La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Çaykur Rizespor v Besiktas JK
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Çaykur Rizespor (Local)
Predicción 32.44%3.08momio equitativo
EV +1.53%
Ventaja +0.490%
Kelly +0.720%
Crecimiento +0.011%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.13
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.02%32.28%32.49%33.77%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.602.922.883.1338.46%34.28%34.72%31.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Besiktas JK (Visitante)
Predicción 42.81%2.34momio equitativo
EV -2.82%
Ventaja -1.24%
Kelly -2.22%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.27
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.69%43.02%42.77%44.93%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.152.152.2750.00%46.61%46.51%44.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 24.75%4.04momio equitativo
EV -0.996%
Ventaja -0.249%
Kelly -0.332%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.41%24.70%24.74%27.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.713.754.0032.26%26.95%26.67%25.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 3.13I 31.95%NM 30.75%EV +1.53%E +0.490%K +0.720%G +0.011% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.56%EV -7.53%E -3.49%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.68%EV -3.47%E -0.890%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-15 16:45 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV +0.560%E +0.181%K +0.267%G +0.001% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.69%EV -10.10%E -4.81%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -7.18%E -1.92%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-15 16:50 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV +0.560%E +0.181%K +0.267%G +0.001% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.69%EV -10.10%E -4.81%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -7.18%E -1.92%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-15 16:50 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV +0.560%E +0.181%K +0.267%G +0.001% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -10.10%E -4.81%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -8.42%E -2.28%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-15 16:35 |
| Unibet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV +0.560%E +0.181%K +0.267%G +0.001% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.93%EV -10.95%E -5.27%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -7.18%E -1.92%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-15 16:50 |
| Casumo | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV +0.560%E +0.181%K +0.267%G +0.001% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.93%EV -10.95%E -5.27%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -7.18%E -1.92%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-15 16:50 |
| TABtouch | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV +0.560%E +0.181%K +0.267%G +0.001% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.93%EV -10.95%E -5.27%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -7.18%E -1.92%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-15 16:50 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV +0.560%E +0.181%K +0.267%G +0.001% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.93%EV -10.95%E -5.27%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -7.18%E -1.92%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-15 16:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV +0.560%E +0.181%K +0.267%G +0.001% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.93%EV -10.95%E -5.27%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -7.18%E -1.92%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-15 16:50 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV +0.560%E +0.181%K +0.267%G +0.001% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.93%EV -10.95%E -5.27%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -7.18%E -1.92%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-15 16:50 |
| Grosvenor | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV +0.560%E +0.181%K +0.267%G +0.001% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.93%EV -10.95%E -5.27%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -7.18%E -1.92%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-15 16:50 |
| betPARX | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV +0.560%E +0.181%K +0.267%G +0.001% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.93%EV -10.95%E -5.27%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -7.18%E -1.92%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-15 16:49 |
| BetRivers | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.32%EV -1.06%E -0.348%K -0.518%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.68%EV -11.38%E -5.50%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -8.42%E -2.28%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-15 16:47 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.02%EV -1.06%E -0.348%K -0.518%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 44.89%EV -12.67%E -6.21%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.09%EV -9.66%E -2.65%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-15 16:50 |
| GTbets | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.82%EV -2.03%E -0.674%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.09%EV -4.53%E -2.03%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 25.09%EV -5.20%E -1.36%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-15 16:55 |
| 1xBet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.31%EV -2.68%E -0.895%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.70%EV -2.82%E -1.24%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 24.98%EV -3.97%E -1.02%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-15 16:55 |
| SportsBet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -2.68%E -0.895%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.52%EV -7.96%E -3.70%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -8.42%E -2.28%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-15 16:50 |
| FanDuel | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -2.68%E -0.895%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.52%EV -7.96%E -3.70%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -8.42%E -2.28%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-15 16:04 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -2.68%E -0.895%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.75%EV -13.52%E -6.69%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.11%EV -10.90%E -3.03%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-15 16:50 |
| LeoVegas | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -2.68%E -0.895%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.75%EV -13.52%E -6.69%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.11%EV -10.90%E -3.03%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-15 16:50 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -2.68%E -0.895%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.75%EV -13.52%E -6.69%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.11%EV -10.90%E -3.03%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-15 16:50 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.89%EV -4.31%E -1.46%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.35%EV -7.10%E -3.27%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.76%EV -5.95%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-15 16:40 |
| Fanatics | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.45%EV -5.93%E -2.04%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.78%EV -5.82%E -2.64%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -5.95%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-15 16:50 |
| Everygame | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.35%EV -5.93%E -2.04%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.64%EV -5.82%E -2.64%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.01%EV -7.18%E -1.92%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-15 16:50 |
| Betway | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -5.93%E -2.04%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.34%EV -7.96%E -3.70%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.52%EV -5.95%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-15 16:50 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.61%EV -6.58%E -2.28%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.68%EV -5.82%E -2.64%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.71%EV -5.95%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-15 16:56 |
| Paddy Power | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.31%EV -6.58%E -2.28%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -10.10%E -4.81%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -13.37%E -3.82%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-15 16:50 |
| Sky Bet | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -6.58%E -2.28%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -10.10%E -4.81%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -15.85%E -4.66%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-15 16:50 |
| Coral | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.89%EV -6.90%E -2.40%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.95%EV -3.68%E -1.63%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.17%EV -7.18%E -1.92%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-15 16:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.89%EV -6.90%E -2.40%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.95%EV -3.68%E -1.63%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.17%EV -7.18%E -1.92%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-15 16:55 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.86I 34.97%NM 32.59%EV -7.23%E -2.53%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 42.56%EV -6.25%E -2.85%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -7.18%E -1.92%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-15 16:55 |
| Coolbet | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -7.55%E -2.65%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.52%EV -3.68%E -1.63%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.92%EV -0.996%E -0.249%K -0.332%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-15 16:55 |
| Neds | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.93%EV -7.55%E -2.65%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -3.68%E -1.63%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.36%EV -8.42%E -2.28%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-15 16:56 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.93%EV -7.55%E -2.65%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -3.68%E -1.63%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.36%EV -8.42%E -2.28%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-15 16:56 |
| BetUS | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.73%EV -7.55%E -2.65%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.40%EV -5.82%E -2.64%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -7.18%E -1.92%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-15 16:55 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.06%EV -7.87%E -2.77%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.91%EV -4.10%E -1.83%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -7.18%E -1.92%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-15 16:55 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.06%EV -7.87%E -2.77%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.91%EV -4.10%E -1.83%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -7.18%E -1.92%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-15 16:55 |
| Betsson | 2.84I 35.21%NM 32.74%EV -7.87%E -2.77%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 42.46%EV -6.25%E -2.85%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.80%EV -7.18%E -1.92%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-15 16:50 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.23%EV -9.17%E -3.28%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -5.82%E -2.64%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -5.95%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-15 16:55 |
| Bovada | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.95%EV -9.17%E -3.28%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 42.12%EV -6.25%E -2.85%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.93%EV -8.42%E -2.28%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-15 16:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -9.17%E -3.28%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -5.82%E -2.64%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -10.90%E -3.03%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-15 16:55 |
| 888sport | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -9.17%E -3.28%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -5.82%E -2.64%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -10.90%E -3.03%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-15 16:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -9.17%E -3.28%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -5.82%E -2.64%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -10.90%E -3.03%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-15 16:56 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.45%EV -9.17%E -3.28%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.86%EV -9.24%E -4.36%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 24.69%EV -8.92%E -2.42%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-15 16:55 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.25%EV -9.17%E -3.28%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.00%EV -10.10%E -4.81%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.74%EV -9.66%E -2.65%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-15 16:55 |
| NordicBet | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.45%EV -9.82%E -3.53%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.69%EV -4.53%E -2.03%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 24.86%EV -7.43%E -1.99%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-15 16:55 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.77I 36.10%NM 32.07%EV -10.14%E -3.66%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 42.91%EV -11.38%E -5.50%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.02%EV -12.13%E -3.42%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-05-15 16:55 |
| betfred_uk | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.52%EV -10.79%E -3.92%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -5.82%E -2.64%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -7.18%E -1.92%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-15 16:55 |
| Bet Right | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.52%EV -10.79%E -3.92%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -5.82%E -2.64%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -7.18%E -1.92%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-15 16:55 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.30%EV -10.79%E -3.92%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.60%EV -7.96%E -3.70%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.10%EV -5.95%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-15 16:56 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 30.66%EV -10.79%E -3.92%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 42.15%EV -14.38%E -7.19%K -14.38%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.19%EV -23.27%E -7.51%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 18.6% | 2026-05-15 16:50 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -12.42%E -4.60%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.78%EV -10.10%E -4.81%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.95%EV -7.18%E -1.92%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-15 16:56 |
| BoyleSports | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.77%EV -15.66%E -6.02%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.82%EV -12.24%E -5.97%K -11.66%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.41%EV -7.18%E -1.92%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-05-15 16:56 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.55% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.60% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.85% | 0.6% | 2026-05-15 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.43% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.81% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.75% | 1.0% | 2026-05-15 16:55 |
| Smarkets | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.43% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.81% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.75% | 1.0% | 2026-05-15 16:55 |
| Kalshi | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.70% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.57% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.73% | 1.1% | 2026-05-15 16:55 |
| Matchbook | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.90% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.37% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.72% | 1.1% | 2026-05-15 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.80% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.24% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.96% | 1.4% | 2026-05-15 16:55 |