L’École des cotes

Çaykur Rizespor v Besiktas JK

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-15 17:00 UTC

Score final : Çaykur Rizespor 2–2 Besiktas JK

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

53 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Çaykur Rizespor (Local)

Prévision 32.44%3.08cote équitable
EV +1.53%
Avantage +0.490%
Kelly +0.720%
Croissance +0.011%

avec la cote maximale 3.13

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.02%32.28%32.49%33.77%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.602.922.883.1338.46%34.28%34.72%31.95%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Besiktas JK (Visiteur)

Prévision 42.81%2.34cote équitable
EV -2.82%
Avantage -1.24%
Kelly -2.22%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.27

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.69%43.02%42.77%44.93%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.002.152.152.2750.00%46.61%46.51%44.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 24.75%4.04cote équitable
EV -0.996%
Avantage -0.249%
Kelly -0.332%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.41%24.70%24.74%27.19%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.713.754.0032.26%26.95%26.67%25.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle3.13I 31.95%NM 30.75%EV +1.53%E +0.490%K +0.720%G +0.011%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.56%EV -7.53%E -3.49%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.68%EV -3.47%E -0.890%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-15 16:45
ATG (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV +0.560%E +0.181%K +0.267%G +0.001%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.69%EV -10.10%E -4.81%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -7.18%E -1.92%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-15 16:50
Svenska Spel3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV +0.560%E +0.181%K +0.267%G +0.001%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.69%EV -10.10%E -4.81%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -7.18%E -1.92%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-15 16:50
Tipico (DE)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV +0.560%E +0.181%K +0.267%G +0.001%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -10.10%E -4.81%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -8.42%E -2.28%K -3.12%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-15 16:35
Unibet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV +0.560%E +0.181%K +0.267%G +0.001%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.93%EV -10.95%E -5.27%K -10.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -7.18%E -1.92%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-15 16:50
Casumo3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV +0.560%E +0.181%K +0.267%G +0.001%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.93%EV -10.95%E -5.27%K -10.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -7.18%E -1.92%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-15 16:50
TABtouch3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV +0.560%E +0.181%K +0.267%G +0.001%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.93%EV -10.95%E -5.27%K -10.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -7.18%E -1.92%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-15 16:50
Unibet (NL)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV +0.560%E +0.181%K +0.267%G +0.001%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.93%EV -10.95%E -5.27%K -10.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -7.18%E -1.92%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-15 16:50
LeoVegas (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV +0.560%E +0.181%K +0.267%G +0.001%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.93%EV -10.95%E -5.27%K -10.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -7.18%E -1.92%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-15 16:50
Unibet (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV +0.560%E +0.181%K +0.267%G +0.001%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.93%EV -10.95%E -5.27%K -10.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -7.18%E -1.92%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-15 16:50
Grosvenor3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV +0.560%E +0.181%K +0.267%G +0.001%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.93%EV -10.95%E -5.27%K -10.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -7.18%E -1.92%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-15 16:50
betPARX3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV +0.560%E +0.181%K +0.267%G +0.001%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.93%EV -10.95%E -5.27%K -10.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -7.18%E -1.92%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-15 16:49
BetRivers3.05I 32.79%NM 30.32%EV -1.06%E -0.348%K -0.518%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.68%EV -11.38%E -5.50%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -8.42%E -2.28%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-15 16:47
PMU (FR)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.02%EV -1.06%E -0.348%K -0.518%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 44.89%EV -12.67%E -6.21%K -12.18%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.09%EV -9.66%E -2.65%K -3.64%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-15 16:50
GTbets3.02I 33.11%NM 31.82%EV -2.03%E -0.674%K -1.01%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.09%EV -4.53%E -2.03%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 25.09%EV -5.20%E -1.36%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-15 16:55
1xBet3.00I 33.33%NM 32.31%EV -2.68%E -0.895%K -1.34%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.70%EV -2.82%E -1.24%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.98%EV -3.97%E -1.02%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-15 16:55
SportsBet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -2.68%E -0.895%K -1.34%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.52%EV -7.96%E -3.70%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -8.42%E -2.28%K -3.12%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-15 16:50
FanDuel3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -2.68%E -0.895%K -1.34%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.52%EV -7.96%E -3.70%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -8.42%E -2.28%K -3.12%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-15 16:04
Virgin Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -2.68%E -0.895%K -1.34%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.75%EV -13.52%E -6.69%K -13.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.11%EV -10.90%E -3.03%K -4.19%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-15 16:50
LeoVegas3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -2.68%E -0.895%K -1.34%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.75%EV -13.52%E -6.69%K -13.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.11%EV -10.90%E -3.03%K -4.19%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-15 16:50
LiveScore Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -2.68%E -0.895%K -1.34%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.75%EV -13.52%E -6.69%K -13.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.11%EV -10.90%E -3.03%K -4.19%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-15 16:50
Codere (IT)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.89%EV -4.31%E -1.46%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.35%EV -7.10%E -3.27%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.76%EV -5.95%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-15 16:40
Fanatics2.90I 34.48%NM 32.45%EV -5.93%E -2.04%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.78%EV -5.82%E -2.64%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -5.95%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-15 16:50
Everygame2.90I 34.48%NM 32.35%EV -5.93%E -2.04%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.64%EV -5.82%E -2.64%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.01%EV -7.18%E -1.92%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-15 16:50
Betway2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -5.93%E -2.04%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.34%EV -7.96%E -3.70%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.52%EV -5.95%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-15 16:50
Unibet (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 32.61%EV -6.58%E -2.28%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.68%EV -5.82%E -2.64%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.71%EV -5.95%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-15 16:56
Paddy Power2.88I 34.72%NM 31.31%EV -6.58%E -2.28%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -10.10%E -4.81%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -13.37%E -3.82%K -5.35%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-15 16:50
Sky Bet2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -6.58%E -2.28%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -10.10%E -4.81%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -15.85%E -4.66%K -6.60%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-15 16:50
Coral2.87I 34.84%NM 32.89%EV -6.90%E -2.40%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.95%EV -3.68%E -1.63%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.17%EV -7.18%E -1.92%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-15 16:55
Ladbrokes (UK)2.87I 34.84%NM 32.89%EV -6.90%E -2.40%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.95%EV -3.68%E -1.63%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.17%EV -7.18%E -1.92%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-15 16:55
Marathon Bet2.86I 34.97%NM 32.59%EV -7.23%E -2.53%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 42.56%EV -6.25%E -2.85%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -7.18%E -1.92%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-15 16:55
Coolbet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -7.55%E -2.65%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.52%EV -3.68%E -1.63%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.92%EV -0.996%E -0.249%K -0.332%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-15 16:55
Neds2.85I 35.09%NM 32.93%EV -7.55%E -2.65%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -3.68%E -1.63%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.36%EV -8.42%E -2.28%K -3.12%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-15 16:56
Ladbrokes (AU)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.93%EV -7.55%E -2.65%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -3.68%E -1.63%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.36%EV -8.42%E -2.28%K -3.12%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-15 16:56
BetUS2.85I 35.09%NM 32.73%EV -7.55%E -2.65%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.40%EV -5.82%E -2.64%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -7.18%E -1.92%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-15 16:55
BetOnline.ag2.84I 35.21%NM 33.06%EV -7.87%E -2.77%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 41.91%EV -4.10%E -1.83%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -7.18%E -1.92%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-15 16:55
LowVig.ag2.84I 35.21%NM 33.06%EV -7.87%E -2.77%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 41.91%EV -4.10%E -1.83%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -7.18%E -1.92%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-15 16:55
Betsson2.84I 35.21%NM 32.74%EV -7.87%E -2.77%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 42.46%EV -6.25%E -2.85%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.80%EV -7.18%E -1.92%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-15 16:50
PointsBet (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.23%EV -9.17%E -3.28%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -5.82%E -2.64%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -5.95%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-15 16:55
Bovada2.80I 35.71%NM 32.95%EV -9.17%E -3.28%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 42.12%EV -6.25%E -2.85%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.93%EV -8.42%E -2.28%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-15 16:55
Mr Green (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -9.17%E -3.28%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -5.82%E -2.64%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -10.90%E -3.03%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-15 16:55
888sport2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -9.17%E -3.28%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -5.82%E -2.64%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -10.90%E -3.03%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-15 16:55
888sport (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -9.17%E -3.28%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -5.82%E -2.64%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -10.90%E -3.03%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-15 16:56
Betclic (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.45%EV -9.17%E -3.28%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.86%EV -9.24%E -4.36%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 24.69%EV -8.92%E -2.42%K -3.33%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-15 16:55
Unibet (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.25%EV -9.17%E -3.28%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.00%EV -10.10%E -4.81%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.74%EV -9.66%E -2.65%K -3.64%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-15 16:55
NordicBet2.78I 35.97%NM 33.45%EV -9.82%E -3.53%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.69%EV -4.53%E -2.03%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 24.86%EV -7.43%E -1.99%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-15 16:55
NetBet (FR)2.77I 36.10%NM 32.07%EV -10.14%E -3.66%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 42.91%EV -11.38%E -5.50%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.02%EV -12.13%E -3.42%K -4.76%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-15 16:55
betfred_uk2.75I 36.36%NM 33.52%EV -10.79%E -3.92%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -5.82%E -2.64%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -7.18%E -1.92%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-15 16:55
Bet Right2.75I 36.36%NM 33.52%EV -10.79%E -3.92%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -5.82%E -2.64%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -7.18%E -1.92%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-15 16:55
Winamax (DE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.30%EV -10.79%E -3.92%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.60%EV -7.96%E -3.70%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.10%EV -5.95%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-15 16:56
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 30.66%EV -10.79%E -3.92%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 42.15%EV -14.38%E -7.19%K -14.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.19%EV -23.27%E -7.51%K -11.08%G +0.000%18.6%2026-05-15 16:50
Winamax (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -12.42%E -4.60%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.78%EV -10.10%E -4.81%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.95%EV -7.18%E -1.92%K -2.61%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-15 16:56
BoyleSports2.60I 38.46%NM 33.77%EV -15.66%E -6.02%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.82%EV -12.24%E -5.97%K -11.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.41%EV -7.18%E -1.92%K -2.61%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-15 16:56
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.55%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.60%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.85%0.6%2026-05-15 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.43%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.81%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.75%1.0%2026-05-15 16:55
Smarkets3.15I 31.75%NM 31.43%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.81%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.75%1.0%2026-05-15 16:55
Kalshi3.12I 32.05%NM 31.70%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.57%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.73%1.1%2026-05-15 16:55
Matchbook3.10I 32.26%NM 31.90%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.37%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.72%1.1%2026-05-15 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 31.80%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.24%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.96%1.4%2026-05-15 16:55