%31.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Besiktas JK (Visit)

Prediction 42.81%2.34fair odd
EV -2.82%
Edge -1.24%
Kelly -2.22%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.27

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.69%43.02%42.77%44.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.152.152.2750.00%46.61%46.51%44.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 24.75%4.04fair odd
EV -0.996%
Edge -0.249%
Kelly -0.332%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.41%24.70%24.74%27.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.713.754.0032.26%26.95%26.67%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Çaykur Rizespor (Local): 32.44%; Besiktas JK (Visit): 42.81%; Draw: 24.75%. For Çaykur Rizespor (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.08. 12 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.13, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.53%.

Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯3.13I 31.95%NM 30.75%EV +1.53%E +0.490%K +0.720%G +0.011%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.56%EV -7.53%E -3.49%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.68%EV -3.47%E -0.890%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-15 16:45
ATG (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV +0.560%E +0.181%K +0.267%G +0.001%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.69%EV -10.10%E -4.81%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -7.18%E -1.92%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-15 16:50
Svenska Spel🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV +0.560%E +0.181%K +0.267%G +0.001%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.69%EV -10.10%E -4.81%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -7.18%E -1.92%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-15 16:50
Tipico (DE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV +0.560%E +0.181%K +0.267%G +0.001%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -10.10%E -4.81%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -8.42%E -2.28%K -3.12%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-15 16:35
Unibet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV +0.560%E +0.181%K +0.267%G +0.001%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.93%EV -10.95%E -5.27%K -10.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -7.18%E -1.92%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-15 16:50
Casumo🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV +0.560%E +0.181%K +0.267%G +0.001%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.93%EV -10.95%E -5.27%K -10.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -7.18%E -1.92%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-15 16:50
TABtouch🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV +0.560%E +0.181%K +0.267%G +0.001%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.93%EV -10.95%E -5.27%K -10.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -7.18%E -1.92%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-15 16:50
Unibet (NL)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV +0.560%E +0.181%K +0.267%G +0.001%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.93%EV -10.95%E -5.27%K -10.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -7.18%E -1.92%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-15 16:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV +0.560%E +0.181%K +0.267%G +0.001%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.93%EV -10.95%E -5.27%K -10.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -7.18%E -1.92%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-15 16:50
Unibet (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV +0.560%E +0.181%K +0.267%G +0.001%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.93%EV -10.95%E -5.27%K -10.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -7.18%E -1.92%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-15 16:50
Grosvenor🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV +0.560%E +0.181%K +0.267%G +0.001%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.93%EV -10.95%E -5.27%K -10.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -7.18%E -1.92%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-15 16:50
betPARX🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV +0.560%E +0.181%K +0.267%G +0.001%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.93%EV -10.95%E -5.27%K -10.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -7.18%E -1.92%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-15 16:49
BetRivers🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.32%EV -1.06%E -0.348%K -0.518%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.68%EV -11.38%E -5.50%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -8.42%E -2.28%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-15 16:47
PMU (FR)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.02%EV -1.06%E -0.348%K -0.518%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 44.89%EV -12.67%E -6.21%K -12.18%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.09%EV -9.66%E -2.65%K -3.64%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-15 16:50
GTbets🎯3.02I 33.11%NM 31.82%EV -2.03%E -0.674%K -1.01%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.09%EV -4.53%E -2.03%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 25.09%EV -5.20%E -1.36%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-15 16:55
1xBet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 32.31%EV -2.68%E -0.895%K -1.34%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.70%EV -2.82%E -1.24%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.98%EV -3.97%E -1.02%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-15 16:55
SportsBet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -2.68%E -0.895%K -1.34%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.52%EV -7.96%E -3.70%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -8.42%E -2.28%K -3.12%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-15 16:50
FanDuel🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -2.68%E -0.895%K -1.34%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.52%EV -7.96%E -3.70%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -8.42%E -2.28%K -3.12%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-15 16:04
Virgin Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -2.68%E -0.895%K -1.34%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.75%EV -13.52%E -6.69%K -13.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.11%EV -10.90%E -3.03%K -4.19%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-15 16:50
LeoVegas🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -2.68%E -0.895%K -1.34%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.75%EV -13.52%E -6.69%K -13.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.11%EV -10.90%E -3.03%K -4.19%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-15 16:50
LiveScore Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -2.68%E -0.895%K -1.34%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.75%EV -13.52%E -6.69%K -13.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.11%EV -10.90%E -3.03%K -4.19%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-15 16:50
Codere (IT)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.89%EV -4.31%E -1.46%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.35%EV -7.10%E -3.27%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.76%EV -5.95%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-15 16:40
Fanatics🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.45%EV -5.93%E -2.04%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.78%EV -5.82%E -2.64%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -5.95%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-15 16:50
Everygame🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.35%EV -5.93%E -2.04%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.64%EV -5.82%E -2.64%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.01%EV -7.18%E -1.92%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-15 16:50
Betway🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -5.93%E -2.04%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.34%EV -7.96%E -3.70%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.52%EV -5.95%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-15 16:50
Unibet (UK)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.61%EV -6.58%E -2.28%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.68%EV -5.82%E -2.64%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.71%EV -5.95%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-15 16:56
Paddy Power🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.31%EV -6.58%E -2.28%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -10.10%E -4.81%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -13.37%E -3.82%K -5.35%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-15 16:50
Sky Bet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -6.58%E -2.28%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -10.10%E -4.81%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -15.85%E -4.66%K -6.60%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-15 16:50
Coral🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 32.89%EV -6.90%E -2.40%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.95%EV -3.68%E -1.63%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.17%EV -7.18%E -1.92%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-15 16:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 32.89%EV -6.90%E -2.40%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.95%EV -3.68%E -1.63%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.17%EV -7.18%E -1.92%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-15 16:55
Marathon Bet🎯2.86I 34.97%NM 32.59%EV -7.23%E -2.53%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 42.56%EV -6.25%E -2.85%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -7.18%E -1.92%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-15 16:55
Coolbet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -7.55%E -2.65%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.52%EV -3.68%E -1.63%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.92%EV -0.996%E -0.249%K -0.332%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-15 16:55
Neds🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.93%EV -7.55%E -2.65%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -3.68%E -1.63%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.36%EV -8.42%E -2.28%K -3.12%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-15 16:56
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.93%EV -7.55%E -2.65%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -3.68%E -1.63%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.36%EV -8.42%E -2.28%K -3.12%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-15 16:56
BetUS🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.73%EV -7.55%E -2.65%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.40%EV -5.82%E -2.64%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -7.18%E -1.92%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-15 16:55
BetOnline.ag🎯2.84I 35.21%NM 33.06%EV -7.87%E -2.77%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 41.91%EV -4.10%E -1.83%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -7.18%E -1.92%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-15 16:55
LowVig.ag🎯2.84I 35.21%NM 33.06%EV -7.87%E -2.77%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 41.91%EV -4.10%E -1.83%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -7.18%E -1.92%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-15 16:55
Betsson🎯2.84I 35.21%NM 32.74%EV -7.87%E -2.77%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 42.46%EV -6.25%E -2.85%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.80%EV -7.18%E -1.92%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-15 16:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.23%EV -9.17%E -3.28%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -5.82%E -2.64%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -5.95%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-15 16:55
Bovada🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.95%EV -9.17%E -3.28%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 42.12%EV -6.25%E -2.85%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.93%EV -8.42%E -2.28%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-15 16:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -9.17%E -3.28%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -5.82%E -2.64%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -10.90%E -3.03%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-15 16:55
888sport🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -9.17%E -3.28%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -5.82%E -2.64%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -10.90%E -3.03%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-15 16:55
888sport (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -9.17%E -3.28%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -5.82%E -2.64%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -10.90%E -3.03%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-15 16:56
Betclic (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.45%EV -9.17%E -3.28%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.86%EV -9.24%E -4.36%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 24.69%EV -8.92%E -2.42%K -3.33%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-15 16:55
Unibet (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.25%EV -9.17%E -3.28%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.00%EV -10.10%E -4.81%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.74%EV -9.66%E -2.65%K -3.64%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-15 16:55
NordicBet🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 33.45%EV -9.82%E -3.53%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.69%EV -4.53%E -2.03%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 24.86%EV -7.43%E -1.99%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-15 16:55
NetBet (FR)🎯2.77I 36.10%NM 32.07%EV -10.14%E -3.66%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 42.91%EV -11.38%E -5.50%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.02%EV -12.13%E -3.42%K -4.76%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-15 16:55
betfred_uk🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.52%EV -10.79%E -3.92%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -5.82%E -2.64%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -7.18%E -1.92%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-15 16:55
Bet Right🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.52%EV -10.79%E -3.92%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -5.82%E -2.64%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -7.18%E -1.92%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-15 16:55
Winamax (DE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.30%EV -10.79%E -3.92%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.60%EV -7.96%E -3.70%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.10%EV -5.95%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-15 16:56
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 30.66%EV -10.79%E -3.92%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 42.15%EV -14.38%E -7.19%K -14.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.19%EV -23.27%E -7.51%K -11.08%G +0.000%18.6%2026-05-15 16:50
Winamax (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -12.42%E -4.60%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.78%EV -10.10%E -4.81%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.95%EV -7.18%E -1.92%K -2.61%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-15 16:56
BoyleSports🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 33.77%EV -15.66%E -6.02%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.82%EV -12.24%E -5.97%K -11.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.41%EV -7.18%E -1.92%K -2.61%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-15 16:56
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.55%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.60%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.85%0.6%2026-05-15 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.43%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.81%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.75%1.0%2026-05-15 16:55
Smarkets3.15I 31.75%NM 31.43%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.81%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.75%1.0%2026-05-15 16:55
Kalshi3.12I 32.05%NM 31.70%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.57%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.73%1.1%2026-05-15 16:55
Matchbook3.10I 32.26%NM 31.90%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.37%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.72%1.1%2026-05-15 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 31.80%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.24%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.96%1.4%2026-05-15 16:55